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Argus Canadian Crude Summit

Conference Agenda

Tuesday, May 1
12:30 - 13:00 Registration and Refreshments
13:00 - 15:00 Session 1: Market Drivers Impacting Canadian Crude
  • Shifting trade flow dynamics: Understand the position of Canada and the US in the global crude market as the new marginal export barrel given OPEC production cuts, non-OPEC declines and a rising shortfall in the Asian market
  • Western Canadian crude flows: Crude inventories in Alberta have crossed into record territory and there has been little in the way of relief as pipeline congestion and required lead times for crude-by-rail alternatives have limited exports. Understand what market access will look like and the arbitrage forecast for Canadian barrels
    Is US Gulf coast crude export infrastructure adequate? A review of existing and planned US Gulf coast export infrastructure and the supply/demand fundamentals behind export growth
  • Pricing at the US Gulf coast: Crude exports out of the US Gulf coast are increasing and opportunities for Canadian crude are looking up. Understand how price is evolving for Canadian crude at the US Gulf coast and beyond
Speakers:
Dominic Haywood, Head of North American Crude Analysis, Energy Aspects
Eric Peterson, Director of Analytics, ARB Midstream
Sandy Fielden
, Director, Oil and Products Research, Morningstar
Jeff Kralowetz, Vice President Business Development, Argus
15:00 - 15:30 Break
15:30 - 16:00 Presentation: Managing Energy Commodity Price Risk
  • Learn how to utilize hedging tools to lock-in forward prices and protect optionality
Speaker:
Pat Melia, Director Derivatives Trading, Koch Supply and Trading
16:00 - 17:00 Session 2: North American Shale and Heavy Barrel Competition
  • North American shale: Understand the dynamics across all production areas shaping the heavy, light and medium-sour crude grades in North America and how WCS and bitumen grades are competing 
  • Latin American supply: Understand heavy crude competition from Latin America, including logistical constraints, political instability and quality of the different grades and how Canada can fill the gap for heavy crude demand 
Speakers:
Joe Leto, President, EAI
Neil Earnest
, President, Muse Stancil

17:00 - 18:00 Reception
Wednesday, May 2
07:30 - 09:00 Registration and Breakfast 
09:00 - 10:30 Session 3: Future of Canadian Oil - Production, Challenges and Opportunities
  • Get the latest production forecast and supply costs for Canadian crude, both conventional and oil sands. Understand what foreign crude imports will be in Eastern Canada against potential domestic supply from the west. Understand the costs, emissions and economic implications
  • Outlook for condensate supply/demand and production from the Montney and Duvernay fields
Speakers:
Dinara Millington, Vice President Research, Canadian Energy Research Institute 
Dominic Lajoie
, Sr. Manager Market Development, Pembina Pipeline Corporation
Tim McMillan
, President and CEO, Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers
10:30 - 11:00  Break
11:00 - 12:00 Session 4: Future of North American Refining and Quality Challenges
  • Crude quality: Understand the difference between paraffin froth treatment crudes such as Kearl and Fort Hills as contrasted to dilbits such as WCS
  • Refining outlook: What is the light-heavy spread outlook for North American refiners? Will increased supply of light sweet crude in markets put pressure on light-heavy spreads? As Marpol 2020 approaches, what will be the impact on Alberta bitumen?
Speakers:
Bill Lywood, President, Crude Quality Inc.
Ed Arnold, Vice President, Argus Consulting
12:00 - 12:30 Presentation: Western Canada Production
  • Takeaway capacity
  • Partial upgrading technologies
  • Economics
  • Cost competitiveness
  • Bitumen producer netbacks
Speaker: 
Naomi Esfahani, Market Analysis and Research, Suncor Energy Marketing Inc.
12:30 - 13:45 Lunch
14:00 - 15:00

Afternoon Keynote Address

Speaker: The Honourable Margaret McCuaig-Boyd, Alberta Minister of Energy

*Keynote address is open to all Argus Canada Week Delegates

15:00 - 15:15 Break
15:15 - 16:15 Session 5: The Road Ahead
  • Future of the National Energy Board: Understand the role of the new Impact Assessment Agency of Canada and what that might mean for future projects
  • Developing Canadian shale: Understand where investment is flowing and the potential for shale development in Canada
Speakers:
Martin Ignasiak, Partner, Regulatory, Environmental, Aboriginal and Land, Osler, Hoskin & Harcourt, LLP
Tom Whalen, President and CEO, Petroleum Services Association of Canada 
16:15 - 16:30 Break
16:30 - 17:00 Presentation: Future of Blockchain Technology in the Canadian Crude Market
  • Blockchain technology: What is the future of blockchain technology? Where have we seen it applied and what have we learned? What's next for blockchain and what might that mean for crude oil trading?
Speaker:
Geoffrey Cann, Partner Oil and Gas, Deloitte
17:00 - 20:00 Argus Canada Week Industry Reception

Murrieta’s Bar & Grill
808 1 St SW, Calgary, AB
T2P 1M9, Canada

*Program subject to change



Storage, Blending and Marketing Options for Canadian Crude
  • What investment are midstream companies making in oil storage assets at the USGC? What kind of storage will be available for WCS?
Session 5: Market Access at the US Gulf Coast and Beyond
  • What is the future of Canadian crude-by-rail? Canadian production is growing and there's lack of pipeline space. What will fill the gap to move Canadian crude to market? 
  • What is the capability of USGC infrastructure to handle growing crude supply? What investments are being made and what projects are in the works? What are the challenges and opportunities for Canadian crude?

Speakers:
Terry Doherty, Director Rail Strategy and Commercial Development, Genesis Energy
Sandy Fielden, Director, Oil and Products Research, Morningstar Commodities and Energy Inc.

Session 5: Market Access at the US Gulf Coast and Beyond
  • What is the future of Canadian crude-by-rail? Canadian production is growing and there's lack of pipeline space. What will fill the gap to move Canadian crude to market? 
  • What is the capability of USGC infrastructure to handle growing crude supply? What investments are being made and what projects are in the works? What are the challenges and opportunities for Canadian crude?

Speakers:
Terry Doherty, Director Rail Strategy and Commercial Development, Genesis Energy
Sandy Fielden, Director, Oil and Products Research, Morningstar Commodities and Energy Inc.

8
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