Maintenance tightens distillate supply in west Germany
Regional middle distillate prices in Germany diverged last week, with values in the west boosted by refinery maintenance and oversupply weighing on prices in the south.
Heating oil and road fuel supply in Cologne, western Germany has fallen sharply since the beginning of last week after maintenance work started at the 187,000 b/d Godorf refinery at Shell's Rhineland complex.
There was also reduced availability at the nearby 147,000 b/d Wesseling refinery, part of the same Rhineland complex, and a tank farm in Flörsheim that is connected to the complex via pipeline. One supplier halted spot sales of middle distillates and gasoline until at least the beginning of September, traders said.
Traders that typically buy product in Cologne or Flörsheim had to take longer journeys to other tank farms or go south to the Miro consortium's 315,000 b/d Karlsruhe refinery.
Product in Karlsruhe is currently trading at a steep discount to Cologne. Oversupply has put pressure on prices in Karlsruhe for the past few weeks after weak demand and irregular train departures because of a staff shortage left suppliers with more product than they anticipated towards the end of August.
Freight rates for barges that need to pass the Rhine bottleneck in Kaub went up significantly last week after water levels dropped to their lowest point in around 10 months on 30 August.
Water levels are expected to fall below 1m this week. Barges to destinations along the Upper Rhine would then only be able to load up to 40pc of their maximum capacity, making it likely that freight rates will rise further.
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Advanced Fame marine biodiesel blends hit 9-month low
Advanced Fame marine biodiesel blends hit 9-month low
London, 18 September (Argus) — Some marine biodiesel blend prices in northwest Europe hit a year-to-date low on 17 September, owing to soft fundamentals and easing values in underlying markets. Argus assessed the prices of B30 and B100 Advanced fatty acid methyl ester (Fame) 0 dob ARA — which include a deduction of the value of Dutch renewable fuel tickets (HBE-G) — at $674.01/t and $993.87/t, respectively. At these levels, the two blends were at their lowest outright price since 29 December last year — right before values rose sharply following the halving of the Dutch HBE-G multiplier for maritime blending at the start of the year. Prices have slipped on the back lacklustre demand for marine biodiesel blends in recent months. The price of EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) allowances, for which Advanced Fame marine biodiesel blends receive a zero emission factor, have averaged $70.56/t so far this year, compared with $93.43/t in the same period last year. Consequently, the expansion of EU ETS into the shipping sector has done little to financially incentivise the uptake of marine biodiesel blends this year. On the other hand, voluntary demand for marine biodiesel blends has been steady from shipowners seeking to deliver proof of sustainability (PoS) documentation to their customers to offset the latter's scope 3 emissions. But this may have shifted geographically in recent months in favour of Singapore over ARA. Soft fundamentals in the marine biodiesel blend market has been compounded by pressure on prices in underlying crude and biodiesel markets. The front-month Ice Brent crude futures and gasoil futures contracts hit a near three-year low at 16:30 BST on 10 September. This in turn weighed on values of very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) and marine gasoil (MGO), and the former makes up 70pc of the B30 Advanced Fame dob ARA blend. VLSFO dob ARA prices have averaged $505.58/t so far in September, compared with $533.38/t on 1-18 August, having hit $483/t on 10 September, the lowest level since August 2021. Meanwhile, in the underlying biodiesel market, Advanced Fame 0 fob ARA prices were at the second-lowest level on record on 17 September, with the price marked at parity to used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome) for the first time. Several market participants have said that low prices for German greenhouse gas (GHG) quota tickets, which can be traded on the market to meet the country's emissions reduction mandate, have discouraged buyers from physically blending advanced biodiesel, as tickets are a cheaper option. The current year GHG other ticket price hit a new historic low of $85/t CO2 equivalent (CO2e) on 13 September, down by $115/t compared with the same time last year and by $378/t compared with two years ago. Provisional EU anti-dumping duties on Chinese-origin biodiesel that came into force on 16 August have also turned European buyers away from advanced product made in China, which used to be one of the main sources of advanced biodiesel in Europe. By Hussein Al-Khalisy and Simone Burgin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
USCG updates ongoing lower Mississippi restrictions
USCG updates ongoing lower Mississippi restrictions
Houston, 17 September (Argus) — The US Coast Guard (USCG) will further limit northbound movement for barges transiting the lower Mississippi River despite slightly higher water levels following Hurricane Francine's landfall late last week. The USCG announced on 16 September that all northbound traffic traveling from Tunica, Mississippi, to Tiptonville, Tennessee, can only have five barges wide and only four of those can be loaded. Barges also cannot be loaded deeper than 9.5ft. Any southbound traffic from Vicksburg, Mississippi, to Tunica cannot move more than seven barges wide or be drafted deeper than 10.5ft. Southbound traffic from Tiptonville to Tunica can only be six barges wide or less and cannot have a draft greater than 10ft. The USCG has updated lower Mississippi river draft restrictions about four times since the end of August, but this is the third year in a row of notable low water for the fall on the lower Mississippi river which has triggered draft restrictions to arrive more quickly than previous years. Hurricane Francine brought significant rainfall to the lower Mississippi at the end of last week . But this has not eased the minds of mariners, who anticipate the water may leave as quickly as it arrived. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
California regulator floats future LCFS linkage
California regulator floats future LCFS linkage
Monterey, 17 September (Argus) — California would welcome bringing US low-carbon fuel standard (LCFS) programs together in a common market, one of the state's top regulators said on Tuesday. Such a linkage is unlikely to occur in the near future, but California Air Resources Board (CARB) deputy executive director Rajinder Sahota said it is something worth pursuing. "I totally think we should link our LCFS programs," she said at the Argus North American Biofuels, LCFS and Carbon Markets Summit in Monterey, California. Sahota said California and other LCFS states are working on a system that could allow the trading of compliance credits between companies covered by each program, but did not provide any other details. Her comments mark a change in tenor from CARB, which historically has said a linkage would be difficult given the differing starting points and carbon intensity targets of each program. Oregon's Clean Fuels Program (CFP) started five years after California's LCFS, while Washington launched its Clean Fuel Standard just last year. New Mexico is working on its own program that will begin by 2026. Oregon and Washington regulators at the conference said there have not been any formal discussions about a linkage, but did not completely dismiss the idea, highlighting the close informal coordination between the states. "All puzzles can be solved eventually," said Bill Peters, interim director of the CFP. By Michael Ball Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
California still eyeing 2025 start to LCFS changes
California still eyeing 2025 start to LCFS changes
Monterey, 17 September (Argus) — California regulators plan to propose changes to the state's Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) in coming days in hopes of ensuring updates to the program take effect in early 2025. The California Air Resources Board (CARB) will soon issue a new rulemaking package for a 15-day public comment period, Rajinder Sahota, the agency's deputy executive officer, said today at the Argus North American Biofuels, LCFS & Carbon Markets Summit in Monterey, California. "We will be working very hard to ensure we have the targets in place" by 1Q, she said. On a practical level, CARB will have to adopt any amendments to the LCFS by early January or will be forced to start over. California law requires the agency to wrap up a rulemaking within 12 months of the first proposal. Sahota declined to say what changes, if any, to the most recent language would be part of the next 15-day package. The previous language included a 9pc "step down" in the carbon intensity requirement in 2025 and also contemplated a 20pc/yr cap on a company's credit generation from soybean- and canola-oil-based biodiesel or renewable diesel to begin in 2028. That new language "is coming very shortly," she said. The agency's board is scheduled to hold a hearing on the proposed changes on 8 November and could adopt the new language at that session. The LCFS requires yearly reductions in the carbon intensity of on-road transportation fuels. Fuels with scores above the targets produce deficits, which must be offset with credits generated from distribution to the market of approved, lower-carbon alternatives. California currently requires a 20pc drop in carbon intensity by 2030. The ongoing rulemaking could bump that carbon intensity reduction up to 30pc. Surging use of renewable diesel and outsized credit generation from renewable natural gas have overwhelmed deficit generation to create a glut of credits available for future compliance. LCFS credits do not expire, and 26.1mn metric tonnes of credits — 16pc more than all the new deficits generated in 2023 — were available for future compliance by the end of March. Credits fell in May to trade at $40/t, the lowest level for current quarter credits since June 2015, but have since rebounded as the CARB process has played out. But credit prices are still well below their historical highs. Argus on Monday assessed spot LCFS credits at $58/t. By Michael Ball Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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