US light vehicle sales at peak rate in October
US sales of light trucks and automobiles edged up to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 17.5mn units in October, the highest rate of the year, led by increased auto sales.
The sales rate compared with a 17.4mn unit rate in September and 17.9mn in October 2017, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Auto sales rose to a 5.5mn unit rate, the highest since January, from 5.27mn rate the prior month but down from 6.24mn in October last year.
Sales of light trucks fell to a seasonally adjusted pace of 12mn units in October from a 12.2mn rate the prior month. They rose from 11.6mn in October last year.
Not seasonally adjusted, light vehicle sales fell to 1.36mn units in October from 1.4mn units the prior month. They were at 1.35mn units in October last year.
Sales of light trucks fell to 942,000 units from 1mn units in September and up from 891,000 units in October last year, not seasonally adjusted.
Sales of automobiles fell to 414,100 units in October from 429,100 units in September and down from 458,500 units in October last year, not seasonally adjusted.
Seasonally adjusted auto production rose to 231,500 units in September from 209,000 units the prior month. Output is reported with a lag.
Seasonally adjusted US auto exports rose to 96,100 units in August from 88,500 units in July.
US auto imports from Canada were at 72,100 units in August, while seasonally adjusted imports from Mexico were at 88,000.
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Vertex to pause Mobile renewable fuels refining
Vertex to pause Mobile renewable fuels refining
Houston, 9 May (Argus) — US specialty refiner Vertex plans to pause renewable fuels production at its 88,000 b/d Mobile, Alabama, refinery by the end of the year, returning a converted hydrocracker to produce what it says are wider-margin fossil fuel products. Vertex completed the conversion of the Mobile refinery and produced its first barrels of renewable diesel (RD) in May last year , having bought the refinery from Shell in 2022 . The company plans to use a third quarter turnaround to convert its renewable hydrocracker back to petroleum fuels production and to be up and running by the end of the year, after facing significant macro headwinds for renewable fuels, the company said on an earnings call today. The decision to return to full fossil fuels production is ultimately a near-term financial decision for the company which has an outstanding $196mn term loan, management said on an earnings call Thursday. The time line for a return to petroleum product production is contingent on permitting approvals and a successful completion of the turnaround and catalyst change in the unit. Vertex plans to sell its renewable feedstock inventories prior to the conversion. Vertex said it will retain the flexibility to return to renewable fuels processing should market conditions improve for the fuels, but does not believe headwinds to renewable markets will abate in at least the next year and a half. Conventional crude and other feedstock throughputs at the Mobile refinery were 64,000 b/d in the first quarter, down from 71,000 b/d in the same three months of 2023. Renewable throughputs were 4,000 b/d in the most recent quarter. The company expects 68,000-72,000 b/d of conventional crude and other feedstock throughputs in the second quarter and 2,000-4,000 b/d of renewable throughputs. Vertex reported a first quarter loss of $18mn compared to profits of $54mn in the first quarter of 2023. By Nathan Risser Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Jakarta forum calls for exploring Ni price references
Jakarta forum calls for exploring Ni price references
Singapore, 9 May (Argus) — The global nickel market should explore different price references for nickel products to reduce price uncertainty, panellists said at the Third Nickel Producers, Processors and Buyers Conference in Jakarta, Indonesia. The London Metal Exchange (LME) nickel price, which is the global benchmark for class 1 nickel products, has been volatile for years now since LME suspended nickel trading in early March 2022, when prices surged above $100,000/t overnight. There were hopes late last year that prices would become more stable this year. But the price outlook has been uncertain since the turn of the year, with class 1 prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) slumping to a four-year low of $15,877.50/t on 6 February on expectations of weak Chinese stainless steel and electric vehicle demand, before rebounding to a six-month high of $19,387.50/t on 26 April because of a delay in Indonesian RKAB mining right approvals and a reviewed forecast suggesting a significant smaller surplus for this year. There should be a new reference to counter price volatility, some conference participants said, while others suggested decoupling class 1 and 2 nickel prices. "[Prices are volatile now because] most prices are referenced to class 1, so maybe we can explore further with more price references, like class 2 nickel pig iron (NPI) and mixed hydroxide precipitate (MHP)," Ray Gunara, president-director of Indonesian coal producer Harum Energy, said on 7 May. Harum Energy this year bought a majority stake in an Indonesian nickel processing and refining business. Most conference participants agreed that a different price reference would help maintain nickel price stability. "[NPI prices now are] difficult to predict because the class 1 [prices] are no longer linked to the product we are selling," Indonesia miner Trimegah Bangun Persada (Harita Nickel)'s president-director Roy Arman Arfandy said. Indonesia is the world's largest nickel producer. The correlation between the monthly average of the LME class 1 cash official price and Argus ' NPI ex-works China index has fallen to close to 0.41 between January and May, from 0.91 in 2023. The correlation between the LME class 1 cash official price and Argus ' class 2 nickel benchmark Indonesian Nickel Index (INI) for 10-14pc NPI fob Indonesia was 0.52 between January and May. Market participants at the conference also expressed hope for more government support. "Currently there is an imbalance between local and foreign investments, so we are hoping that the government can give more support to local players like us," one producer said. Another conference participant said that they would aim to build a precursor cathode active material plant if given more support. Argus ' class 2 nickel INI for 10-14pc NPI fob Indonesia stood at $118.70/mtu on 3 May. The INI for 37pc MHP was at $142.80/mtu fob Indonesia and 70pc matte was at $148.90/mtu fob Indonesia on the same day. By Sheih Li Wong Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Singapore's GCMD to test long-term biofuel shipping use
Singapore's GCMD to test long-term biofuel shipping use
Singapore, 9 May (Argus) — Singapore-based Global Centre for Maritime Decarbonisation (GCMD) and Japanese shipping firm NYK Line will trial the continuous use of a biofuel blend over six months. The study aims to evaluate the effects of the continuous use of B24 biofuel blend of 24pc fatty acid methyl ester (Fame) and 76pc of very low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) on a short-sea vehicle carrier that will call at multiple ports, allowing for the regular sampling and testing of fuels stored on the ship. Fame is a "promising" fuel alternative, the firms said, but added that there are concerns about the impact of its extended use on vessel operations. The study hence aims to study the long-term impact of biofuel usage on ship engine performance and fuel delivery system operations. It will also examine the total cost of ownership of using biofuel, including fuel costs and associated maintenance costs, as well as identify potential operating challenges and suggest mitigation strategies. B24 is the current blend of alternative marine fuel that is being used or trialled for bunkering at some key Asian ports like Singapore and Zhoushan. Its usage is expected to rise, especially because the industry is pushing for higher emission cuts from shipping. Participants in the shipping industry are exploring solutions to meet the International Maritime Organization's (IMO) net zero carbon emission target by 2050, with operational safety and costs surfacing as some of the key concerns of alternative fuel adoption . "This knowledge will empower stakeholders across the ecosystem, from shipowners and charterers to biofuels producers and regulators – to make more informed business and policy decisions," GCMD chief executive officer Lynn Loo said. "Ultimately, this pilot will lead to greater confidence for biofuels use at scale, accelerating progress towards decarbonising the maritime industry." Argus assessed B24 biofuel bunker prices at $744.25-759.25/t delivered on board (dob) Singapore on 8 May. By Cassia Teo Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Japan’s scrap export tender extends gains for May
Japan’s scrap export tender extends gains for May
Shanghai, 9 May (Argus) — The monthly export tender of Japanese scrap dealer co-operative Kanto Tetsugen continued its upwards trend in May, propelled by a favourable currency exchange rate. The May tender was concluded at ¥52,590/t fas for 20,000t of H2 scrap on 9 May, an increase of ¥1,503/t from April. This brought the fob price to an equivalent of ¥53,590/t or $344.60/t. Two cargoes were settled on 9 May, one of 15,000t and another of 5,000t, both at the same price. Some market participants anticipated the first would go to Bangladesh, as in recent months, while some market discussions were suggesting both were destined for Vietnam. The Vietnamese domestic steel market has shown more signs of a recovery since mid-April. The renewed increase in the export tender was mainly driven by the depreciation of the yen. Despite the significant increase in the tender result, the equivalent price in US dollars only rose by around $1/t compared with the previous month. The yen weakened to ¥155.70 to the dollar from ¥151.80 on 10 April. The Argus H2 fob Japan assessment was ¥50,800/t on 8 May, while the April monthly average was ¥50,757/t fob Japan. Tokyo Steel following the Kanto tender raised the collection price at its Utsunomiya plant by ¥1,000/t and maintained prices at other plants. The increase in the tender result and domestic prices in the Kanto region will raise suppliers' target levels for export business. But overseas buyers may require more time to absorb the gain and await further rises in steel sales prices, a market participant said. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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