Overview

Argus provides key insights on how global climate policies will affect the global energy and commodity markets. We shine a light on decisions made at UN Cop meetings, which have far-reaching effects on the markets we serve. Progress at Cop 30 in Brazil will be crucial in transforming ambitions into actions aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement. Countries must produce new climate plans this year.

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News

News
26/03/25

Germany presents new climate action programme

Germany presents new climate action programme

Berlin, 25 March (Argus) — Germany's cabinet today presented a climate action programme with a strong focus on renewable power and industry electrification, encompassing 67 measures designed to cut greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 27mn t/yr of CO2 equivalent (CO2e) until 2030, although the country's climate experts warned that it is unlikely to achieve these reductions. The measures will plug the 25mn t CO2e annual reduction gap flagged in last year's official forecasts, environment minister Carsten Schneider said. The forecasts have since been superseded by data presented by federal environment office UBA earlier this month indicating a 42mn t/yr CO2e gap. The main drivers of the action programme are additional tenders for onshore wind power capacity over 12GW, and an extra €2.9bn of subsidies for industry electrification projects. The additional wind installations are expected to achieve emissions reductions of 6.5mn t CO2e in 2030 and lower wholesale power prices by €6/MWh, Schneider said. The majority will be installed in the relatively wind-poor but energy-hungry south of the country, or in priority areas, so it will not be affected by potential future legislation limiting grid access, Schneider said. Industrial electrification subsidies are expected to lead to emissions reductions of 4.3mn t CO2e in 2030. And Schneider stressed that his ministry expects the transport and buildings sectors, which have been lagging behind in recent years, to accelerate decarbonisation in the late 2020s. A €3bn subsidy scheme with income-based support will allow for the purchase of about 800,000 electric vehicles, leading to emissions savings of 1mn t CO2e in 2030. And the government expects the planned road transport GHG reduction quota now under parliamentary scrutiny to yield emissions reductions of 6.3mn t CO2e in 2030, while funding for new heat grids will save 2.3mn t CO2e in 2030. Germany's land use, land use change and forestry (LULUCF) sector will receive €4.7bn across 23 measures including the rewetting of peatlands and conversion of forests, although the effects will be felt mainly after 2030, Schneider said. Proposals by the economy ministry , which would take pressure off fossil fuel heating systems, are likely to be counterbalanced by the current energy crisis, Schneider said, as homeowners buying a new heating system are now likely to think differently about investing in another gas-fired system. The climate action plan will make Germany "more modern and more independent of oil and gas", Schneider said, reducing its natural gas consumption by almost 7 bcm³ in 2030 and its petrol consumption by about 4bn litres — down by 9pc on current annual levels, Schneider said. The government was legally obliged to present a climate action programme under the country's climate action law, and it must also be scrutinised by parliament. Germany aims to cut its emissions by 65pc in 2030 compared with 1990 levels. They stood 48pc below 1990 levels last year. The country's council of experts on climate change ERK, tasked with scrutinising the programme, said today that it lacks novelty and ambition and is unlikely to achieve the expected reductions. The ERK, which said it was commenting subject to a more detailed review, criticised the government's strong focus on the energy sector and its insufficient relief for households on low and middle incomes, particularly in the heating sector, even though the need for social measures to accompany climate change policy will continue to grow. The ERK urged the government to look at more innovative measures such as "white certificates" for energy efficiency or a bonus-malus system for cars. It is "questionable" whether the programme's measures "adequately" address the challenge of restructuring Germany's fossil fuel-dependent "capital stock", Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research chief economist Ottmar Edenhofer said. It lacks "credible" policy instruments providing "clear incentives" to switch to technologies such as electric cars or heat pumps, added Edenhofer, who is also chair of the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change. Germany's solar association BSW flagged the "gap between aspiration and reality", given the economy and energy ministry's plans to axe support for small-scale rooftop solar systems. And German wood industry association HDH warned against restrictions to forestry management, which it said will limit the supply of raw materials for climate-friendly timber construction. Environmental group DUH announced it will once again sue the government for the programme unless it is improved, particularly regarding the transport sector. DUH won a case against the government's previous climate action programme in January . The climate action programme stands on "shaky ground", think-tank Agora Energiewende director Julia Blaesius warned, given that it is based on outdated data and in light of planned legislation changes. Blaesius emphasised the importance of a "reliable" carbon price to provide planning and investment security to households and companies, as well as revenues for Germany's climate and transformation fund, which finances much of the programme's measures. By Chloe Jardine Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

India commits to 47pc emissions intensity cuts by 2035


26/03/25
News
26/03/25

India commits to 47pc emissions intensity cuts by 2035

Adds India's targets updated in 2022 Edinburgh, 25 March (Argus) — India has committed to reduce its emissions intensity by 47pc by 2035, compared with 2005 levels, and to lift the share of "non-fossil-fuel-based" power capacity to 60pc of total capacity by the same year. The targets are in line with India's goal of reaching net zero emissions by 2070, the environment ministry said. They form part of the country's new 2035 climate plan, or nationally determined contribution (NDC) under the Paris agreement. Countries party to the Paris agreement were due to submit their 2035 NDCs to the UN climate body, the UNFCCC, in February 2025, but the deadline was pushed to the end of September 2025. The Paris agreement aims to limit global temperature rises to "well below" 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pursues a 1.5°C threshold. India's 2035 targets compare with an original emissions intensity goal of a 33-35pc reduction by 2030 and a 40pc share of installed "non-fossil-fuel-based" capacity — a target the country said it has already met. The original emissions intensity reduction target was met between 2005 and 2020, with a recorded 36pc cut, while power capacity from non-fossil fuel sources has reached around 53pc as of February, according to the ministry. India's targets were updated in 2022 to 45pc cut in emissions intensity and 50pc of non-fossil fuel energy sources. "India's climate strategy is implemented through a series of measures including those on large-scale renewable energy expansion, battery storage systems, and green energy corridors, cleaner manufacturing, ensuring reliable and sustainable infrastructure across the country," the ministry said. India, the world's third-largest crude oil importer and a major LPG consumer, also aims to create 3.5bn-4bn t of CO2 equivalent (CO2e) in carbon sinks through forest and tree cover by 2035, from 2005 levels. "India has already created 2.29bn of CO2e by 2021," the ministry said. "Afforestation and ecosystem restoration efforts continue to contribute towards India's carbon sink targets while supporting rural livelihoods," it said. By Caroline Varin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

London rejects calls to boost North Sea gas, oil output


26/03/24
News
26/03/24

London rejects calls to boost North Sea gas, oil output

London, 24 March (Argus) — The UK government has rebuked calls from energy industry group Offshore Energy UK (OEUK) to increase domestic oil and gas production. "Issuing new licences to explore new fields cannot give us energy security and will not take a penny off bills," a government spokesperson told Argus on 24 March in response to calls in the press from OEUK and several energy firms to increase North Sea gas and oil output. "The only way to truly protect ourselves from these price spikes is to get off the rollercoaster of fossil fuel markets," the spokesperson added. OEUK released a new report on Tuesday showing that the UK could almost double the amount of gas and oil it produces through to 2050 with changes to tax and regulations, adding 3.7bn bl of oil equivalent (boe) to current projections for production from the UK continental shelf. This is on top of the 3.8mn boe over the 2025-50 period the UK is currently on track to recover, the industry organisation noted. Oil and gas production has declined by around 75pc between 1999 and 2024, department for energy security and net zero (Desnz) data shows. "Without more domestic production, the UK risks becoming increasingly reliant on energy imports at a time of rising global instability," the industry group said. "Maintaining domestic supply is therefore essential for energy security, affordability and reliability." The government is taking pragmatic steps that will ensure existing oil and gas production continues as an essential part of the UK energy mix for decades to come, while actively scaling up clean energy industries in the North Sea, the government said. The government added that issuing new licences to explore fresh fields would make no difference to the UK's current domestic energy output, as such projects typically take up to a decade to develop. GBE chair turns against increased output The chair of state-owned Great British Energy Juergen Maier changed his stance, moving to oppose calls for increased production on Tuesday, from a supportive position earlier in the week. "I am fully supportive of the government position, which is to use existing fields and tiebacks for their lifetime and not to support exploration licences for new fields," Maier said in a post on social media platform LinkedIn on Tuesday. "The end game is renewables and that we need to give supply chain companies enough time to transition," he added. Maier had presented a list of arguments supporting more oil and gas production in the North Sea on 19 March, suggesting he supported this approach. GBE was established in 2025 by the UK government to accelerate renewable energy development, enhance energy security, and support the nation's transition to clean power. Funded with £8.3bn ($11.1bn) over the current parliamentary term, GBE operates as an investment vehicle, development specialist, and project accelerator across the UK's clean energy sectors. By Lucas Waelbroeck Boix Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

EIB to lend Vietnam’s Techcombank €200mn for climate


26/03/24
News
26/03/24

EIB to lend Vietnam’s Techcombank €200mn for climate

London, 24 March (Argus) — The European Investment Bank (EIB) has agreed a €200mn ($232mn) long-term financing facility with Vietnamese bank Techcombank, to drive climate action and environmental projects across Vietnam. The financing will support projects implemented by the private sector in Vietnam. It aims to "bridge the financing gap for green initiatives", the EIB said. The funding will allow Techcombank to increase lending for renewable energy, energy efficiency and sustainable transport projects. The EIB will also work with Techcombank "to strengthen its climate risk management framework, improve climate-related disclosures and support the implementation of the operation", the former said. Techcombank delivered 16.4 trillion Vietnamese dong ($622mn) in "green lending" in 2024, it said. The funding will support the just energy transition partnership (JETP) that Vietnam signed in December 2022 , the EIB said. Vietnam signed the JETP with the EU, UK, France, Germany, the US, Italy, Canada, Japan, Norway and Denmark, but the US withdrew in early 2025. The JETP aimed to mobilise $15.5bn in public and private finance to support Vietnam's goals to reach net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. The country incorporated the JETP into its power plan, which sets out goals to ramp up renewable energy capacity. The share of coal-fired power in Vietnam's electricity generation mix was 44.8pc in 2023, IEA data show. The EIB is the EU's lending arm and is owned by EU member states. It is classed as a multilateral development bank (MDB). Countries often call on MDBs to do more to address climate change, as the institutions have significant leveraging power. Several key donors of international development aid have scaled back or announced cuts to funding in the last 18 months, which is likely to affect projects tackling climate change in developing nations. Governments and campaigners have shifted their focus to MDBs and the private sector, in lieu of public funding. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

US pushes IMO to overturn net-zero framework


26/03/23
News
26/03/23

US pushes IMO to overturn net-zero framework

Sao Paulo, 23 March (Argus) — The US has asked the International Maritime Organization (IMO) to end its attempt to approve a net-zero framework (NZF) for the maritime sector. The country suggests canceling the extraordinary meeting scheduled for October to vote on the net-zero framework, because the model under approval would "have dire economic consequences for the shipping industry, energy producers and global consumers". The US already opposed the NZF proposal at the extraordinary meeting in October 2025 and spearheaded the movement to postpone the vote. The request was included in the submission letter of the US delegation attending the 84th session of the Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC 84), which will take place in 27 April-1 May, in London. The creation of the NZF was approved at MEPC 83 in April 2025, but the regulation of the measure, in October of last year, was postponed because of a lack of consensus. The new extraordinary meeting is scheduled for October this year, and the measure can be adjourned for more 12 months. In the submission letter, the US argues that the 2025 version of the NZF favors the use of "expensive, unproven, and unavailable fuels", instead of prioritizing existing fuels such as biofuels and LNG, of which the US is a major producer. The submission also argues that the NZF should not contain a carbon pricing mechanism, because this would transform the IMO into a "global climate bank," diverting it from its original mission of regulating the maritime sector. Furthermore, the US says there is a strong lack of consensus among IMO member states, as was apparent in the divided vote to postpone the NZF vote last October. At the meeting, 57 countries voted for postponement, 49 voted in favor, while 21 abstained. The US argues that, should discussions for the creation of a NZF return in the future, the mechanism should not include a carbon emission tax or any type of penalty, nor should it restrict or limit the use of any type of fuel, whether fossil or not. It also calls for the abolition of regional mechanisms for energy transition in the maritime sector, such as EU ETS and FuelEU Maritime in the EU. The US also said that, in case of approving a new NZF model, the acceptance model should be the "explicit acceptance" or "opt-in" procedure. Under this proposal, the regulation would come into effect only after two-thirds of the parties — or parties whose combined merchant fleets constitute not less than 50pc of gross tonnage of the world's merchant fleet — voluntarily communicate to the IMO the acceptance of the framework. By Gabriel Tassi Lara Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Country focus
26/02/02

Dutch government focuses on power grids

Dutch government focuses on power grids

London, 2 February (Argus) — The new Dutch government is focusing on power grid congestion as its "top priority" for energy and climate, according to its coalition agreement released last week. The government will create a grid congestion "crisis act" to accelerate permitting and intervene if construction stagnates, it said. It has committed to a target of 40GW of offshore wind by 2040, with contracts for difference to be rolled out to support this goal, on the higher end of the 30-40GW range the previous government mooted in July to replace a goal of 50GW. And the SDE++ programme of subsidies for renewable generation is being extended, with six new tender rounds to come. The coalition document represents a compromise between the positions of the partners , left-wing D66 and centre-right CDA and VVD. D66's proposals to increase the country's carbon tax was not adopted, with the tax to be scrapped. But no more gas extraction permits are to be issued for the Wadden Sea, in line with the party's manifesto. The giant Groningen gas field, which shut down in October 2024, will remain closed. The coalition agreement includes a role for "blue" hydrogen made from gas in "scaling up the Dutch hydrogen supply chain" and commits to building at least four new nuclear power plants. Dutch grid operator association Netbeheer Nederland and energy association Energie Nederland welcomed the coalition document's focus on grids, but both warned that a focus on green electricity supply needed to be paired with an increase in demand. The coalition government holds 66 out of 150 seats in the lower house of parliament and will need the support of other parties to implement its agenda. By Rhys Talbot Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Climate ‘superfund’ bill revived in Rhode Island


26/01/30
Country focus
26/01/30

Climate ‘superfund’ bill revived in Rhode Island

Houston, 30 January (Argus) — Rhode Island lawmakers are making another attempt at passing legislation that would establish a climate "superfund" to hold large oil, natural gas and coal companies responsible for their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and their associated harms. The bills, H7004 and S2024, were introduced to both houses of the state General Assembly earlier this month, state senator Linda Ujifusa (D) and representative Jennifer Boylan (D), the sponsors of the proposal, said on Thursday. The legislation would direct the Rhode Island Department of Environmental Management (DEM) to identify and issue payment requirements to obligated entities within 18 months of its passage. Obligated entities would include fossil fuel companies that are responsible for at least 1bn metric tonnes of GHG emissions from 2000-2025 but would not include any that do not have "sufficient connection with the state." Entities covered under the bill would have to make the required payment within six months of being notified, though they could choose to do so in installments. Late payments would result in a penalty totaling to 10pc/yr of the unpaid amount. The bills, which are virtually identical, would also establish a "climate superfund account" where the payments would be deposited, which would then be used to fund any eligible projects identified by DEM. The agency as well as the attorney general's office would be given the authority to enforce the requirements under the proposal. The Rhode Island legislature considered a similar climate superfund bill last year , but it died in committee. Rhode Island is part of a growing number of states that have introduced or restarted efforts to establish a climate superfund law this year. New Jersey lawmakers introduced a bill earlier this month while Maine lawmakers advanced their own climate superfund bill on Wednesday. Vermont and New York remain the only states that have enacted climate superfund laws. Both are currently facing lawsuits from the federal government. By Ida Balakrishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Brazil's Lula eyes draft to step away from fossil fuels


25/12/08
Country focus
25/12/08

Brazil's Lula eyes draft to step away from fossil fuels

Sao Paulo, 8 December (Argus) — Brazil's president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva called for the country's own draft roadmap for a "just and planned" energy transition, focusing on the move away from fossil fuels, after leading efforts for such an international plan. Brazil's energy, environment and finance ministries, as well as the chief of staff, must draft a resolution by 60 days from 5 December, or by 3 February, according to a presidential decree published in the official gazette on 8 December. Lula called for the creation of an international roadmap to move away from fossil fuels during a leaders' summit only a few days before the UN Cop 30 climate summit. That led to over 80 countries supporting a call for a roadmap to be included in final agreements at Cop 30. But the proposal did not make it to the summit's final decision. Instead, the Cop 30 presidency pledged to create a roadmap on the issue outside of official negotiations. Cop 30 president Andre Correa do Lago said recently that an initial draft of roadmap could be ready by April , when Colombia is set to host a global summit on the topic . Energy transition fund Lula also requested the creation of a draft resolution to "propose financing mechanisms to implement an energy transition policy", which would include creating an energy transition fund financed "by a portion of government revenues from oil and gas exploration". The ministries and chief of staff will also have 60 days from 5 December to draft this resolution. Lula had also asked oil and mining firms to pay their fair share of climate financing during a speech at Cop 30. This comes after similar efforts at previous climate summits. An initiative from the Cop 29 presidency called for a climate fund, capitalized with voluntary contributions from oil, coal and gas-producing countries and companies, to support developing economies in addressing climate change. But the fund was never set up and the topic slid from the agenda. Brazilian state-controlled oil firm Petrobras did not answer Argus ' requests for comments on the topic. Mining giant Vale declined to comment. But Brazil's oil, gas and biofuels institute IBP "recognizes the importance of creating a fund to finance energy transition and climate change projects and understands that the oil and gas sector can and should be part of the solution for this process", it told Argus . Brazil's oil and gas sector contributes with R325bn ($60.85bn)/yr in taxes and "part of this amount should be directed towards climate finance and a fair and efficient energy transition process", IBP said. But for that it is necessary to maintain oil and gas production, it said. Brazil has been steadily increasing its oil production. It produced 4.03mn b/d of crude in October , a 23pc increase from the same month in 2024, data from hydrocarbons regulator ANP show. The country has plans to expand oil production to 5.3mn b/d by 2030, according to energy research bureau Epe, hinging on new exploratory frontiers such as the southern Pelotas basin and the environmentally sensitive equatorial margin. IBP also argues that Brazil's oil sector already faces a large tax burden, with 66pc of all crude destined for the payment of taxes, fees and royalties. "We want to and will contribute, but it's necessary to point out that there's no way to create more burdens on the sector's supply chain", it said. The group argues that the fund's financing should come from the redistribution of current government oil and gas revenues. "Increasing taxation on oil and gas exploration and production could make future projects unfeasible," it said. By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Cop: Denmark commits to new 2035 climate target


25/11/17
Country focus
25/11/17

Cop: Denmark commits to new 2035 climate target

London, 17 November (Argus) — Denmark has committed to a new, "very ambitious" climate target for 2035, to cut emissions by 82pc by 2035, from 1990 levels, the country's climate minister Lars Aagaard said today at the UN Cop 30 climate summit. Denmark was expected to communicate a 2035 target this year. It has a legally-binding target to reduce emissions by 70pc by 2030, from the same 1990 baseline. This new target for 2035 will be "binding", Aagaard said today. Independent advisory body the Danish Council on Climate Change previously found that under the country's current climate policy, projections indicate that Denmark would achieve emissions reductions of 78pc by 2035, from 1990 levels. Denmark's new target for 2035 goes beyond the EU's aim for the same timeframe. The bloc earlier this month finally reached agreement on climate goals for 2035 and 2040. It plans to cut emissions by 66.25-72.5pc by 2035, from 1990 levels. Denmark holds the rotating EU Council presidency until the end of the year. Aagaard has thus overseen much of the bloc's discussions of and decisions on new climate targets. Signatories to the Paris climate agreement are expected to establish new climate goals and submit plans, known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs), every five years, under the terms of the accord. Countries and jurisdictions are currently submitting NDCs for 2035, although these lack ambition to hit Paris-aligned targets . By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Cop: California 'doubling down' on climate


25/11/10
Country focus
25/11/10

Cop: California 'doubling down' on climate

Houston, 10 November (Argus) — California is "doubling down" on its climate policies and goals to mitigate the impact of policy shifts by US president Donald Trump, California state senator Josh Becker (D) said at the UN Cop 30 climate summit in Belem, Brazil. Becker indicated the state is still moving forward on its response to climate change, despite ongoing opposition from the federal government, including to the state's ability to regulate vehicle emissions, in a discussion on Monday around California's climate leadership under the Trump administration. Becker touted the continued emissions reductions for California's economy, which fell 3pc to 360.4mn metric tonnes (t) in 2023 from the prior year, primarily around transportation, the state's largest emitting sector, according to state data released last week. But California is still looking to keep momentum going, including reducing vehicle emissions after the Trump administration signed three congressional resolutions earlier this year to repeal EPA waivers for the state's own tailpipe CO2 rules. "Even though they took away our waiver to regulate transportation, we are now working with our air resources board to come up with legislation for next year to figure out a way around that," Becker said. The EPA previously granted a waiver allowing California to ban gas-powered vehicle sales by model year 2035, known as Advanced Clean Cars II (ACC II), along with mandates for zero-emission truck sales and more-stringent nitrogen oxide emission standards during former-president Joe Biden's administration. California, as part of a state coalition, is in ongoing legal disputes with the federal government and automotive manufacturers over the removal of its tailpipe waivers. But while the courts deliberate, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) is weighing measures the state could take to keep the transition away from fossil fuel-based vehicles on track. CARB plans to consider adopting emergency regulations that would allow it to use tailpipe regulations built on previous federal waivers in a hearing later this month. California has had some climate successes this year despite federal headwinds, including the state legislature's extension in September of its "cap-and-invest" program to 2045. The program, which was previously set to end in 2030, will bring in roughly $5bn/yr that California can use for investments in programs and policies targeting emissions mitigation and climate change adaptation and resilience, Becker said. Becker held up the growing portfolio of clean electricity within the state, now 70pc from zero-emission sources, and the CARB's development of corporate climate disclosures as part of the state's ongoing climate policy efforts. California is seeking a 40pc reduction in emissions, compared to 1990 levels, statewide by 2030, and net-zero emissions in 2045. By Denise Cathey Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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