Overview

Argus provides key insights on how global climate policies will affect the global energy and commodity markets. We shine a light on decisions made at UN Cop meetings, which have far-reaching effects on the markets we serve. Progress at Cop 30 in Brazil will be crucial in transforming ambitions into actions aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement. Countries must produce new climate plans this year.

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09.06.26

Turkey eyes 35pc by 2035 Cop 31 electrification goal

Turkey eyes 35pc by 2035 Cop 31 electrification goal

London, 9 June (Argus) — Turkey has proposed a global goal for electricity to reach 35pc of global final energy consumption by 2035, up from around 20pc at present during the Bonn climate talks, a halfway conference between UN Cop climate summits. Turkey, which will host the upcoming Cop 31 climate summit in November, proposed the goal as part of its action agenda of voluntary initiatives aimed at accelerating the implementation of commitments taken at previous summits. Like during Cop 30 in Brazil, the action agenda will run alongside official UN negotiations. The Cop host is proposing to build a global coalition to carry forward this goal, which is based on analysis from watchdogs the International Energy Agency (IEA) and International Renewable Energy Agency (Irena). President-designate of the summit, Murat Kurum, called it "one of the defining priorities of our Cop 31 presidency." Reaching the goal would require a sharp increase in the rate of electrification from recent decades. Electricity would have to increase its share of final energy consumption by 1.2pc/yr, compared to 0.2pc/yr over 1990-23, according to IEA data (see graph). The electrification goal has the advantage of being applicable worldwide, being equally valid for decarbonising industry in Germany or contributing to clean cooking in Africa, according to Cop 31 president of negotiations Chris Bowen of Australia. The electrification pledge remains outside of negotiated Cop outcomes for now, but Australia has referred the action agenda to parties at the Cop, and it is something they could take momentum from, Bowen said. UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) executive secretary Simon Stiell said today that it is "for parties to decide" if it is brought into the negotiation process. Achieving an electrification rate of 35pc by 2035, combined with energy efficiency improvements of around 3pc, calls for a global installed renewable power capacity of around 18,400 GW in the same period, according to Irena. The goal also needs to be complemented by grid enhancements, according to the organisation. Increasing electricity consumption can be met by fossil as well as non-fossil sources. The world consumed 2.4 times as much fossil-origin electricity in 2023 as in 1990, although electricity generation from other sources increased 2.7 times in the same timespan. By Rhys Talbot Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Luxembourg to add €50mn to global forest fund


08.06.26
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08.06.26

Luxembourg to add €50mn to global forest fund

Sao Paulo, 8 June (Argus) — Luxembourg will join the Tropical Forests Forever Facility (TFFF), a fund to preserve global tropical forests launched by Brazil during the UN Cop 30 climate summit, Luxembourg's environment, climate and biodiversity minister Serge Wilmes said. It will contribute €50mn ($57.7mn) in the Tropical Forest Investment Fund (TFIF) — the TFFF's financial arm — from 2026-2030 through its Luxembourg's Climate and Energy fund. It also expects to maintain a long-term annual contribution to TFIF after 2030, but it did not specify the value nor length. TFFF aims to preserve tropical global forests and help pay developing countries $4/hectare (ha) for preserved tropical forests. The goal is to raise $125bn for the fund to protect 1bn ha (10mn km²) of tropical forests globally. Several countries backed TFF during Cop 30, such as Norway, Germany, Indonesia, France, Colombia, the Netherlands and Portugal. These countries, along with Brazil and Australia's Minderoo Foundation, had pledged a combined $6.7bn, according to Brazilian government officials. Norway's commitment to TFFF hinges on several conditions, such as that the fund mobilize at least NKr100bn ($10.55bn) by the end of 2026. The TFFF and other initiatives to combat deforestation, such as the Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD+) framework, can generate a combined $9bn/yr to combat deforestation, Brazilian environment minister Marina Silva said in 2025. But the fund has been criticized by international environment groups for not addressing the impacts of agriculture, mining and hydrocarbon extraction in deforestation . By Mariana Funchal Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU eyes sector-specific ETS fallback benchmarks


05.06.26
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05.06.26

EU eyes sector-specific ETS fallback benchmarks

London, 5 June (Argus) — The European Commission will propose in the upcoming revision of the EU's emissions trading system (ETS) the introduction of sector-specific "fallback" benchmarks used in free allocation calculations, to address concerns expressed by some industries. The commission should have a "specific empowerment" to define such sector-specific benchmark values for 2026-30, including the methodology for how these are calculated, the climate change expert group at the commission's climate directorate noted on 3 June, in a document seen by Argus . The revised methodology should become applicable as early as possible "to ensure timely and effective support" to the affected sectors, the group noted. Fallback benchmarks are the default efficiency benchmarks applied when product-specific carbon intensity benchmarks — used to calculate free emission allowances under the EU ETS — are unavailable. The proposed revision to heat and fuel fallback benchmarks put forward by the commission in a consultation last month would cut free allowances per tonne of product by around 34pc. A group of EU countries raised concerns that the current fallback methodology is unrealistic in terms of what is physically possible, as many affected installations continue to rely on fossil-fuel based heat production because of technological constraints or a lack of cost-effective alternatives. Industry groups have voiced similar concerns. Sector-specific fallback benchmarks could be developed in sectors with at least 30 sub-installations, while the generic fallback values are maintained for the other sectors. These benchmarks would be calculated taking into account 2021-22 emissions from the top 10pc performers of the identified sectors. This would create a need for an additional 20mn-25mn free ETS allowances, although this would likely not trigger a change in the cross-sector correction factor (CSCF), according to the document. The CSCF ensures that the total amount of free allowances allocated under the ETS does not exceed the overall emissions cap for any given year. Extraction of natural gas, ceramic tiles and flags, extraction of crude petroleum and transport via pipeline would be the sectors requiring the largest amount of additional free allowances for the entire five-year period, at 6.7mn, 5.9mn, 3mn and 5mn, respectively. The commission's empowerment to introduce these changes will be introduced in the wider ETS review due on 15 July. By Erisa Senerdem Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU finance ministers eye agreement on CBAM changes


04.06.26
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04.06.26

EU finance ministers eye agreement on CBAM changes

Brussels, 4 June (Argus) — EU finance ministers are seeking agreement on their position for legal changes to the bloc's carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM), extending the scope to more downstream products and adding anti-circumvention measures. Final tweaks and clarifications specify the European Commission's power to suspend CBAM for problematic sectors. The text drawn up for finance ministers, who meet on 12 June, takes account of a majority that has spoken out against giving the commission broad empowerment to temporarily remove specific goods from CBAM under a new article 27a. Diplomats noted the risks of "jeopardising" the effectiveness of CBAM and the "imprecise" scope of the powers. To bridge differences, Cyprus, chairing discussions between diplomats, has built on a previous draft to specify the conditions that the commission could use to trigger CBAM suspension. This includes average non-CBAM-related import price increases of more than 50pc compared with average prices for the same CBAM goods over the previous 10 years. Price increases would need to be sustained over a period of at least six months. If finance ministers agree on the text on 12 June, EU states would be ready for negotiations over a final legal draft with the European Parliament after summer. Cypriot diplomats suggested article 27a remains in the European Council's draft position as a "good basis" for the talks. During a first discussion, members of parliament's environment committee broadly supported deleting the new article 27a. But some members have called for partial or full CBAM suspension . The committee is expected to vote on the issue on 6 July, followed by the whole parliament in early September. Discussions on CBAM's suspension have continued following the commission's adoption last month of a fertilizer action plan, including measures such as financial relief for farmers, and assessing stockpiling options for key fertilizers and inputs. By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EIB, UN GCF team to spur private finance for climate


04.06.26
News
04.06.26

EIB, UN GCF team to spur private finance for climate

London, 4 June (Argus) — The UN Green Climate Fund (GCF) will invest €200mn ($233mn) in an initiative backed by the European Investment Bank (EIB), to mobilise private capital "at scale" for climate finance in developing countries. The GCF will invest in the EU's Global Green Bond Initiative, which aims to marshal private capital for climate finance, as well as provide technical assistance and cut borrowing costs for emerging economies. The initiative's fund, run by European asset manager Amundi, has a target size of €3bn and plans to mobilise up to €20bn in private finance for sustainable infrastructure projects in developing countries. The GCF investment "will de-risk investments in 10 emerging economies. This equity will stimulate country-led green projects that deliver climate solutions in critical sectors such as energy and transport", GCF chief investment officer Amer Baig said. The GCF operates under the financial mechanism of UN climate body the UNFCCC. It is the world's largest climate fund and was originally capitalised with $10.3bn in 2015. The EIB is the EU's lending arm and is owned by EU member states. It is classed as a multilateral development bank (MDB). Governments and campaigners have shifted their focus to MDBs and the private sector to deliver climate finance, as several key donors of international development aid have scaled back or announced cuts to funding in the last 18 months, which is likely to affect projects tackling climate change in developing nations. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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