26 1月 - 27 1月 2023
In-person: Paris, France & Online Access

Paris Grain Conference

Conference Day 1

Start End
  • 9:00
  • -
  • 9:10
  • Chairperson's introduction and opening remarks Michel Portier - Director General, Agritel, an Argus Media company
  • 9:10
  • -
  • 9:40

• Gas and oil price context and the effect it may have on agricultural commodities.
• What do rising interest rates and inflation mean in the short to mid-term? 
• Is commodity price volatility set to remain high for years to come, and if so, how does the industry cope with this?
  • 9:40
  • -
  • 10:25
  • Have interdependencies been turned into vulnerabilities? Can Europe truly reduce its reliance on Russian energy imports? - International Energy Agency, TotalEnergies, ADM Investor Services, Institute of International and Strategic Relations, Argus

• Are geopolitical tensions hindering or invigorating Europe’s energy transition? How can Europe guarantee a stable, sustainable energy future?
• How has the war impacted trade in the Black Sea region? Will we see any return to normality, or will there be a policy shift towards greater regional self-sufficiency in strategic commodities? 
• What is the current political situation in France and Western Europe, both internally and externally? What does that mean for trade? 


Speakers:
Tim Gould, Chief Energy Economist, International Energy Agency
Thomas-Olivier Leautier, Chief Economist, TotalEnergies

Marc Ostwald, Chief Economist and Global Strategist, ADM Investor Services
Sebastien Abis, Director, Demeter Club and Associate Researcher, Institute of International and Strategic Relations
Moderator: David Fyfe, Chief Economist, Argus 

  • 10:25
  • -
  • 11:10
  • Coffee Break
  • 11:10
  • -
  • 11:55
  • Logistical and freight challenges: how are shipping markets adapting to the challenges of the current trade restrictions, and have new opportunities arisen? - Howe Robinson Partners and Maritime Strategy's International

With the ever-increasing globalisation of supply chains, Covid-19, and now the war in Ukraine, have added to the problems and intensified congestion in the movement of freight around the world, particularly the black sea, as well as contributing to higher marine bunker costs, increasing shipping costs for all maritime transport. Individuals that rely on container logistics are contending with substantial inadequacies in the coordination of containers and vessels.


• Reconsidering alternative transportation routes: what are the consequences of new trade flows on freight and trade? 
• The situation in the Black Sea is creating risk and insurance challenges which is inflating prices. What is happening on this front?
• What investments are required to ensure a more efficient and resilient grain shipping industry?


Speakers: 
Guy Hindley, Managing Director, Dry Cargo Division, Howe Robinson Partners
Will Fray, Director, Maritime Strategy's International 

  • 11:55
  • -
  • 12:40
  • Fertilizers: managing cost and efficiency as prices rise and regulations tighten - Yara and International Fertilizer Association

The effects of the war on the supply of energy and fertiliser are already trickling through agricultural supply chains, raising the prices of basic goods for nearly everyone and casting a shadow on impending crops. With fears of a global food crisis abounding, the worst is yet to come owing to an increase in prices of chemical fertilisers, of which Russia is a key producer. What will be the consequences of increased prices on fertilizer demand and productivity?


• Analysis of fertilizer affordability and availability. What are the implications of cost inflation on fertilizers?
• What is the impact on yields of a lack of affordability and availability? To what extent can organic fertilizers bridge that yield gap?
• Is now the right time to set targets for fertiliser reduction as is laid out in the Green Deal’s Farm-to-Fork strategy?

 

Speakers: 
Anke Kwast, VP Crop Nutrition R&D, Yara
Laura Cross, Director, Market Intelligence, International Fertilizer Association

  • 12:40
  • -
  • 14:00
  • Networking lunch
  • 14:00
  • -
  • 14:40
  • Forecasting economic trends and quantifying risk in grain markets.
• Where can we expect the prices of grains to be heading? What are the drivers of the market, on both the global and domestic front?
• Will farmers be able to cope with high costs and harvest sufficient crops next year/in the next planting season?
• Is the real supply crunch on wheat yet to come with the Russia-Ukraine war ongoing? 
 
  • 14:40
  • -
  • 15:40
  • How have grain trade patterns changed fundamentally on the back of the conflict, and how are global buyers steering their grains procurement during this time? - Ukrainian Grain Association, Graderco, SA Commodities, Golden Wheat for Grain Trading, Agritel, an Argus Media company

• While China is pushing for self-sufficiency in grains through policy, how far ahead is the country in strengthening domestic grains production? How will this effect trading pattern? 
• Will South America fill the current supply gap? 
• What are the consequences for the food supply to Africa and the Middle East in the short to medium term? Will there be more emphasis on regional and localised food systems? 

Speakers;
Nikolay Gorbachev, President, Ukrainian Grain Association
Ibrahim Ait Salem, Senior Grains Trader, Graderco
Luiz Santos, Managing Director, SA Commodities
Malak Al Akiely, Managing Director, Golden Wheat for Grain Trading

Moderator: Nathan Cordier, Grain Analyst, Agritel, an Argus Media company

  • 15:40
  • -
  • 16:25
  • Coffee break
 
  • 16:25
  • -
  • 17:10
  • Food versus Fuel: would reducing crop-based biofuel production help to increase the production of food? - ePURE, Eni, European Biodiesel Board

With the prices of agricultural commodities rising sharply, the food vs fuel debate has intensified around the world. As a result, various leaders and policymakers in the EU are pushing to waive biofuel mandates in order to combat rising food prices. How will this impact the future of biofuels?


• Biofuel’s feedstock quantity and availability
• A look into biofuels mandates around Europe. How is the food vs fuel debate affecting energy policy?


Speakers:
David Carpintero, Director General, ePURE
Andre Paula, Public Affairs Director, European Biodiesel Board
Andrea Martelli, Global Head of Biofeedstocks/Biofuels Trading & Sustainability, Eni

  • 17:10
  • -
  • Reception
  • 18:30
  • -
  • 22:30
  • Cocktail Dinner Reception

Conference Day 2

Start End
  • 9:00
  • -
  • 9:10
  • Chairperson's opening remarks Michel Portier - Director General, Agritel, an Argus Media company
  • 9:10
  • -
  • 9:30
  • 9:30
  • -
  • 10:40
  • What are the impacts of demand destruction caused by high prices and the impact of high energy prices on oilseed crushing, and what do they mean for consumption of vegetable oil?

• How are crop outcomes and policies in key exporters, across the EU, North America and Asia, likely to influence the vegetable oil market in 2023/24?
• What are the projections for domestic and global demand and growth of soybeans in Brazil and Argentina? And what will be China’s demand for soybeans in the coming years as the economy slows down?
• What is the balance for the rapeseed market between the expected decline in biodiesel demand in Europe and the increase in Canadian canola crushing?
• How far can South-East Asian countries go in increasing the mandates for incorporating palm oil into biodiesel?

 

Speakers to be confirmed

  • 10:40
  • -
  • 11:25
  • Coffee Break
  • 11:25
  • -
  • 11:40
  • Carbon markets and carbon credits: what are they and are they important for the industry?

The agriculture sector is key in playing a role in aiding the European Green Deal to effectively reach its aim of making the EU climate neutral in 2050. On top of this, the Commission’s new initiative, certification of carbon removals, a certification system for carbon removed from the atmosphere. Farmers are key in making a positive impact on climate challenges and goals. Learn how farmers can sequester carbon into their soil, what the future demand for carbon credits will be, what the challenges will be faced and what opportunities will arise.


• What are carbon markets and carbon credits, and what opportunities do they present?
• What are the incentives for the industry to participate? 
• How are carbon offsets bought and sold? Looking at compliance carbon markets and voluntary carbon, and how carbon credits enable regenerative agriculture.

 
  • 11:40
  • -
  • 12:05
  • Incentivising carbon farming, the future of agriculture?

The agricultural shift to regenerative agriculture is not an overnight venture. Farmers need the right incentives to transition and arrange such carbon removal solutions, as well as substantial financial funds to support them in the shift to regenerative farming.


• How can carbon agribusiness contribute to future value chains and commercial opportunities for farmers?
• What is future demand for carbon credits looking like? 
• Evaluating the impact of sustainable farming with a focus on agriculture policy. How can policy support the growth of carbon farming and how can we build the infrastructure for this transition?

Speakers:
Moderator: Adam Nye, VP Voluntary Carbon Markets Business Development, Argus

  • 12:05
  • -
  • 12:35
  • What does the future hold for biogas and biomethane, and what are its opportunities in the industry? - Farm Europe

High energy prices have led to increased warnings of a lack of global fertilisers, which could result in a food supply crisis. Both agroecology and agroeconomics are in favour of a shift to biogas and anaerobic digestion, as its outputs help tackle food and energy security needs.


• An overview of biogas and the global implementation of anaerobic digestion – why is it important for farmers?
• What is the availability of feedstock to produce sustainable biomethane? How can we accelerate investment in the biomethane value chain?
• How are farmers tackling sustainability and how do biogas systems fit in?

 

Speakers:

Joao Pacheco, Senior Fellow, Farm Europe


  • 12:35
  • -
  • 12:45
  • Final Votes – Is the market bullish, bearish, or neutral?
Paris Grain Day consensus for 2023
 
  • 12:45
  • -
  • Chairperson's closing remarks Michel Portier - Director General, Agritel, an Argus Media company