Overview
Argus Americas Crude Oil Forward Curves is a daily data service providing independent forward price assessments for crude oil grades across the Americas. Powered by data science and machine learning, it delivers modelled current values for forward delivery periods — across months, quarters and calendar years — enabling precise risk management, mark-to-market accounting and deal valuation.
At a glance
- Daily assessments for 43 Americas crude grades.
- Covers 62 forward months and three forward calendar years.
- Zero-arbitrage methodology ensures internal consistency.
- Supports mark-to-market, VaR and deal valuation.
- Enables precise risk management and trading decisions.
- Delivered via data feed, API, Argus Direct® and more.
Key features
Daily price assessments
Forward curve values for 43 Americas crude oil grades and trading locations are published every business day, timestamped at the appropriate market settlement time.
Broad market coverage
Covers Canada, US midcontinent, US Gulf Coast, US West Coast, Mexico and South America, including grades such as WCS, WTI, LLS, Mars, ANS and key Mexican and South American crudes.
Outrights and differentials
Prices published in $/bl as outright values and as differentials to Nymex WTI, Nymex WTI CMA, ICE Brent and other crudes, providing flexible reference points for trading and risk.
Data science methodology
Curves are generated using machine learning models that pair Argus' proprietary deals-done price database with decades of market knowledge, producing distortion-free and representative values.
Zero-arbitrage consistency
Strip product prices always equal the average of their component periods, ensuring internal consistency across the full forward curve and supporting reliable regression and scenario analysis.
Flexible delivery options
Access data via Argus Data Science Studio, Argus Direct®, data feed, API, FTP, Excel add-in, email or third-party channel partners, integrating directly into existing workflows.
How Argus assesses Americas crude oil forward curves
- Source data and market inputs
Curves use current and historical data, including traded markets, Argus price assessments and external market information, all subject to rigorous quality and relevance checks.
- Forward curve production
Market information and price spreads to more liquid markets and time periods are used to generate and fill gaps across the forward curve where data is unavailable.
- Consistency and adjustment
Argus produces zero-arbitrage forward curves, ensuring strip prices always equal the average of their component periods. Abnormally large day-on-day changes are investigated and confirmed or revised by analysts.
- Validation and oversight
All model inputs, outputs and forward curves undergo ongoing validation and continual review to ensure the models perform as expected in generating representative prices.
- Corrections
Corrections are issued for clerical errors, calculation mistakes or misapplication of methodology. Published prices are not retroactively changed based on new information.

Who uses this service
Risk managers
- Use forward curve data for mark-to-market accounting and daily profit and loss assessments.
- Validate internal curves against independent, third-party assessments.
- Quantify value-at-risk and potential future exposure across crude portfolios.
Traders and trade analysts
- Reference prior-day curves when entering the market each morning.
- Identify locational and time spread relationships using historical curve data.
- Support deal valuation and in-house forward position validation.
Refineries
- Inform hedging decisions when securing crude oil supplies.
- Assess the forward cost of feedstock to support procurement planning.
- Benchmark crude values across multiple grades and locations.
Exploration and production companies
- Determine fiscal year commitments using forward curve data.
- Support budget planning with reliable, independent price outlooks.
- Assess exposure across multiple crude grades and time horizons.
Frequently asked questions
Key price assessments
Argus Americas Crude Oil Forward Curves provides daily forward price assessments for 43 crude oil grades across the Americas, published as outright values and differentials to Nymex WTI, WTI CMA and ICE Brent, supporting trading, risk management and planning decisions.
