Electrification will be a central element in the global roadmap to transition away from fossil fuels, which should be published on 3 November, UN Cop 30 climate summit president Andre Correa do Lago said during a ministerial meeting last week.
Correa do Lago had pledged last year during the Cop 30 talks in Belem, Brazil to deliver a roadmap on the transition away from fossil fuel in a just and equitable manner after the summit ended without an agreement on the topic.
"Electrification is absolutely central in the roadmap and we are happy to see that it is going to be widely discussed," he said. He was referring to the Cop 31 Turkish presidency's push for a global goal for electricity to reach 35pc of global final energy consumption by 2035, up from around 20pc at present.
The roadmap commitment is part of the implementation of the decision taken at Cop 28 in 2023, Correa do Lago told the electrification ministerial. The outcome from Cop 28, in Dubai, included a landmark consensus. Countries agreed to transition away "from fossil fuels in energy systems", as well as treble renewable energy and double energy efficiency rates by 2030, and to accelerate efforts towards the phase-down of unabated coal power".
The Cop 30 presidency called for proposals from countries and civil society organisations on the roadmap at the end of February. The roadmap should conclude with recommendations on the shift away from fossil fuels, after setting out some potential risks and looking at supply and demand.
The Brazilian government is also working on its own roadmap to phase out fossil fuels. Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva last week told the UN general assembly that the country "will move forward with a roadmap for decarbonisation of the Brazilian economy". Lula, who is running for another term in the presidential elections taking place next month, has pledged to expand investments in upstream oil and gas, refining and LNG logistics, while maintaining natural gas and biomethane as key transition fuels to support industrial development and power system reliability.
Energy research firm Epe expects Brazil to produce 4.9mn b/d of crude by 2030, up from current production estimated at nearly 4.5mn b/d, according to data from hydrocarbons regulator ANP. The Brazilian government has previously said that developed countries should take the lead when it comes to "the definition of schedules for transitioning away from fossil fuels".
