Argus Americas Biofuels Forward Curves
Daily modelled forward price curves for Americas biofuels markets, covering ethanol, biodiesel, renewable diesel, feedstocks and renewable credits.
Overview
Argus Americas Biofuels Forward Curves is a daily forward pricing service delivering modelled curve values across key Americas biofuels markets. It provides 24 months of forward prices for ethanol, biodiesel, renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel, biofuel feedstocks and renewable credits across the US and South America.
At a glance
- 29 forward curves across biofuels and feedstocks.
- Covers ethanol, biodiesel, renewable diesel and SAF.
- Renewable credits including RINs and LCFS covered.
- 24 months of forward prices, published daily.
- Supports mark-to-market, VaR and deal valuation.
- Validate forward curves against counterparties.
Speak to a specialist
Key features
Americas biofuels coverage
Covers 29 forward curves spanning ethanol, biodiesel, renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel, biofuel feedstocks and renewable credits across the US and South America.
Block pricing formats
Forward prices are published in monthly, quarterly and calendar block formats, with fixed price and mid-points provided to support precise commercial valuation and risk modelling.
24 months of forward prices
Prices are published a minimum of 24 months forward. RINs prices are provided by obligation year, a minimum of two years forward, supporting extended planning and risk management.
Time-stamped
All forward curves are timestamped at 14:30 New York time, aligned with Argus physical settlement price assessments, ensuring consistent and comparable daily valuations.
Flexible data delivery
Forward curve data is available via data feed, third-party channel partners, the Argus Data Science Studio or email, enabling integration into existing workflows and systems.
Risk management tools
Data supports a proven range of risk and analytical processes including mark-to-market accounting, value-at-risk, potential future exposure, deal valuation and scenario analysis.
How Argus assesses Americas biofuels forward curves
- Source data and quality checks
Curves are calculated from current and historical traded market inputs, all subject to rigorous quality and relevance checks.
- Forward curve production
In liquid markets, Argus assessments form the starting point. Price spreads to liquid markets fill unavailable data gaps.
- Proxy market assignment
Highly correlated curves are assigned as proxy markets to generate prices where assessments or external data are unavailable.
- Zero-arbitrage consistency
Strip prices always equal the average of component periods, ensuring zero-arbitrage consistency across all published curves.
- Validation and model oversight
Models follow published methodologies and undergo continual review of conceptual soundness, monitoring and outcomes.
Who uses this service
Risk managers
- Validate forward curves against counterparties using independent, third-party data.
- Mark biofuels positions to market daily for accurate profit and loss assessment.
- Quantify value-at-risk and potential future exposure across biofuels portfolios.
Traders, market analysts and trade analysts
- Reference prior-day curves each morning to inform market entry and trading decisions.
- Identify locational and temporal spread relationships using historical curve data.
- Support deal valuation and regression analysis with reliable, timestamped forward prices.
Frequently asked questions
Key price assessments
Argus prices are recognised by the market as trusted and reliable indicators of the real market value. Explore some of our most widely used and relevant price assessments.