Latest Market News

US preparing to start SPR refill purchases

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil
  • 02/03/23

The US Department of Energy is preparing to start purchasing crude oil to partially refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) after it sold 180mn bl last year in response to the war in Ukraine.

"We would like to start buying within the next year, depending on the window of opportunity," said Christopher Roark, senior crude oil marketing analyst at the US Department of Energy, speaking at a meeting of the Crude Oil Quality Association.

Even though the US government is "not the fastest at things," the department could "react quickly to the market" through a competitive solicitation process to buy oil, Roark said.

"Looking at the market situation, not only do we want to get the best value for taxpayers, we also don't want to impact the markets," he said.

The government could buy 40mn-60mn bls of crude for the reserve, depending on market conditions, Roark said. The purchase amount will be dictated by the roughly $4.5bn that the government generated from selling 180mn bl from the SPR in response to the Ukraine war, he said. The department would limit light, sweet crude purchases to about 20mn bl, and the rest would likely be comprised of sour supply, he said.

Logistical considerations will also dictate how the SPR refill proceeds, Roark said. The SPR has a drawdown rate of 4.2mn b/d, while its fill rate is about 685,000 b/d. "We were designed to get the oil out quickly, not necessarily to get it in quickly," he said.

The department must also schedule refill plans around ongoing maintenance at its underground storage facilities in Texas and Louisiana. The department's Bayou Choctaw storage site in Louisiana is offline for maintenance, with similar work planned for other facilities, Roark said.

"We are trying to time our fill program around the maintenance," Roark said. "Just like a refinery turnaround there might be some slippage, so we are cautious about that."

The Biden administration has said it wants to finish congressionally mandated crude drawdowns before refilling the SPR. The last mandatory crude sale until fiscal year 2027, for the sale of up to 26mn bl of sweet crude, will finish withdrawals by 30 April for the Big Hill SPR facility in Texas and by 30 June for the West Hackberry SPR facility in Texas.


Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

14/10/24

Opec again lowers oil demand growth forecasts

Opec again lowers oil demand growth forecasts

London, 14 October (Argus) — Opec has cut its global oil demand growth forecasts for 2024 and 2025 for a third month in a row, bringing its projections slightly closer to other outlooks that have long seen much lower consumption. In its latest Monthly Oil Market Repor t (MOMR) the producer group revised down its 2024 demand growth projection by 110,000 b/d to 1.93mn b/d, driven by China and the Middle East. This is 320,000 b/d lower than the 2.25mn b/d growth Opec had been forecasting until it made its first downward revision for 2024 in August. The biggest reason for the latest downgrade was China, where Opec now sees demand growing by 580,000 b/d in 2024 compared with 650,000 b/d in its previous report. But Opec's demand growth forecasts remain bullish when compared with other outlooks. The IEA projects oil demand will increase by 900,000 b/d in 2024, while the EIA sees growth of 920,000 b/d. The story is similar for 2025. While Opec today lowered its oil demand growth forecast by 100,000 b/d to 1.64mn b/d, this is still much higher than the IEA's forecast of 950,000 b/d and the EIA's 1.29mn b/d. Expectations of weaker demand this year dragged on oil prices in recent weeks. Front-month Ice Brent crude futures prices fell to the lowest this year on 10 September at $69.19/bl, although rising tensions in the Middle East have more recently pushed the price closer to $80/bl. On the supply side, the group kept its non-Opec+ liquids growth estimate for 2024 unchanged at 1.23mn b/d. It nudged up its forecast for next year by 10,000 b/d to 1.11mn b/d. Opec+ crude production — including Mexico — fell by 557,000 b/d to 40.104mn b/d in September, according to an average of secondary sources that includes Argus . This is about 2.7mn b/d below Opec's projected call on Opec+ crude for this year, which stands at 42.8mn b/d. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Asia afternoon crude futures: Ice Brent drops


14/10/24
14/10/24

Asia afternoon crude futures: Ice Brent drops

Singapore, 14 October (Argus) — Ice Brent crude futures fell today as the market assesses the oil demand outlook. At 08:30 GMT, the Ice front-month December Brent contract was at $77.93/bl, lower by $1.11/bl from its settlement on 11 October when the contract ended 36¢/bl lower. The Nymex front-month November crude contract was at $74.49/bl, down by $1.07/bl from its settlement on 11 October when the contract ended 29¢/bl lower. The market continues to watch the Chinese oil demand outlook. China is the only significant export market for Iranian crude, so it is uniquely exposed to any interruption to exports caused by the Mideast Gulf's escalating conflict. Any disruption to Iranian crude supply will compel independent refiners in China's Shandong province to cut runs, unless local refining margins improve. US president Joe Biden's administration on 11 October imposed sanctions on 23 tankers as well as 16 shipping and trading companies accused of facilitating sales of Iranian crude to China. The US Treasury Department has been imposing such sanctions at a fast clip throughout 2024, but the 11 October batch of sanctions is broader in the wake of Iran's missile attack on Israel in early October. "In response to Iran's attack on Israel, the US is taking decisive action to further disrupt the Iranian regime's ability to fund and carry out its destabilizing activity," treasury secretary Janet Yellen said. The US drilling rig count advanced by one to 586 in the week ended 11 October, according to Baker Hughes data. The tally of oil rigs added two to 481, while natural gas rigs shed one to 101. The number of miscellaneous rigs was steady at four. BP expects a drop in refining margins and a "weak" performance from oil trading to weigh on its downstream profit in the third quarter. But the company said upstream oil and gas production was better than expected. BP's global refining marker margin averaged $16.50/bl in July-September, down from $20.60/bl in the previous three months and $31.80/bl in the third quarter last year, the firm said in a trading update. Earlier in October, Shell , Spain's Repsol and Austria's OMV flagged up equally sharp declines. The GME December front-month Oman crude futures contract was at $77.66/bl at 4:30pm Singapore time, down by 84¢/bl from the same time on 11 October. By Rhalain Reyes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Feds probing fatal Pemex Deer Park accident


11/10/24
11/10/24

Feds probing fatal Pemex Deer Park accident

Houston, 11 October (Argus) — The US Chemical Safety and Hazard Investigation Board (CSB) and Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) are both launching independent investigations into this week's fatal accident at Pemex's 312,500 b/d Deer Park, Texas, refinery. A hydrogen sulfide (H2S) release that killed two workers and injured dozens more occurred on Thursday evening at the plant located near Houston. It also led to shelter-in-place orders for surrounding communities, which have since been lifted. The CSB will investigate the causes of the fatal release, the agency said Friday. The CSB is responsible for investigating industrial accidents in the US, such as the deadly 2022 explosion at BP's Toledo refinery in Ohio and a probe into operations at Marathon's Martinez renewable diesel plant after several fires earlier this year . A representative for CSB was not immediately available for comment. OSHA — charged with enforcing compliance with federal workplace safety laws — is also investigating the incident, and has "up to six months" to complete the investigation, according to an OSHA representative. OSHA would not stop company operations during the duration of the investigation, but "could not speak for other agencies at the site," an OSHA official told Argus. The Harris County Sheriff's department has also opened an investigation into the incident. The release occurred as workers began planned maintenance on a unit. An H2S leak was detected, resulting in several units being shut down as staff sought to secure the leak. The Deer Park refinery had previously been damaged in a February 2023 fire, resulting in two weeks of repairs. A slew of accidents at Deer Park and several other Mexican state-owned Pemex's refineries in part led Fitch Ratings to downgrade Pemex's credit rating in July 2023 . By Gordon Pollock Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Opec+ cuts hit 4mn b/d


11/10/24
11/10/24

Opec+ cuts hit 4mn b/d

London, 11 October (Argus) — Opec+ has reduced its crude production by 4mn b/d since it started cutting output almost two years ago, Argus' latest output survey shows. Crude output by members subject to cuts fell by 220,000 b/d in September to 33.52mn b/d, driven by reductions in Iraq and Nigeria (see table). This compares with 37.52mn b/d in October 2022, when the alliance announced what would prove to be the in a series of production cuts. September output was not only the lowest since April 2021, but also 330,000 b/d below the group's collective production target. But even with the removal of such a vast amount of crude from the market, oil prices remain $11-15/bl below where they were when Opec+ announced its October 2022 cut. This is partly because production from non-Opec members such as the US, Guyana and Brazil has surged. The US alone has boosted production by 830,000 b/d over the past two years. The lower prices are also partly down to lower-than-expected oil demand, particularly in China. The IEA has made and sees global oil demand growing by under 1mn b/d this year and next, well below the 2.1mn b/d increase seen in 2023. Despite the gloomy demand picture, eight Opec+ members are scheduled to start unwinding 2.2mn b/d of production cuts from December — two months later than initially planned. This is not a foregone conclusion — the group has said this could change depending on market conditions — but a decision to push ahead would only widen an expected supply surplus next year. The eight members are expected to decide on whether to start returning production in early November. Opec+ will be keenly watching how the conflict between Israel and Iran plays out over the coming days and weeks. Rising tensions propelled Atlantic basin benchmark North Sea Dated above $81/bl on 7 October. There are fears that Israel could strike Iran's oil infrastructure in retaliation for . This would put Iranian production — which rose to 3.37mn b/d in September — at risk. Any attack on Iran's oil sector could conceivably see Tehran disrupt regional oil flows through the strait of Hormuz , through which more than 15mn b/d of crude and products are exported. Compensation questions Another factor that could influence Opec+ policy in the coming weeks is the extent to which serial overproducers Iraq, Kazakhstan and Russia can show they are for exceeding their targets. In an effort to start complying with its commitments, Iraq reduced its production by 130,000 b/d in September, Argus estimates. But this was still 70,000 b/d above its Opec+ target of 4mn b/d, and 170,000 b/d above its effective target in September under its compensation plan. Kazakhstan's output rose by 40,000 b/d to 1.48mn b/d in September, 10,000 b/d above its Opec+ quota and 40,000 b/d above the effective target in its compensation plan. All eyes are now on the country's October output, when it is due to deliver the largest chunk of its compensation commitment, which has been designed to coincide with maintenance at its Kashagan field . Russia's production edged down by 10,000 b/d to 8.97mn b/d, in line with its target. Libya's output fell by a hefty 370,000 b/d to 550,000 b/d in September as an oil blockade declared in late August took its toll. But with the blockade lifted in early October, production has already returned close to the country's normal level of about 1.2mn b/d. Venezuela's production rose by 20,000 b/d to 900,000 b/d — the highest since February 2019. Both Venezuela and Libya are exempt from production targets. Opec+ crude production mn b/d Sep Aug* Target† ± target Opec 9 21.18 21.45 21.23 -0.05 Non-Opec 9 12.34 12.29 12.62 -0.28 Total 33.52 33.74 33.85 -0.33 *revised †includes additional cuts where applicable Opec wellhead production mn b/d Sep Aug* Target† ± target Saudi Arabia 8.92 8.96 8.98 -0.06 Iraq 4.07 4.20 4.00 +0.07 Kuwait 2.46 2.40 2.41 +0.05 UAE 2.95 2.98 2.91 +0.04 Algeria 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.00 Nigeria 1.36 1.45 1.50 -0.14 Congo (Brazzaville) 0.24 0.26 0.28 -0.04 Gabon 0.21 0.23 0.17 +0.04 Equatorial Guinea 0.06 0.06 0.07 -0.01 Opec 9 21.18 21.45 21.23 -0.05 Iran 3.37 3.33 na na Libya 0.55 0.92 na na Venezuela 0.90 0.88 na na Total Opec 12^ 26.00 26.58 na na *revised †includes additional cuts where applicable ^Iran, Libya and Venezuela are exempt from production targets Non-Opec crude production mn b/d Sep Aug* Target† ± target Russia 8.97 8.98 8.98 -0.01 Oman 0.76 0.76 0.76 +0.00 Azerbaijan 0.49 0.48 0.55 -0.06 Kazakhstan 1.48 1.44 1.47 +0.01 Malaysia 0.32 0.31 0.40 -0.08 Bahrain 0.16 0.15 0.20 -0.04 Brunei 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.01 Sudan 0.02 0.02 0.06 -0.04 South Sudan 0.05 0.06 0.12 -0.07 Total non-Opec 12.34 12.29 12.62 -0.28 *revised †includes additional cuts where applicable Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Pemex Deer Park refinery H2S leak kills 2: Update


11/10/24
11/10/24

Pemex Deer Park refinery H2S leak kills 2: Update

Adds comment from Mexican energy minister, context from regulatory filings. Houston, 11 October (Argus) — A hydrogen sulfide (H2S) leak at Pemex's 312,500 b/d Deer Park, Texas, refinery on 10 October killed two workers and injured 35 more. The leak occurred accidentally during maintenance, according to a regulatory filing submitted by Pemex this morning. Several units, including an amine unit, an alkylation unit, a hydrocracker and a sulphur recovery unit were promptly shut and flaring was initiated so the leak could secured. Mexican energy minister Luz Elena Gonzalez said in a press conference in Mexico City Friday morning that the refinery was expected to restart operations later today. Deadly accidents at US refineries usually require extensive regulatory investigations by federal agencies, however, which require facilities or certain units at a plant to remain shut down. H2S is an extremely hazardous gas commonly produced as a byproduct of refining, which can be processed into pure sulphur in a sulphur recovery unit (SRU) or removed by hydrotreating. Shell's Deer Park petrochemical facility, located adjacent to Pemex's refinery, said it was doing a "controlled slowdown" of its operations as of 8:52pm yesterday in response to the accident as a precaution. A flaring event was initially reported by a Deer Park Office of Emergency Management (OEM) social media account at 6:23pm ET on 10 October. A shelter in place advisory was issued for all Deer Park residents in a follow-up notice and Texas State Highway 225 running adjacent to the refinery was also closed to traffic. Areas of nearby Pasadena were also placed under a shelter in place advisory. The Deer Park shelter in place was lifted at 10pm ET. The Pemex refinery had previously reported an aromatic concentration unit (ACU) leak on 6 October. Amine units strip H2S from methane gas generated by hydrotreaters. Alkylation units produce high-octane blendstocks used in gasoline. Hydrocrackers use hydrogen, pressure, and catalyst to produce distillates and gasoline low in contaminants like sulphur. SRUs help to remove sulphur and other impurities from refinery products and gas streams. By Gordon Pollock Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more