Argus International Biofuels Forward Curves
Описание
Сервис Argus Dry Freight — источник цен и аналитики для мировых рынков перевозок сухих грузов, освещающий все основные торговые потоки, вплоть до нишевых и непрозрачных маршрутов.
Сервис содержит колоссальный объем данных о фрахте, которые прекрасно дополняют аналитические материалы о рынке сухих сырьевых товаров, включая уголь, железную руду, нефтяной кокс и сельскохозяйственную продукцию. Участники отрасли во всех производственно-сбытовых цепочках сырьевых товаров используют Argus Dry Freight для получения ежедневной рыночной аналитики, данных о контрактах, тендерах и формулах ценообразования, а также для отслеживания возможностей арбитража и принятия долгосрочных стратегических решений.
Клиенты Argus получают эксклюзивные материалы для скачивания, доступ к адаптированным рабочим пространствам Argus Direct Workspaces и пользовательские таблицы расчетов для более сложного анализа. Наша команда экспертов по рынкам фрахта также готова предложить индивидуальные рыночные прогнозы.
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Key features
Daily forward curve updates
Argus publishes forward curves on weekdays. Prices are timestamped at 16:30 London, with the exception of Chicago ethanol, which carries a 14:30 New York timestamp.
Global biofuels coverage
Twenty-seven markets span biodiesel, ethanol, HVO, SAF, UCO and marine biofuels across ARA range, southeast Asia, Malaysia/Indonesia and the US, with prices in $/t and €/m³.
Zero-arbitrage pricing
Strip prices always equal the average of their component periods, ensuring internal consistency across monthly, quarterly and calendar strip contracts.
Rigorous data validation
Curves are calculated from current and historical inputs, including traded forward markets and historical price relationships. All inputs undergo rigorous quality and relevance checks.
Methodology and oversight
All models adhere to published methodologies and are under continual review, including evaluation of conceptual soundness, ongoing monitoring and outcome analysis.
Flexible delivery options
Access data via datafeed, Argus Direct® client portal, third-party partners, Excel add-in or email, integrating into existing risk management and analytical workflows.
Who uses this service
Risk managers
- Validate forward curves against counterparty data using an independent, unbiased source.
- Apply forward prices for mark-to-market accounting and daily profit and loss assessments.
- Calculate value-at-risk, potential future exposure and deal valuation with confidence.
Traders and market analysts
- Reference prior-day curves as a daily starting point when entering biofuels markets.
- Identify locational and temporal spread relationships across global biofuels markets.
- Use historical curve data to inform trading strategies and commercial positioning.
Commodity structurers and derivatives desks
- Value option premiums associated with forward biofuels contracts.
- Apply scenario analysis to assess exposure across structured biofuels positions.
- Use regression analysis to model price relationships across biofuel grades and regions.
Frequently asked questions
Key price assessments
Argus International Biofuels Forward Curves are underpinned by price data from Argus market reports, including Argus Biofuels and Argus Americas Biofuels. These spot and forward assessments serve as primary reference values in forward curve production.