Argus Chief Economist David Fyfe explores the global events impacting commodity markets. Through podcasts and blog posts, this series looks at the micro issues affecting one or more markets, and places them in a macro context. Listen or read to be kept informed of the latest developments.
Argus podcast episodes are available on a variety of podcast platforms as well as the Argus Blog, where each episode can be streamed and is provided with a full transcript and related links.
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From the Economist's Chair, featuring David Fyfe
08 апреля 2021
From the Economist’s Chair: Multi-speed recovery
Borrowing the nautical maxim that convoys sail at the speed of their slowest ships, a complete oil and commodity demand recovery requires more than just ongoing economic rebound in the US & China.
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Нефть Global English Asia-Pacific Europe North America18 марта 2021
From the Economist's Chair: Iranian supply ticks higher, despite political roadblocks
Four months after the US election, and despite expectations that an incoming Biden Administration would prioritise an early breakthrough, resuscitation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on Iran’s nuclear programme more realistically looks like a late-202...
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Нефть Global Asia-Pacific Middle East North America English03 марта 2021
From the Economist's Chair: A Fourth Bridge for Opec+
The Forth Bridge in Scotland was opened on the 4th of March 1890. Opec+ Ministers will hope their meeting on the same date 131 years later provides a bridge to both stronger oil demand and sustainably higher prices.
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Нефть Global English Africa FSU Latin America and Caribbean Middle East North America23 февраля 2021
From the Economist's Chair: The pros and cons of super-cycling
Commodity prices have moved sharply higher since November amid disrupted supply, healthy Chinese import demand and vaccine successes, with imminent demand recovery and broader inflation concerns now stoking expectations of a commodity super-cycle. However, persistent ec...
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Нефть Металлы Природный газ Global English Asia-Pacific Europe Middle East Latin America and Caribbean North America17 декабря 2020
From the Economist's Chair: Shifting policy priorities will drive China’s 2021 commodity demand
China’s imports of key commodities, totalling 2 billion tons and covering energy, agricultural products and metals, were up by a robust 7% year-on-year (y-o-y) during January-November 2020, with iron ore, soy, meat products and crude oil the strongest performers.
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Asia-Pacific English Agriculture Уголь Нефть Удобрения Сжиженный газ Металлы Природный газ Нефтехимия10 декабря 2020
From the Economist's Chair: Back towards the sweet spot?
Sentiment may be shifting to the upside for a US shale sector that recently took a standing count, but is it premature to herald fledgling recovery for a sector battered by collapsing demand, slumping prices, capital starvation, bankruptcies and an incoming Biden Admini...
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Нефть Global North America English17 ноября 2020
From the Economist’s Chair: Irrational Exuberance
Events since early November have boosted equities, strengthened crude oil prices, placed a floor under the USD index and moderated some of the recent safe-haven demand for gold.
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Нефть Нефтепродукты Global English Africa Europe Latin America and Caribbean Middle East North America02 ноября 2020
From the Economist's Chair: US election fog could intensify crude’s roller coaster
Intra-day crude volatility has doubled since early-September, on renewed uncertainty over Opec+ intentions, recovering Libyan production, weakening oil demand amid resurgent Covid-19 and, not least, a fractious US Presidential and Senate election campaign, which may see...
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Нефть North America English26 октября 2020
From the Economist’s Chair: Energy outlooks offer divergent paths for oil demand
The annual autumn glut of energy outlooks shows disparate potential global oil demand levels by 2040, with Covid-19’s aftermath now augmenting energy transition pathways as a source of uncertainty.
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Нефть Global English Нефтехимия Транспортировка Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America and Caribbean North America30 июля 2020
From the Economist’s Chair: Dog Days
The Covid-19 caseload is rising again and commodity markets have lost some of their earlier optimism, so a steady hand will be required to implement policies that help avoid another phase of blanket lock-down.
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Нефть Металлы Global English Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America and Caribbean Middle East North America Удобрения Природный газ22 июня 2020
From the Economist’s Chair: Paint It Bleak
As summer arrives and the world emerges from lock-down, hopes are high for gradual economic and oil demand recovery. Alongside reasonable levels of Opec+ discipline, this could help place a floor under crude prices. But whisper it quietly, a bleaker scenario also exists...
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Нефть Global English Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America and Caribbean Middle East North America22 мая 2020
From the Economist’s Chair: US shale – this time is different
US shale’s decline and recovery trajectory from 2014-2017 is unlikely to be replicated this time around. A different market backdrop, financial pressures and sector consolidation all point towards a “hockey stick” path, with a steep decline and shallower recovery likely...
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Нефть North America English13 апреля 2020
Podcast – From the Economist's Chair: Forget 2020, save 2021
Argus Media Chief Economist David Fyfe reviews last week's Opec+ and G20 meetings and the resulting, highly-anticipated crude oil production cut agreement.
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Нефть Global Africa Asia-Pacific Europe FSU Latin America and Caribbean Middle East North America English06 апреля 2020
From the Economist's Chair: Opec+ isn’t over until it’s over...
British Labour Prime Minister Harold Wilson said during the 1960s that “a week is a long time in politics”. If so, a month seems like an eternity for an oil market buffeted by coronavirus and the Opec+ fracturing that took place on 6 March in Vienna.
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Нефть Нефтепродукты Global English Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America and Caribbean Middle East North America24 марта 2020
Podcast - From the Economist’s Chair: How might coronavirus alter markets?
Argus Chief Economist David Fyfe considers more broadly the changes this cruel coronavirus episode might force upon international commerce, global relations and the commodity markets.
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Нефть Нефтепродукты Global English Africa Asia-Pacific Europe FSU Latin America and Caribbean Middle East North America Уголь Удобрения Сжиженный газ Металлы Природный газ Нефтехимия Транспортировка12 марта 2020
From the Economist's Chair: Counting the cost of fractured discipline
Riyadh may have decided the strategy of pursuing price, rather than market share, which served it well in the past, is now just too big a stretch.
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Нефть Global English04 марта 2020
From the Economist's Chair
Nailing jelly to the wall…continuously: Uncertain times call for exceptional measures. That’s what confronts Opec+ producers as they meet on 5 and 6 March in Vienna.
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Нефть Global English21 февраля 2020
From the Economist's Chair: Oil in transition
As the petroleum industry gathers in London for its annual IP Week jamboree, it seems assailed on several fronts along its planning horizon: economic downturn and coronavirus in the short-term; consolidation and slower supply growth from US shale in the medium-term; and...
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Нефть Нефтепродукты Global English27 ноября 2019
Viennese waltz: OPEC+ dancing between a rock and a hard place
Early indications suggest that Opec+ may simply extend their existing output deal beyond March 2020 when they meet on 5-6 December in Vienna. Broader commodity markets have shifted higher amid signs of an imminent stage-one US-China trade deal, and the IMO 2020 bunker r...
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Нефть Global English Africa Middle East Latin America and Caribbean Europe07 августа 2019
From the Economist's Chair: The geopolitics of crude
From the Economist's Chair: The geopolitics of crude - Trade disputes, sanctions and changing trade flows. Geopolitics remain pivotal in influencing crude prices and investor sentiment – to both the upside and downside.
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Нефть Global English Нефтепродукты Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America and Caribbean Middle East North America12 июля 2019
From the Economist's Chair: State and Future of Global Energy 2019
Welcome to the first in our blog post series from David Fyfe, Chief Economist at Argus Media. In this episode, Dr. Rouben Indjikian, lecturer in energy and commodities at Webster University Geneva speaks to David about the state and future of global energy.
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Global Нефть Нефтепродукты English Asia-Pacific Europe Middle East North AmericaЗапрос обратной связи
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