The Argus Processed Phosphates Analytics service connects you with industry-leading processed phosphates market intelligence. The service includes quarterly reports and data with 15-year forecasts of supply, demand, trade and prices, and one longer-term annual report with 25-year price forecasts (based on Long Run Marginal Cost analysis).

We empower phosphate market participants to make informed business decisions. Use the service to:

  • Inform your business plans: Get robust, actionable and industry leading insight on medium to long-term market developments and outlook
  • Mitigate risk to your business: Stay up to date with potential regulations, policy changes and market fundamentals challenges
  • Access comprehensive market data: Explore extensive raw data to assist your research and planning – and integrate the data into your models
  • Find your next big opportunity: Our proprietary datasets and expert insight help you identify and capitalise on future opportunities

Key features


Price forecasts: 15-years and 25-years

Quarterly 15-year and 25-year forecasts are provided for processed phosphates benchmark prices, including Morocco fob DAP, Saudi fob DAP, India cfr DAP, Tampa fob DAP/MAP, Baltic fob MAP, Brazil cfr MAP, Brazil cfr TSP and India cfr Phosphoric acid


Supply and demand forecasts: 15-years

Quarterly 15-year forecasts and in-depth analysis is provided for processed phosphate supply and demand (includes base-case phosphate capacity tracker and forecast, and crop prices analysis). Demand analysis includes country and region focused analysis. Short-term supply/demand balance for DAP, MAP, and medium-term supply/demand balance for phosphoric acid included.


Trade forecasts: 15-years

Import and export analysis and 15-year forecasts for key countries/regions including Latin America, India, Morocco, Middle East, Russia, covering MAP, DAP, Phosphoric acid and TSP.


Cost curves analysis

The service includes Argus ex-works DAP cost curve for the current year for all key DAP producing markets, updated quarterly.


Project analysis/spotlight feature

Each quarterly issue of the service includes an in-depth project review (including full cost analysis, financial review and evaluation of cash flow) or spotlight features (for example the lithium iron phosphate batteries sector).


Best-in-class methodology

Our key methodologies include our demand forecasting model based on calorie and crop forecasts to guide our view of future fertilizer consumption and our Long-Run Marginal Cost (LRMC) multi-factor model to assess the level of prices beyond the current investment cycle.


Costs/inputs analysis and forecasts

The service includes quarterly analysis and forecast of ammonia markets and sulphur markets.


Quarterly reports

Narrative and graphical analysis of what is driving the processed phosphates market and how it is likely to evolve, ensuring you will be more confident in making critical decisions. Includes key insight on supply, demand, costs, trade and projects, with 15-year forecasts for supply, demand and prices.


Annual long-term report

Detailed, long-form analysis of all the historical and long-term processed phosphates market trends. Use the report to reveal the connections between underlying market drivers and use these insights to develop more robust strategies. Includes 25-year price forecast based on Long Run Marginal Cost (LRMC) analysis.

Customers that benefit

Market participants with exposure to the global processed phosphate market will find the Argus Processed Phosphate Analytics service essential. Below are examples of clients that use this service:
  • Producers and suppliers  

  • Traders 

  • Energy and utilities companies

  • Producers of metals and battery materials 

  • Shipping and port authorities

  • Procurement teams

  • Industry analysts 

  • Governments 

  • Financial institutions including bankers and investors 

  • Wholesalers 

  • Co-ops and retailers