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Argus provides key insights on how global climate policies will affect the global energy and commodity markets. We shine a light on decisions made at UN Cop meetings, which have far-reaching effects on the markets we serve.

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07/10/26

US set to weaken methane rules for oil, gas

US set to weaken methane rules for oil, gas

Washington, 7 October (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration is just "days" away from proposing more rollbacks to methane regulations on the oil and gas sector, US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) administrator Lee Zeldin said on Wednesday. The upcoming proposal seeks to dismantle core parts of methane regulations finalized in 2024 under former president Joe Biden. EPA said that it plans to rescind a "super emitter" program that was meant to detect large methane leaks and propose new standards for low-producing "marginal" oil and gas wells, as part of broad regulatory changes the agency says will produce cost savings of $45bn. "This proposal takes on many of the problems American producers and operators have raised with us," Zeldin said at an oil industry event in New Mexico. "That includes the burden on marginal wells and oil and gas operators in general, the super emitter program, associated gas and control device requirements." The Biden administration expected the regulations would cut the oil and gas sector's emissions of methane — a potent greenhouse gas — by nearly 80pc below baseline levels. But Trump began chipping away at the methane regulations soon after taking office. Last year, EPA finalized an 18-month compliance delay, and EPA this year finalized a partial rollback it said would save operators $2.5bn over 15 years by letting them operate flares more often and cut back on flare gas testing. But EPA appears on track to continue regulating methane emissions from the oil and gas industry under the Clean Air Act. The oil and gas industry had lobbied the administration to preserve at least some methane regulations, in part out of fear that fully repealing the rules would threaten their market access in Europe. For power plants and vehicles, EPA has disclaimed its authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions under the Clean Air Act. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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France prepares first NZIA-compliant wind tender


07/10/26
News
07/10/26

France prepares first NZIA-compliant wind tender

London, 7 October (Argus) — French energy regulator CRE has approved the rules for an onshore wind tender to open in December, the first to exclude foreign-made components in line with Europe's Net-Zero Industry Act (NZIA). Under the tender rules, for 1GW of onshore wind, developers cannot source more than 85pc of permanent magnets in their turbines from the dominant provider China. CRE, while in favour of this move to "favour European industry", noted that there is no visibility on the availability of components that comply with the rule. Alongside French rules on the height of turbines, this could raise the price at which the subsidy is attributed, it said. Prices in the 11th round of the tender, the last to be announced, hit a three-year low of €77.08/MWh thanks to a high proportion of cheaper repowering projects , CRE said. Other changes to the 13th round include higher requirements for approval from local government, and a tightening of the rules on holding two support contracts for the same project. By Rhys Talbot Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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North Sea's Ninian fields breach venting limit again


07/10/26
News
07/10/26

North Sea's Ninian fields breach venting limit again

Edinburgh, 7 October (Argus) — North Sea operator CNR International has been fined £300,000 ($396,300) after exceeding its venting limit at the Ninian fields in 2024, the UK's North Sea Transition Authority (NSTA) said. CNR reported on 26 November 2024 that it had exceeded its consent to vent 273.2t of gas between 15 June and 31 December that year. It exceeded the limit by 20.9t. The company was fined £250,000 earlier this year for exceeding venting limits twice at the same fields in 2023. Venting occurs when excess gas, predominantly methane, is released unignited into the atmosphere. The NSTA increased the penalty for the latest breach, even though it was small and limited in time, because it was CNR's third breach of a venting consent at the same location. The repeated breaches showed "an absence of effective internal process and a failure to learn sufficiently from the previous breaches", the regulator said. CNR argued that the fine was disproportionate and excessive, according to the NSTA. "Failure to comply with the terms and conditions of a licence or consent has the potential to undermine public confidence in the ability of the industry to operate within prescribed limits," the NSTA said, adding that such breaches could also undermine investor confidence. Emissions from North Sea oil and gas production still account for just over 3pc of total UK greenhouse gas emissions, and the industry must maintain its focus on cutting emissions to help the UK reach net zero by 2050, the NSTA said. CNR has begun decommissioning the Ninian fields. A consultation on draft decommissioning programmes for the Ninian Central topsides closes on 16 October, while the decommissioning programme for the Ninian Southern topsides was approved in February. By Caroline Varin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Australia’s high court blocks NSW coal mine expansion


07/10/26
News
07/10/26

Australia’s high court blocks NSW coal mine expansion

Sydney, 7 October (Argus) — Australia's highest court has upheld a ruling which blocked the expansion of Australian producer Mach Energy's 10.5mn t/yr Mount Pleasant thermal coal mine in New South Wales (NSW) in a landmark climate decision that could curb future coal mine approvals. The High Court of Australia today dismissed Mach Energy's appeal against a July 2025 NSW Court of Appeal ruling which found the state's Independent Planning Commission (IPC) had failed to properly consider indirect greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions when it approved Mount Pleasant's expansion in September 2022 . The proposal sought to extend Mount Pleasant's operations from 2026 to 2048 and raise its annual ROM production limit to 21mn t/yr. The proposed Mount Pleasant expansion will need to be reassessed by NSW authorities following this latest decision. The case against Mach Energy was lodged by community group the Denman, Aberdeen, Muswellbrook and Scone Health Environment Group, represented by Johnson Legal. The NSW court in 2025 determined that the IPC's approval of Mount Pleasant was invalid because the planning authority failed to fulfill its legal obligation to consider whether to impose conditions to minimise GHG emissions, including scope 3 emissions, to the greatest extent practicable. Mach Energy appealed the decision in May. The High Court upheld the NSW court's determination, finding that the IPC had imposed conditions relating to the project's scope 1 and 2 emissions, but failed to do the same for scope 3 emissions. Scope 3 emissions accounted for 98pc of the project's estimated emissions. The High Court ruling suggests NSW planning authorities will need to demonstrate they have considered imposing conditions to manage scope 3 emissions to the greatest extent practicable before issuing approvals. This could mean additional hurdles for coal mine approvals, where scope 3 emissions are often a significant issue. Mach Energy said it was disappointed with the High Court ruling and would actively pursue all available options to ensure long-term continuity at Mount Pleasant. The decision does not affect a separate approval granted to Mount Pleasant in August, which raised its approved extraction rate to 12.5mn t/yr and extended its operations from 2026 to 2032. The ruling comes a week after the IPC approved a 19-year extension to the nearby Hunter Valley Operations (HVO) complex after finding the project's social and economic benefits outweighed its climate impacts. Scope 3 emissions account for 98pc of HVO's estimated emissions. The Mount Pleasant ruling comes at a time of rising climate litigation risks following a 2025 judgement from the International Court of Justice (ICJ), which found that countries have binding legal obligations to cut emissions , and could be found legally responsible if they did not regulate emissions caused by "private actors" in their jurisdictions. The NSW state government said in March it would stop issuing permits for greenfield thermal coal developments under its NSW Coal Industry 2026-50 framework but would continue to assess extensions of existing coal mines. By Emma Partis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU insists methane delay will be limited to one year


06/10/26
News
06/10/26

EU insists methane delay will be limited to one year

Brussels, 6 October (Argus) — The EU should not make wider changes to the bloc's methane emissions regulation (MER), EU energy commissioner Dan Jorgensen told the European Parliament on Tuesday, stressing that a proposed delay would last only one year and would apply solely to the regulation's import provisions. Jorgensen — responding to calls from lawmakers for a postponement of the MER until 2030 — said he had to listen when a "clear" majority of member states and many others tell him implementation is not possible within the current timeframe. "We can live with a one-year postponement, not of the whole regulation, but of the import provisions," he said. Jorgensen was speaking after European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen detailed the delay earlier on Tuesday as part of a package of measures aimed at reducing energy prices, including a new taskforce for joint energy procurement. "I would also warn against introducing different kinds of other demands," Jorgensen said. Once the commission proposes legislation to delay the MER import provisions by a year, both parliament and EU member states will be able to suggest broader amendments. The EU should suspend the methane regulation not just for one year, but until 2030, German lawmaker Christian Ehler said. "Otherwise we'll quite simply be sitting here again next year," said Ehler, a member of the parliament's largest political group, the centre-right EPP, adding that he could "in principle" support the commission's proposal. But postponing the MER until 2030 would not "get the effects that we want with regards to fighting climate change and stopping the emissions of methane", Jorgensen replied. He added that a longer postponement would be unfair to companies that have already invested to comply with the legislation from 1 January. "Now the obligation is on member states to make sure that they are ready in one year," Jorgensen said, adding that "a lot of new" contracts have been signed in recent months. German Green lawmaker Jutta Paulus said suspending the methane regulation puts the EU's climate targets at risk and opens the door to further weakening of the rules. "With the announcement of the delay, the fossil fuel lobby has smelt blood and is already making further demands," said Paulus, who led Parliament's negotiations with EU member states on the final text of the law in 2024. Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Country focus
02/10/26

Fossil fuels key in SE Asia despite renewables plans

Fossil fuels key in SE Asia despite renewables plans

Rising oil and gas import and subsidy costs may underpin an acceleration towards renewable energy, writes Prethika Nair Singapore, 2 October (Argus) — Southeast Asian countries have rolled out more new renewable energy policies than fossil fuel measures in the wake of the US-Iran war, but the region still remains heavily reliant on oil, gas and coal. Oil and gas prices have surged since the conflict began, leading to higher power costs and greater strain on national budgets that face rising energy subsidy bills. This is especially so in southeast Asia, which receives 60pc of its crude oil imports and a third of its gas imports from the Middle East. Major regional economies — namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam and the Philippines — have implemented 37 clean energy policies in the six months since the war began, compared with 29 fossil fuel polices, according to a report by research group Zero Carbon Analytics (ZCA). But because most of the renewable energy policies are long term, the region's energy security still hinges mainly on its short-term fossil fuel measures for immediate relief. Indonesia has sought to diversify its fuel sources , including through Russian crude imports. The Philippines declared a national energy emergency in March, and introduced relief measures such as fuel and energy optimisation. The country plans to establish a state-owned strategic petroleum reserve and has launched a 20bn Philippine peso ($33.2mn) emergency fund to improve fuel security. Vietnam's prime minister in April called for the accelerated development of a national crude oil reserve. State-owned PetroVietnam last month signed an agreement with Russia's state-owned Zarubezhneft to study options for developing one. Governments in the region have continued with upstream development even as they have adopted more energy transition policies, but completing these projects may become more challenging now because of cost inflation. Southeast Asia has $20bn of deepwater development plans for 28 trillion ft³ (840bn m³), or 5bn bl of oil equivalent, of gas through six major projects in Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei, estimates consultancy Wood Mackenzie. The region also has 106GW of gas power capacity and 70mn t/yr of LNG import capacity in development, according to Global Energy Monitor data, representing $160bn in investment. Fiscal pressures and the case for renewables The region's fossil fuel import bill is expected to rise from $82bn in 2024 to $245bn by 2035 under current policies, according to the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). For many countries, this is combined with the burden of fossil fuel subsidies. Indonesia last month pledged to keep its subsidised fuel prices unchanged . But Jakarta's 2026 subsidy programme assumed a crude price of $70/bl, and so is now underfunded, according to IEEFA. Similarly, Thailand's Oil Fuel Fund, through which it manages domestic diesel prices, is in significant deficit because of rising international prices. The economic case for moving away from fuel imports to one-time capital investments for renewables is therefore compelling, IEEFA says. Developing 450GW of wind and solar capacity over the next 10 years would produce about 83 TWh/yr of clean generation, displacing about 17pc of power sector fuel imports. There is 49GW of gas capacity under construction or in pre-construction in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines and Vietnam, equivalent to 263 TWh/yr of power, according to ZCA. Installing the equivalent amount of solar power would cost $45.4bn less than producing it from gas, mainly because of the falling costs of solar. Many countries in the region have accelerated solar power development plans. Indonesia has unveiled the most ambitious target, to add 100GW of solar power by around 2030 , and expects the initiative to see annual state subsidy savings of 74 trillion rupiah ($4.2bn) by replacing diesel-powered generation. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US rolls back strict fuel-economy standards


28/09/26
Country focus
28/09/26

US rolls back strict fuel-economy standards

Washington, 28 September (Argus) — US president Donald Trump's administration on Monday, 29 September finalized a rule that weakens fuel-economy standards for cars and pickup trucks, further dismantling earlier policies that had supported sales of electric vehicles and hybrids. The new standards will require cars and trucks to achieve an average fuel economy of 34.9 miles/USG by model year 2031, down from a standard of 50.4 miles/USG that former-president Joe Biden had set in 2024. The US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) said the revised standards will cut the price of a new vehicle by about $1,300. The prior standards would have "forced Americans into cars they never wanted, and wasted Billions on Chargers that were never built", Trump said in a social media post Sunday after giving final approval to the rollback. Despite the upfront savings on the vehicle price, drivers will end up paying an extra $1,300-$1,600 on fuel over the lifespan of the vehicles sold through model year 2031 because of the rollback, according to NHTSA, translating to 738mn bl of additional fuel consumption. Democrats said weakening existing rules will mean higher fuel prices in the future. "Gas prices are at near-record highs and Trump's response is to force you to get fewer miles out of every tank of gas," California governor Gavin Newsom (D) said in a social media post over the weekend. The Republican-led US Congress had already effectively nullified NHTSA's fuel-economy standards last year, when they voted to eliminate all non-compliance penalties on automakers. Congress in the same law also repealed a $7,500 tax credit for electric vehicles. Separately, the Trump administration earlier this year repealed all climate regulations for cars and trucks, while blocking California's ability to enforce clean car standards that would have encouraged a switch to electric vehicles. Critics say those combined policies could allow Chinese automakers to take market share from the US on the production of electric vehicles. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Oman eyes potential 33pc emissions cut over 2024-35


03/08/26
Country focus
03/08/26

Oman eyes potential 33pc emissions cut over 2024-35

London, 3 August (Argus) — Oman has released a new climate plan, with an absolute emissions reduction target of up to 33pc over 2024-35, depending on the level of international support received. The country's government committed to an unconditional reduction of 7pc in emissions by 2035, from a 2024 baseline, and an additional 26pc reduction over the same timeframe on a conditional basis. National climate plans submitted by developing countries to UN climate body the UNFCCC are often split into unconditional and conditional actions — the latter reliant on external financial or technical support. Oman estimated its total emissions in 2024 at 93.6mn t/CO2 equivalent (CO2e). It has changed its approach, now using 2024 as its baseline, rather than using a business-as-usual trajectory. Oman plans to reach net zero carbon emissions by 2050. The government plans to reduce emissions by expanding renewable energy, improving energy efficiency and managing land and water resources sustainably to maximise carbon sinks. It aims to ramp up waste-to-energy, address methane from landfill sites and look at "gradual adoption" of carbon capture, use and storage (CCUS) in heavy industry. The government also flagged green hydrogen as a "major diversification pathway". Oman has a green hydrogen production target of at least 1mn t/yr by 2030 and up to 8.5mn t/yr by 2050, according to the plan. But for the time being, Oman's economy "remains heavily dependent on oil and gas exports", the plan noted. The country has a "clear direction toward economic diversification", it said. The government plans to reduce the oil sector's share of GDP to 16pc by 2030 and 8.4pc by 2040. "Oil activities" accounted for 32pc of GDP in the fourth quarter of 2024, according to the country's foreign ministry. Oman, a member of the Opec+ group, produced 923,500 b/d of crude in June . Oman's new plan also set out the estimated investment needed to reach its emission reduction targets — a total of $31bn over 2026-35 to abate 30.4mn t/yr of CO2e across energy, industry, waste and agriculture. Much of the plan also focuses on adaptation — adjusting to the effects of climate change where possible. Water stress and availability is a key area for Oman, and the plan notes a "clear warming trend" in the country — its mean temperature increased by around 0.4°C per decade between 1980 and 2013. The plan is Oman's third nationally determined contribution (NDC) under the Paris climate agreement. Signatories to the Paris agreement are required to submit NDCs every five years, rising in ambition each time. While countries reach decisions at Cops, the NDCs are the chief route for the implementation of climate action. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Colombia gets ball rolling on fossil fuel shift talks


08/05/26
Country focus
08/05/26

Colombia gets ball rolling on fossil fuel shift talks

The conference offered a calmer space to discuss fraught topics and how to convert words into actions, writes Lucas Parolin Rio de Janeiro, 8 May (Argus) — A conference on transitioning away from fossil fuels, held in Santa Marta, Colombia, at the end of April did not bring any new commitments to phase out hydrocarbons, but it did look to keep the topic at the top of the climate agenda. Delegates attended from about 60 countries, including some oil and gas-producing nations committed to advancing energy transition talks. Countries represented accounted for about a fifth of global oil production, a third of oil consumption and a third of the world's GDP, according to Colombian officials. Colombia and the Netherlands — co-hosts of the conference — were looking to push the topic forward outside official UN channels. Despite the historic UN Cop 28 climate summit pledge in 2023 , discussions on transitioning away from fossil fuels continue to face opposition from large hydrocarbon-producing and consuming countries, such as China, Russia, the US and Saudi Arabia, which tend to want the focus to be on reducing emissions, rather than fossil fuel output. These countries were not invited because the conference was intended to work as a ‘coalition of the willing'. Only countries " already convinced and ready to work on solutions for the transition " were invited, the Colombian environment ministry's head of international affairs, Daniela Duran, said. Santa Marta kept its focus on fossil fuels, according to non-governmental organisation Earth Insight's engagement director, Juan Pablo Osornio. Participants discussed "the input for combustion", rather than the resulting emissions, he said, adding that this could change the way countries address the topic in future. The debate is shifting from discussing climate change drivers — emissions — to their root cause — fossil fuels — something largely overlooked until Dubai. The disruption to oil and gas supplies from the closure of the strait of Hormuz could make energy security, rather than climate change, the key driver of any acceleration in consumer moves away from these fuels . But fossil fuels are responsible for 80pc of all global emissions, according to a study by the Energy Transitions Commission, a global coalition of leaders from across the energy landscape committed to achieving net zero emissions by 2050. Some countries invited to Santa Marta are still looking to only reduce emissions, but not necessarily fossil fuel usage and production. Canada and Norway stuck to their positions on production. And Nigeria — Africa's largest oil and gas producer — reiterated its call for a just transition for developing economies, saying countries should discuss a phase-down, not a phase-out, of fossil fuels. Safe space Santa Marta was not a place for new commitments, but a space for productive discussions on controversial topics. It aimed for "multilateralism without de facto vetoes" that is "capable of translating agreements into implementation", according to Colombia's environment minister, Irene Velez Torres. Three workstream plans were laid down, including one to help nations develop their own voluntary transition roadmaps. France presented one during the event, and Colombia published a draft document, intended to work as a potential template for other countries. Brazil is also working on one . The impact of Santa Marta on future Cop negotiations is difficult to assess, with the Turkish Cop 31 presidency putting progress in phasing out fossil fuels lower down the list of priorities . No country has shown it is willing to propose putting transition on the summit agenda. But Cop 30's presidency has pledged to present a roadmap in Turkey. The ball is rolling, Osornio said, and conversations at Santa Marta and future phase-out conferences "will continue to push the issue of fossil fuels and will undoubtedly have an impact within the [UN Framework Convention on Climate Change]". Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

France's fossil fuel roadmap a key step: think tanks


29/04/26
Country focus
29/04/26

France's fossil fuel roadmap a key step: think tanks

Edinburgh, 29 April (Argus) — France's roadmap to transition away from fossil fuels, which combines energy policies and climate targets in one document, is an important step, even though no new goals were announced, energy and climate think tanks said today. France released the roadmap yesterday, during the first conference on Transitioning Away from Fossil Fuels, ongoing in Santa Marta, Colombia. The plan matches France's climate goals with its energy policies in one document, including its national low carbon strategy and its new electrification plan set out in April . It reiterates the country's goal to move from a share of around 60pc fossil fuels in final energy consumption in 2023 to 40pc in 2030 and 30pc in 2035, to reach net zero emissions in 2050. The government plans to phase out coal by 2030, oil by 2045 and natural gas by 2050, under its national low carbon strategy and its roadmap. "France is one of the few countries in the world to have such a precise schedule for a gradual exit from fossil fuels," the French environment ministry said. The French roadmap aims to inspire partner countries on long-term planning, it said. France's last two remaining coal-fired power plants are scheduled to close or be converted by next year. The roadmap also states that over 95pc of fossil fuels burned in the country are imported. France eyes a 50pc reduction in gross greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2030 compared with 1990, to reach net zero emissions by 2050. Although the country did not announce new goals, the roadmap sends an important signal, think-tank International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) energy policy advisor Natalie Jones said. "Higher ambition and not solely repackaging existing policies would have been even better, but an explicit fossil fuel phase strategy, with timelines, is new and welcome," she said. She added that the framing of the roadmap in relation to UN Cop climate summits, the global stocktake and climate action is significant. The first global stocktake, agreed on in 2023 at Cop 28, called for a transition away from fossil fuels in energy systems. "Few countries tackle all fossil fuels together — this gives other countries a critical opportunity to follow suit, while fossil fuel-producing nations can also lay out plans to diversify their economies as global demand for fossil fuels wanes in the decades ahead," said global research organisation WRI director of international climate action David Waskow. Asked about whether other EU countries could release fossil fuel transition roadmaps in the future, EU climate commissioner Wopke Hoekstra yesterday said that whether roadmaps are "specifically about phasing out fossil fuels… is secondary to impact". He reiterated the EU's goals — net zero emissions by 2050 and a 55pc reduction for 2030, from 1990 levels — pointing out that the wording is about reducing emissions rather than specifically phasing out fossil fuels. The "reality is… the same, you cannot be at 90pc [of emission cuts] in 2040 if you will not radically phase out fossil fuels", Hoekstra said. The EU updated its climate law earlier this year to add a 90pc GHG reduction by 2040, from 1990 levels, although up to 5pc of the target can be met using international carbon credits. Fossil fuel producer Colombia also presented a draft fossil fuel transition roadmap this week, developed with researchers, and designed to act as a potential standard for other countries to use. It aims to achieve a 90pc reduction in primary fossil fuel demand over 2026-50, and a 90pc cut in "whole energy system emissions" from 2015-50, while expanding access to energy. The plan pointed to the country's dependence on fossil fuels for revenues. Colombia exports oil and coal worth $25bn, against around $1bn in fossil fuel imports — mainly oil products, according to the roadmap. By Caroline Varin and Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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