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IMO 2040 CO2 goals unmet under base case: ABS

  • Market: Biofuels, Fertilizers, Natural gas, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 27/08/24

The shipping industry will not meet the International Maritime Organization (IMO) goal for reducing CO2 emissions by 2040 without hastening the expected pace of vessel replacements, a study by vessel classification organization American Bureau of Shipping (ABS) concluded.

IMO calls for the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions by at least 20pc by 2030, by at least 70pc by 2040, and to net zero by 2050, compared with 2008 base levels. Under a base case scenario, a 20pc reduction in CO2-equivalent emissions by 2030 is achievable on a full lifecycle basis, but a 70pc percent reduction by 2040 is not, ABS said.

Under the best case scenario examined by ABS, achieving IMO's 70pc target would require a significantly faster renewal of the vessel fleet to replace oil-fueled vessels or a higher degree of vessel retrofitting.

The three biggest categories of bunker consuming vessels — tankers, dry bulk carriers and container ships — are expected to follow a similar trajectory for marine fuel demand under the base case scenario, with conventional marine fuel accounting for more than 60pc of demand through 2035, ABS said.

Conventional fuel demand would decline to 38-44pc of marine fuel demand in the first half of the 2040s in the base case, ABS predicted. Methanol in that period would grow to about 35pc of marine fuel demand for tankers and container ships and about 22pc for dry bulk carriers. Ammonia and hydrogen demand would grow to about 13pc of tankers' marine fuel demand, 18pc of dry bulk carriers' demand and about 14pc of container ships' demand. LNG across the three vessel categories is expected at 4-6pc of bunkering demand in the early 2040s, with biodiesel at 5-9pc of demand.


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19/09/24

Fed rate cuts 'no bearing' for CCUS: NET Power

Fed rate cuts 'no bearing' for CCUS: NET Power

Houston, 19 September (Argus) — Interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve this week have "no bearing" on carbon capture, use and storage (CCUS) projects, according to the chief executive of power technology company NET Power, since most are still in the development phase. The majority of CCUS projects are in the "pre-revenue" stage with companies that are still "more focused on the engineering" aspects, chief executive Danny Rice said on the sidelines of the Gastech conference in Houston, Texas, today. The Fed on Thursday cut its target interest rate by 50 basis points, the first cut since 2020 and following an aggressive rate increase regimen to fight inflation. Lower interests rates lower borrowing costs for companies. Rice said earlier in the day during a CCUS panel discussion there was still a need to "get capital costs down". "Historically it would be challenging to deploy a new technology and scale into a flat or declining market, but ... we're talking about decarbonization for power generation," Rice said. "Power generation is growing globally." CCUS projects and other carbon capture technologies have been repeatedly criticized by non-governmental organisations as an excuse for continued fossil fuel use, although the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has backed the technology. Rice stressed the importance of an "objective, physics-driven view" for policy regarding decarbonization, describing CCUS projects for gas-fired powerplants as the most cost-effective method to decarbonize power. "People are going away from this exercise of 'what's clean or not'," Rice said. "What matters is the outputs. The affordability, the reliability, the carbon intensity." By David Haydon Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Kenya's NCPB receives offers in fertilizer tender


19/09/24
News
19/09/24

Kenya's NCPB receives offers in fertilizer tender

Istanbul, 19 September (Argus) — Kenya's NCPB has received offers against its 19 September buy tender for 245,000t of various fertilizers for the 2024-25 season under the country's fertilizer subsidy programme. There were 19 offers of 25-5-5, all within a range of 3,750-5,500 Kenyan shillings/50kg bag, equivalent to $581-852/t. There were also 19 offers of 17-17-17, ranging from KSh3,800-5,800/50kg bag. The NCPB received 23 offers of urea at KSh3,400-6,000/50kg bag, 12 offers of amsul ranging from KSh2,800-5,400/50kg bag, and 18 offers of CAN in a range of KSh2,875-4,250/50kg bag. The offers were on the basis of deliveries to NCPB depots. The tender requested the following products: 25,000t urea (500,000 x 50kg bags) 40,000t CAN 26 (800,000 x 50kg bags) 5,000t amsul (100,000 x 50kg bags) 15,000t 17-17-17 (300,000 x 50kg bags) 15,000t 25-5-5 (300,000 x 50kg bags) 35,000t 23-23-0 (700,000 x 50kg bags) 10,000t crop-specific NPK fertilizer for top dressing with a minimum nitrogen nutrient content of 26pc plus other micronutrients (200,000 x 50kg bags) 70,000t crop-specific NPK fertilizer for planting with a minimum nitrogen nutrient content of 17pc and above, a minimum phosphorus content of 29pc and above, plus other micronutrients (1,400,000 x 50kg bags) 30,000t crop-specific NPK fertilizer for planting with a minimum nitrogen nutrient content of 9-16.99pc, a minimum phosphorus content of 22-28.99pc and above, plus other micronutrients (600,000 x 50kg bags) The NCPB said agreed contracts are renewable each season for a period of two years under the subsidy programme. The tender document also states that a supplier will not be awarded for the supply of more than two fertilizer types. By Nykole King Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Pupuk Indonesia closes tender to buy amsul


19/09/24
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19/09/24

Pupuk Indonesia closes tender to buy amsul

Singapore, 19 September (Argus) — State-owned Pupuk Indonesia has closed a tender to buy 30,000t of bulk standard caprolactam-grade ammonium sulphate (amsul) for shipment to two different ports by the end of October to early November. Pupuk requested that bids be submitted based on a formula price with an added premium. The range of premiums offered by participants was around $13/t, bringing delivered prices to a low-mid $150s/t cfr. Pupuk Indonesia requested for 20,000t of amsul in a single shipment to Gresik port for Petrokimia Gresik, to be delivered by the fourth week of October. It also requested for 10,000t of standard amsul in a single shipment to Cigading port for Pupuk Kujang, to be delivered by the first week of November. By Dinise Chng Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Pertamina supplies first SAF to Virgin Australia


19/09/24
News
19/09/24

Pertamina supplies first SAF to Virgin Australia

Singapore, 19 September (Argus) — Indonesian state-owned refiner Pertamina has supplied its first sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) to airline Virgin Australia, as part of the continuing Bali International Air Show. Pertamina is supplying around 160 kilolitres (kl) of SAF to Virgin Australia's Boeing 737 aircraft from the Ngurah Rai aviation fuel terminal in Bali for flights during 18-19 September. This was part of the 3,500 kl of blended SAF that Pertamina had sought for end-August delivery, intended to be used at the air show. The remaining volumes will be sold to other airlines and sales will be assessed before any further SAF purchases are made, a company source said. The SAF is a blend of 38.43pc synthetic kerosine produced from used cooking oil (UCO) and 61.57pc fossil jet fuel, said the director of central marketing and commerce at Pertamina Patra Niaga Maya Kusmaya. Pertamina also has plans to co-process SAF from UCO at its Cilacap refinery next year, before producing SAF by the hydrotreated esters and fatty acids pathway when its Cilacap "green refinery" comes on line, said a company source, although more details have yet to be disclosed. SAF distributed at Ngurah Rai is also managed using mass balancing, meaning that while jet fuel is mixed with SAF in the same tank as both have similar technical specifications, recording and bookkeeping for both products are managed separately. Pertamina obtained International Sustainability and Carbon Certification (ISCC) Corsia and ISCC EU RED-compliant certification for its SAF last month. The SAF supplied also meets ASTM international standards. By Sarah Giam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Gas returns to Egyptian urea plants


19/09/24
News
19/09/24

Gas returns to Egyptian urea plants

Amsterdam, 19 September (Argus) — Gas supplies have returned to three Egyptian urea producers that had halted output earlier this week. The three plants of Alexfert, Helwan and another unidentified producer have a combined capacity of around 1.85mn t/yr. The disruptions emerged on 16 September when state-owned Gasco sent a letter to the producers informing them that the gas supplies would be cut. Overall urea operating rates in Egypt are to remain under pressure, at likely 80pc or below, as producers grapple with the shifting feedstock situation. Algerian producer Sorfert is also set to cut production at its 1.19mn t/yr granular urea plant to minimum rates next month, with output to be lower during October because of a turnaround. By Dana Hjeij and Harry Minihan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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