US job growth nearly halved in April: Update

  • Spanish Market: Metals, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 03/05/24

Adds services PMI in first, fifth paragraphs, factory PMI reference in sixth paragraph.

The US added fewer jobs in April as the unemployment rate ticked up and average earnings growth slowed, signs of gradually weakening labor market conditions. A separate survey showed the services sector contracted last month.

The US added 175,000 jobs in April, the Labor Department reported today, fewer than the 238,000 analysts anticipated. That compared with an upwardly revised 315,000 jobs in March and a downwardly revised 236,000 jobs in February.

The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9pc from 3.8pc. The unemployment rate has ranged from 3.7-3.9pc since August 2023, near the five-decade low of 3.4pc.

The latest employment report comes after the Federal Reserve on Wednesday held its target lending rate unchanged for a sixth time and signaled it would be slower in cutting rates from two-decade highs as the labor market has remained "strong" and inflation, even while easing, is "still too high".

US stocks opened more than 1pc higher today after the jobs report and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.47pc. Futures markets showed odds of a September rate cut rose by about 10 percentage points to about 70pc after the report.

Services weakness

Another report today showed the biggest segment of the economy contracted last month. The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) services purchasing managers index (PMI) fell to 49.4 in April from 51.4 in March, ending 15 months of expansion.

The services PMI employment index fell to 45.9, the fourth contraction in five months, in today's report. Readings below 50 signal contraction. On 1 May, ISM reported that the manufacturing PMI fell to 49.2 in April, after one month of growth following 16 months of contraction.

In today's employment report from the Labor Department, average hourly earnings grew by 3.9pc over the 12 month period, down from 4.1pc in the period ended in March.

Job gains in the 12 months through March averaged 242,000. Gains, including revisions, averaged 276,000 in the prior three-month period.

Job gains occurred in health care, social services and transportation and warehousing.

Health care added 56,000 jobs, in line with the gains over the prior 12 months. Transportation and warehousing added 22,000, also near the 12-month average. Retail trade added 20,000. Construction added 9,000 following 40,000 in March. Government added 8,000, slowing from an average of 55,000 in the prior 12 months. Manufacturing added 9,000 jobs after posting 4,000 jobs the prior month. Mining and logging lost 3,000 jobs.


Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

31/05/24

US shale wastewater could be new source of lithium: UoP

US shale wastewater could be new source of lithium: UoP

London, 31 May (Argus) — Wastewater from shale operations in Pennsylvania could provide up to 40pc of US lithium demand if tapped, according to a study from the University of Pittsburgh (UoP). Wastewater produced from oil and gas extraction in the region is rich in lithium and could provide an environmentally sound way to extract lithium without needing large open-pit mines or brine fields, with the added benefit of recycling water resources. "This study estimates that Marcellus Shale-related Li yields have potential to make a significant contribution to US domestic consumption with a set of reasonable, conservative assumptions," according to the research article published in Scientific Reports last month. "Wastewater from oil and gas is a burgeoning issue," National Energy Technology Laboratory researcher Justin Mackey said. "Right now, it's just minimally treated and re-injected. But it has the potential to provide a lot of value. After all, it's been dissolving rocks for hundreds of millions of years — essentially, the water has been mining the subsurface." Large oil companies have recently invested into lithium extraction, potentially bringing their technological knowledge and shale experts and applying them to a new industry. Norwegian state-controlled Equinor recently invested into underground lithium brine extraction in Canada and ExxonMobil expects to produce from brines in Arkansas by 2027. US lithium resources have been expanding with large discoveries in the past few years. Large clay deposits have been found in the McDermitt Caldera region on the Nevada-Oregon border, as well as multiple underground brine resources at the Smackover formation, Arkansas. The former attracted the ExxonMobil investment. The US geological survey estimates US lithium reserves at 1.1mn t, the fifth largest in the world after Chile, Australia, Argentina and China ( see graph ), with negligible production in 2023. By Thomas Kavanagh Global lithium reserves (USGS) t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Dangote jet fuel weighing on European prices


31/05/24
31/05/24

Dangote jet fuel weighing on European prices

London, 31 May (Argus) — Jet fuels cargoes heading to Europe from Nigeria's new 650,000 b/d Dangote refinery are putting downward pressure on regional prices, according to market participants. A BP-purchased cargo was loaded on the Doric Breeze on 25 May at the Dangote refinery, according to sources and ship tracking provider Kpler. The latter said the cargo 45,000t, with an arrival date of 11 June at Rotterdam. BP won a Dangote tender for three jet cargoes totalling 120,000t, according to sources, and Spain's Cepsa has bought one cargo for loading in early June. Refining premiums against North Sea Dated for jet cargoes delivered to northwest Europe have dropped by $3.31/bl this week to a three-week low of $19.72/bl, as participants expect the additional supply from Nigeria to sufficiently cover the summer uplift in air travel demand. Dangote started producing what it called aviation fuel for the Nigerian market in January. A sample dated 26 May seen by Argus shows the jet fuel offered from Dangote now probably meets standard European specification A-1. The test contained 254ppm of sulphur, far below the maximum 0.3pc content in jet A-1, and its freezing point was -57ºC, stricter than the European specification of maximum -47ºC. Weaker margins on jet could prompt refineries towards regrade possibilities for other middle distillates, primarily diesel, traders said. Jet fuel has been at a significant premium over diesel in northwest Europe for the past month, thanks to better demand. But these have weakened by more than half this week, to just $1.10/bl on 30 May from $2.50/bl at the start of the week. Dangote expects to begin exports of European-standard diesel in June . By Olivia Young and George Maher-Bonnett Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Rio Tinto to buy out New Zealand Aluminium Smelters


31/05/24
31/05/24

Rio Tinto to buy out New Zealand Aluminium Smelters

Sydney, 31 May (Argus) — UK-Australian mining firm Rio Tinto has signed an agreement to acquire Japanese firm Sumitomo Chemical's stake in New Zealand Aluminium Smelters (NZAS) to own 100pc of NZAS. Rio Tinto will buy Sumitomo Chemical's 20.64pc stake in NZAS for an undisclosed price which will give it full control of the joint venture if all approvals — including from New Zealand's Overseas Investment Office, are secured — Rio Tinto said today. NZAS operates the Tiwai Point smelter at Southland on New Zealand's South Island, which was expected to close in December, but will now operate for at least two more decades as Rio Tinto signed 20-year supply deals with local utilities Meridian Energy, Contact Energy and Mercury NZ for a combined base-load volume of 572MW. The smelter is the largest single user of electricity in the country, and produced between 333,000-336,000 t/yr over 2021-23. The power supply agreements are expected to begin in July and run until at least 2044, with the biggest coming from Meridian Energy at 377MW, followed by 100-120MW from Contact Energy and 50-75MW from Mercury NZ. The supply deals — which are subject to regulatory approvals and other conditions — include 20-year demand response agreements with Meridian Energy and Contact Energy, under which NZAS may be requested to reduce electricity consumption by up to a total of 185MW. "The NZAS decision to extend the smelter life removes significant uncertainty for the electricity sector, which also helps pave the way for new renewable energy to be built," Meridian Energy chief executive Neal Barclay said on 31 May. Rio Tinto has also signed an agreement to buy Sumitomo Chemical's 2.46pc stake in Boyne Smelters Ltd (BSL), which owns and operates the Boyne Island aluminium smelter in Gladstone, Australia. Rio Tinto's interest in BSL will increase to 61.85pc upon completion of the deal. Sumitomo Chemical said it held shares in the Australian and New Zealand business for the purpose of importing primary aluminium for resale, but decided to sell its interests as changes in global market conditions led to "high" volatility in profitability and as it looks to strengthen its financial position. Rio Tinto originally planned to shut down NZAS in August 2021 because of high energy costs and a tough outlook for the sector, but pushed back its decision a few times. By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Taiwan's scrap imports fall on year in April


31/05/24
31/05/24

Taiwan's scrap imports fall on year in April

Singapore, 31 May (Argus) — Taiwan's ferrous scrap imports fell in April as the upcoming summer lull, which encompasses higher electricity rates and electricity restrictions in May, led to cautious procurement activities by local steelmakers. Marginally higher spot scrap prices in early February also suppressed buying appetite, trade sources said. Loading and delivery for US containerised scrap is typically set 6-10 weeks ahead and the spot price for HMS 1/2 80:20 containerised scrap from the US west coast was as high as $375t/t on 1 February, but tapered off to $360/t cfr by 29 February. "Scrap buyers will usually stay by the sidelines when prices start falling because there is a common belief that prices will continue falling, and they don't want to be caught buying at higher prices this week when they could potentially get it lower next week," a trader said. The US was the biggest supplier of scrap metals to Taiwan, accounting for 45.4pc of the net import volume, followed by Japan at 20.4pc. Other major suppliers of scrap to Taiwan include the Dominican Republic and Australia. Taiwan's imports in May and June are expected to be suppressed as it enters a seasonal lull and as electricity restrictions kick in on 15 May, with mills expected to cut work shifts and reduce steel production. The typhoon season in May will also affect steel demand as rainy weather will impede local construction works. Taiwan ferrous scrap imports Country Apr % ± vs Mar % ± vs Apr'23 Jan-Apr % ± y-o-y US 125,703 3.63% 23.3% 448,733 10.12% Japan 56,619 27.76% -25.7% 218,328 -23.74% Australia 8,685 -45.52% -73.1% 46,535 -54.37% Dominican Republic 13,164 -11.77% -53.4% 62,042 -19.96% Others 72,671 -5.22% 0.4% 271,452 17.85% Total 276,841 1.35% -11.0% 1,047,090 -5.12% Source: Taiwan customs Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia’s Queensland bans CCS in Great Artesian Basin


31/05/24
31/05/24

Australia’s Queensland bans CCS in Great Artesian Basin

Sydney, 31 May (Argus) — Australia's Queensland state government announced today it will ban carbon capture and storage (CCS) in its portion of the Great Artesian Basin. Greenhouse gas (GHG) storage activities, including CCS projects, will be permanently prohibited in the basin as the government looks to protect its water resources, Queensland premier Steven Miles said on 31 May. The ban, which will be legislated, also includes enhanced oil or petroleum recovery activities that use a greenhouse gas stream. Activities involving GHG storage or the injection of GHG streams into underground formations may be able to continue in other parts of the state, subject to existing assessment and approval processes. The government will appoint an expert panel to review projects outside the Great Artesian Basin, which will report back in 2025. The Great Artesian Basin is Australia's largest groundwater aquifer. It is made up of several sedimentary basins spanning over 1.7mn m² across Queensland, the Northern Territory, South Australia and New South Wales. Water extracted from the basin is used for agriculture, irrigation and stock watering, as well as for industry and household supply in over 80 Queensland towns, according to the government. Queensland's Department of Environment, Science and Innovation last week rejected the environmental impact statement for commodities producer and trading firm Glencore's CTSCo Surat Basin CCS project, which aimed to demonstrate carbon capture from a coal-fired power station and the permanent storage of CO2. The project was unsuitable to proceed because of the potential impact on groundwater resources in the Great Artesian Basin, the department said. The CCS ban follows the state's decision late last year to ban unconventional oil and gas extraction in its portion of the Lake Eyre basin to protect inland waterways, as well as conventional production alongside rivers and on floodplains. By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more