Navigating volatility in Europe’s road fuels markets: supply, demand and global trade flows
Join industry leaders for a dedicated day examining one of the fastest-evolving segments of Europe's road fuels market.
As pressure mounts on traditional fuel supply and pricing, biomethane is emerging as a compelling alternative for road transport, particularly within heavy-duty and fleet applications. This focused event will explore the realities of the market, from production and feedstock availability to pricing, certification and end-use demand.
Gain insight into how biomethane is being integrated into transport fuel strategies, where the strongest commercial opportunities are emerging, and what challenges remain in scaling supply to meet growing demand.
Hear directly from participants across the biomethane value chain as they share practical perspectives on market development, investment, infrastructure and competitiveness within an evolving regulatory and pricing landscape.
The day concludes with a networking reception, providing an opportunity to connect with fellow attendees, speakers and industry stakeholders.
Agenda
- 08.00 - 09.00
Morning registration and networking
- 09.00 - 09.10
Chairperson’s opening remarks
- 09.10 - 09.40
ARGUS PRESENTATION – How Europe's Biomethane Market Works: Supply, Structure and Price Formation
- European production volumes and the supply outlook into 2027
- Why the same molecule trades at a small premium to natural gas in one market and several times its value in another
- Feedstock, certification and demand type as the drivers of price fragmentation
- National market structures compared: the Netherlands, France, Spain, the UK, Denmark and Germany
- How prices are formed and where transparency is improving
- 09.40 - 10.25
PANEL DISCUSSION – Regulation as Demand Creator: RED III, Quotas and the German Mandate Map
- Germany's RED III implementation and the targets now taking shape
- New heating mandates and what they would mean for biomethane demand and pricing
- Mandated versus voluntary demand and where the durable growth sits
- Cross-border certificate recognition and the friction in moving compliant volumes
- What regulatory clarity before 2027 would unlock for buyers and investors
- 10.25 - 10.55
Morning coffee and networking
- 10.55 - 11.15
ARGUS PRESENTATION – Natural Gas: The Cost Floor Beneath Biomethane
- Recent developments in European natural gas fundamentals and prices
- Storage, LNG supply and the winter risk outlook
- How movements in the underlying gas price transmit into biomethane premiums
- 11.15 - 12.00
PANEL DISCUSSION – Biomethane in the German Road Fuels Market: Competing in the Biofuels Complex
- The GHG quota ticket price as the effective price setter for road biomethane
- Where biomethane wins and loses against HVO, biodiesel and ethanol for waste-based feedstock and quota value
- CNG and LNG fleet demand and the state of refuelling infrastructure
- Whether road transport remains the premium demand segment as other mandates arrive
- 12.00 - 12.20
PRESENTATION – Delivering Biomethane at Commercial Scale
- A case study on moving volumes from production through the grid to end users
- The commercial and contractual hurdles encountered and how they were resolved
- What the project reveals about where the market infrastructure still falls short
- 12.20 - 12.40
PRESENTATION – The ETS and ETS2 Explained: Carbon Pricing Meets Transport
- How ETS2 extends carbon pricing to road transport and heating fuels
- Using biomethane to reduce compliance exposure and how that value is calculated
- The interaction between carbon prices, gas prices and biomethane premiums
- What the current ETS review means for the demand outlook
- 12.40 - 14.00
Networking lunch
- 14.00 - 14.45
PANEL DISCUSSION – The Next Wave of Demand: Heating, Utilities and Shipping
- Regional utilities and Stadtwerke as an emerging buyer class for mandated heat supply
- Danish and UK exports into German demand and the economics of cross-border supply
- Bio-LNG and the maritime sector as a growing offtake channel
- How new demand segments will reprice existing supply
- 14.45 - 15.30
PANEL DISCUSSION – Sourcing and Trading: How Biomethane Moves Across Borders
- The role of originators, brokers and position-taking intermediaries in a fragmented market
- Contract structures, tenors and the shift from bilateral deals to traded markets
- Price discovery, index adoption and what improved transparency changes for buyers
- Where liquidity develops next as mandated demand expands
- 15.30 - 15.40
Chairperson’s closing remarks
- 15.40 - 17.10
Off site drinks reception
Who should attend?
Producers and project developers
Understand how supply is evolving across Europe, including feedstock availability, production scaling and the challenges of bringing new capacity online.
Fuel suppliers and distributors
Explore how biomethane is being integrated into fuel portfolios and what it means for pricing, logistics and customer demand.
Fleet operators
Gain insight into the role of biomethane in heavy-duty transport, including cost considerations, infrastructure requirements and operational adoption.
Traders
Assess market dynamics, pricing structures and the growing role of certification and cross-border trade in biomethane markets.
Procurement teams
Evaluate sourcing strategies, supplier options and how biomethane fits within broader fuel and decarbonisation strategies.
Policy and regulatory stakeholders
Understand how evolving regulation is shaping supply, certification and market participation across Europe.
Venue
Hilton Munich City
Hilton Munich City is located in the heart of Munich, offering excellent transport links and easy access from Munich Airport. The hotel provides modern conference and exhibition facilities, on-site accommodation, and an ideal setting for networking and business meetings.
Address: Rosenheimer Str. 15, 81667 München, Germany
Book your place
Register nowTerms and conditions
View the conference booking terms and conditions.
VAT
As the conference is being held in Germany, all in-person delegate tickets are subject to German VAT in accordance with Section 3a, Paragraph 3(5) of the German VAT Act (UStG).
Antitrust compliance reminder
Argus takes compliance with antitrust law seriously. The purpose of the Argus Biomethane Focus Day is to help market participants understand the major issues shaping the market. The conference sessions will follow the agenda as circulated.
Argus reminds all participants of the need to be mindful of the requirement to comply with antitrust and competition laws. There should be no discussion of any matters relating to competition among participants, including discussion of individual prices, rates or market strategies and no exchange of information concerning any other competitive aspect of an individual company’s operation. Should any participant to this conference attempt to initiate a discussion with other participants on any of these matters, we recommend that other participants end the conversation immediately and at all times act in accordance with their own antitrust compliance policies and all applicable laws.
Disclaimer
The organisers will not accept liability for non-approval of visas, individual transport delays and transport disruption. In such circumstances, our normal cancellation rules and penalties apply. Where matters beyond the reasonable control of the organizers impair or prevent the organizers from being able to perform any activities relating to this event, each delegate releases the organizers from any liability, relating to such events.
Contact us
General enquiries
Michelle Ladiana
Customer Service Team Lead
+44 20 4570 1299
Registration enquiries
Rochelle Payne
Delegate Sales Executive
US: +1 (346) 297-1879
ROW: +44 20 7199 1717
Sponsorship and exhibition opportunities
Kelly Naomi
Senior Sponsorship Manager
+55 (11) 45603504
Marketing opportunities
Amy Phillips
Senior Conference Marketing Executive
+44 20 4570 3517