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East Timor takes stake in Bayu-Undan gas field

  • : Natural gas
  • 24/09/17

The partners in the Bayu-Undan joint venture (BUJV) gas project have agreed to transfer a 16pc stake to East Timorese state-owned firm Timor Gap.

A sale and purchase deed has been signed, with Timor Gap to participate in BUJV for the remainder of the project's lifespan, with the production-sharing contract for Bayu-Undan running to 30 June 2026 or until extraction ends, said operator Australian independent Santos.

The deal follows an initial agreement in 2023 with Timor Gap on the proposed Bayu-Undan carbon capture and storage project, which Santos chief executive Kevin Gallagher recently described as the "next big project we really want to focus on".

BUJV includes the near-depleted gas field located 500km northwest of Australia in East Timorese waters, which formerly produced feedstock for the 3.7mn t/yr Darwin LNG terminal operated by Santos. Darwin LNG is preparing to receive next year the first gas from Santos' Barossa project, while Bayu-Undan continues to produce natural gas liquids and for the Australian domestic market.

Santos will hold a 36.5pc interest in BUJV following the transfer, Japanese upstream firm Inpex 9.6pc, Tokyo Timor Sea Resources, owned by Japanese utility groups Jera and Tokyo Gas 7.7pc, Italian energy firm Eni 9.2pc and South Korean upstream firm SK E&S 21pc.

Timor Gap is the majority shareholder in the Greater Sunrise LNG project, presently in the concept select phase. The Australian government is pressing for more action after years of stalled progress with concerns China could instead develop the field in partnership with East Timor. Greater Sunrise partners Timor Gap with 56.56pc, Australian independent Woodside with 33.44pc and Japanese utility Osaka Gas with 10pc.


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24/10/08

Asia LNG premium to Europe falls to six-month low

Asia LNG premium to Europe falls to six-month low

London, 8 October (Argus) — The premium offered by northeast Asian delivered LNG markets over those in northwest Europe for prompt Atlantic loadings has this week slipped to its smallest since early May, as very low winter charter rates force European firms to bid higher compared to Asian buyers in order to secure cargoes. The Argus Northeast Asia (ANEA) des price for December offered just a 39¢/mn Btu premium to the northwest Europe November des price on 7 October. The spread dropped to 33¢/mn Btu on 4 October — the smallest since 2 May — having been as much as $2.36/mn Btu on 19 September ( see ANEA premium graph ). At least four LNG carriers loaded from US liquefaction terminals have diverted away from heading to Asia via the Cape of Good Hope to Europe instead over the last week, judging by shiptracking data from Kpler, likely stemming from the narrowing premium offered by Asian markets compared to Europe. The inter-basin spread has tightened since mid-September largely because a rally in European delivered markets has not been matched by Asia. The northwest Europe November des price increased by $1.85/mn Btu over 19 September-7 October, largely as a result of extensions to Norwegian pipeline maintenance, incremental downward revisions in minimum temperature forecasts, and geopolitical concerns surrounding conflict in the Middle East. The corresponding ANEA price, on the other hand, was little changed over the same period, as warmer weather than the seasonal average curbed early heating gas demand. Prompt shipping rates holding lower on the year has also forced European buyers to bid higher in order to compete with their Asian counterparts and ensure uncommitted Atlantic cargoes head for Europe. The prompt Argus Round Voyage rate (ARV2) for tri-fuel diesel-electric (TFDE) carriers in the Atlantic basin stood at $40,000/d today, compared to $130,000/d a year earlier ( see ARV2 spot charter graph ), with some firms even viewing additional shipping capacity as a sunk cost given the number of available vessels at present and difficulties subletting spare shipping capacity. The quick delivery of newbuild LNG carriers this year, coupled with the lack of floating storage in Europe, has contributed to a very shallow contango in forward freight prices. Forward winter rates for two-stroke vessels delivering US LNG to northwest Europe (ARV5) peak at $81,000/d in December, having been revised lower from over $100,000/d at the start of September ( see ARV2 winter rates graph ). Weak charter rates mean European buyers will likely continue to have to bid higher relative Asian bids over the winter than in previous winters, when the freight market was tighter, particularly in instances of cold snaps or other events which would tighten the global LNG balance. Europe's demand for LNG was consistently lower on the year over the second and third quarter of 2024, as Asian demand held the inter-basin arbitrage for US LNG mostly open. But imports to Europe are likely to step higher in the fourth quarter, with the arbitrage firmly shut. Minimum temperatures across the northwest — where much of the region's heating demand emanates from — are forecast to hold below the seasonal average from mid-October onwards, which may spur gas consumption. And the EU's underground gas storages are less full than a year earlier. Aggregate gas stocks stood at 1,083TWh on 1 October 2024, marginally lower than last year's 1091TWh, though both are above the EU-mandated 90pc target. A lack of floating storage this year could limit deliveries later in the year however, with European receipts over the period in the past two years supported by the unwinding of floating storage, mainly in November and December, boosting supply as colder weather boosts heating demand. By Cerys Edwards ARV2 spot charter costs 2022-2024 ARV2 winter rates assessed over Jan-Sept 2024 ANEA premium to NWE August-October Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Dutch TTF gas rises through coal-to-gas switching range


24/10/08
24/10/08

Dutch TTF gas rises through coal-to-gas switching range

London, 8 October (Argus) — A rally in recent weeks has pushed gas prices up to a range at which even older coal-fired power stations would be more profitable to run than some of the most efficient gas-fired power stations. European gas benchmark price the Dutch TTF front-month has risen strongly over the past two weeks, having closed at €40.57/MWh on 7 October, up from a recent low of €32.80/MWh on 19 September. The higher gas prices have outstripped similar price increases of other energy-related commodities such as coal, with the TTF front-month contract approaching the top of the gas-to-coal fuel-switching range ( see TTF front-month graph ). In assessments on 3 and 4 October, even older coal-fired power stations with an efficiency of 42pc would would be more profitable to run than the newest gas-fired turbines with an efficiency of 60pc, for the first time since early December last year. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have contributed to gas' price increase. But with muted LNG deliveries to the continent so far this shoulder season and colder weather than last year, European gas storage sites are less full than they were a year earlier. European stocks were filled to about 94.5pc of capacity on the morning of 7 October, according to GIE transparency platform data, down from 96.7pc a year earlier. Demand has already stepped up strongly in some countries, pushing the continent to some days of net withdrawals from storage earlier in the autumn than in most recent years. While coal prices have also stepped up slightly in turn, partly in reaction to the expectations of higher coal burn, their slower upwards momentum has brought coal largely ahead of gas in the merit order. Many coal trading firms have banked on a strong coal burn this winter, with low trading activity in the shoulder season so far, which incentivises trading companies to keep coal prices close to the fuel-switching level, market participants have told Argus . And prompt prices for European CO2 emissions allowances in September and October so far have been about 20pc lower on the year, closing at an average of €64.24/t, compared with €81.60/t over the same period in 2023. Lower emissions prices benefit higher coal burn as coal is more CO2-intensive than gas, requiring operators to purchase and surrender more CO2 emissions certificates. A similar price movement happened last autumn, when a rally in early October pushed the TTF front-month price to the top of the fuel-switching range. But from early December, when a mild winter reduced the remaining risks for gas security of supply, prices fell through the fuel-switching ranges sharply , to the bottom of the range. Impact probably highest in Germany Germany is one of the last remaining markets with large numbers of both coal- and gas-fired power stations in Europe, leaving the market able to react to price movements in either market more flexibly. The power sector can still provide considerable demand-side flexibility in the German gas market, while coal phase-out plans in the rest of Europe mean the scope for alternating between the thermal generation fuels has narrowed. Gas prices can provide the signal that the market has spare gas for the power sector to burn by falling into coal-to-gas switching territory, while gas prices climb above the fuel-switching range to discourage gas-fired generation when the gas market is tighter. Last winter, gas prices at the very bottom of the fuel-switching range encouraged the highest gas-fired generation in Germany in at least a decade , according to data from European system operators' association Entso-E. While many German coal and gas-fired plants are combined-heat-and-power plants, which do not respond to price incentives as flexibly as pure power plants, the impact of the fuel switch on gas' share in the thermal generation mix was still visible last winter in Germany. In October and November, with prices at the top of the range, gas-fired generation at 6GW met 55pc of the combined call on coal and gas. But when prices dropped through the switching range, gas' share increased to 63pc in December-March, with about 7.3GW of gas-fired generation ( see generation percentage graph ). In addition, the German storage levy of €2.50/MWh, which power producers must pay, pushes gas prices up further in the fuel-switching range. The levy, which is likely to rise further from next year , thus further decreases gas' profitability compared with coal, which could be detrimental for Germany's own coal phase-out plans. By Till Stehr TTF front-month vs fuel-switching range €/MWh German gas- and coal-fired generation and fuel-switching price pc, €/MWh Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Serbia, N Macedonia sign agreement on gas link


24/10/08
24/10/08

Serbia, N Macedonia sign agreement on gas link

London, 8 October (Argus) — The governments of Serbia and North Macedonia on 7 October signed an agreement on the construction of a 70km gas interconnector, although no timeline for the project was given. The agreement was signed in Skopje by the Serbian and North Macedonian prime ministers. Serbian prime minister Milos Vucevic said that with the new interconnection, Serbia aims to create another supply route from Greece's new Alexandroupolis LNG terminal, where Serbia's dominant supplier, Srbijagas, holds capacity . It is unclear why another route is needed given the recent commissioning of the Interconnector Bulgaria-Serbia, although flows through the link have been low since its commissioning at the beginning of this year, with Azerbaijan's Socar having been the only user under its so far underutilised 365mn m³/yr contract with Srbijagas. The 70km pipeline will have a capacity of about 1.2bn m³/yr, Vucevic said according to state news agency Tanjug, but no timeline was given for its construction. Serbia wants to "expand the number of partners interested in co-operating with us in the energy sector and that will definitely lead, or contribute, to our state's energy stability", Vucevic said, adding that the North Macedonian side also expressed interest in building an oil or oil products pipeline simultaneously with the gas pipeline. North Macedonia is also "finalising a tender procedure that will finally start the construction of the interconnector with our southern neighbour [Greece], to provide an additional option for gas supply to central Europe", Vucevic's North Macedonian counterpart, Hristijan Mickoski, said. Greek grid operator Desfa has already started construction of the 1.5bn m³/yr interconnector, which is scheduled to begin commercial operations at the start of 2026, according to Desfa's latest plans . By Brendan A'Hearn Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

September was second hottest: EU's Copernicus


24/10/08
24/10/08

September was second hottest: EU's Copernicus

London, 8 October (Argus) — Last month was the second hottest September on record globally, after September 2023, with average temperatures 0.73°C higher than the 1991-2020 average for the month, according to data from the EU climate-monitoring service Copernicus. Last month's average temperatures globally were 1.54°C above pre-industrial (1850-1900) levels and September's average was the 14th month in a 15-month period when the global average surface air temperature was more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. The global average temperature for the 12 months to September was the second highest on record for any 12-month period — 0.74°C above the 1991-2020 average, and an estimated 1.62°C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average. The January–September 2024 global-average temperature was 0.71°C above the 1991-2020 average, the highest on record for the period and 0.19°C warmer than the same period in 2023. It is almost certain that 2024 will turn out to be the warmest year on record, Copernicus said. The average temperature over European land for September 2024 was 1.74°C above the 1991-2020 average for September, making it the second warmest September on record for Europe after September 2023, which was 2.51°C above average. Last month also had exceptionally high rainfall levels across much of the continent, with widespread floods across central Europe. Last year was the hottest on record , averaging 1.45°C above pre-industrial temperatures. By Gavin Attridge Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

CNRL to buy Chevron's Canadian oil sands, shale: Update


24/10/07
24/10/07

CNRL to buy Chevron's Canadian oil sands, shale: Update

New York, 7 October (Argus) — Canadian Natural Resources (CNRL) agreed to buy a 20pc stake in the Athabasca Oil Sands Project (AOSP) and 70pc interest in the Duvernay shale from Chevron for $6.5bn, extending its lead as Canada's top producer. The all-cash transaction has an effective date retroactive to 1 September, the companies said Monday. Closing is expected during the fourth quarter. The assets being sold accounted for about 84,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) of production, net of royalties, to Chevron last year. Chevron last October announced plans to acquire US independent Hess for $53bn, pledging to sell $10bn-$15bn of assets by 2028. While the Hess deal has been delayed by a mid-2025 arbitration hearing, Chevron, the second-largest US oil producer, has increasingly focused its attention on the Permian shale basin of west Texas and southeastern New Mexico, as well as an expansion project in Kazakhstan. CNRL's acquisition bolsters its position as Canada's largest petroleum producer after pumping out 1.29mn boe/d of oil and gas in the second quarter this year. About 72pc came from oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs), with the balance from natural gas. CNRL anticipates the oil sands and Duvernay assets will lift the company's production profile by about 122,500 boe/d in 2025. About half, or 62,500 b/d, will come in the form of synthetic crude oil produced from AOSP's 320,000 b/d Scotford upgrader near Edmonton, Alberta. The upgrader is fed diluted bitumen piped from the Muskeg River and Jackpine mines in the oil sands region. The deal would increase CNRL's stake in AOSP to 90pc. Calgary-based CNRL first made its foray into AOSP in 2017 when it bought a 70pc stake from Shell and Marathon Oil Canada for $9.75bn ($C$12.74bn). Muskeg River and Jackpine are adjacent to the company's fully owned Horizon mine and upgrader, and the increase in ownership may allow for increased synergies between the two assets, according to executives. "It allows for a little bit more ease in terms of governance on the asset," CNRL president Scott Stauth said Monday on an investor call. "I can see us utilizing the equipment more effectively between the two sites." Undeveloped oil sands projects Also included in Monday's deal are additional stakes in undeveloped oil sands leases that CNRL could tap as it works through its reserves. This includes a 20pc increase the Pierre River project that would provide CNRL with 90pc ownership; a 60pc increase in the Ells River project that would lift the company's stake to 90pc; a 33pc increase in the Saleski project, for 83pc; and a 6pc working interest in Namur that would reach 65pc. Reserves from Pierre River could be used to extend the life of the Horizon project as the North Mine depletes. A standalone facility there is also possible, but would require a significant capital outlay, CNRL executives said. CNRL in May said it was considering a massive 195,000 b/d increase to its Horizon production using two new technologies. CNRL said production from the light oil and liquids rich assets in the Duvernay is expected to average 60,000 boe/d in 2025, half of which would be natural gas. CNRL anticipates pushing production to 70,000 boe/d by 2027 with more than 340 locations already identified as candidates for drilling. With WTI above $70/bl, "this is a very attractive acquisition for us," CNRL chief financial officer Mark Stainthorpe said. CNRL has been actively acquiring assets in recent years. The company purchased Canadian assets belonging to Painted Pony in 2020, Devon Energy in 2019, TotalEnergies in 2018 and Cenovus Energy in 2017, among other deals. By Stephen Cunningham and Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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