Overview

Argus Americas Crude Oil Forward Curves is a daily data service providing independent forward price assessments for crude oil grades across the Americas. Powered by data science and machine learning, it delivers modelled current values for forward delivery periods — across months, quarters and calendar years — enabling precise risk management, mark-to-market accounting and deal valuation.

At a glance

  • Daily assessments for 43 Americas crude grades.
  • Covers 62 forward months and three forward calendar years.
  • Zero-arbitrage methodology ensures internal consistency.
  • Supports mark-to-market, VaR and deal valuation.
  • Enables precise risk management and trading decisions.
  • Delivered via data feed, API, Argus Direct® and more.
     

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How Argus assesses Americas crude oil forward curves

  • Source data and market inputs
    Curves use current and historical data, including traded markets, Argus price assessments and external market information, all subject to rigorous quality and relevance checks.

  • Forward curve production
    Market information and price spreads to more liquid markets and time periods are used to generate and fill gaps across the forward curve where data is unavailable.

  • Consistency and adjustment
    Argus produces zero-arbitrage forward curves, ensuring strip prices always equal the average of their component periods. Abnormally large day-on-day changes are investigated and confirmed or revised by analysts.

  • Validation and oversight
    All model inputs, outputs and forward curves undergo ongoing validation and continual review to ensure the models perform as expected in generating representative prices.

  • Corrections
    Corrections are issued for clerical errors, calculation mistakes or misapplication of methodology. Published prices are not retroactively changed based on new information.
Argus Scrap market assessment process: define, gather data, verify, assess value, publish prices

Who uses this service

Argus Americas Crude Oil Forward Curves is used daily by professionals across trading, risk management, refining and financial analysis who require reliable, independent forward price data.

Risk managers

  • Use forward curve data for mark-to-market accounting and daily profit and loss assessments.
  • Validate internal curves against independent, third-party assessments.
  • Quantify value-at-risk and potential future exposure across crude portfolios.
     

Traders and trade analysts

  • Reference prior-day curves when entering the market each morning.
  • Identify locational and time spread relationships using historical curve data.
  • Support deal valuation and in-house forward position validation.
     

Refineries

  • Inform hedging decisions when securing crude oil supplies.
  • Assess the forward cost of feedstock to support procurement planning.
  • Benchmark crude values across multiple grades and locations.
     

Exploration and production companies

  • Determine fiscal year commitments using forward curve data.
  • Support budget planning with reliable, independent price outlooks.
  • Assess exposure across multiple crude grades and time horizons.
     

Key price assessments

Argus Americas Crude Oil Forward Curves provides daily forward price assessments for 43 crude oil grades across the Americas, published as outright values and differentials to Nymex WTI, WTI CMA and ICE Brent, supporting trading, risk management and planning decisions.