Argus Monthly Urea Outlook
Overview
The Argus Monthly Urea Outlook service is your reliable and proven source of unbiased 24-month urea price forecasts and the short-term outlook and balance for supply, demand and trade.
We empower market participants to make informed business decisions. Use the service to:
- Inform your business plans: Get robust and actionable market intelligence and forecasts through our expert analysts and statistical price modelling.
- Mitigate risk to your business: Stay up to date with the impact of CBAM, regulations, policy changes and market volatility.
- Access comprehensive market data: Examine extensive raw data and incorporate into your reports.
- Find your next big opportunity: Our independent market data and expert insight help you identify and capitalise on future opportunities.
Key features
Urea price forecasts (24-months)
Our expert-led 12-month price forecasts are enriched with 24-month forecasts using statistical price modelling. Prices forecast include: Baltic Sea (prilled) fob, Middle East fob, China (prilled) fob, North Africa fob, US Gulf coast fob st, Brazil cfr
Global trade balance analysis and forecast
The Argus Monthly Urea Outlook service provides a rolling global trade balance in each monthly issue, covering the next three months and next three quarters
Supply and demand balance
The Argus Monthly Urea Outlook service includes analysis of the supply and demand balance for major markets
Country/regional analysis and outlook
The Argus Monthly Urea Outlook service includes country and region focused analysis, covering the Baltic Sea, Middle East, China, Egypt and US gulf
New capacity analysis
The Argus Monthly Urea Outlook service incudes analysis of new capacity (planned/under-construction) for the year ahead, listing company, location, expected date and capacity alongside additional insights and notes
Related market analysis
The service includes analysis of the impact of related markets such as agriculture (crop fundamentals and prices), freight and crude oil
Production costs analysis
The Argus Monthly Urea Outlook service includes production cost analysis, covering feedstock costs (US Henry hub, Dutch TTF, Northeast Asia LNG), variable costs, fixed costs and transport costs
Macroeconomic outlook
The Argus Monthly Outlook service provides analysis of the macroeconomic outlook, including the GDP growth forecast for major fertilizer-consuming countries and regions
Enhanced graphics and visualisation
The Argus Monthly Outlook service incorporates insightful visuals to highlight and bring key data to life, such as net trade and supply surplus/deficits
Customers that benefit
Below are examples of clients that use this service:
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Producers and suppliers
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Traders
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Energy and utilities companies
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Shipping and port authorities
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Procurement teams
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Industry analysts
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Governments
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Financial institutions including bankers and investors
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Wholesalers
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Co-ops and retailers
Product specifications
Key price assessments
Argus urea price assessments are recognised by the market as trusted and reliable indicators of the real market value. Explore some of our most widely used and relevant price assessments.