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26/03/06

Brazil watchdog clears IG4 path to Braskem control

Brazil watchdog clears IG4 path to Braskem control

Sao Paulo, 6 March (Argus) — Brazil's antitrust authority Cade has approved without restrictions a transaction that could transfer controlling-company Novonor's stake in petrochemical producer Braskem to an investment fund advised by IG4 Sol, marking a significant shift in a long-running dispute over control of the petrochemical producer. IG4 Sol is part of IG4 Capital, a private equity firm specializing in distressed assets. Its proposal involves acquiring Novonor's debt from a consortium of banks — including Itau, Bradesco, Santander, Banco do Brasil and national development bank Bndes — and converting it into equity in Braskem. This debt-for-equity approach could allow IG4 to assume Braskem's control without a direct share purchase. Braskem said it learned from Cade's website that the watchdog issued a decision authorizing the concentration act related to Shine I FIDC's acquisition of Novonor-linked credit rights backed by Braskem shares. The Shine I FIDC fund was created as part of the restructuring framework tied to Novonor's creditor-backed assets, and serves as the vehicle designated to receive the Braskem shares securing those obligations. The fund consolidates the credit rights involved and acts as the platform through which Braskem's controlling block would be transferred. The approval opens a 15-day window in which Cade's tribunal may decide to take up the case, but the green light removes a key regulatory barrier for the structure under negotiation. The decision contrasts with the extended review Cade initiated in early February, when the authority signaled it needed a deeper look at the implications of an investment fund entering Braskem's capital structure, even though the deal had originally been filed under the fast-track procedure. At the time, Cade also considered concerns raised by plastics association Abiplast, which briefly sought third-party intervention before withdrawing its request. The new approval now places Shine I FIDC and IG4 in the leading position to assume Novonor's stake. Braskem said on Friday that any final outcome remains contingent on the 15-day review period and on the various contractual conditions tied to Novonor's restructuring process. The company emphasized that it will disclose any further information received from Novonor, the fund or Shine I FIDC. Novonor, under judicial recovery, has been seeking a path to divest most of its Braskem holding while potentially retaining a small minority stake as part of its restructuring plan. State-controlled oil major Petrobras, Braskem's other major shareholder, had opted on 12 February not to exercise its preemption or tag-along rights in the potential transfer of Braskem's shares held by Novonor. The renewed clarity on the antitrust front arrives against a backdrop of financial and operational strain for Braskem. The company has faced tighter cash conditions, pressure from weaker petrochemical spreads and setbacks at its Mexican joint venture Braskem Idesa, while lower plant utilization and feedstock constraints continue to affect domestic output. By Fred Fernandes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

US weighs military powers to restart oil pipeline


26/03/06
News
26/03/06

US weighs military powers to restart oil pipeline

Washington, 6 March (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration is considering invoking a 1950 war mobilization law to override legal impediments to restarting a pipeline that would transport oil being produced offshore California. The Trump administration since last year has pushed to restart a network of pipelines that would allow US independent Sable Offshore to start selling crude it is producing from offshore platforms off the coast of southern California. Federal regulators in December asserted to have control over the pipelines, but a state judge last month halted the restart of the pipeline, citing a consent decree that had resolved a state lawsuit over a massive spill from the pipeline in 2015. The administration is now considering an alternative to restarting the shuttered oil pipeline by using the Defense Production Act of 1950. Under a legal opinion the US Department of Justice published on 3 March, the administration asserted the ability to use the Korean War-era law to preempt both state law and the consent decree. "The [law] authorizes the President to regulate private entities in ways that may be inconsistent with state law" the legal opinion said. US presidents have used the Defense Production Act to fast-track the production of military equipment, critical minerals and even medical devices needed to address Covid-19. But no president has previously invoked the law to override state laws limiting pipeline operations. According to the memo, Sable Offshore asked US energy secretary Chris Wright to invoke the law to require Sable to operate the pipeline system as a way to preempt California state law. Sable Offshore did not respond to a request for comment. Trump administration officials have already indicated they are looking for ways to address spiking oil prices sparked by US-Israeli strikes on Iran. The administration has a "whole flow chart of tools" to bring down prices, White House national economic council director Kevin Hassett said on Friday. Invoking the Defense Production Act to restart the pipeline would likely trigger a lawsuit from California, which says the pipeline needs to meet stringent pressure testing requirements before it can restart. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Brazilian steel slab exports double in February


26/03/06
News
26/03/06

Brazilian steel slab exports double in February

Sao Paulo, 6 March (Argus) — Brazilian steel slab exports more than doubled in February, led by gains in shipments to the US and EU, reflecting Brazil's advantage under the EU bloc's low-emissions policy. Total slab exports rose to 835,327 metric tonnes (t) last month, up from 384,170t a year earlier, customs data showed. Shipments increased to nearly all current destination markets in the Americas and Europe. Exports to EU member states surged to 210,000t, up from 50t a year earlier. Demand for Brazilian slab in Europe rose, underpinned by the country's relatively low default emissions values under the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). Production issues at European mills also supported the increase, as they turned to South American subsidiaries to cover supply gaps. Italy was the only EU country to import Brazilian slab in February 2025, but this year trade resumed with four other member states. France ranked as the primary EU destination with 73,171t, while Brazilian mills shipped 60,647t to Spain, according to customs data. The US remained the largest buyer of Brazilian slab, as shipments to the country rose by 54pc to 536,940t compared with 348,595t the year prior. Demand for imported slab held firm despite 50pc tariffs on steel imports, as elevated downstream steel prices continued to offset higher import costs. Tight domestic supply, with several US mills facing production constraints, has supported prices and sustained import demand, sources said. Part of the surge in US imports in February may reflect shipments that were delayed in January, when exports to the US had virtually dried up. Shipments to other Latin American countries also increased as the region extended safeguard measures against Asian producers. Brazil exported 19,981t to Colombia, up from zero a year before. A Brazilian steelmaker increased exports to its own rolling mill in Mexico to 46,571t from nil a year earlier. By Isabel Filgueiras and Aaron May Brazilian slab exports t Country Feb 2026 Feb 2025 Difference ±% US 536,940 348,595 188,345 54.0 France 73,171 0 73,171 100.0 Spain 60,647 0 60,647 100.0 Mexico 46,571 0 46,571 100.0 Poland 40,514 0 40,514 100.0 Germany 28,832 0 28,832 100.0 Peru 20,325 8,954 11,371 127.0 Total 835,327 384,170 451,157 117.4 Brazil's ministry of development, industry and foreign trade data compiled by Global Trade Tracker Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Falling mortgage rates may boost US housing, PVC


26/03/06
News
26/03/06

Falling mortgage rates may boost US housing, PVC

Houston, 6 March (Argus) — US mortgage rates this year have sunk to their lowest level in more than three years and could unlock more consumer demand in a housing sector that has faced falling affordability . But tepid early-year housing demand has left polyvinyl chloride (PVC) suppliers cautiously optimistic that demand in the housing market could strengthen compared with 2025, with most expectations centered around a repeat of last year. About 51pc of outstanding mortgages have interest rates below 4pc, according to third quarter 2025 data from the US Federal Housing Finance Agency. With current rates as much as 50pc higher, that means more current homeowners who would otherwise be in the market for a new home are staying put. Realtors and mortgage experts anticipate a nominal rebound in housing demand this year as average rates on a 30-year mortgage slumped below 6pc for the week ended 27 February — the first time in more than three years — before crawling back to an average 6pc this week, Freddie Mac data show. "Rates below 6pc are an important psychological milestone for both buyers and sellers," said Nadia Evangelou, senior economist and director of real estate research at the National Association of Realtors (NAR). "Nearly 5.5mn additional households can afford the median-priced home when rates fall from 7pc to 6pc." Housing affordability improved early this year on higher income and declining interest rates. Gradually higher purchasing power early this year underpins expectations of an 8pc increase in 2026 home sales and indicates an anemic US housing sector could be at an inflection point, data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) show. But new-home construction remains subdued, and a marginal decrease from 2025 is still expected. The MBA forecasts a 2pc decline this year in total housing starts from 2025, while the NAR projects a 1pc increase in single-family starts. Bullish demand signals in the domestic housing market have not shifted outlooks from PVC suppliers, who are maintaining tempered demand expectations from home construction. Current outlooks largely anticipate PVC demand into new-home construction to mirror 2025, which extended the multi-year demand slump in the sector. Instead, PVC suppliers are increasingly bullish on rebounding demand in the remodeling and wiring and cable industries, sources said. Residential remodeling activity is expected to grow by 3pc in 2026 and by 2pc in 2027, data from the National Association of Home Builders show. This trend is supported by an aging housing stock, homeowners locked into lower mortgage rates, and older homeowners not purchasing new homes. US home builders share the PVC industry's cautious outlook. A survey of home builders in February continued to paint a cooling new-home market, data from the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index show. The leading concerns for surveyed builders are buyers waiting for lower mortgage rates, concerns about the broader economic environment, and high Federal Reserve interest rates. The US Federal Reserve is generally not expected to reduce its target interest rate in the first half of the year, with expectations of rate cuts in 2026 significantly dampened by stubbornly-high inflation and weaker-than-expected employment numbers in recent months, CME FedWatch data show. By Maya Porter and Gordon Pollock Mortgage rates vs. Residential construction permits Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Strait of Hormuz squeeze lifts US crude, freight


26/03/06
News
26/03/06

Strait of Hormuz squeeze lifts US crude, freight

Houston, 6 March (Argus) — North America's crude shipments are shifting towards the Asia-Pacific to compensate for the loss of supply from the de facto closure of the strait of Hormuz, and markets are showing the strain in the form of record-high prices and surging freight rates. The shock wave from the Middle East disruption has reached crude export terminals from Texas to Alaska, prompting buyers to seek replacement barrels and tightening supply. On the US Gulf coast, deepwater Mars crude surged to a six-year high premium to WTI CMA Nymex as overseas refiners scrambled to replace Middle Eastern cargoes now cut off by the effective shutdown of the Hormuz chokepoint, which carried around 277,000 b/d of mostly medium sour Mideast Gulf crude to the US Gulf coast from November 2025 to February 2026, according to analytics platform Vortexa. US light sweet WTI has emerged as a potential substitute for Abu Dhabi's light sour Murban at Asia Pacific refineries. A Japanese refiner recently purchased 2mn bl of WTI for June arrival in a deal concluded after the US-Iran conflict escalated. US west coast delivered prices for medium sour Alaska North Slope (ANS) crude also hit record highs this week as Asia-Pacific buying tightened supply on the US west coast. Asia-Pacific refiners are seeking alternatives to Middle Eastern grades as the closure of Hormuz effectively halts flows from the region. ANS is one of the more readily available medium sour spot grades in the Pacific basin, and this additional demand is further constraining west coast availability. Elevated freight costs are also supporting west coast delivered prices. A fleet of US flag tankers typically moves ANS to California and Washington under Jones Act requirements and post Exxon Valdez oil spill regulations. Some of these vessels may now be employed on trans-Pacific voyages because of limited Suezmax availability in the region, tightening local tanker supply and pushing freight costs higher. But soaring freight rates may curb the appeal of US crude. VLCC rates for US Gulf coast loadings to China climbed to about $14/bl on a WTI basis — nearly double week on week — reaching the highest level since Argus began assessing the route in 2012. By John Cordner Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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