Latin America racing to forestall catastrophe

  • Market: Crude oil, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 16/03/20

Latin America is racing to forestall a social and economic catastrophe by closing borders and shutting down schools, businesses and even some industries as recorded coronavirus cases across the region approach 1,000.

Commodity-dependent countries from Mexico to Argentina were already reeling from the oil price crash last week, along with steep currency depreciations and collapsed stock markets where national oil companies often predominate. Chile and Peru, the world's first and second largest copper producers, respectively, are also reeling from a sharp decline in copper prices.

The economy ministry of Brazil, which has the region's most recorded coronavirus cases at some 230, announced today a R147bn ($29.4bn) economic stimulus package. Copper-exporting Chile, which has at least 155 cases, also unveiled stimulus measures.

Latin America is especially vulnerable to the crisis on multiple levels, from fragile public health systems to commodity-dependent treasuries to political unrest.

In a potential harbinger of economic paralysis in the region, Canada's Methanex, the world's largest methanol producer, is idling its plants in Trinidad and southern Chile for an indefinite period in response to a projected drop in manufacturing demand in the second quarter.

Oil refineries across the region are generally still running, even though fuel demand is waning as more people start telecommuting and social gatherings and travel peter out.

Colombia, Peru, Argentina and Chile are among the countries that have banned the entry of foreigners. Lima has imposed a nationwide 15-day lockdown as well. US-sanctioned Venezuela, considered the most vulnerable to a health calamity, has shut down large swathes of the country, including Caracas. Caribbean islands that rely on tourism, such as Jamaica and Martinique, are particularly hard hit relative to their small populations. Jamaica has banned flights from China, Italy, South Korea, Singapore and Iran. It has restricted travel from the UK, limiting arrivals to citizens and people who have residency permits.

Flights from Asia and Europe into the region are winding down or blocked altogether. Argentina is the only Latin American country that has added the US to the list of countries from where international flights are banned. The government has also imposed additional controls on cargo ships at the nation's ports, forbidding anyone who has been in an affected area over the past 14 days to disembark.

Brazil and Mexico are generally resisting tough measures, following crowded pro-government rallies that defy social distancing recommendations.

Latin American Airlines led by Avianca and Latam are facing financial duress after slashing flights.

At the local level, Rio de Janeiro industry chamber Firjan is urging the city government to suspend rules limiting cargo transportation in urban areas in order facilitate distribution of essential supplies.

The Colombian capital of Bogota has expanded bicycle lanes and road closures to discourage residents from riding on crowded buses. Some cities and departments are imposing nighttime curfews and banning gatherings of as few as 10 people to limit contagion. The government announced today sharp cuts in gasoline and diesel prices.


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New York, 1 May (Argus) — US-based cruise ship operator Norwegian Cruise Line's (NCL) swung to a profit in the first quarter on record bookings. The company posted a $69.5mn profit in the first quarter, compared with a $127.7mn loss during the same period of 2023. Revenue rose by 20pc to $2.19bn in the quarter from a year earlier as the cruise operator reported record quarterly bookings. Cruise operating expenses were up by 8pc at $1.39bn in the quarter from a year earlier. Norwegian rerouted some of its voyages that were previously expected to sail through the Red Sea. But demand from other regions offset the effect of the redeployed voyages. The company spent $197.7mn on marine fuel in the first quarter, 1pc up from $194.9mn in the first quarter of 2023. The company burned 269,000t of marine fuel and did not disclose its fuel consumption for the first quarter of 2023. It expects to burn about 245,000t in the second quarter and 995,000t for full 2024, split evenly between residual fuel oil and marine gasoil. Currently, it has hedged about 35pc of its fuel oil consumption at $395/t and 75pc of its marine gasoil consumption at $746/t for the entire 2024. Starting this year, Norwegian had been applying to the EU innovation fund with the goal of accelerating the transition of six of its vessels from being methanol ready to being fully methanol capable. Biomethanol was pegged at $2,223/t very low-sulphur fuel oil equivalent (VLSFOe) or 3.7 times the price of VLSFO average in April in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp bunkering hub, Argus assessments showed. Methanol was assessed at $699/t VLSFOe or 1.2 times the price of VLSFO. The company also has half of its fleet equipped with shoreside technology allowing it to use port electricity and minimize emissions during port stays. Norwegian has ordered eight new vessels for delivery from 2025-2036. Separately, its subsidiaries Oceania Cruises and Regent Seven Seas will take delivery of three new vessels from 2025-2029 and two new vessels from 2026-2029, respectively. By Stefka Wechsler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Cenovus boosts oil sands output by 4pc in 1Q


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01/05/24

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Tankers can take TMX crude mid-May: Trans Mountain


01/05/24
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01/05/24

Tankers can take TMX crude mid-May: Trans Mountain

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30/04/24
News
30/04/24

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30/04/24

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