Overview

Argus provides key insights on how global climate policies will affect the global energy and commodity markets. We shine a light on decisions made at UN Cop meetings, which have far-reaching effects on the markets we serve. Progress at Cop 30 in Brazil will be crucial in transforming ambitions into actions aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement. Countries must produce new climate plans this year.

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News

News
26/02/11

EU leaders, CEOs mull ETS, CBAM changes

EU leaders, CEOs mull ETS, CBAM changes

London, 11 February (Argus) — European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen today called for greater emissions trading system (ETS) revenues to be ploughed back into industry. Speaking in Antwerp, Belgium, with industry leaders ahead of a meeting Thursday with EU leaders, Von der Leyen called on leaders to "save" EU industry by lowering energy and carbon costs, and that it is "high time" for EU states to "step up and match" EU-wide levels of channelling ETS revenues back to the industry. She noted EU-wide ETS revenues have totaled over €260bn ($187bn) since 2005. "But member states invest less than 5pc of ETS revenues in industrial decarbonisation," she said. "This will be a core focus of the upcoming reform of our ETS this summer." Among the many demands at the industrial leaders' summit in Antwerp, organized this year by chemicals association Cefic, was a call to reflect on the ETS itself. "After 20 years in the ETS we might have gone in the wrong direction," said Marco Mensink, Cefic director general. "That's where you hear the urgency." Besides calling for more common EU debt and greater European sovereignty, French president Emmanuel Macron noted that the carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) is a necessary tool, but only if it works in practice. "Without CBAM, it's over. No chance to preserve our steel industry without implementing CBAM," Macron said. The bloc's ETS must support decarbonization "in the long run, but without undermining competitiveness", Macron added. Fertilizer giant Yara's chief executive Svein Tore Holsether urged EU climate commissioner Wopke Hoekstra to provide more certainty on CBAM. Holsether said the mechanism entered into force on 1 January and only seven days later the European Commission created "significant" confusion among fertilizer producers by talking of "suspending, pausing [implementation of CBAM for fertilizers], possibly with retroactive impact". EU trade commissioner Maros Sefcovic said on 7 January that some proposed changes to CBAM could allow for a "temporary suspension" for certain CBAM goods, and that these could even apply retroactively. The commission proposed in December changes to the CBAM regulation, including Article 27a, which would "empower" it to remove goods temporarily from the CBAM goods list if it considers that their inclusion "causes severe harm to the union's internal market due to serious and unforeseen circumstances" related to the CBAM's impact on the prices of goods. European industry associations and companies have since urged for this proposed change to be rejected in order to not undermine market trust in CBAM and wider EU climate policies. "Not everything we do is always the gold standard, to phrase it diplomatically," Hoekstra said, admitting the need for dialogue with the fertilizers sector. The firms behind the Antwerp summit also called for public procurement and private buyer initiatives to boost demand for net-zero, low-carbon and circular products. "We are not asking for protection from change", said Cefic president Markus Kamieth, who is also chief executive of BASF. "We're asking for competitive conditions to lead the change". By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Push to include refineries in UK CBAM


26/02/11
News
26/02/11

Push to include refineries in UK CBAM

London, 11 February (Argus) — UK energy minister Ed Miliband told a parliamentary committee today that work should be accelerated on including refineries in the country's carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM). "We want to accelerate the work to get refineries into the CBAM, because that is the way in which we can help to protect their competitiveness," Miliband told a meeting of the energy security and net zero committee today, adding that his department is working on this with the finance ministry. "We recognise that the situation facing refineries is really challenging," Miliband said, adding that the energy ministry is also considering the lack of inclusion of refineries in the energy-intensive industries exemption scheme, which is designed to reduce electricity costs in covered sectors. Miliband also pointed to the future of fuels call for evidence, to be launched "shortly", which he said will address the role of the refining sector. The UK CBAM is to launch on 1 January 2027, initially covering aluminium, cement, fertilisers, hydrogen, iron and steel. Glass and ceramics were initially included, but have since been excluded subject to future review, as have indirect emissions , until 2029 at the earliest. After the Prax Lindsey refinery fell into administration last year, refinery association Fuel Industry UK's chief executive, Elizabeth de Jong , said "we must now see a shift towards delivering the changes that can make a difference — inclusion in CBAM and addressing hugely expensive industrial energy and carbon costs". The government yesterday opened a consultation running to 24 March on draft delegated regulations for administrative implementation of the UK CBAM, including a proposed methodology for calculating carbon price relief. By Victoria Hatherick Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

EU parliament adopts 2040 climate target


26/02/10
News
26/02/10

EU parliament adopts 2040 climate target

Brussels, 10 February (Argus) — The European Parliament today adopted an agreement with EU states amending the bloc's climate law, establishing a 90pc greenhouse gas emissions reduction target for 2040, compared with 1990 levels. It comprises a domestic target of 85pc and up to 5pc of international carbon credits from 2036. Key changes in the new climate law include postponing by one year to 2028 the expansion of the bloc's emissions trading system (ETS2) to cover fuel combustion emissions in buildings and road transport. It now foresees progress reports every two years, with the European Commission able to propose amendments including modifying the 2040 target. Green environment committee member Lena Schilling said that EU standards are threatened by deregulation but that "90pc reduction in emissions by 2040 is a hard-won milestone on the road to climate neutrality". Views on the agreed target remain divided. For centre-right Polish ECR member Anna Zalewska, it "risks accelerating de-industrialisation, increasing energy prices and weakening Europe's economic and strategic resilience". By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

India needs $22.7 trillion to hit net zero: Niti Aayog


26/02/10
News
26/02/10

India needs $22.7 trillion to hit net zero: Niti Aayog

Mumbai, 10 February (Argus) — India's transition towards net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2070 is set to sharply reduce the role of fossil fuels while driving a rise in electricity demand, but the country will require $22.7 trillion to achieve its targets, according to a report released today by government think-tank Niti Aayog. Achieving the net zero pathway requires cumulative investment of $22.7 trillion by 2070, with the power sector accounting for more than half of total capital needs, reflecting its central role in enabling economy-wide electrification, the report said. The report projects that fossil fuels could account for 54pc of India's primary energy mix by 2070 under its current policy scenario (CPS), down from 87pc in 2025. Under the net zero scenario, the fossil fuel share declines further to 14pc by 2070, with remaining fossil fuel use largely paired with carbon capture solutions. Coal, oil and natural gas demand trajectories diverge significantly between the two scenarios. Under the current policy scenario, fossil fuel demand continues to rise through mid-century. Under the net zero scenario, coal, oil and gas demand fall sharply by 2070, driven by higher electrification, efficiency gains, the development of circular economy and the substitution of fossil fuels with low-carbon alternatives. India's final energy demand is projected to increase from 688mn t of oil equivalent in 2025 to 1.81bn t of oil equivalent by 2070 under current policies. Under the net zero scenario, final energy demand reaches 1.47bn t of oil equivalent by 2070, around 20pc lower than the current policy pathway, reflecting reduced energy intensity despite an eleven-fold expansion in GDP. Electricity demand rises sharply in both scenarios. Power consumption increases from 1,541TWh in 2024 to 9,800TWh by 2070 under current policies and to 13,000TWh under the net zero scenario, as electricity use expands across transport, industry, buildings and cooking. The share of electricity in final energy demand increases from 21pc in 2025 to 40pc by 2070 under current policies and to 60pc under the net zero scenario. Per-capita electricity consumption rises from about 1,400kWh in 2025 to 7,000-10,000kWh by 2070, comparable with levels in advanced economies. The power generation mix shifts decisively away from fossil fuels under both scenarios. Non-fossil electricity generation increases from 23pc in 2025 to more than 80pc by 2070 under current policies and to 100pc under the net zero scenario. Grid carbon intensity declines from 0.72kg CO2/kWh in 2025 to near zero by 2070 under the net zero pathway. Variable renewable energy capacity expands sharply in both scenarios, supported by energy storage. Nuclear power also scales up significantly, rising from around 8GW in 2025 to 90-130GW by 2070 under current policies and to 290-320GW under the net zero scenario, providing firm low-carbon generation. The country's energy transition also reduces its exposure to fossil fuel imports. The report projects fossil fuel revenues falling from 2.3pc of GDP in 2022 to 0.2pc by 2070 under the net zero scenario, while the fuel import bill declines from 4pc of GDP to 0.2pc over the same period. India's crude import bill was nearly $138.85bn for 2025, down by about 6pc from $147.23bn in 2024, according to latest government data. By Keertiman Upadhyay Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

ADB grants $350mn loan for Thailand's energy transition


26/02/09
News
26/02/09

ADB grants $350mn loan for Thailand's energy transition

Singapore, 9 February (Argus) — The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has approved a $350mn loan to Thailand's Gulf Renewable Energy (GRE) to expand renewable energy generation and decarbonise Thailand's power sector. The funding will be used for the construction of three projects. Two of these are solar and battery energy storage systems (Bess) with a total capacity of 126MW and 151MWh of energy storage, while the third is a 68MW solar power plant. The projects align with Thailand's 5GW renewable energy feed-in tariff programme, "marking southeast Asia's first large-scale solar and Bess procurement", the ADB said. "Battery-integrated solar is a cornerstone of Thailand's affordable and reliable clean energy future," ADB's country director for Thailand Aaron Batten said. GRE is a subsidiary of Thai private power producer Gulf Development Public, which has a total generation capacity of 16,504MW operating as of December 2025. Under the latest funding agreement, ADB will provide $75mn from its ordinary capital resources, a $50mn "B-loan" from Singapore's DBS Bank, $150mn in parallel loans from German development finance institution DEG, Development Finance Institute Canada (DFIC) and Export Finance Australia; as well as $75mn from the ADB-administered Leading Asia's Private infrastructure fund. The projects are also expected to reduce an average of 191,550 t/yr of CO2, according to the ADB. Thailand has pledged to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 . Fossil fuels accounted for more than 80pc of Thailand's electricity generation in 2024. Installed solar capacity was just 3.4GW, but the country has a high solar resource potential of about 300GW, according to think-tank Ember. The country estimates that it requires $6.11bn by 2035 to advance the energy transition through the green energy, green transportation and green industries. For other sectors, including industrial processes and product use, agriculture and waste, Thailand estimates that it requires an additional $940mn. This brings total estimated investment required to $7.05bn by 2035. By Prethika Nair Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Country focus
26/02/02

Dutch government focuses on power grids

Dutch government focuses on power grids

London, 2 February (Argus) — The new Dutch government is focusing on power grid congestion as its "top priority" for energy and climate, according to its coalition agreement released last week. The government will create a grid congestion "crisis act" to accelerate permitting and intervene if construction stagnates, it said. It has committed to a target of 40GW of offshore wind by 2040, with contracts for difference to be rolled out to support this goal, on the higher end of the 30-40GW range the previous government mooted in July to replace a goal of 50GW. And the SDE++ programme of subsidies for renewable generation is being extended, with six new tender rounds to come. The coalition document represents a compromise between the positions of the partners , left-wing D66 and centre-right CDA and VVD. D66's proposals to increase the country's carbon tax was not adopted, with the tax to be scrapped. But no more gas extraction permits are to be issued for the Wadden Sea, in line with the party's manifesto. The giant Groningen gas field, which shut down in October 2024, will remain closed. The coalition agreement includes a role for "blue" hydrogen made from gas in "scaling up the Dutch hydrogen supply chain" and commits to building at least four new nuclear power plants. Dutch grid operator association Netbeheer Nederland and energy association Energie Nederland welcomed the coalition document's focus on grids, but both warned that a focus on green electricity supply needed to be paired with an increase in demand. The coalition government holds 66 out of 150 seats in the lower house of parliament and will need the support of other parties to implement its agenda. By Rhys Talbot Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Climate ‘superfund’ bill revived in Rhode Island


26/01/30
Country focus
26/01/30

Climate ‘superfund’ bill revived in Rhode Island

Houston, 30 January (Argus) — Rhode Island lawmakers are making another attempt at passing legislation that would establish a climate "superfund" to hold large oil, natural gas and coal companies responsible for their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and their associated harms. The bills, H7004 and S2024, were introduced to both houses of the state General Assembly earlier this month, state senator Linda Ujifusa (D) and representative Jennifer Boylan (D), the sponsors of the proposal, said on Thursday. The legislation would direct the Rhode Island Department of Environmental Management (DEM) to identify and issue payment requirements to obligated entities within 18 months of its passage. Obligated entities would include fossil fuel companies that are responsible for at least 1bn metric tonnes of GHG emissions from 2000-2025 but would not include any that do not have "sufficient connection with the state." Entities covered under the bill would have to make the required payment within six months of being notified, though they could choose to do so in installments. Late payments would result in a penalty totaling to 10pc/yr of the unpaid amount. The bills, which are virtually identical, would also establish a "climate superfund account" where the payments would be deposited, which would then be used to fund any eligible projects identified by DEM. The agency as well as the attorney general's office would be given the authority to enforce the requirements under the proposal. The Rhode Island legislature considered a similar climate superfund bill last year , but it died in committee. Rhode Island is part of a growing number of states that have introduced or restarted efforts to establish a climate superfund law this year. New Jersey lawmakers introduced a bill earlier this month while Maine lawmakers advanced their own climate superfund bill on Wednesday. Vermont and New York remain the only states that have enacted climate superfund laws. Both are currently facing lawsuits from the federal government. By Ida Balakrishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Brazil's Lula eyes draft to step away from fossil fuels


25/12/08
Country focus
25/12/08

Brazil's Lula eyes draft to step away from fossil fuels

Sao Paulo, 8 December (Argus) — Brazil's president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva called for the country's own draft roadmap for a "just and planned" energy transition, focusing on the move away from fossil fuels, after leading efforts for such an international plan. Brazil's energy, environment and finance ministries, as well as the chief of staff, must draft a resolution by 60 days from 5 December, or by 3 February, according to a presidential decree published in the official gazette on 8 December. Lula called for the creation of an international roadmap to move away from fossil fuels during a leaders' summit only a few days before the UN Cop 30 climate summit. That led to over 80 countries supporting a call for a roadmap to be included in final agreements at Cop 30. But the proposal did not make it to the summit's final decision. Instead, the Cop 30 presidency pledged to create a roadmap on the issue outside of official negotiations. Cop 30 president Andre Correa do Lago said recently that an initial draft of roadmap could be ready by April , when Colombia is set to host a global summit on the topic . Energy transition fund Lula also requested the creation of a draft resolution to "propose financing mechanisms to implement an energy transition policy", which would include creating an energy transition fund financed "by a portion of government revenues from oil and gas exploration". The ministries and chief of staff will also have 60 days from 5 December to draft this resolution. Lula had also asked oil and mining firms to pay their fair share of climate financing during a speech at Cop 30. This comes after similar efforts at previous climate summits. An initiative from the Cop 29 presidency called for a climate fund, capitalized with voluntary contributions from oil, coal and gas-producing countries and companies, to support developing economies in addressing climate change. But the fund was never set up and the topic slid from the agenda. Brazilian state-controlled oil firm Petrobras did not answer Argus ' requests for comments on the topic. Mining giant Vale declined to comment. But Brazil's oil, gas and biofuels institute IBP "recognizes the importance of creating a fund to finance energy transition and climate change projects and understands that the oil and gas sector can and should be part of the solution for this process", it told Argus . Brazil's oil and gas sector contributes with R325bn ($60.85bn)/yr in taxes and "part of this amount should be directed towards climate finance and a fair and efficient energy transition process", IBP said. But for that it is necessary to maintain oil and gas production, it said. Brazil has been steadily increasing its oil production. It produced 4.03mn b/d of crude in October , a 23pc increase from the same month in 2024, data from hydrocarbons regulator ANP show. The country has plans to expand oil production to 5.3mn b/d by 2030, according to energy research bureau Epe, hinging on new exploratory frontiers such as the southern Pelotas basin and the environmentally sensitive equatorial margin. IBP also argues that Brazil's oil sector already faces a large tax burden, with 66pc of all crude destined for the payment of taxes, fees and royalties. "We want to and will contribute, but it's necessary to point out that there's no way to create more burdens on the sector's supply chain", it said. The group argues that the fund's financing should come from the redistribution of current government oil and gas revenues. "Increasing taxation on oil and gas exploration and production could make future projects unfeasible," it said. By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Cop: Denmark commits to new 2035 climate target


25/11/17
Country focus
25/11/17

Cop: Denmark commits to new 2035 climate target

London, 17 November (Argus) — Denmark has committed to a new, "very ambitious" climate target for 2035, to cut emissions by 82pc by 2035, from 1990 levels, the country's climate minister Lars Aagaard said today at the UN Cop 30 climate summit. Denmark was expected to communicate a 2035 target this year. It has a legally-binding target to reduce emissions by 70pc by 2030, from the same 1990 baseline. This new target for 2035 will be "binding", Aagaard said today. Independent advisory body the Danish Council on Climate Change previously found that under the country's current climate policy, projections indicate that Denmark would achieve emissions reductions of 78pc by 2035, from 1990 levels. Denmark's new target for 2035 goes beyond the EU's aim for the same timeframe. The bloc earlier this month finally reached agreement on climate goals for 2035 and 2040. It plans to cut emissions by 66.25-72.5pc by 2035, from 1990 levels. Denmark holds the rotating EU Council presidency until the end of the year. Aagaard has thus overseen much of the bloc's discussions of and decisions on new climate targets. Signatories to the Paris climate agreement are expected to establish new climate goals and submit plans, known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs), every five years, under the terms of the accord. Countries and jurisdictions are currently submitting NDCs for 2035, although these lack ambition to hit Paris-aligned targets . By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Country focus

Cop: California 'doubling down' on climate


25/11/10
Country focus
25/11/10

Cop: California 'doubling down' on climate

Houston, 10 November (Argus) — California is "doubling down" on its climate policies and goals to mitigate the impact of policy shifts by US president Donald Trump, California state senator Josh Becker (D) said at the UN Cop 30 climate summit in Belem, Brazil. Becker indicated the state is still moving forward on its response to climate change, despite ongoing opposition from the federal government, including to the state's ability to regulate vehicle emissions, in a discussion on Monday around California's climate leadership under the Trump administration. Becker touted the continued emissions reductions for California's economy, which fell 3pc to 360.4mn metric tonnes (t) in 2023 from the prior year, primarily around transportation, the state's largest emitting sector, according to state data released last week. But California is still looking to keep momentum going, including reducing vehicle emissions after the Trump administration signed three congressional resolutions earlier this year to repeal EPA waivers for the state's own tailpipe CO2 rules. "Even though they took away our waiver to regulate transportation, we are now working with our air resources board to come up with legislation for next year to figure out a way around that," Becker said. The EPA previously granted a waiver allowing California to ban gas-powered vehicle sales by model year 2035, known as Advanced Clean Cars II (ACC II), along with mandates for zero-emission truck sales and more-stringent nitrogen oxide emission standards during former-president Joe Biden's administration. California, as part of a state coalition, is in ongoing legal disputes with the federal government and automotive manufacturers over the removal of its tailpipe waivers. But while the courts deliberate, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) is weighing measures the state could take to keep the transition away from fossil fuel-based vehicles on track. CARB plans to consider adopting emergency regulations that would allow it to use tailpipe regulations built on previous federal waivers in a hearing later this month. California has had some climate successes this year despite federal headwinds, including the state legislature's extension in September of its "cap-and-invest" program to 2045. The program, which was previously set to end in 2030, will bring in roughly $5bn/yr that California can use for investments in programs and policies targeting emissions mitigation and climate change adaptation and resilience, Becker said. Becker held up the growing portfolio of clean electricity within the state, now 70pc from zero-emission sources, and the CARB's development of corporate climate disclosures as part of the state's ongoing climate policy efforts. California is seeking a 40pc reduction in emissions, compared to 1990 levels, statewide by 2030, and net-zero emissions in 2045. By Denise Cathey Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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