High inventories pressure Brazil biodiesel prices
Logistical differentials for Brazilian biodiesel contracts to supply fuel distributors in May and June fell from March and April values, reflecting higher inventories and a bumper crop of soybeans for crushing, which could increase vegetable oil production.
The formula for the logistics differential of plants includes the quote of the soybean oil futures contract in Chicago, its differential for export cargoes in the port of Paranagua and the Brazilian real-US dollar exchange rate. It is the portion in the pricing linked to producers' margin.
Negotiations for May and June started with plants seeking higher values to recover part of the losses incurred by unscheduled stops, the result of retailers' delays in collecting biodiesel. But the supply glut has not abated, leading to a drop in prices.
With higher inventories in the market, fuel distributors stuck close to acquisition goals established by oil regulator ANP for the May-June period.
Sales are expected to gain traction over the next two months, as blended diesel demand traditionally gets a seasonal boost from agricultural-sector consumption linked to grain and sugarcane crops.
The distribution sector expects an extension of the current supply-demand imbalance, exacerbated by significant volumes of imported diesel at ports and lower-than-expected demand. The situation has generated concern among many participants, who see this trend as a potential sign of non-compliance with the biodiesel blending mandate.
ANP data show that the compliance rate with the Brazilian B14 diesel specification dropped to 83.4pc in April from 95.2pc in March, reaching the lowest level since the 2016 start of monitoring. Non-compliance with the minimum biodiesel content accounted for 67pc of the infractions recorded during the period compared to a historical average rate of 47pc.
The recent end to a special tax regime for fuel importing companies offered by northern Amapa state's secretary of finance should end a significant source of diesel price distortions and help rebalance supply in the country.
Variations
The steepest decline in differentials took place in northeastern Bahia state, where premiums for the period ranged from R600-830/m³ (44.35-61.35¢/USG), down from R730-1,020/m³ in the March-April period, according to a recent Argus survey.
In the northern microregion of Goias-Tocantins states, the premium range also dropped by around R142/m³ to R300-535/m³ from R440-680/m³.
| Brazil biodiesel plant differentials | R/m³ | ||||
| May/June | March/April | ± | |||
| Low | High | Low | High | ||
| Rio Grande do Sul | 110 | 380 | 280 | 450 | -120 |
| Sorriso-Nova Mutum | 50 | 340 | 220 | 350 | -90 |
| Cuiaba-Rondonopolis | 80 | 405 | 280 | 450 | -123 |
| Northern of Goiás-Tocantins | 300 | 535 | 440 | 680 | -142 |
| Southern of Goias | 350 | 500 | 450 | 650 | -125 |
| Parana-Santa Catarina | 150 | 450 | 400 | 480 | -140 |
| Bahia | 600 | 830 | 730 | 1,120 | -210 |
| Source: Argus survey | |||||
Related news posts
Sustainability key for Australian beef trade: Beef2024
Sustainability key for Australian beef trade: Beef2024
Dalby, 8 May (Argus) — Production sustainability credentials are becoming increasingly important for Australian beef producers to secure export market access and source capital, industry panellists said at the Beef2024 event in Queensland this week. There is growing industry concern about the impact of the incoming EU deforestation regulation (EUDR) in December, which will require cattle exporters to provide evidence that the land used in production did not cause deforestation or forest degradation. Such regulations may present a barrier to access if applied without acknowledging local production systems, said Australian sustainability firm Organic Systems and Solutions chief executive Marg Will and private investment firm Macdoch's executive chairperson Alasdair Macleod. The EU represents a small fraction of Australia's beef exports, but Will and Macleod stressed that compliance with sustainability regulations will increasingly influence the cost of finance available to producers. But the Australian beef industry is making headway in achieving sustainability targets.There is continuing progress towards the five sustainability goals announced by the Red Meat Advisory Council in 2023, according to the Australian Beef Sustainability Framework (ABSF) annual update released on 8 May. All indicators of animal welfare and environmental stewardship goals were improving or steady, except for processor waste to landfill, according to the ASBF report. Approximately 81pc of producers were reported to be adopting practices to improve soil water retention in 2023, up from 46.9pc in the last report, although the data was compiled from a separate source. Australia's beef industry is aiming for carbon neutrality by 2030 and the sector reduced its net CO2 emissions by 78pc between 2005-21, mainly because of avoided land clearing and deforestation. By Edward Dunlop ABSF Annual Update - Select Goal Indicators % 2024 Report 2023 Report Best Animal Care Cattle properties covered by a documented biosecurity plan 75.6 86.0 Mortality rate of cattle exported on sea voyages 0.1 0.1 Environmental Stewardship Cattle producers adopting practices to improve soil water retention 81.0 46.9 Total CO2e reduced by beef industry from a 2005 baseline 78.2 64.1 Economic Resilience Value share of Australian beef exports covered by one or more preferential trade agreements 91.0 90.3 Source: ABSF Values based off varied reporting periods Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Doubts abound over US midcon E15 shift: NATSO
Doubts abound over US midcon E15 shift: NATSO
Houston, 7 May (Argus) — An effort by eight US midcontinent states to start selling 15pc ethanol (E15) gasoline blends year-round starting in 2025 remains unlikely, according to US fuel retailer trade association NATSO. The US approved last month the request from Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota and Wisconsin for year-round E15 gasoline sales starting next year. But even with that approval there are many barriers to making those sales a reality, said David Fialkov vice president of government affairs for NATSO, which represents truck stops and travel center operators. This includes a lack of investment from pipelines and refiners to prepare for the changes, as well as the higher costs of separating and selling different gasoline specifications at the retail level. "I remain pessimistic that it will come to fruition," Fialkov said Tuesday at a conference held by fuel retail industry group SIGMA in Austin, Texas. Political pressure to delay or abate the change in the midcontinent states will probably continue until refiners, pipeline companies and retailers begin to make the investments necessary, said Fialkov. E15 has been available for sale across the US since 2019, but a federal court in 2021 found that the Clean Air Act offers a fuel volatility waiver to refiners to produce only 10pc ethanol gasoline. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has worked around this ruling for the last two summers by issuing temporary emergency orders allowing the sale of E15 because of the war in Ukraine's squeeze on crude prices. A group of midcontinent refiners has petitioned the EPA to delay implementation of the E15 rule until the summer of 2026. The EPA has not yet ruled on the request. Fialkov said a legislative solution to the issue at the federal level would provide a clear and uniform pathway to E15, as opposed to the the EPA's rule which leaves some states still relying on the waiver and others opting to go with year-round E15. By Zach Appel Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Pemex bajo presión para mantener refinación alta
Pemex bajo presión para mantener refinación alta
Mexico City, 7 May (Argus) — La refinación de crudo de Pemex, propiedad estatal de México, en marzo alcanzó sus niveles más altos en casi ocho años antes de las elecciones presidenciales del 2 de junio, pero la empresa podría enfrentarse a desafíos para mantener niveles de refinadoaltos en los próximos meses. Las seis refinerías nacionales de Pemex procesaron más de 1 millón b/d de crudo en marzo por primera vez desde junio de 2016, impulsadas por el progreso en la rehabilitación de las refinerías y una disminución de las exportaciones de crudo para alimentar el sistema de refinación. El presidente Andrés Manuel López Obrador busca reducir las importaciones de combustible en su último año en el cargo, en línea con su promesa de campaña de volver a México más independiente en energía. Sin embargo, los niveles de proceso de crudo podrían disminuir en abril-mayo después de que se produjeran incendios en las refinerías Minatitlán y Salina Cruz a finales de abril. Además, las refinerías de Salina Cruz (330,000 b/d) y Tula (315,000 b/d), las más grandes de México, siguen batallando con una producción elevada de combustóleo con alto contenido de azufre, lo que limita las capacidades de las refinerías para operar a altas tasas simultáneamente. Pemex lleva mucho tiempo luchando con la elevada producción de combustóleo, ya que México produce principalmente crudo pesado, lo que crea una serie de desafíos operativos. El combustóleo suele ocupar valioso espacio de almacenamiento necesario para productos de mayor valor, lo que puede limitar la producción de combustibles más ligeros. Las exportaciones récord de combustóleo en marzo, impulsadas por un aumento de la demanda en la costa del Golfo de EE. UU. después de los reacondicionamientos de la refinería, permitieron a Pemex elevar las operaciones en ambas refinerías simultáneamente. Sin embargo, el problema podría volver a afectar a Pemex en los próximos meses cuando la demanda de combustóleo disminuya y la empresa se vea obligada a almacenar el producto. Pemex está construyendo unidades de coquización en ambas refinerías para resolver este problema, pero no se espera que la unidad de Tula comience a funcionar hasta al menos finales de año, mientras que la unidad de coquización de Salina Cruz comenzaría a finales de 2025. Mientras tanto, la refinería Cadereyta de 275.000 b/d podría compensar parcialmente una disminución en el procesamiento de crudo en Tula y Salina Cruz, ya que su configuración le permite producir menos combustóleo, una fuente familiarizada con las operaciones de Pemex ha dicho a Argus . Las tasas de refinación de Pemex comenzaron a caer en 2014 después de que la administración anterior decidiera depender menos de la producción nacional y centrarse en abrir el mercado de la energía, antes hermético a inversiones externas. En cambio, López Obrador invirtió al menos $3.7 mil millones en mantenimiento para las refinerías antiguas de Pemex de 2019-2023, excluyendo proyectos importantes como las coquizadoras en construcción, además de $17 mil millones para la nueva refinería Olmeca. Cambios en el flujo de crudo y combustible Los mayores niveles de refinación de Pemex han disminuido el flujo de crudo y combustible entre México y EE. UU., y el arranque de Olmeca podría alterar aún más los flujos. Pemex redujo sus importaciones de gasolina y diésel en 25pc a 419,000 b/d en marzo, comparado con 562,000 b/d el año pasado, como resultado de un mejor rendimiento de las refinerías. Las exportaciones de crudo de México cayeron un 29pc hasta un mínimo histórico de 687,000 b/d en marzo, por una menor producción y mayores niveles de refinación. El flujo de crudo y combustible entre México y EE. UU. podría disminuir aún más una vez que Olmeca comience operaciones comerciales y si Pemex mantiene un alto nivel de refinación en sus otras refinerías. La refinería Olmeca comenzará a producir diésel de ultra bajo azufre esta semana, procesando destilados enviados desde la refinería Madero, dijo Pemex el 3 de mayo. Pero la refinería no ha cumplido varios plazos prometidos, el más reciente en abril. La unidad de destilación de crudo de la refinería, la primera unidad de procesamiento, se enfrenta a "problemas importantes" que han retrasado el inicio de la refinería, aunque otras unidades de procesamiento secundario están listas para comenzar, dijo a Argus una fuente familiarizada con las operaciones de Pemex. Sin embargo, el mercado se mantiene escéptico de que se puedan mantener los niveles de refinación después de las elecciones del 2 de junio, ya que Pemex sigue enfrentándose a problemas operativos en sus refinerías. Pero la candidata del partido gobernante Claudia Sheinbaum lidera la votación con doble dígito y se espera que continúe el proyecto actual del gobierno para reforzar Pemex y aumentar los niveles de refinación de la empresa. Por Antonio Gozain Exportaciones de crudo, importaciones de combustible de Pemex ’000 b/d Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
General Petroleum expands UAE base oil storage facility
General Petroleum expands UAE base oil storage facility
Singapore, 7 May (Argus) — UAE-based lubricant producer General Petroleum plans to finish building the second phase of its UAE base oil storage terminal by the end of May, according to a source close to the firm. The construction started in March and will consist of 12 storage tanks, each with a 2,200t capacity. The producer aims to start operations at the second phase in June. Construction for a third phase is also scheduled to begin in June 2025, which will add four storage tanks of 6,000t capacity each. The first phase of the storage terminal started operations in March 2020 . That storage terminal consisted of eight storage tanks, each with a 1,550t capacity. The facility, located in the Hamriyah free zone in Sharjah, is expected to have a combined 62,800t base oil storage capacity after the phase three expansion is complete. The terminal is connected by two pipelines to the jetty. General Petroleum operates a 150,000 t/yr lubricant plant opposite the storage terminal, and exports more than a third of its production to overseas markets, the same source added. The company had highlighted North Africa, Asia-Pacific, and the Americas as key markets for growth. The blender also has a 25,000 t/yr production facility in Tanzania and a 35,000 t/yr facility in Uganda. The UAE is a major lubricant blending and trading hub in the region because of its strategic location and logistics infrastructure. The Mideast Gulf is also largely self-sufficient on base oil supply and is typically a net exporter of the lubricant feedstock, especially for Group I and Group III supplies. Regional base oil supply is set to rise in the years ahead with planned expansions. Africa is a growing market for base oils, propelled by its gross domestic product and population growth. Rising mobility needs and vehicle ownership is also expected to boost demand in the years ahead. Africa predominantly produces Group I base oils but remains structurally short on supply. Overseas supplies, including those from the Mideast Gulf, make up a sizeable portion of the region's imports. By Chng Li Li Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Business intelligence reports
Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.
Learn more