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US job growth nearly halved in April: Update

  • Spanish Market: Metals, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 03/05/24

Adds services PMI in first, fifth paragraphs, factory PMI reference in sixth paragraph.

The US added fewer jobs in April as the unemployment rate ticked up and average earnings growth slowed, signs of gradually weakening labor market conditions. A separate survey showed the services sector contracted last month.

The US added 175,000 jobs in April, the Labor Department reported today, fewer than the 238,000 analysts anticipated. That compared with an upwardly revised 315,000 jobs in March and a downwardly revised 236,000 jobs in February.

The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9pc from 3.8pc. The unemployment rate has ranged from 3.7-3.9pc since August 2023, near the five-decade low of 3.4pc.

The latest employment report comes after the Federal Reserve on Wednesday held its target lending rate unchanged for a sixth time and signaled it would be slower in cutting rates from two-decade highs as the labor market has remained "strong" and inflation, even while easing, is "still too high".

US stocks opened more than 1pc higher today after the jobs report and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.47pc. Futures markets showed odds of a September rate cut rose by about 10 percentage points to about 70pc after the report.

Services weakness

Another report today showed the biggest segment of the economy contracted last month. The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) services purchasing managers index (PMI) fell to 49.4 in April from 51.4 in March, ending 15 months of expansion.

The services PMI employment index fell to 45.9, the fourth contraction in five months, in today's report. Readings below 50 signal contraction. On 1 May, ISM reported that the manufacturing PMI fell to 49.2 in April, after one month of growth following 16 months of contraction.

In today's employment report from the Labor Department, average hourly earnings grew by 3.9pc over the 12 month period, down from 4.1pc in the period ended in March.

Job gains in the 12 months through March averaged 242,000. Gains, including revisions, averaged 276,000 in the prior three-month period.

Job gains occurred in health care, social services and transportation and warehousing.

Health care added 56,000 jobs, in line with the gains over the prior 12 months. Transportation and warehousing added 22,000, also near the 12-month average. Retail trade added 20,000. Construction added 9,000 following 40,000 in March. Government added 8,000, slowing from an average of 55,000 in the prior 12 months. Manufacturing added 9,000 jobs after posting 4,000 jobs the prior month. Mining and logging lost 3,000 jobs.


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04/07/25

Eurometal conference focuses on protectionism/autarky

Eurometal conference focuses on protectionism/autarky

London, 4 July (Argus) — The themes of trade protection and greater self-sufficiency dominated discussions at Eurometal's 75th anniversary conference in Luxembourg this week, where sentiment remained distinctly downbeat. European mills are suffering from high import penetration and softening demand. Axel Eggert, director-general of European steel association Eurofer, said 128pc of traditional import flows can enter the market duty-free, while demand has fallen by 30mn t in recent years, giving imports an outsize share. In "normal" market environments, imports would decline alongside demand, rather than increase, Eggert added, suggesting domestic capacity utilisation was close to 65pc, a level at which it is difficult to turn a profit. Illustrating the difficulties of the sector, Tata Steel is axing one in three white-collar jobs and one in five blue-collar jobs, as it looks to find a more sustainable footing. Tata's Ijmuiden plant is the lowest cost slab plant in western Europe. Eurometal itself is lobbying for import measures on steel intensive goods, as demand for product sold by its members has been affected by cheaper imports of components and finished products from Asia. Eurometal represents steel distributors and importers. Its president, Alexander Julius, reiterated calls for evidence from members, and the wider supply chain, of difficulties caused by downstream imports. On the sidelines of the conference, one automotive supplier said there was no chance for European businesses to compete with Asia. He cited Chinese electric vehicles being sold at around $20,000, much cheaper than western alternatives. China's strong grip over the battery supply chain gives it an advantage that will be difficult to overcome, he said. The European Commission understands the plight of the industry and is eager to act, but executional performance is the big key, speakers and attendees said; bureaucracy in the EU and its intention to remain WTO-compliant hampers speedy implementation of policies, delegates said. Anthony de Carvalho, head of the OECD's steel unit, said policymakers are much more aware of the situation facing the industry and have real ambition to take tangible actions — one-fifth of trade measures are being circumvented, according to WTO analysis. Europe will remain less competitive than other geographies, according to Antonio Marcegaglia, head of Europe's largest coil importer, Marcegaglia. He supported the need for stricter safeguards and tariffs, but also said Europe needed to avoid isolationism, given its high energy costs and likely need to depend on imports of certain products, such as direct reduced iron. Marcegaglia said decarbonisation was an "ideological agenda" that had not fully considered the impact on industry, while also challenging the benefit such policies had on financial market participants, while leaving the actual industry hamstrung. Marcegaglia also said there will likely be big cuts in Chinese production, as the country cannot rely on low-priced exports, given increased trade barriers. Julian Verden, managing director of London trader Stemcor, remained outspoken in his support for imported product. In response to Eggert's presentation, he said the safeguard was "designed to create an ideal market for the producer" and was much too punitive, especially without real-time quota tracking. Another speaker told Argus that competitiveness at a local level is defined by the global market, and that tariffs can only be a temporary reprieve where companies should work on their own efficiency and competitiveness. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US to lay out tariff demands in coming days: Trump


04/07/25
04/07/25

US to lay out tariff demands in coming days: Trump

London, 4 July (Argus) — The US will lay out its tariff demands on foreign trade partners in the coming days, President Donald Trump said today. From tomorrow, 5 July, Trump will send letters to 10-12 countries a day, with the aim that all countries will be "fully covered" by 9 July, Trump said. That rate will not cover the amount of tariff deals still to be done by the US, which to date has struck three deals — of 10pc with the UK and China and of 20pc with Vietnam. "[The tariffs will] range in value from maybe 60pc or 70pc tariffs to 10pc and 20pc tariffs," Trump said. Countries will start paying them on 1 August, he said. Since 5 April Washington has been charging a 10pc extra tariff on imports — energy commodities and critical minerals are exceptions — from nearly every foreign trade partner, and those rates could go higher after 9 July. Trump has justified those tariffs by citing an economic emergency caused by allegedly unfair trade practices in foreign countries, and his administration is engaged in talks with foreign governments with the nominal goal of lowering their trade barriers. By Haik Gugarats and Ben Winkley Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Paraguay fears fuel disruption on Km 171 suspension


04/07/25
04/07/25

Paraguay fears fuel disruption on Km 171 suspension

Sao Paulo, 4 July (Argus) — Argentina's decision to suspend transshipment operations at Km 171 of the Parana Guazu River has drawn criticism from regional stakeholders, especially in Paraguay. Argentina's custom agency ARCA cited a lack of formal port authorization as its justification to suspend operations there , but industry groups, government officials and logistics experts are skeptical of the explanation. ARCA announced the measure on 26 May and it is set to take effect 30 days later. Km 171 is a key logistics point in the Parana-Paraguay waterway and has long served as a hub for ship-to-barge transfers of oil products such as diesel and naphtha, especially for Paraguay. Argus assesses both products Fob Km 171. Paraguay's river and maritime shipowners center CAFYM opposed the decision, saying it is arbitrary and lacks technical justification. It violates long-standing bi-national practices and undermines regional cooperation, CAFYM said. "Paraguay cannot be held hostage to unilateral decisions that affect public interest," the organization said. The measure could disrupt fuel supply chains, increase logistics costs and lead to higher prices for consumers, according to CAFYM. Argentina's port and naval industry federation Fempinra, on the other hand, welcomed the suspension . It is a step toward reinforcing national sovereignty and supporting the domestic merchant fleet, secretary general Juan Carlos Schmid said. Market participants are pondering whether the suspension may have resulted from a technical misinterpretation by customs officials or a deliberate policy shift. (Im)possible alternatives Participants have rejected the possibility to redirect operations to other terminals in nearby towns, such as Campana or Zarate, or also such Nueva Palmira in Uruguay, due to infrastructure limitations and licensing constraints. Fuel importers and distributors in Paraguay are mobilizing against the decision. They are concerned about the cascading effects on fuel availability and prices for the general population, they said. Meetings among stakeholders are underway to discuss the matter. Monocratic decision The suspension threatens the continuity of fuel supply and regional trade stability because it was imposed without consultation or technical review, CAFYM said. The zone has operated for over 30 years under the supervision of Argentina's naval prefecture and with customs oversight, CAFYM said. With no resolution yet in sight, the coming weeks will be critical. The outcome of this dispute may shape the future of cooperation along one of southern America's most important waterways, whether it is resolved through diplomatic negotiation, a legal challenge or a policy reversal. By Flavia Alemi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU long steel imports surge


04/07/25
04/07/25

EU long steel imports surge

London, 4 July (Argus) — EU customs data for July show a sharp increase in imports of rebar and wire rod from origins under safeguard restrictions, particularly Turkey, suggesting high volumes of overall imports compared with previous quarters ( see charts ). As already low EU construction demand slows for the summer, large inventories of competitively priced imported material are likely to exert significant pressure on prices in the bloc once trade picks up, if not before. A total of 440,000t of rebar and wire rod from Turkey, Egypt and Algeria were cleared at EU ports in the first days of July as the quarterly quotas reset, compared with 310,000t imported in April this year and 249,000t in July 2024. Tightening restrictions on imports from Egypt and Algeria over the past 12 months, now leaving the duty-free quotas for each origin capped at 27,500t for rebar and 15,000t for wire rod, have prompted a sharp surge in purchases from Turkey, which ultimately has overcompensated for the lower north African volumes. This week's cleared volumes included 184,000t of rebar from Turkey, nearly doubling from a quarter earlier and increasing fivefold on the year, as well as 167,000t of wire rod and rebar in coils from Turkey, which was a more moderate increase of 39pc on the year. The 184,000t of rebar from Turkey will be subject to a 12.05pc duty, leading to a rough estimate of €510-560/t for the cfr price, plus duty, given that the bulk of it was booked at the end of April at $525-560/t fob Turkey. This week's Turkish wire rod clearance will be subject to a 10pc duty, while the 31,410t of wire rod cleared from Algeria will carry a 12.9pc duty. There are no data so far on the volume of Indonesian wire rod clearing customs at EU ports this week, as the material is now not under a quota restriction. But large volumes, almost certainly close to 100,000t and potentially more than 200,000t, were booked for July clearance at $550-570/t cfr EU and will not be subject to an import duty. By Brendan Kjellberg-Motton EU rebar imports '000t EU wire rod imports '000t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Foreign brands drive Japan’s domestic EV sales in June


04/07/25
04/07/25

Foreign brands drive Japan’s domestic EV sales in June

Tokyo, 4 July (Argus) — Japanese domestic sales of passenger electric vehicles (EVs) increased in June from a year earlier, largely driven by strong demand for foreign brand EVs. Sales totalled 5,507 units in June, up by around 10pc on the year and by 45.3pc on the month. This was according to data from three industry groups — the Japan Automobile Dealers Association, the Japan Light Motor Vehicle and Motorcycle Association and the Japan Automobile Importers Association (JAIA). EV penetration remained modest, accounting for just 1.7pc of the country's total passenger car sales, largely unchanged from the same period last year. The increase in sales was mostly fuelled by robust demand for foreign brand EVs. Deliveries of these EVs to the Japanese market jumped by over 50pc on the year to 3,653 units. This marked the highest foreign EV sales in a single month, with year-on-year growth increasing for eight consecutive months since November 2024, a JAIA representative told Argus. Foreign auto manufactures are expanding their offerings in Japan, introducing a wider variety of new EV models to the Japanese market, JAIA said. Some of those models can compete with popular domestic EVs on price, it added. Sales of domestic brand EVs in Japan remained sluggish, with seven out of eight major manufacturers reporting a fall in deliveries — Subaru being the exception. By Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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