South Sudan crude output halves on pipeline blockage
South Sudan's crude production has almost halved to around 80,000 b/d because of a blockage at a pipeline in war-torn Sudan, South Sudan's oil ministry undersecretary William Anyak Deng told Argus today.
A blockage along the Chinese-led Petrodar Pipeline is currently preventing around 100,000 b/d of South Sudan's heavy sweet Dar Blend grade from reaching Sudan's Bashayer terminal on the Red Sea for export, Deng said. But production of South Sudan's medium sweet Nile Blend grade has not been impacted, as this is transported to Bashayer through the separate Greater Nile oil pipeline which remains online, he said.
His comments come after Sudan earlier this month warned major oil exporting companies in South Sudan that his country could no longer carry out its obligation to transport their crude.
Dar Petroleum Operating Company (DPOC) — a consortium including China's state-controlled CNPC and Sinopec and Malaysia's state-owned Petronas — produces Dar Blend but has had to all but cease output, Deng said.
Nile Blend production is split between the South Sudan-based firms Sudd Petroleum Operating Company (SPOC) and Greater Pioneer Operating Company (GPOC) and currently running at around 80,000 b/d, he added. South Sudan's crude production stood at around 150,000 b/d in February, according to Argus estimates.
The blockage is a result of gelling issues — solidifying crude — in the Petrodar Pipeline, which Sudanese and South Sudanese engineers are struggling to resolve. This is because of a lack of diesel that is used to heat the crude or dilute it to help it flow, Deng said.
"We are working to resolve the problem right now. There is mechanical work that is ongoing, we are trying to flush out the oil," he added.
But the pipeline has been suffering from leaks and pressure drops for months, with repairs complicated by the ongoing civil war in Sudan between the army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces.
Deng said it was becoming increasingly difficult to get permission from the warring parties in Sudan to move workers, equipment and spare parts to maintain infrastructure. He also said South Sudan has been sending diesel to Sudan to help with repair work given the closure of Sudan's 100,000 b/d Khartoum refinery which has come under repeated fire since the civil war began last year.
Sudan also typically produces around 50,000 b/d of mostly Nile Blend crude, but this is thought to have been impacted by the civil war.
Crude exports from Sudan's Bashayer port averaged 130,000 b/d in 2023 and hit 168,000 b/d in January, according to Kpler. But exports have only averaged about 75,000 b/d since February.
Landlocked South Sudan is entirely reliant on Sudan to export its crude and depends on oil sales for more than 90pc of government revenues. Any prolonged disruption to exports would put the country's economy in a precarious position.
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Russia leads Opec+ output fall
Russia leads Opec+ output fall
London, 10 May (Argus) — Opec+ crude output by members subject to cuts fell by 440,000 b/d in April as Russia began implementing a fresh cut and Iraq and Kazakhstan curbed some of their overproduction. This saw the group's production fall to 34.11mn b/d, which was 140,000 b/d above quota, Argus estimates. Still, this was a marked improvement on the 230,000 b/d overproduction that it recorded in March. The lower production has not provided much support to oil prices, which have shed $5-8/bl in the past month. Several members of the alliance are implementing a new set of "voluntary" cuts that came into effect in January and, for now, run to the end of June. What Opec+ decides to do beyond this will probably be decided at a ministerial meeting in Vienna on 1 June, although the likelihood of a rollover has grown as oil prices have fallen. The big mover last month was Russia, whose output fell by 210,000 b/d to 9.29mn b/d. The drop is related to Russia's pledge to start phasing out an existing 500,000 b/d export cut commitment from April and replace it with a 471,000 b/d production cut by June. But the country remained 190,000 b/d above its new 9.1mn b/d target for April. And while the output fall shows Russia has made headway with its pledge to reduce production, sanctions on the country's oil industry and Ukrainian attacks on its refineries could affect its crude output in the months ahead. Iraq and Kazakhstan also reduced their output last month, while remaining well above target. Iraqi output fell by 40,000 b/d to 4.14mn b/d, mostly owing to lower crude use by the power sector. But this was still around 140,000 b/d above its target of 4mn b/d. Kazakhstan's output fell by 40,000 b/d to 1.54mn b/d — the second month in a row that its output has fallen. But it was also still around 70,000 b/d above its target of 1.47mn b/d. Compensation plans Iraq and Kazakhstan have each submitted plans to the Opec+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee detailing how they intend to compensate for producing above target in the first four months of the year. As things stand, Iraq says it will produce 50,000 b/d below quota in May-September, 100,000 b/d below quota in October-November and 152,000 b/d below quota in December. Kazakhstan's compensation plan starts in May with an initial cut of 18,000 b/d below target. It would then stick to its target in June and July before implementing a cut of 131,000 b/d in August, no cut in September, 299,000 b/d in October, 40,000 b/d in November and no cut again in December. The two countries' plans are dependent on a final production figure for April from secondary sources — including Argus — and could be adjusted after it becomes available. Nigerian production recorded a large fall in April, dropping by 100,000 b/d to 1.4mn b/d, the lowest since 1.28mn b/d in August 2023. This left the country 100,000 b/d below its target of 1.5mn b/d. Production was relatively uneventful in the Mideast Gulf Opec+ contingent. Saudi Arabia's output fell by 30,000 b/d to 8.97mn b/d, the UAE's fell by 20,000 b/d to 2.93mn b/d, Kuwait's dropped by 20,000 b/d, while Bahrain's production increased by 30,000 b/d to 190,000 b/d. All four members were more or less within their targets. Iran, which like Libya and Venezuela is not bound by production targets, boosted its output by another 20,000 b/d to 3.3mn b/d — the highest since October 2018. The gains have come despite US sanctions and Washington's attempts to crack down on the country's oil trade. Opec+ crude production mn b/d Apr Mar* Apr target† ± target Opec 9 21.32 21.54 21.22 0.10 Non-Opec 9 12.79 13.01 12.75 0.04 Total Opec 18 34.11 34.55 33.97 0.14 *revised †includes additional cuts where applicable Opec wellhead production mn b/d Apr Mar* Apr target† ± target Saudi Arabia 8.97 9.00 8.98 -0.01 Iraq 4.14 4.18 4.00 0.14 Kuwait 2.41 2.43 2.41 -0.00 UAE 2.93 2.95 2.91 0.02 Algeria 0.91 0.92 0.91 0.00 Nigeria 1.40 1.50 1.50 -0.10 Congo (Brazzaville) 0.28 0.25 0.28 0.00 Gabon 0.23 0.25 0.17 0.06 Equatorial Guinea 0.05 0.06 0.07 -0.02 Opec 9 21.32 21.54 21.22 0.10 Iran 3.30 3.28 na na Libya 1.22 1.18 na na Venezuela 0.82 0.85 na na Total Opec 12‡ 26.66 26.85 na na *revised †includes additional cuts where applicable ‡Iran, Libya and Venezuela are exempt from production targets Non-Opec crude production mn b/d Apr Mar* Apr target† ± target Russia 9.29 9.50 9.10 0.19 Oman 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.00 Azerbaijan 0.48 0.48 0.55 -0.07 Kazakhstan 1.54 1.58 1.47 0.07 Malaysia 0.35 0.35 0.40 -0.05 Bahrain 0.19 0.16 0.20 -0.01 Brunei 0.08 0.08 0.08 -0.00 Sudan 0.02 0.02 0.06 -0.04 South Sudan 0.08 0.08 0.12 -0.04 Total non-Opec† 12.79 13.01 12.75 0.04 *revised †includes additional cuts where applicable Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
California fuel retailers fear regulatory scrutiny
California fuel retailers fear regulatory scrutiny
Houston, 10 May (Argus) — US fuel retailers like neither the regulatory precedent being set in California nor how the transition to renewable fuels is being managed, but companies sticking it out in the Golden State may reap rewards. California governor Gavin Newsom (D) in March last year signed SB X1-2 into law, allowing the California Energy Commission (CEC) to gather a broad range of profit data from refiners and set a maximum gross gasoline refining margin in an effort to avoid price spikes at the pump. "Unfortunately in California there is no shortage of bad policies that are being proposed," California Fuels and Convenience Alliance director Alessandra Magnasco said this week in a legislative affairs meeting at fuel retailer trade association SIGMA's conference in Austin, Texas. She worries that if the CEC fails to make progress in capping margins at the refiner level, they will look further downstream and regulate retailers. The alliance is opposed to what it sees as burdensome reporting requirements mandated by SBX 1-2 that were rushed through the legislature. "They are doing it in a way to leave out industry," Magnasco said. The CEC this week approved further reporting requirements for refiners in the state, mandating they file maintenance schedules with the commission at least 120 days in advance of planned work and within two business days after the start of unplanned shutdowns. "Every bad idea we face has generally been socialized in California first," David Fialkov, vice president of government affairs for US fuel retailer trade association NATSO, said during the SIGMA session. The increased adoption of renewable diesel in California is also causing headaches for fuel supply managers. "I can't even tell my customers which specific terminal might have traditional diesel versus renewable or if they're going to have both," said Deborah Neal, director of price risk management for fuel supplier World Kinect during another SIGMA panel discussion. The introduction of renewable diesel to the California market was done without a specific time line or transition plan, Neal said. "It's messy to say the least." The regulatory environment in California has also dampened appetite for mergers and acquisition activity in the eyes of bankers doing the deals. Gas station buyers who are looking to consolidate smaller assets are not looking at California if they are not already invested there, Matrix Capital Markets' co-head of downstream energy investment banking Cedric Fortemps said at SIGMA. "The operating and legal dynamics are completely different than other parts of the country," Fortemps said. But for companies already operating in California, there is limited out-of-state competition and high barriers to entry. Those companies are keen to grow their existing operations, Fortemps said. By Nathan Risser Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Nigeria offers 12 oil blocks in 2024 licensing round
Nigeria offers 12 oil blocks in 2024 licensing round
Lagos, 10 May (Argus) — Nigeria has offered 12 oil blocks in a new licensing round. It plans to complete it in tandem with a previous round for seven blocks that stalled following last year's change in government. The 12 blocks in the new round were carefully selected to attract international investors with financial resources and technical expertise and are spread across three geological terrains, upstream regulator NUPRC's chief executive Gbenga Komolafe said. Norwegian geophysical services company PGS, which is providing seismic data support for the licensing round, said two of the blocks on offer are onshore in the Niger delta, six are on the continental shelf and the other four are in deep water. The round will span nine months and conclude with ministerial consent and contracting in January 2025. Entry fees will be competitive as part of government measures to support the commercial viability of investments, according to Komolafe. "The era of front-loaded, huge signature bonuses is over," he said. Nigeria's oil minister Heineken Lokpobiri echoed Komolafe's point about minimal barriers to entry but noted that the round is designed to bind successful bidders to strict timelines, suiting investors that are "able to do exploration almost immediately". Lokpobiri also revealed that Nigeria plans to award licences for seven offshore blocks offered in a 2022 licensing round in tandem with the 2024 round. "The 19 oil blocks presented for bidding are strictly reserved for capable investors," he said. The round for the seven offshore blocks started in December 2022 and had been scheduled to be completed in May 2023. NUPRC said in April last year that the schedule had been pushed back to July because of concerns about concluding "the bid process before transition to the new government". President Bola Tinubu's administration took office on 29 May last year but progress on the 2022 licensing round stalled. Tinubu has set a target to raise Nigeria's crude production to 2.6mn b/d by 2027. The country's current target under the Opec+ agreement is just 1.5mn b/d. Nigeria started an international roadshow for the new licensing round in the US on 7 May in Houston, Texas, and the next stop is scheduled for Miami, Florida on 14 May. By Adebiyi Olusolape Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US delays return of SPR crude until 2026
US delays return of SPR crude until 2026
Washington, 9 May (Argus) — President Joe Biden's administration has delayed by up to two years a requirement for oil companies and traders to return about 15.3mn bl of crude that have been loaned out from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). Oil companies and traders were initially scheduled to return up to 19mn bl of crude to the SPR from June-September and to return up to 8mn bl of additional crude over the following year. The US Department of Energy (DOE) loaned out most of that crude in 2022 because of supply shortages related to the war in Ukraine and a temporary shutdown of the Keystone pipeline. DOE had loaned the crude using a mechanism called an "exchange," under which companies agree to return the crude to the SPR at a later date, along with an in-kind payment in exchange for the loan. But over the last two months, DOE has modified at least nine contracts with ExxonMobil, Shell and other companies that had borrowed the crude, delaying the return of about 15.3mn bl of the borrowed crude to the SPR until 2026, according to contract modifications Argus Media obtained after filing a request under the Freedom of Information Act. DOE said it delayed the return of the exchange crude in support of a separate SPR program, where it has directly purchased more than 27mn bl of crude that will be added the SPR's Big Hill storage site in Texas. That purchase program will inject about 3mn bl/month to the SPR through the first nine months of this year, and DOE last week restarted efforts to buy more crude for the SPR for delivery starting in October. "These actions strategically moved back exchange returns to take advantage of stable crude oil market windows to directly purchase oil at a good price for taxpayers, while having consistently available capacity to drawdown in the event of an emergency," DOE said. The nine contract modifications were signed between 26 March and 16 April, at a time when Nymex WTI spot prices briefly surged past $80/bl, to the highest price in more than five months. Delaying the return of the exchanges will effectively free up crude that would otherwise have been injected into the SPR in June-September, during the peak of the summer driving season. Nearly all of the revised contracts will delay the return of "all remaining exchange oil" until July-October 2026. Republicans have repeatedly attacked the administration's management of the SPR, which they argue is dangerously low after Biden ordered the emergency sale of 180mn bl of crude from the reserve in 2022 in response to the war in Ukraine. Republicans have pushed the administration to prioritize refilling the SPR, which is at about half of its design capacity with 367.2mn bl of crude, given the value the reserve could have in mitigating supply shortages. US energy secretary Jennifer Granholm, in congressional testimony in March, said the administration was carrying out a plan to refill the SPR to "essentially where we would have been" if the emergency sales had never happened. DOE has already been able to cancel 140mn bl of congressionally mandated SPR sales and lined up the purchases of more than 30mn bl of crude. DOE also has said it "accelerated" the return of 4mn bl of crude exchanges. By Chris Knight SPR crude injections from exchanges mn bl Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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