Driving activity in Germany increased around the public holiday on 1 May, leading to a rise in regional demand for fuels, particularly gasoline, in the past week. Oversupply of diesel is also pressuring premiums in Europe.
Daily volumes of diesel and E5 gasoline reported to Argus this week were higher than the average for the current year. Demand for gasoline in the North region notably increased, with reported volumes in the past week reaching the highest daily average in 2024.
The filling station sector is almost entirely responsible for the increased demand, market participants said. Many end-users took Monday and Tuesday off as additional holidays, leading up to 1 May. This resulted in a temporary increase in travel activity. In anticipation of this, filling station operators stocked up on fuel.
But compared with previous years, overall demand for diesel in Germany remains weak. Coupled with plenty supply of diesel on the international market, this has led to premiums of cif Hamburg in April reaching their lowest level since July 2023. In the face of oversupply the difference between cif Hamburg diesel and cif ARA assessment fell further as well over the past week.
The volume of diesel imported to northern Germany increased by 18pc in April compared with March, reaching around 71,000 b/d, data from Vortexa show. The low premiums of the diesel cif assessments, along with the ICE Gasoil Future's contango — which has encouraged the storage of product in tanks since mid-April — have particularly boosted import demand.
