Overview

Argus provides key insights on how global climate policies will affect the global energy and commodity markets. We shine a light on decisions made at UN Cop meetings, which have far-reaching effects on the markets we serve. Progress at Cop 30 in Brazil will be crucial in transforming ambitions into actions aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement. Countries must produce new climate plans this year.

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19.03.26

UK’s Ithaca puts Cambo GHG emissions at 100mn t

UK’s Ithaca puts Cambo GHG emissions at 100mn t

London, 19 March (Argus) — UK North Sea producer Ithaca Energy has estimated greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from its proposed Cambo field at up to 100mn t/CO2 equivalent (CO2e) over its lifetime, according to an updated environmental statement. The field's upstream GHG emissions are estimated to average around 130,300 t/yr of CO2e, once it is fully producing, from 2031-2055, Ithaca said. This would equal 1.1pc of annual UK oil and gas sector upstream emissions, in relation to 2024 figures, Ithaca said. The company estimated that the transportation, distribution and refining of hydrocarbons from Cambo would result in 18.9mn t/CO2e and the end-use emissions — those from burning the refined products — would reach 82mn t/CO2e. "The overall cumulative effect on global climate change of all Cambo emissions is minor and therefore may be considered as not significant", Ithaca said. GHG emissions from Cambo "are most likely to be in line with a climate pathway that limits warming to 2°C by 2100 but exceeds warming of 1.5°C during the 21st century", Ithaca said. The Paris climate agreement seeks to limit the global rise in temperature to "well below" 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pursues a 1.5°C threshold. Oil and gas companies seeking to develop UK fields must now submit estimates of scope 3, or end-use, GHG emissions in their environmental statements. Norway's Equinor, which is aiming to develop the nearby Rosebank field, estimated scope 3, or end-use, GHG emissions from Rosebank at 249mn t/CO2e over its lifetime . Ithaca plans to begin drilling in the third quarter of 2028, with first oil expected in the fourth quarter of 2030, it said. It anticipates that Cambo will produce hydrocarbons until 2055. Ithaca is sole owner of Cambo, having acquired Shell's 30pc stake in 2023. Its production licence for the field was extended last year until 30 September 2027. Cambo is the "second largest undeveloped oil and gas discovery in the UK North Sea", according to Ithaca, with around 170mn bl of oil equivalent of recoverable resources. The UK government has committed to ending new offshore oil and gas licensing, though it recognises a transitional role for oil and gas as the country decarbonises, and will permit some new wells, connected to existing infrastructure. The UK has a legally binding target of net zero GHGs by 2050. Ithaca said it would meet "all necessary legal and industry-wide agreed GHG removal requirements that may be implemented" to offset emissions produced after 2050. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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UK aims for £6bn in overseas climate finance to 2029


19.03.26
News
19.03.26

UK aims for £6bn in overseas climate finance to 2029

London, 19 March (Argus) — The UK plans to spend "around £6bn" ($8bn) of its overseas development aid (ODA) budget as international climate finance over the next three years, the government said today. This will cover mitigation and adaptation — referring to cutting emissions and adjusting to the effects of climate change where possible, respectively. The finance will also have "a focus on nature", the government said. The budget covers the 2026-7 to 2028-9 financial years. The UK previously committed to spending £11.6bn in international climate finance between the 2021-2 and 2025-6 financial years. Although today's announcement represents a reduction in climate finance, it has been prioritised in the overall aid budget. But "vulnerable communities on the frontline of the climate change crisis are relying on us", UK member of parliament Toby Perkins said today. Perkins is chair of the cross-party Environmental Audit Committee. "Government support for climate finance enhances business confidence, encourages investment and signals that we are willing to lead in the long term", Perkins said. The government aims to deliver an additional £6.7bn in "UK-backed climate and nature investments" and to mobilise "billions" in private finance, it said today. It will also "support and help reform international institutions to unlock greater finance for development", including from multilateral development banks (MDBs). Countries often call on MDBs to do more to fund actions to address climate change, as the institutions have significant leveraging power. The World Bank's International Development Association "unlocks £4 of additional finance" for each £1 invested, the UK government noted. Several key donors of international development aid — such as Germany, France and Sweden — have scaled back of announced cuts to funding in the last 18 months, which is likely to affect projects tackling climate change in developing nations. Governments and campaigners have shifted their focus to MDBs and the private sector, in lieu of public funding. The government in February 2025 said that it would fund a rise in UK defence spending entirely through cuts to the country's aid budget from 2027. It plans to move ODA to the equivalent of 0.3pc of gross national income by 2027, though it has the "intention to return to 0.7pc when the fiscal circumstances allow", Cooper said today. Developed countries agreed at the UN Cop 29 climate summit in 2024 to deliver "at least" $300bn/yr in climate finance to developing nations by 2035, to support the latter to decarbonise and implement their energy transitions. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU leaders debate energy, ETS reform


19.03.26
News
19.03.26

EU leaders debate energy, ETS reform

Brussels, 19 March (Argus) — EU leaders debated rising energy prices and the role of the bloc's emissions trading system (ETS) on Thursday, 19 March but remain divided over how exactly to adjust EU climate policy. Spanish prime minister Pedro Sanchez expressed strong support for the ETS. Pointing to Spain's low power prices, he said some governments are using the energy crisis to try to weaken climate policies. Finland's prime minister Petteri Orpo similarly called for the bloc to continue decarbonising, also noting Finnish clean energy investments pushing down the country's energy prices. Dutch prime minister Rob Jetten said he supports refining climate policies but will not scrap those crucial to long-term green resilience, highlighting that the ETS has saved "billions and billions" in fossil fuel imports. "The ETS, particularly ETS 1, is a good mechanism because it allows transition while preserving competitiveness," French president Emmanuel Macron said. But Macron is also calling for "flexibility" and "adaptability" in the current situation. The ETS 1 is operational and covers energy-intensive industry, power, maritime and aviation emissions, while the EU ETS 2 covering road transport and buildings is due to launch in 2028. The European Commission has incorporated large parts of proposals worked out with EU leaders in February, German chancellor Friedrich Merz said. Commission president Ursula von der Leyen earlier this week wrote to EU leaders announcing a proposal to increase the "firepower" of the market stability reserve (MSR), which could release ETS allowances to address "excessive" price volatility and "keep prices in check" in the short term. And von der Leyen now promises that the upcoming ETS revision, scheduled for July, will set out a "more realistic" decarbonisation trajectory beyond 2030. Swedish prime minister Ulf Kristersson said Sweden's low gas dependence shields it from price shocks. Kristersson added that it is "unacceptable" that other countries with transmission problems should now lay claim to Sweden's "large" congestion revenues. "We use these to expand the grid, but also to compensate Swedish electricity consumers," he said. Czech prime minister Andrej Babis said his country is among the "best" in terms of decarbonisation. Babis joined leaders from Austria, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Poland, Romania and Slovakia stating in a letter to the commission and European Council that the ETS pathway to 2034 is "too steep and overly ambitious". One of the 10 leaders, Austrian chancellor Christian Stocker, also wants the gas price "excluded" from ETS allowances. "This would also lead to a reduction in costs, and that is something our industry urgently needs," Stocker said. He also called for the merit order system setting power prices to be changed. "We generate around 90pc of our annual consumption from renewables, yet we pay the price for electricity as if it were produced by gas-fired power plants," Stocker said. By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Storms, wildfires drove 2025 insured losses: Swiss Re


19.03.26
News
19.03.26

Storms, wildfires drove 2025 insured losses: Swiss Re

London, 19 March (Argus) — Insured losses in 2025 were driven by severe convective storms and wildfires, while natural catastrophes accounted for the vast majority of overall economic and insured losses, reinsurance firm Swiss Re said today. Natural catastrophes made up 93.6pc of all economic losses, which totalled $235bn in 2025. They accounted for 89.2pc of the $120bn of insured losses, Swiss Re data show. Of the $107bn of insured losses from natural catastrophes last year, 92pc was from "secondary perils", Swiss Re said. Secondary perils include wildfires, severe convective storms and floods, but exclude earthquakes and cyclones. The "absence of a major US hurricane landfall" in 2025 was notable, Swiss Re said. The widespread wildfires in Los Angeles, California in early 2025 generated insured losses of around $40bn, while severe convective storms accounted for $51bn in losses, it found. Economic losses from natural catastrophes in 2025 were lower by 32.7pc and 17.6pc on the year and compared with the previous 10-year average, respectively. Insured losses from natural catastrophes last year were down by 24.1pc and 3.6pc on 2024 figures and the 10-year average, Swiss Re data show. "The below-trend natural catastrophe losses seen in 2025 are the result of favourable variability rather than any easing of underlying risk. If losses return to normal long-term levels, they would total $148bn in 2026. According to our modelled peak-loss scenario, insured losses could even climb to about $320bn in 2026", Swiss Re head of catastrophe perils Balz Grollimund said. Swiss Re noted a long-term increase in global weather-related insured losses. In North America, wildfire insured losses are growing at an annual rate of 14pc, it found. "The lengthening of fire seasons and long-term changes in temperature and precipitation patterns are further compounding the loss threat that fires present", Swiss Re said. Global science and weather agencies found that 2025 was either the second or third-hottest year recorded, according to eight different datasets consolidated by the World Meteorological Organisation. A hotter global atmosphere holds more moisture, of around 7pc more for every 1°C of heating, according to UK weather agency the Met Office. "While no single weather event is caused solely by climate change, the background warming of the atmosphere is loading the dice", the Met Office said. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Brazil updates climate plan through 2035


18.03.26
News
18.03.26

Brazil updates climate plan through 2035

Sao Paulo, 18 March (Argus) — Brazil's government released its updated climate plan on Tuesday, 17 March setting targets for specific sectors such as forests and transportation and proposing carbon-neutral technology roadmaps to more than halve its greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) by 2035 from 2005 levels. The previous plan was issued in 2008. Brazil has committed to reducing its GHG emissions by 59-67pc from 2005 levels by 2035 and to achieve net-zero by 2050, according to its latest nationally determined contribution under the Paris Agreement. "There are no environmental policies without scientific evidence," Brazil's science and technology minister Luciana Santos said during an event in federal capital Brasilia to launch the plan. "We are not only reacting to disasters, we are anticipating solutions," she added. The plan draws up measures to attract climate financing in the public and private sectors — with programs such as the Amazon fund and Eco Invest . The government expects to discuss the plan every two years and update it every four years, the environmental ministry said. The climate plan also includes eight policy routes for mitigation and another 16 for climate change adaptation, which were all approved in December, totaling 312 in all. It includes plans for adaptation measures in sectors such as agriculture, cattle raising, mining, energy and transport, among others. Some environmental groups said that the sectorial energy plan for mitigation is not ambitious enough to reach a fossil fuel phase-out. This particular plan foresees to reduce emissions in both crude and natural gas supply chains but does not provide any timeframes, while it also includes expanding the country's nuclear power generation, which would be "unnecessary" and more expensive than other power generation alternatives, climate umbrella group Observatorio do Clima's public policies coordinator Suely Araujo said. The government is working on a roadmap to phase out fossil fuels, but has not yet presented it . Brazil president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva called for a global roadmap on the topic during a global summit days prior to the UN Cop 30 climate summit held last November in northern Brazil. By João Curi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Country focus
02.02.26

Dutch government focuses on power grids

Dutch government focuses on power grids

London, 2 February (Argus) — The new Dutch government is focusing on power grid congestion as its "top priority" for energy and climate, according to its coalition agreement released last week. The government will create a grid congestion "crisis act" to accelerate permitting and intervene if construction stagnates, it said. It has committed to a target of 40GW of offshore wind by 2040, with contracts for difference to be rolled out to support this goal, on the higher end of the 30-40GW range the previous government mooted in July to replace a goal of 50GW. And the SDE++ programme of subsidies for renewable generation is being extended, with six new tender rounds to come. The coalition document represents a compromise between the positions of the partners , left-wing D66 and centre-right CDA and VVD. D66's proposals to increase the country's carbon tax was not adopted, with the tax to be scrapped. But no more gas extraction permits are to be issued for the Wadden Sea, in line with the party's manifesto. The giant Groningen gas field, which shut down in October 2024, will remain closed. The coalition agreement includes a role for "blue" hydrogen made from gas in "scaling up the Dutch hydrogen supply chain" and commits to building at least four new nuclear power plants. Dutch grid operator association Netbeheer Nederland and energy association Energie Nederland welcomed the coalition document's focus on grids, but both warned that a focus on green electricity supply needed to be paired with an increase in demand. The coalition government holds 66 out of 150 seats in the lower house of parliament and will need the support of other parties to implement its agenda. By Rhys Talbot Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Country focus

Climate ‘superfund’ bill revived in Rhode Island


30.01.26
Country focus
30.01.26

Climate ‘superfund’ bill revived in Rhode Island

Houston, 30 January (Argus) — Rhode Island lawmakers are making another attempt at passing legislation that would establish a climate "superfund" to hold large oil, natural gas and coal companies responsible for their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and their associated harms. The bills, H7004 and S2024, were introduced to both houses of the state General Assembly earlier this month, state senator Linda Ujifusa (D) and representative Jennifer Boylan (D), the sponsors of the proposal, said on Thursday. The legislation would direct the Rhode Island Department of Environmental Management (DEM) to identify and issue payment requirements to obligated entities within 18 months of its passage. Obligated entities would include fossil fuel companies that are responsible for at least 1bn metric tonnes of GHG emissions from 2000-2025 but would not include any that do not have "sufficient connection with the state." Entities covered under the bill would have to make the required payment within six months of being notified, though they could choose to do so in installments. Late payments would result in a penalty totaling to 10pc/yr of the unpaid amount. The bills, which are virtually identical, would also establish a "climate superfund account" where the payments would be deposited, which would then be used to fund any eligible projects identified by DEM. The agency as well as the attorney general's office would be given the authority to enforce the requirements under the proposal. The Rhode Island legislature considered a similar climate superfund bill last year , but it died in committee. Rhode Island is part of a growing number of states that have introduced or restarted efforts to establish a climate superfund law this year. New Jersey lawmakers introduced a bill earlier this month while Maine lawmakers advanced their own climate superfund bill on Wednesday. Vermont and New York remain the only states that have enacted climate superfund laws. Both are currently facing lawsuits from the federal government. By Ida Balakrishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Brazil's Lula eyes draft to step away from fossil fuels


08.12.25
Country focus
08.12.25

Brazil's Lula eyes draft to step away from fossil fuels

Sao Paulo, 8 December (Argus) — Brazil's president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva called for the country's own draft roadmap for a "just and planned" energy transition, focusing on the move away from fossil fuels, after leading efforts for such an international plan. Brazil's energy, environment and finance ministries, as well as the chief of staff, must draft a resolution by 60 days from 5 December, or by 3 February, according to a presidential decree published in the official gazette on 8 December. Lula called for the creation of an international roadmap to move away from fossil fuels during a leaders' summit only a few days before the UN Cop 30 climate summit. That led to over 80 countries supporting a call for a roadmap to be included in final agreements at Cop 30. But the proposal did not make it to the summit's final decision. Instead, the Cop 30 presidency pledged to create a roadmap on the issue outside of official negotiations. Cop 30 president Andre Correa do Lago said recently that an initial draft of roadmap could be ready by April , when Colombia is set to host a global summit on the topic . Energy transition fund Lula also requested the creation of a draft resolution to "propose financing mechanisms to implement an energy transition policy", which would include creating an energy transition fund financed "by a portion of government revenues from oil and gas exploration". The ministries and chief of staff will also have 60 days from 5 December to draft this resolution. Lula had also asked oil and mining firms to pay their fair share of climate financing during a speech at Cop 30. This comes after similar efforts at previous climate summits. An initiative from the Cop 29 presidency called for a climate fund, capitalized with voluntary contributions from oil, coal and gas-producing countries and companies, to support developing economies in addressing climate change. But the fund was never set up and the topic slid from the agenda. Brazilian state-controlled oil firm Petrobras did not answer Argus ' requests for comments on the topic. Mining giant Vale declined to comment. But Brazil's oil, gas and biofuels institute IBP "recognizes the importance of creating a fund to finance energy transition and climate change projects and understands that the oil and gas sector can and should be part of the solution for this process", it told Argus . Brazil's oil and gas sector contributes with R325bn ($60.85bn)/yr in taxes and "part of this amount should be directed towards climate finance and a fair and efficient energy transition process", IBP said. But for that it is necessary to maintain oil and gas production, it said. Brazil has been steadily increasing its oil production. It produced 4.03mn b/d of crude in October , a 23pc increase from the same month in 2024, data from hydrocarbons regulator ANP show. The country has plans to expand oil production to 5.3mn b/d by 2030, according to energy research bureau Epe, hinging on new exploratory frontiers such as the southern Pelotas basin and the environmentally sensitive equatorial margin. IBP also argues that Brazil's oil sector already faces a large tax burden, with 66pc of all crude destined for the payment of taxes, fees and royalties. "We want to and will contribute, but it's necessary to point out that there's no way to create more burdens on the sector's supply chain", it said. The group argues that the fund's financing should come from the redistribution of current government oil and gas revenues. "Increasing taxation on oil and gas exploration and production could make future projects unfeasible," it said. By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Cop: Denmark commits to new 2035 climate target


17.11.25
Country focus
17.11.25

Cop: Denmark commits to new 2035 climate target

London, 17 November (Argus) — Denmark has committed to a new, "very ambitious" climate target for 2035, to cut emissions by 82pc by 2035, from 1990 levels, the country's climate minister Lars Aagaard said today at the UN Cop 30 climate summit. Denmark was expected to communicate a 2035 target this year. It has a legally-binding target to reduce emissions by 70pc by 2030, from the same 1990 baseline. This new target for 2035 will be "binding", Aagaard said today. Independent advisory body the Danish Council on Climate Change previously found that under the country's current climate policy, projections indicate that Denmark would achieve emissions reductions of 78pc by 2035, from 1990 levels. Denmark's new target for 2035 goes beyond the EU's aim for the same timeframe. The bloc earlier this month finally reached agreement on climate goals for 2035 and 2040. It plans to cut emissions by 66.25-72.5pc by 2035, from 1990 levels. Denmark holds the rotating EU Council presidency until the end of the year. Aagaard has thus overseen much of the bloc's discussions of and decisions on new climate targets. Signatories to the Paris climate agreement are expected to establish new climate goals and submit plans, known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs), every five years, under the terms of the accord. Countries and jurisdictions are currently submitting NDCs for 2035, although these lack ambition to hit Paris-aligned targets . By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Cop: California 'doubling down' on climate


10.11.25
Country focus
10.11.25

Cop: California 'doubling down' on climate

Houston, 10 November (Argus) — California is "doubling down" on its climate policies and goals to mitigate the impact of policy shifts by US president Donald Trump, California state senator Josh Becker (D) said at the UN Cop 30 climate summit in Belem, Brazil. Becker indicated the state is still moving forward on its response to climate change, despite ongoing opposition from the federal government, including to the state's ability to regulate vehicle emissions, in a discussion on Monday around California's climate leadership under the Trump administration. Becker touted the continued emissions reductions for California's economy, which fell 3pc to 360.4mn metric tonnes (t) in 2023 from the prior year, primarily around transportation, the state's largest emitting sector, according to state data released last week. But California is still looking to keep momentum going, including reducing vehicle emissions after the Trump administration signed three congressional resolutions earlier this year to repeal EPA waivers for the state's own tailpipe CO2 rules. "Even though they took away our waiver to regulate transportation, we are now working with our air resources board to come up with legislation for next year to figure out a way around that," Becker said. The EPA previously granted a waiver allowing California to ban gas-powered vehicle sales by model year 2035, known as Advanced Clean Cars II (ACC II), along with mandates for zero-emission truck sales and more-stringent nitrogen oxide emission standards during former-president Joe Biden's administration. California, as part of a state coalition, is in ongoing legal disputes with the federal government and automotive manufacturers over the removal of its tailpipe waivers. But while the courts deliberate, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) is weighing measures the state could take to keep the transition away from fossil fuel-based vehicles on track. CARB plans to consider adopting emergency regulations that would allow it to use tailpipe regulations built on previous federal waivers in a hearing later this month. California has had some climate successes this year despite federal headwinds, including the state legislature's extension in September of its "cap-and-invest" program to 2045. The program, which was previously set to end in 2030, will bring in roughly $5bn/yr that California can use for investments in programs and policies targeting emissions mitigation and climate change adaptation and resilience, Becker said. Becker held up the growing portfolio of clean electricity within the state, now 70pc from zero-emission sources, and the CARB's development of corporate climate disclosures as part of the state's ongoing climate policy efforts. California is seeking a 40pc reduction in emissions, compared to 1990 levels, statewide by 2030, and net-zero emissions in 2045. By Denise Cathey Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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