Nitrogen
Overview
The ease of urea availability east and west of Suez has shaped the current trade flows of this key nitrogen fertilizer. Despite challenges posed by energy prices and military conflicts, key import markets such as India, Australia, and Latin America remain robust. But structural oversupply and the role of China as a swing exporter have led to price volatility as this fast-moving market seeks equilibrium, more so during seasonally high-demand periods.
Our extensive nitrogen coverage includes prilled and granular urea, UAN, ammonium nitrate, and ammonium sulphate. Argus has many decades of experience covering the nitrogen market and incorporates our multi-commodity market expertise in key areas including ammonia and natural gas to provide the full market narrative.
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Latest nitrogen news
Browse the latest market moving news on the global nitrogen industry.
More Egyptian urea sold at $286/t fob for June loading
More Egyptian urea sold at $286/t fob for June loading
Amsterdam, 14 May (Argus) — Egyptian fertilizer producer Mopco has sold a further 25,000t of granular urea at $286/t fob for loading next month to a European market. The producer is now targeting $290/t fob. The deal follows business which emerged at a similar level today, with Mopco selling a total of 20,000t at $286/t fob to two trading firms, while fellow producer Alexfert sold 5,000t of granular urea at $287/t fob for June loading. Trading firms covering short sales across mainland Europe and Turkey have been driving these latest deals out of Egypt, with purchases taking place earlier in the week in the lower $280s/t fob. By Harry Minihan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Some rain in Thailand, urea demand lagging, prices drop
Some rain in Thailand, urea demand lagging, prices drop
Amsterdam, 14 May (Argus) — Recent rainfall in Thailand has yet to prompt a rise in urea demand, with buyers waiting for the delayed monsoon towards the end of the month, while distributors have cut prices in a bid to clear stocks after an import surge in the first quarter. The rains have arrived in Thailand after a period of dry weather from mid-April and distributors are anticipating an uptick in demand from local buyers, probably in June after the onset of the monsoon. But current rainfall has yet to translate into a rise in purchases. Distributors have cut retail prices by 300-500 baht/t ($8-14/t) in an attempt to reduce inventories of higher-priced product from March-April. Prices for urea in branded 50kg bags are around Bt15,000/t equivalent, with ex-warehouse levels down to around Bt13,000/t. Indications for imports have slipped to $310-320/t cfr, with Middle East product at the low end and southeast Asian material at the high. Urea imports soared to 722,000t in January-March, an 84pc rise on the year, with importers jumping back into the market as international prices rose from a bottom at the end of December. Thai imports averaged 331,000t in January-March 2021-23. The rainy season is expected to begin in the week starting 27 May, one to two weeks later than in a normal year, according to the country's meteorological agency. The rainfall forecast is expected to be close to normal and similar to 2023. But rainfall in the second half of the rainy season, August to the end of October, is projected to be 5pc higher than in a typical year. Thailand is one of the largest urea destination markets, usually receiving 2.2mn-2.5mn t/yr, offering producers a key outlet towards the end of the second quarter. Imports typically peak in May-July ahead of the monsoon season, which runs to October. By Harry Minihan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Inundações podem prejudicar logística no Sul do Brasil
Inundações podem prejudicar logística no Sul do Brasil
Sao Paulo, 10 May (Argus) — Enchentes sem precedentes no estado do Rio Grande do Sul devem criar uma situação logística ainda mais caótica no país e podem reduzir o uso de fertilizantes na safra de soja 2024-25 do estado. Chuvas intensas atingem o estado desde 29 de abril, culminando nas piores enchentes já registradas no Rio Grande do Sul. As enchentes alcançaram a área central do estado, fechando os portos de Pelotas e Porto Alegre, que movimentam commodities agrícolas, incluindo grãos, oleaginosas e fertilizantes. Os níveis elevados de água devem chegar até o Sul do estado, alcançando o porto de Rio Grande. Os três portos do Rio Grande do Sul movimentaram cerca de 44,8 milhões de toneladas (t) em 2023, sendo o porto de Rio Grande o maior deles, respondendo por pelo menos 42,6 milhões de t, de acordo com dados portuários. O perfil geográfico do estado e um canal particularmente estreito para o escoamento das águas até o mar sugerem que o pior ainda está por vir na parte Sul do estado. Os níveis de água devem aumentar na Lagoa dos Patos, um lago que recebe águas de diversos rios e desemboca no Oceano Atlântico. Porém, as operações estão acontecendo normalmente no porto de Rio Grande até 9 de maio. A Associação Nacional dos Exportadores de Cereais (Anec) projeta que 343.250t de soja e 131.778t de farelo de soja sejam embarcados na semana encerrada em 11 de maio, de acordo com o cronograma de embarques do porto. Os embarques entre 28 de abril e 4 de maio — que representam os dias em que as chuvas atingiram seu pico e o estado começou a inundar — totalizaram 183.559t e 133.424t de soja e farelo de soja, respectivamente. Dados de lineup da agência marítima Williams mostram que as exportações de soja devem totalizar 838.600t, quase o dobro do volume projetado na semana anterior. O tempo médio estimado de espera para embarque aumentou para 3 dias, em comparação com 2 dias estimados em 29 de abril. O porto de Rio Grande foi o 5º maior exportador de soja em 2023, com 3,8 milhões de t embarcadas no ano passado, de acordo com a Agência Nacional de Transportes Aquaviários (Antaq). O tempo de espera para descarga de fertilizantes está em torno de 1 dia, estável em comparação com a semana anterior. O porto de Rio Grande foi o 3º maior em termos de volumes de importação de fertilizantes no 1º trimestre de 2024, de acordo com dados da agência marítima Unimar. O porto de Paranaguá, no Paraná, recebeu 2 milhões de t de fertilizantes, seguido de Santos e Rio Grande, com 1,9 milhão de t e 990.640t, respectivamente. Dados de lineup para maio e junho apontam que Rio Grande deve receber 540.900t e 66.375t de fertilizantes, respectivamente. Os navios com destino a Rio Grande podem ser direcionados para outros portos, especialmente para São Franciso do Sul, em Santa Catarina, e Paranaguá, de acordo com participantes de mercado. Mesmo que os volumes de fertilizantes sejam descarregados conforme planejado inicialmente, o escoamento para as áreas agrícolas pode ficar comprometido. O principal acesso ao porto, a rodovia BR-116, já está parcialmente bloqueada, dificultando o fluxo de caminhões no estado. Os motoristas já buscam trechos curtos para transportar mercadorias, uma vez que os trechos longos os obrigam a procurar alternativas que elevam ainda mais o percurso, considerando que há cerca de 88 bloqueios parciais ou totais em rodovias no estado até 9 de maio. A empresa de logística Rumo também interrompeu parcialmente as operações no Rio Grande do Sul em 6 de maio. A empresa possui um terminal de grãos no porto de Rio Grande e uma malha ferroviária de cerca de 7.220km na região Sul do Brasil, que inclui os estados do Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina e Paraná. Empresas de fertilizantes que atuam no Rio Grande do Sul relataram que estão tentando mover seus produtos para armazéns longes dos rios. Considerando a produção agrícola, os volumes que já foram colhidos e estavam armazenados em silos, estão encharcados agora. Com a previsão de mais danos, agricultores do Rio Grande do Sul podem se sentir desencorajados a investir em tecnologias e fertilizantes para a próxima safra de soja 2024-25. Mais chuvas para o fim de semana O Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) espera que as chuvas se intensifiquem novamente no Rio Grande do Sul, começando nesta sexta-feira, entre as regiões Centro-Norte e Oeste do estado. Os níveis de chuva devem diminuir até 12 de maio, mas podem ultrapassar 100mm antes disso. As áreas litorâneas das regiões Norte e Sul de Santa Catarina também devem ser afetadas, de acordo com o Inmet. Por Renata Cardarelli e Nathalia Giannetti Envie comentários e solicite mais informações em feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . Todos os direitos reservados.
Floods to sow chaos for Brazil’s South logistics
Floods to sow chaos for Brazil’s South logistics
Sao Paulo, 9 May (Argus) — Unprecedented floods in Brazil's southern Rio Grande do Sul state are expected to create even more chaotic logistics situation in the country and could cut fertilizer usage for 2024-25 soybean crop in the state. Heavy rainfall has hit the state since 29 April, culminating in the worst floods ever registered in Rio Grande do Sul. The floods have reached the central part of the state, closing the ports of Pelotas and Porto Alegre, which both handle agricultural commodities, including grains, oilseeds and fertilizers. The high waters are expected to move south, reaching Rio Grande port. The three Rio Grande do Sul ports handled about 44.8mn metric tonnes (t) in 2023, with the larger Rio Grande port accounting for at least 42.6mn t, according to port data. The state's geographic layout and a particularly narrow channel for floodwaters to reach the sea suggests the worst is yet to come in the southern part of the state. Water levels are about to increase in the Lagoa dos Patos, a lagoon that receives water from many rivers and flows to the Atlantic Ocean. But operations are running normally in the Rio Grande port as of 9 May. The national association of cereal exporters Anec project that 343,250 t of soybeans and 131,778 t of soymeal will be shipped in the week ended 11 May, according to port schedule data. Shipments between 28 April and 4 May — which account for the days where rainfall reached its peak and the state began to flood — totaled 183,559t and 133,424t for soybean and soymeal, respectively. Lineup data from maritime agency Williams predicts that soybean exports may total 838,600t, nearly doubling the volumes from the forecast a week ago. The estimated average waiting time for shipping rose to just three days from the two days projected on 29 April. The Rio Grande port was the fifth largest soybean exporter in 2023, with 3.8mn t shipped last year, according to the National Waterway Transportation Agency (Antaq). Waiting time for discharge fertilizers is at around one day, unchanged from the previous week. Rio Grande port was third in terms of fertilizer import volumes in the first quarter 2024, according to lineup data from maritime agency Unimar. Paranagua, in Parana state, received 2mn t of fertilizers, followed by Santos port and Rio Grande, with 1.9mn t and 990,640t, respectively. Lineup data for May and June suggest that Rio Grande is about to receive 540,900t and 66,375t of fertilizers, respectively. Vessels lined-up for Rio Grande may be diverted to other ports, specially for Sao Francisco do Sul, in Santa Catarina state, and Paranagua according to market participants. Even if fertilizer volumes would be discharged as initially planned, the flow to agriculture producing areas would be compromised. The main access to the port, the BR-116 roadway, is already partially blocked, hampering truck flows in the state. Drivers have already been searching for short-stretches to move goods, as long-stretches force them to look for longer alternatives, considering there are around 88 partial and full road blockages in the state as of 9 May. Logistics company Rumo also partially interrupted operations in Rio Grande do Sul state on 6 May. The company has a grain terminal in Rio Grande port and a rail network of around 7,220km in Brazil's South region, which includes Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina and Parana states. Fertilizer companies that operate in Rio Grande do Sul are reportedly trying to move their product to warehouses away from the rivers. Considering the agricultural production, volumes that had already been sowed and were in silos are now soaked. With more damage expected to be measured farmers in Rio Grande do Sul may be discouraged from investing in technology and fertilizers for the upcoming 2024-25 soybean crop. More rain forecast for the weekend Brazil's national meteorological institute Inmet expects rainfall to intensify once again in Rio Grande do Sul starting this Friday between the state's center-north and west portions. Rain levels are expected to subside by 12 May, but may surpass 100mm before then. The coastal areas in the north regions and south of Santa Catarina state are also expected to be affected, according to Inmet. By Renata Cardarelli and Nathalia Giannetti Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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