Gas-to-Coal Switching Winter Outlook 2026-27

Gas and coal prices have surged following LNG supply disruptions in the Middle East, reshaping fuel-switching patterns for the northern hemisphere’s 2026–27 heating season. Markets with flexible coal/gas switching capacity, such as Japan, South Korea and the EU, have largely shifted back to coal, while Taiwan remains an outlier. Coal use is also rising across South and Southeast Asia, where it underpins most power systems. But with hydro output weak under El Niño and coal supply constrained by policy, geopolitics and weather, any further rise in gas and coal prices risks destroying demand among price-sensitive South Asian buyers.

Watch this video for a clear view of the dynamics shaping generation fuels and pricing outlook over the next 24 months — critical context for trading, procurement and strategy teams in thermal coal, gas, LNG and power markets.

Gain expert insights on:

• Gas/coal fuel-switching dynamics and outlook in Europe and Asia
• Which markets will continue to prioritise coal ahead of gas and where will demand for gas and LNG remain robust
• Prospects for coal plant capacity buildouts/restarts and associated jumps in spot demand
• Potential for price-driven demand destruction
• 24-month ahead gas and coal price forecasts
• 24-month ahead gas and coal demand projections

 

Complete the form to watch the full video and discover how 2026–27 demand shifts and fuel-switching trends will shape coal, gas, LNG and power markets.