Long-term contracts needed to stabilise gas prices: MET
Germany and Europe need more LNG and business-to-business long-term contracts to even out supply shocks and stabilise gas prices, even as demand is unlikely to reach historical heights again, chief executive of Swiss trading firm MET's German subsidiary Joerg Selbach-Roentgen told Argus.
Long-term LNG contracts have a "stabilising effect" on prices when "all market participants know there is enough coming", Selbach-Roentgen said. He is not satisfied with the amount of long-term LNG supply contracted into Germany, arguing that stabilisation remains important even now that the market has "cooled down" after the price shocks of 2022.
Long-term contracts are important for the standing of German industry, Selbach-Roentgen said — not to be reliant on spot cargoes is a matter of global competitiveness for the industrial gas market, he said. The chief executive called for more long-term contracts in other areas as well, such as for industrial offtakers, either fixed price or index-driven.
Since long-term LNG contracts are concluded between wholesalers and producers, the latter need long-term planning security for their projects, which usually leads to terms of about 20 years. But long-term LNG contracts in general do not represent a major risk for MET nor for industrial offtakers in Europe, Selbach-Roentgen said. LNG is a more flexibly-structured "solution" to expected demand drops in regard to the energy transition as the tail end can be shipped to companies on other continents such as Asia if European demand wanes, he said.
Gas demand is not likely to recover to "historical heights" again, mostly driven by industrials "jumping ship", Selbach-Roentgen said. When talking to large industrial companies, the discussion is often about the option that they might divert investments away from the German market as the price environment is "not attractive enough" for them any longer in terms of planning security, the chief executive said. This trend started out of necessity in reaction to the price spikes but may now be connected to longer-term "strategic" considerations, he said. In addition, industrial decarbonisation — as well as industrial offtakers' risk aversion because of the volatile gas market following Russian gas supply curtailments — leads companies to invest less into longer-term gas dependencies in Germany, Selbach-Roentgen said.
In addition, MET advocates for a green gas blending obligation of 1-2pc green gas or hydrogen, in line with legislative drafts under discussion by the German government. This has already met with interest by offtakers, despite uncertainties around availability and prices, and would provide a regulatory framework that allows firms to prepare for the energy transition, Selbach-Roentgen said.
Related news posts
Chinese importers seek five LNG cargoes for Jun-Sep
Chinese importers seek five LNG cargoes for Jun-Sep
Shanghai, 15 May (Argus) — Five Chinese importers, mostly second-tier buyers, are each seeking one LNG cargo for June-September delivery, according to an official notice published by China's national pipeline operator PipeChina on 15 May. The five importers are PipeChina, Chinese independent ENN, Hong Kong-listed city gas firm China Resources Gas, Hong Kong-based Towngas and state-owned China Gas. PipeChina and ENN have indicated a target price of at most $9.50/mn Btu for their intended cargoes, both for delivery to PipeChina's 6mn t/yr Tianjin terminal. China Gas has indicated a target price of at most $9.30/mn Btu for delivery to PipeChina's 6mn t/yr Beihai termial. China Resources Gas and Towngas have both indicated a target price of at most $9/mn Btu for delivery to PipeChina's 2mn t/yr Yuedong and Tianjin terminals, respectively. This consolidated requirement came about because of a need for PipeChina to better leverage on its infrastructure advantages and, at the same time, meet the varying needs of gas importers and consumers in the country. But this requirement comes at a time when spot LNG prices are still somewhat higher than the importers' targeted prices. But the importers can choose not to buy if offers are not within their expectations. The front-half month of the ANEA, the Argus assessment for spot LNG deliveries to northeast Asia, was last assessed at $10.485/mn Btu on 15 May. Chinese importers mostly perceive spot prices below $9-9.50/mn Btu for June-September deliveries to be unattainable for now because there is strong buying interest from south and southeast Asia in particular. Indian state-controlled refiner IOC most recently bought LNG for delivery between 22 May and 15 June at around $10.60/mn Btu, through a tender that closed on 14 May. Thailand's state-controlled PTT most recently bought three deliveries for 9-10 July, 16-17 July and 22-23 July through a tender that closed on 13 May , at just slightly above $10.50/mn Btu. The most recent spot transaction was Japanese utility Tohoku Electric's purchase of a 10-30 June delivery at around $10.55/mn Btu through a tender that closed on 14 May . This is at least $1/mn Btu higher than Chinese importers' indications. Summer requirements have so far been muted but concerns among buyers about potential supply disruptions remain. Malaysia's 30mn t/yr Bintulu LNG export terminal suffered a power loss on 10 May, but this issue may have been resolved as of early on 15 May, according to offtakers. Some unspecified upstream issues may still be affecting production at the Bintulu facility, resulting in Malaysia's state-owned Petronas having to ask some of its buyers for cargo deferments, according to offtakers. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Q&A: Brazil adds Asian indexation for flexible gas
Q&A: Brazil adds Asian indexation for flexible gas
Sao Paulo, 13 May (Argus) — Three years after the natural gas market liberalization in Brazil, the number of consumers migrating from regulated supply has slowly increased and more flexible pricing mechanisms adopted. Argus spoke to Alessandro di Domenico , president of gas and power trader Delta Geração, about the current state of the market. Excerpts follow. Explain Delta's supply contract with Bolivia through 2026 despite Bolivia's gas production decline. The decline in production will happen because there is less investment [in Bolivia] than a few years back. But there are still some volumes that can supply the Brazilian market, especially in flexible contracts in the liberalized market. There is some gas that was being directed to Argentina and is now available. Even with the decline in Bolivia production, we will continue to have natural gas in the short-term. Besides that, the Rota 3 pipeline project [in Brazil's southeast] is close to being completed, which will bring more gas from pre-salt fields, leaving the market with more supply. This boosts the growth of the liberalized market. Delta is positioning itself to meet those demands and will sign other supply contracts soon. What types of contracts has Delta and others signed in the liberalized market? These are interruptible contracts. Their innovation relies on flexibility. Volume and duration are flexible. This allows us to meet clients almost back-to-back. How are these flexible contracts priced? They are competitive with the regulated market and are connected to international parity prices. Contracts are using Brent, Henry Hub and [Japan-Korea marker LNG spot prices]. How has the market progressed since 2021? This market was born rigid and is now gaining flexibility, in baby steps. In the beginning, there were only three consumers: Acelen, Brazilian steelmaker Gerdau and petrochemical group Unigel. Now we have companies in the cellulose business, metallurgy and automotive industry, which are all gas-intensive. So, in the future, there will be a big movement depending on state regulations, because that is an important axis of articulation for the mobility the liberalized market requires. State regulations play a very important role in allowing smaller entities to enter the market. By Rebecca Gompertz Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Sao Paulo state seeks biomethane boost
Sao Paulo state seeks biomethane boost
Sao Paulo, 13 May (Argus) — Brazil's Sao Paulo state is seeking to capitalize on growing demand for renewable energy, announcing a series of measures to increase biogas and biomethane production across various sectors, including sugarcane, waste management firms and waste agriculture. As Brazil's largest sugar and ethanol producing state, Sao Paulo has substantial potential to leverage existing infrastructure and resources — especially vinasse, a byproduct of ethanol production — to increase biomethane output. To boost output, the state government will streamline environmental licensing for new projects through new rules that should attract investment, according to the state's environment undersecretary for energy and mining, Marisa Barros. The focus will initially be on the sugar and ethanol industry, which can produce 30mn m³/d of biogas. Biogas contains 50pc methane, which can be processed into biomethane, a drop-in substitute for natural gas. The state is also seeking to attract investment in biogas production from animal waste, which can produce up to 5mn m³/d. The government estimates that roughly 190,000 farms in the state can install biodigestors to produce biogas, which would contribute to lower emissions in the state. The state agriculture secretary also approved the use of the Sao Paulo agribusiness expansion fund (Feap) for investments in biodigestors as well as new solar power installations. And earlier this year state regulatory agency Arsesp stipulated a discount on distribution fees for biomethane sold on the wholesale market. Brazil's energy research company EPE sees significant potential for the sugarcane industry to expand biomethane production, in part because it has the advantage of having many mills adjacent to existing gas distribution infrastructure. In addition to selling the renewable gas on the wholesale market, many mills are using biomethane in their own operations and to substitute diesel in their trucks and machinery, contributing to lower fuel costs and emissions. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Banks’ 2023 fossil fuel funding rises to $705bn: Study
Banks’ 2023 fossil fuel funding rises to $705bn: Study
London, 13 May (Argus) — Fossil fuel financing by the world's 60 largest banks rose to $705bn in 2023, up by 4.8pc from $673bn in 2022, with the increase largely driven by financing for the LNG sector. This brings the total funding for fossil fuels since the Paris agreement was signed in 2015 to $6.9 trillion. The 15th annual Banking on Climate Chaos (BOCC) report was released on 13 May by a group of non-governmental and civil society organisations including the Rainforest Action Network and Oil Change International, and it analyses the world's 60 largest commercial and investment banks, according to ratings agency Standard and Poor's (S&P). Funding had previously dropped in 2022 to $673bn from $742bn in 2021, but this was because higher profits for oil and gas companies had led to reduced borrowing. JPMorgan Chase was the largest financier of fossil fuels in 2023 at $40.9bn, up from $38.7bn a year earlier, according to the report. It also topped the list for banks providing financing to companies with fossil fuel expansion plans, with its commitments rising to $19.3bn from $17.1bn in 2022. Japanese bank Mizuho was the second-largest financier, increasing funding commitments to $37bn for all fossil fuels, from $35.4bn in 2022. The Bank of America came in third with $33.7bn, although this was a drop from $37.3bn a year earlier. Out of the 60 banks, 27 increased financing for companies with fossil fuel exposure, with the rise driven by funding for the LNG sector — including fracking, import, export, transport and gas-fired power. Developers have rallied support for LNG projects as part of efforts to boost energy security after the Russia-Ukraine war began in 2022, and banks are actively backing this sector, stated the report. "The rise in rankings by Mizuho and the prominence of the other two Japanese megabanks — MUFG [Mitsubishi UFG Financial Group] and SMBC [Sumitomo Mitsui Banking] — is a notable fossil fuel trend for 2023," the report said. Mizuho and MUFG dominated LNG import and export financing, providing $10.9bn and $8.4bn respectively, to companies expanding this sector. Total funding for the LNG methane gas sector in 2023 was $121bn, up from $116bn in 2022. Financing for thermal coal mining increased slightly to $42.2bn, from $39.7bn in 2022. Out of this, 81pc came from Chinese banks, according to the report, while several North American banks have provided funds to this sector, including Bank of America. Some North American banks have also rolled back on climate commitments, according to the report. Bank of America, for example, had previously committed to not directly financing projects involving new or expanded coal-fired power plants or coal mines, but changed its policy in late 2023 to state that such projects would undergo "enhanced due diligence" and senior-level reviews. The report also notes that most banks' coal exclusions only apply to thermal coal and not metallurgical coal. Total borrowing by oil majors such as Eni, ConocoPhillips, Chevron and Shell fell by 5.24pc in 2023, with several such as TotalEnergies, ExxonMobil and Hess indicating zero financing for the year. The BOCC report's finance data was sourced from either Bloomberg or the London Stock Exchange between December 2023 and February 2024. UK-based bank Barclays, which ranks ninth on the list with $24.2bn in fossil fuel funding, said that the report does not recognise the classification of some of the data. Its "financed emissions for the energy and power sectors have reduced by 44pc and 26pc respectively, between 2020-23," it said. In response to its increase in financing for gas power, "investment is needed to support existing oil and gas assets, while clean energy is scaled," the bank said. By Prethika Nair Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Business intelligence reports
Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.
Learn more