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Argus Canadian NGL and Petrochemical Summit

Wednesday, May 2
17:00 - 20:00
Canada Week Industry Reception
Thursday, May 3
07:30 - 08:30 Registration and Breakfast
08:30 - 08:45 Welcome and Opening Remarks
08:45 - 10:00 Session 1: Canadian NGL Market Dynamics

  • Canada’s energy future: Understand the outlook for energy policy and carbon pricing and how that might impact future investment in NGLs and petrochemicals. Understand the long-term analysis for production estimates, pipelines, well completion, performance, connectivity and future exports
  • Alberta shale development: Canadian liquids production is increasing in the Montney and Duvernay fields. Understand production estimates, costs and how well connected these plays can bring supply to market. Understand how much Canadian diluent will be consumed for Alberta’s bitumen, the logistics to bring it to market and what this will mean for US demand

  • Asian demand: Asia is the fastest growing demand center for global LPG. Export terminals from Canada mean a new outlet for Canadian propane and a very competitive option to US Gulf coast supply on a delivered basis. Understand how global trade flows will determine pricing for Canadian propane in the year ahead
10:00 - 10:30 Networking Break
10:30 - 11:00 Presentation: Natural Gas Strategy

  • How can Canada continue competing in the North American market? What is the likelihood for LNG development during the next window of opportunity? How have production of natural gas and NGLs shifted geographically over the years? What might this mean for existing processing infrastructure and connectivity?
11:00 - 12:30 Session 2: Transportation and Logistics for Canadian NGLs

  • Exports from Markus Hook: Mariner East 2 is scheduled to come online in 2018. What impact will this have on Eastern Canadian propane/butane?

  • Rail capacity: What are the latest projects to bring western Canadian propane to market? 

  • VLGC freight market: What is the outlook for shipping demand and freight rates?
12:30 - 14:00 Lunch
14:00 - 14:30 Presentation: India’s Appetite for Canadian NGLs

  • What is India’s appetite for Canadian NGLs when new west coast export terminals come online?
14:30 - 16:00 Session 3: West Coast Export Projects

This session will address the latest export projects and outlets for Canadian NGLs on the west coast including:
  • Key demand drivers from residential to petrochemical use
  • Building the case for market liquidity and price transparency
  • Canada’s competitive advantage to USGC supplies
  • Opportunities for WCSB producers and netback improvements
  • Future of US west coast exports when propane exports from British Columbia ramp up
16:00 - 16:30 Networking Break
16:30 - 17:30 Session 4: Mexico’s Demand for Canadian Propane

  • LPG distribution in Mexico: Understand the strategy for imports and pricing in Mexico and how the distribution system is working with current infrastructure and storage capacity challenges
  • Exporting propane to Mexico: Understand the demand dynamics for Edmonton propane in the Mexican market
17:30 - 18:30 Cocktail Reception
Friday, May 4
08:00 - 08:45 Registration and Breakfast

08:45 - 09:00

Opening Remarks
09:00 - 10:30 Session 5: Petrochemical Demand

  • Competitive economics: What is the outlook for domestic and international petrochemical demand and netbacks from different markets?

  • Extending the Alberta advantage: Understand Alberta’s competitive advantage in petrochemicals and how Alberta can compete with the US in light of recent China-US investments announcement

  • Pembina project update: What is the outlook for Alberta’s petrochemical supply/demand balance for western Canadian propane? When will final investment decision be made for the PDH/PP facility? What might additional petrochemical and export demand mean for propane prices in western Canada?
10:30 - 11:00 Networking Break 
11:00 - 12:00 Session 6: Ethane Projects and Trends

  • Rise of ethane projects: What are the implications of US ethane crackers and ethylene export terminals coming online and what might this mean for western Canadian NGLs? 

  • Ethane trends: What are the ethane rejection rates we are seeing in Alberta and WCSB?

  • NOVA’s all-ethane conversion plant: What is the outlook for ethane demand and ethylene supply for eastern Canada?
12:00 - 12:30 Argus Closing Remarks
12:30 Conference Concludes

* Program subject to change

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