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Asphalt report: North America commentary

  • : Oil products
  • 06/05/08

The steep increase in US wholesale prices has forced some wholesale buyers to back away from wholesale asphalt purchases. Several of these buyers have commitments on the books which are at prices that are lower than the current wholesale values, making it difficult for them to justify purchasing higher cost replacement barrels.

 

US Rocky Mountain wholesale prices continued to strengthen, with prices moving up from the $200-250 fob range to $225-265 fob last week. Turnarounds in the Rocky Mountain region, along with the tight light-heavy crude price spread (and the resultant switch to lighter crudes) have reduced the supply of asphalt from these traditional wholesale supply sources.

 

Alon USA announced the completion of two separate transactions totalling $459mn to purchase Paramount Petroleum Corporation and Edgington Oil Company.

 

Western Refining announced the acquisition of an asphalt plant and terminal located in El Paso, Texas and asphalt terminals located in Phoenix and Tucson, Arizona, and Albuquerque, New Mexico from Chevron USA. 

 

East coast commentary
East coast wholesale buyers have a genuine concern about asphalt resupply in the East coast. The supply situation appears to be adequate for the time being, but the concern is about summer supply availability, particularly in the second half of the year.

 

East coast wholesale prices continued to creep up. An East coast refiner reported selling a large barge of a premium grade product at $300-310 on a fob basis. The volume is expected to lift in the next week or two.

 

One New England buyer reported that the current market for PG 64-28 was at $305-310 fob New Jersey refiners. Some quotes for PG 64-28 were heard at the $320-325 delivered price range.

 

An East coast flux buyer reported recently purchasing a parcel of flux from an export source at $320 delivered. The supplier stated that the parcel was already on its way.

 

In New England, Boston prices and southern Connecticut prices were holding at $305-310 fob range for PG 64-28. One marketer commented that most of the East coast had already moved to $350 fob for PG 64-22, so it was just a matter of time for the New England market to catch up.

 

In western New York, one supplier raised its reference price to $305 from $280 fob, effective from 5 May. This price increase was reported to have resulted in an adjustment in the New York state index.

 

A western Pennsylvania supplier stated that it had moved to quoting the state index for highway work. The supplier stated that it was no longer protecting the 10pc price window around the quoted price.

 

One East coast refiner raised its prices on 2 May to $350 for PG 64-22 at all its East coast terminal locations from New Jersey to North Carolina. This represented a $25-50 increase in its prices, depending on the location.

 

Another supplier raised its prices by $25 to $325-335 on 1 May. With this increase, the supplier prices in New Jersey and Maryland went up to $325, while its price in the Bronx in New York went to $335 for PG 64-22.

 

Another East coast refiner raised its prices at all terminal locations last week. With these increases, its prices in eastern New York and northern New Jersey had high prices of $325 fob for PG 64-22. From southern New Jersey to coastal South Carolina the supplier raised its prices with its highest price at $350 fob. Inland North Carolina moved up to $360 fob. Atlanta prices moved up to $340, while Savannah prices were at $325.

 

In Tampa, Florida, one supplier reported a price of $332 or higher. Another Tampa supplier moved its price up to a high of around $330. In Jacksonville, one supplier moved its price to $345, while another moved its price to $330 fob.

 

A southern Florida supplier will be opening up for business early this week. The supplier stated that its opening price will be $360 fob for conventional asphalt.

 

Gulf coast commentary
Gulf coast wholesale prices rose by $35-40 in the US Gulf coast market. High production costs and limited wholesale supply of asphalt were reported to be the key reasons behind the price increase.

 

An eastern Gulf coast refiner completed three wholesale transactions with three different buyers. The supplier sold a total of 170,000 bl of PG 67-22 for delivery to various locations. The volumes are expected to lift before the middle of May. Two parcels were sold at $285 fob. The third parcel was sold at $310 delivered into a Gulf coast state, with a fob equivalent price of $285. The supplier sated that it was evaluating whether it would have additional volumes to sell in May.

 

Effective 1 May, an Alabama supplier raised its retail prices in the northern and central part of the state from $275 fob to $300 fob for PG 67-22. Also effective on 1 May, a southern Mississippi supplier raised its prices for PG 67-22 from $275 to $300 for PG 67-22.

 

Effective last week, a southern Louisiana supplier raised its price by $10 to $295 fob. Another Louisiana supplier stated that its volumes were down substantially but it was holding its prices at the $310 fob level.

 

One Texas supplier raised its prices on 1 May from $300 to $325 fob. The supplier reported that it had informed its customers that it would be raising its prices on 8 May to $350 fob for PG 64-22. Effective 1 May, volumes moving from Oklahoma into the Dallas/Fort Worth market were at $320 netback prices, an increase of around $20.

 

In New Mexico, prices were reported to be at $320 fob PG 70-22. Bids for PG 76-22 at the last state DOT letting were over $500 on a delivered basis, or at $470-480 on a fob basis.

 

Midwest commentary
After strengthening substantially last week, Midwest wholesale prices were reported to be holding in the $280-315 fob range for PG 64-22. One Midwest buyer reported receiving quotes from one supplier at the $290 fob level. Another wholesale supplier was getting $315 fob on all its new deals for May. The supplier was also quoting the $325 fob price for PG 64-22 for June.

 

Midwest suppliers reiterated that the increase in wholesale prices was necessary due to higher production costs and the shrinking light-heavy crude price spread.

 

The steep increase in wholesale prices has forced some wholesale buyers to back away from wholesale asphalt purchases. Several of these buyers have commitments on the books that are at prices that are lower than the current wholesale values, making it difficult for them to justify purchasing higher cost replacement barrels.

 

One Midwest supplier is offering a $30 premium for PG 58-28 over PG 64-22. This premium applies to both wholesale and retail volumes.

 

There is concern being voiced in the Midwest that the high cost of asphalt could result in more overlay and maintenance jobs, rather than new construction projects.

 

In Chicago, Illinois, date-of-shipment prices were reported to be at $300 by one local supplier. Another stated that several customers were lifting asphalt in May at the $340 fob price for PG 64-22. One supplier stated that its price of $340 is available for the month of May only, and that it expected its June price to be higher.

 

Rack prices in Milwaukee, Wisconsin were heard at $355 fob for PG 64-22 for May. The Bay City area was at $360 fob, with a $30 premium for PG 58-28.

 

In Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota, one supplier was offering limited volume for May to a few customers at the $300 fob price for May. The supplier stated that it is selling minimal volume, and is not differentiating between PG 64-22 and PG 58-28 in this market. One supplier stated that the matching of prices to historical accounts is still going on in this market, but to a lesser extent.

 

In eastern Iowa, prices were reported to be at $345 fob for PG 64-22. Omaha, Nebraska prices were heard at $350 fob for PG 64-22. The Kansas City market was at $350 fob, while the Arkansas City, Kansas market moved up to $325 on 1 May. One supplier raised its prices in Oklahoma to $300 for PG 64-22, effective 1 May.

 

One supplier had its northern Ohio prices at $400 for date-of-shipment sales. Another northern Ohio supplier was quoting $350 for PG 64-22. A Cincinnati supplier was in the process of adjusting its price to $330 from $320 fob.

 

One Detroit, Michigan supplier quoted $360 not-to-exceed for PG 64-22, with a $25 premium for PG 58-28. The supplier stated that it was limiting quotes to its historical accounts and to its historical market areas.

 

One Indianapolis, Indiana supplier stated that it moved its quotes to $350 not-to-exceed. The supplier was offering a $30 premium for PG 58-28. Quotes out of southern Indiana were heard at $330 fob, with a $20 premium for PG 58-28. In northern Indiana, one supplier had its date-of-shipment sales at $340 fob for PG 64-22.

 

Nashville, Tennessee prices moved up to $295 fob from $285 fob for PG 64-22. Knoxville prices moved up to $315 from $300, while Chattanooga prices moved to $330 from $320 for PG 64-22.

 

Rocky Mountain & west coast commentary
Rocky Mountain wholesale prices continued to strengthen, with prices moving up from the $200-250 fob range to $225-265 fob last week. Turnarounds in the Rocky Mountain region, along with the tight light-heavy crude price spread (and the resultant switch to lighter crudes) have reduced the supply of asphalt from these traditional wholesale supply sources. Buyers reported that there is very little wholesale asphalt available from the Rockies compared to historical levels.

 

One Rocky Mountain supplier stated that it had not made any asphalt in three weeks as it has been sending all its vacuum tower bottoms to the coker. The supplier expected to be back up and running over this past weekend, but did not expect to have full production of asphalt until the first part of June.

 

One Rocky Mountain supplier stated that if it did have wholesale asphalt to sell, it would not have difficulty finding a buyer at the $250 fob wholesale price level.

 

One Midwest buyer reported purchasing an off-spec asphalt grade for blending purposes from the Rockies at $200 fob. The supplier stated that the price for this product increased by $20 for the month of May.

 

One Rocky Mountain refiner reported selling some PG 58-28 and PG 64-22 at $250 fob its refinery. The supplier stated that these volumes were moving by rail during September, October and November. The supplier stated that any volumes that were currently lifting were at the $225 fob price.

 

Montana bid a small PG 64-22 job last week. Quotes were heard at around the $250 fob level. PG 64-28 was bid at $315 fob from one supplier, who was successful in taking the business. Another supplier was at $309 fob. A small PG 64-34 job was bid at $390 fob by a local supplier.

 

Wyoming suppliers do not appear to be bidding at lettings. One Wyoming supplier notified its customers that that they do not have asphalt to supply. Another stated that it would require a price of $330-375 fob to participate in the retail market. The supplier stated that this price level reflected its coker economics. In Colorado, quotes from one supplier were heard at the $295-315 fob level for PG 64-22.

 

One Arizona supplier stated that its obligations get over in June, after which it will move to month-to-month pricing. The supplier stated that its prices in Phoenix were at $315 fob for PG 64-16 and PG 70-10. Southwest suppliers continue to find the supply situation for wholesale asphalt extremely tight.

 

In northern California, one supplier raised its price on 1 May to $345 fob for non-modified grades, PG 64-10 and PG 64-16. In southern California, one supplier raised its prices to $275 fob, effective 1 May for PG 64-10 and PG 64-16.

 

Alon USA doubles its US asphalt assets through two California acquisitions.

 

Canada commentary
Crude price strength and the narrow light-heavy crude price spread continued to put pressure on western Canadian prices. Western Canadian rack prices felt the most pressure as the last time these prices were changed were late last year and very early in 2006.

 

One west Canadian refiner raised its rack prices by C$40, effective 5 May. With these rises, the supplier's price in Edmonton went up to C$360, Vancouver to C$400, Kamloops to C$410, and Winnipeg to C$400.

 

Another west Canadian supplier informed its customers on 3 May that it would be raising its rack prices on 8 May by C$40. With this hike, the supplier's price in Edmonton went up to C$360, Vancouver to C$400, Prince George to C$415, Kamloops to C$405, and Winnipeg to C$400.

 

Last week, Manitoba bid its first highway job for the 2006 paving season. The job bid on 4 May and called for 4,000t of Pen 150-200. One supplier did not bid the job. Fob equivalent prices from suppliers that did bid the job showed a very wide range for prices. Prices were reported at C$381, C$394 and C$470. The supplier that bid C$381 was reported to have won the work.

 

Eastern Canadian posted prices have reached new heights. One local supplier raised its posted prices by C$20 on 8 May to C$415 for PG 58-28, and C$445 for PG 64-28. This followed a C$25 increase in posted prices which occurred on 1 May.

 

The current market in Montreal, Quebec was reported to be at C$385-390 fob for PG 58-28, while prices in Toronto were at C$380.

 

Eastern Canadian wholesale buyers are facing tremendous pressure to raise their retail prices. Higher replacement costs, due to the increase in Midwest wholesale prices, was reported to be the main reason behind the price pressure.

 

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