Algeria's state-owned Sonatrach expects weather-related disruptions to its Saharan Blend crude exports to continue in February, a source at the firm told Argus.
Algeria's crude exports — made up entirely of the light sweet Saharan Blend — fell to a multi-year low of 201,000 b/d in January as bad weather delayed loadings, the source said. Argus estimates exports at 476,000 b/d in December.
Spot prices for Saharan Blend rose to a $2/bl premium to North Sea Dated in mid-January, when European refiners — particularly in the Mediterranean — were seeking alternatives to light sour CPC Blend. But with Europe approaching spring refinery maintenance and CPC Blend exports picking up again, Saharan Blend has eased by 70¢/bl to a $1.30/bl premium to Dated.
The Algerian grade, which trades on a fob basis, is also under pressure from rising freight rates. The cost of shipping an Aframax-sized cargo of Saharan Blend across the Mediterranean and to northwest Europe has averaged around 40pc higher in the second half of January into early February, compared with the first half of January. Sonatrach raised the official February formula price for Saharan Blend to a $2.50/bl premium to Dated, up by $1.50/bl from January and the highest since December 2022. The company typically circulates its retroactive official price after clearing most of its own supplies.
