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Rival energy policies unclear as UK election looms

  • Market: Crude oil, Emissions, Natural gas
  • 03/06/24

The UK has dissolved its parliament as the country prepares for a general election on 4 July. Opposition party Labour has held a substantial lead in polls in recent months over the incumbent Conservatives, but voters are awaiting firm details on many policies — including energy.

Confirmation of a summer election by prime minister Rishi Sunak surprised some, but his statement coincided with official data showing that UK inflation has fallen to its lowest in nearly three years.

Parties have yet to release detailed manifestos, although Labour is broadly more supportive of net zero policy. The party, led by Keir Starmer, performed well in local elections in early May. It won nearly 200 seats on local councils, as well as several regional mayoral contests, while the Conservatives lost almost 500 council seats. Notably, Labour's Sadiq Khan — who firmly backs environmental measures — increased his support to win a third term as London mayor.

Immigration, fiscal policy and healthcare will be the major campaigning issues for all parties, but climate policy is also key. Sunak has rolled back some decarbonisation policies, including pushing back the date to end sales of new internal combustion engine (ICE) cars, while he encouraged more domestic oil and gas production. And Conservatives seized on discontent with the capital's ultra-low emission zone transport policy — planned, ironically, by Conservative then-mayor and later prime minister Boris Johnson — to win a by-election in the London suburbs last year.

But legislation to mandate an annual North Sea oil and gas licensing round was not adopted before parliament dissolved. The bill was not among those selected for the "washing-up" process of expediting bills through to become law in the remaining parliamentary time, and outstanding bills cannot be carried over to the next parliament. Labour opposed the bill during its passage through parliament, and said last year that it intends to halt new oil and gas exploration in UK waters.

Policy in progress

The two main parties have surprisingly similar energy policies, although the Conservatives' largely dates from Johnson's premiership. They both back a windfall tax on oil and gas producers, implemented amid surging oil and gas prices in 2022 and extended this year to 2029, and both support nuclear. They also support green hydrogen, offshore wind and solar — although Labour's targets are slightly more ambitious, and want 35GW of onshore wind by 2030.

Labour, like the Conservatives, is eyeing private-sector investment to help fund the energy transition — some channelled through its plan for a publicly owned clean energy company, Great British Energy. The main difference so far is Labour's plan for a zero-carbon power grid by 2030. The Conservatives have set a 2035 target for this goal, which is in line with its commitments as part of the G7 group.

The next government will inherit economic challenges, with slow growth forecast, and lingering inflation. Labour in February backed down on its pledge to spend £28bn/yr ($35.6bn/yr) on the energy transition, if it wins power.

And the UK has challenging, and legally binding, climate targets to hit. It must cut emissions by 68pc by 2030 and 78pc by 2035, from 1990 levels. The government has hit goals so far, mostly owing to the closure of coal-fired power plants. But the independent Climate Change Committee has warned that action to meet targets from 2030 onwards is "worryingly slow".

The prospect of change could prove key for voters. The Conservatives have been in power since 2010, and have fielded five prime ministers during that time — the last two of which were not chosen by the electorate.

By Georgia Gratton

UK offshore energy expenditure

UK energy production and consumption

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17/02/25

Frustration over delays to UK CCS and H2 programmes

Frustration over delays to UK CCS and H2 programmes

London, 17 February (Argus) — Companies are growing increasingly frustrated with the UK government over unclear timelines and inadequate funding for carbon capture and storage (CCS) and clean hydrogen projects. The government has drawn strong praise for the design of its contracts-for-difference style production subsidies for electrolytic hydrogen and CCS systems to underpin low-carbon hydrogen from fossil fuels. But too few projects have been able to access the schemes and developers are losing confidence that the UK will match their ambition with sufficient and timely funding. "It's like building a great motorway with five lanes but very few, or no junctions," industry body OEUK's head of energy policy Enrique Cornejo said. "We have a great policy framework, but we don't have access, apart from a very small number of projects," he told the UK CCUS and Hydrogen Decarbonisation Summit in Leeds, northern England this month. Cornejo welcomed a recent final investment decision (FID) for the Teesside CCS system and progress made on northwest England's HyNet cluster, which is expected to reach FID this year, but he urged the government to set out funding and timelines for the Scottish "Acorn" and Humberside "Viking" CCS projects that are supposed to be next in line. "It's been a really long wait for these projects and the risk is very clear that if we don't hear some positive news from the government" there could be "lost investment", he said. It is a view shared by Norway's Equinor, which owns 45pc of the Teesside CCS project and a portfolio of Humberside hydrogen proposals that are in limbo having been overlooked in initial government selections. "Keeping projects on life support costs a lot of money," said the company's director of UK low-carbon solutions hydrogen, Dan Sadler. Equinor has spent "hundreds of millions" on its proposals for CCS-based hydrogen production, electrolytic hydrogen production, transport and storage infrastructure, he said. Sadler made the same appeal 12 months ago but has still received no update on the timing for the so-called "track 1 expansion process" which would allow its CCS-hydrogen project to move ahead. Optimism over the "fantastic" Teesside FID and contracts signed with three electrolytic projects must be balanced against concerns that HyNet has not reached FID nor have any of the UK's CCS-based hydrogen plants , Sadler said. On electrolytic hydrogen, the UK missed its deadline to shortlist winners of second round projects in 2024. Multiple electrolysis-focused developers at the Leeds conference talked of "standstill" in the sector, while financiers echoed the importance of the UK's second hydrogen allocation round (HAR2) shortlist. "We're waiting with bated breath for HAR2 so we know which projects we can look to finance," UK-based National Wealth Fund's managing director of banking and investments, Emily Sidhu, said. Opening applications for the UK's subsidy scheme for hydrogen pipeline and storage infrastructure has slipped to the fourth quarter of this year, which means it could be many months into 2026 before winners are selected and years until the projects get built. UK pipeline operators envy the government support that peers in continental Europe have received and have been trying to alert London about what companies perceive to be unduly arduous permitting processes, one pipeline firm told Argus . Emperor's new clothes The funding appeals come at a difficult time. The Labour government, which was elected last year, is reviewing spending across all departments, creating extra doubt. The total cost of the UK's ambitions for hydrogen and CCS would surpass several times over the £21.7bn ($27.3bn) for CCS and £2bn for electrolytic hydrogen that the government has confirmed for the first rounds. While raising funds from the government, the Emissions Trading System (ETS) or the so-called gas shipper obligation are possibilities, it is not sufficiently clear to give confidence to investors, Equinor's Sadler said. Moreover, the Labour administration has not said if it will stick to the former Conservative government's targets, Sadler noted. "It's rhetoric. Government policy for hydrogen and CCS? There isn't any. People quote 10GW [hydrogen production] and four [CCS] clusters by 2030 and 30mn t/yr [CO2 sequestration] by 2030. That's the Tory [Conservative] policy, the Labour government hasn't got a policy at the moment," Sadler said. The industry's belief in the UK as an investment proposition cannot be sustained forever, he said. The UK's Department for Energy Security and Net Zero has not responded to questions about the Labour government's hydrogen targets. By Aidan Lea Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU nears lifting sanctions on Syria


17/02/25
News
17/02/25

EU nears lifting sanctions on Syria

Munich, 17 February (Argus) — The EU will meet on 24 February to discuss lifting sanctions on Syria, EU high representative for foreign affairs Kaja Kallas said on Sunday. But internal European politics and concerns raised by Greece and Cyprus over Turkey's growing influence in the region could slow the process. Speaking to Argus on the sidelines of the Munich Security Conference, Kallas said the prospect of lifting sanctions on Syria "is looking promising". The EU Foreign Affairs Council is scheduled to meet on 24 February to discuss Syria and other issues affecting the Middle East. France on 14 February convened an international conference on Syria in Paris, bringing together representatives from G7 nations, the EU, the UN, the Arab League, and the Gulf Cooperation Council. The parties issued a final statement calling for support of Syria's political transition, but the US did not join that statement. US sources with knowledge of the matter told Argus that the issues raised in the statement are things Washington has not decided on, since US president Donald Trump's administration is still formulating its policy regarding Syria. Another source with knowledge of ongoing European talks on Syria said Greece and Cyprus are more reluctant to lift sanctions on Syria. Any EU action will have to be agreed upon by all of the bloc's members. Both countries are leery of ties between Turkey and the Syrian Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), the dominant faction in the new Syrian government. Greece and Cyprus are worried about an oversized Turkish influence in the eastern Mediterranean following the collapse of the regime of Bashar al-Assad in December. Sanctions remain one of the biggest obstacles to Syria's recovery. Damascus has been struggling to secure crude and refined oil products through public tenders largely because of those sanctions. Shipowners remain cautious about sending vessels there over concerns tankers being sanctioned or stranded. Last month the US waived sanctions prohibiting energy trade with Syria, but the country is still under EU and UK sanctions, which may have narrowed the pool for bidding. By Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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China's CNOOC starts output at Brazil Buzios7 oil field


17/02/25
News
17/02/25

China's CNOOC starts output at Brazil Buzios7 oil field

San Francisco, 16 February (Argus) — China's state-controlled CNOOC has started output at the Buzios7 oil field offshore Brazil's Santos basin, the firm announced today. CNOOC has a 7.34pc interest in the project while Brazil's state-controlled Petrobras, which operates the field, holds 88.99pc, with the remaining 3.67pc owned by China's state-controlled CNPC Exploration and Development (CNODC). The Buzios oil field is expected to commission a total of 11 projects by 2027 with total output expected to reach 1.5mn b/d by then, although its production capacity totals up to 2mn b/d, CNOOC said earlier this year. The latest production at Buzios7 will bring the output of the Buzios oil field up to 1mn b/d in the second half of 2025, CNOOC said. Buzios7 is located at a water depth of 1,900-2,200m and is also the sixth project commissioned from the oil field. The Buzios7 project includes a floating, production, storage and offloading (FPSO) and subsea production system. The FPSO can produce up to 225,000 bl of crude, process 12mn m³/d of natural gas and store 1.4mn bl of crude. It is also equipped with closed flare to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and heat recovery devices to reduce energy consumption, CNOOC said. CNOOC expects a slightly smaller share of output from overseas projects, or around 31-33pc from 2025-27, from previous expectations of 33-34pc, although it did not provide a breakdown on actual output forecasts. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Lavrov, Rubio discuss US sanctions relief: Russia


16/02/25
News
16/02/25

Lavrov, Rubio discuss US sanctions relief: Russia

Washington, 15 February (Argus) — Russia and the US have agreed to hold talks aimed at removing US sanctions against Russia, the Russian foreign ministry said today. Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov and US secretary of state Marco Rubio have "agreed to maintain an open channel of communication to address longstanding issues in Russian-American relations", the Russian foreign ministry said. "Their goal is to remove unilateral barriers inherited from the previous US administration that have hindered mutually beneficial trade, economic and investment cooperation," the ministry said. The State Department did not provide a detailed readout of the Lavrov-Rubio phone conversation, held today. "The secretary re-affirmed President [Donald] Trump's commitment to finding an end to the conflict in Ukraine," the State Department said. "In addition, they discussed the opportunity to potentially work together on a number of other bilateral issues." Trump has signaled readiness to end the war in Ukraine on Russia's terms and to cut back on Nato commitments for European security. But he and his administration have provided mixed messages on the future of US sanctions against Russia, imposed under former presidents Barack Obama and Joe Biden and during Trump's first term. Trump's administration has left in place sanctions imposed by Biden in January, which for the first time would affect Russia's ability to export crude and refined products via tankers. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU may trigger clause to boost defense spending


15/02/25
News
15/02/25

EU may trigger clause to boost defense spending

Munich, 15 February (Argus) — European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen wants to trigger an emergency clause that would allow member EU countries to significantly increase their spending on defense. She also warned that "unjust" tariffs on the EU will not go unanswered. Speaking at the Munich Security Conference on Friday, Von der Leyen said she "will propose to activate the escape clause for defense investments". Such a move would "allow member states to substantially increase their defense expenditure", she said. Von der Leyen's proposal would exempt defense from EU limits on government spending. Highly indebted EU members such as Italy and Greece have voiced support for the move, arguing that activating the escape clause would enable them to increase defense spending while avoiding other budget cuts. Fiscally conservative EU countries, including Germany, could push back against the idea. Von der Leyen's proposal comes at a sensitive time for the EU, with US president Donald Trump pressuring Europe to finance more of its own defense. Trump wants EU members of Nato to more than double military expenditure to protect themselves from potential aggression rather than leaning on Washington's support. Trump is also pushing to end the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. "Let there be no room for any doubt. I believe when it comes to European security, Europe has to do more. Europe must bring more to the table," Von der Leyen said, adding that the EU needs to increase its military spending from just below 2pc of GDP to above 3pc. The increase "will mean hundreds of billions of euros of more investment every year", she said. Tariffs will be answered Von der Leyen also reemphasized the EU's position on the recent US tariff decision, noting that tariffs act like a tax and drive inflation. "But as I've already made clear, unjustified tariffs on the European Union will not go unanswered," she said. "And let me speak plainly, we are one of the world's largest markets. We will use our tools to safeguard our economic security and interests, and we will protect our workers, our businesses and consumers at every turn," she added. Trump on 11 February imposed a 25pc tariff on all US imports of steel and aluminum effective on 12 March, although he said he would consider making an exemption for imports from Australia. US 25pc tariffs on steel and aluminum imports could result in a 3.7mn t/yr decrease in European steel exports, as the US is the second-largest export market for the bloc, European steel association Eurofer said. By Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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