
Agenda
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Argus Biofuels, CFR & Carbon Conference 2027
Main conference day 1
- 08:00
Registration opens
- 08:55 - 09:00
Argus welcome and chairperson's opening remarks
- 09:00 - 09:30
Keynote - Federal government
- 09:30 - 09:50
Keynote - Provincial government
- 09:50 - 10:35
Panel Discussion - Beyond blending: Evolving Canada’s compliance framework for the next generation of low-carbon fuel market development
Explore how Canada’s compliance framework must evolve to drive the next phase of low-carbon fuel market growth.
- Investigating the margin of stringency expected and required to continue the development of the biofuels market; how will carbon intensity requirements change? are new sector targets expected to be further involved?
- What future compliance flexibilities will be needed; how will these interact with existing compliance pathways? Greater flexibility for obligated parties or more support for emerging fuels?
- What will drive the next generation of emissions reductions and market growth – SAF, RNG/ CCS, electrification? How should the framework work differently than it has for ethanol and RD blending mandates.
- 10:35 - 11:05
Networking break
- 11:05 - 11:30
Presentation - On track? The CFR in practice: Evaluating the policy foundations for scaling up Canada’s low-carbon fuel markets
Argus analysis of how the CFR and its credit market are operating in practice, followed by discussion.
- 11:30 - 12:15
Panel Discussion - Credits in motion: Value creation, trading and liquidity under the CFR
Follow a CFR credit from generation to trade and understand how the market really works.
- Where and through which pathways a credit value is created at specific stages of the value chain.
- Understand how the market operates as credits are monetised and traded, and where these credit prices influence commercial decisions.
- Understands of level of credit generation and liquidity, and the extent to which it is operating as expected and designed under the CFR.
- 12:15 - 13:30
Networking lunch
- 13:30 - 14:15
Panel Discussion - Fuelling growth at home: Canada’s biofuels ambitions in a changing North American market
Examine how Canada can grow domestic biofuels production while navigating shifting North American trade dynamics.
- Feedstocks – How is Canada balancing canola exports to the USA whist attempting to increase its domestic production of biofuels, working to ensure energy security into the future?
- How are the CFR and 45Z impacting the US-Canadian trade dynamics and influencing market growth and development in North America.
- What strategies can help strengthen Canada’s long-term resilience to geopolitical headwinds or political priorities while maintaining access to regional markets.
- 14:15 - 14:55
Presentation - The art of the stack: Turning the Canadian credit market into commercial opportunity
An Argus deep dive into the federal and provincial policy landscape, where changes are expected and how to maximise value from layered credit systems.
- 14:55 - 15:30
Networking break
- 15:30 - 16:15
Panel Discussion - Beyond North America: Canada’s next biofuels opportunities
Discover where Canada fits in the evolving global biofuels demand map as it diversifies beyond the US.
- What does the future global demand map look like for global Biofuels, and where does Canada fit?
- How will relationships with Europe and Asia-Pacific evolve as Canada looks to reduce its dependency on the US.
- How are international policy frameworks and mandates, including ReFuelEU Aviation, FuelEU Maritime, CORSIA, and emerging IMO decarbonisation measures, reshaping global biofuels and SAF demand, and what opportunities do they create for Canadian producers and exporters?
- Capitalising on Canada’s strengths, understanding how feedstock flows are changing and where Canada can fill the gap.
- 16:15 - 17:00
Panel Discussion - Cleared for take-off: How to scale SAF in Canada – from global policy models to domestic deployment
Learn what it will take to build a Canadian SAF market, from policy design to refinery-to-runway infrastructure.
- What models are already in use (Re Fuel EU, UK SAP Mandate, California LCFS and ICAO CORSIA) and what key learnings could Canada adopt for its own national SAF market development.
- Canada’s current Saf status; market drive vs policy incentives – how could SAF be integrated into the CFR and existing credit systems in compliance markets?
- Airline perspectives – How can Canada make SAF affordable and secure reliable domestic supply? What policy stability and commercial commitments are needed to support Canadian production and reduce reliance on long-distance imports.
- From refinery to runway – What investment is needed in domestic refining capacity, storage, blending and distribution to scale SAF deployment? How can producers, airports and fuel suppliers coordinate infrastructure development to support long-term market growth?
- 17:00
Chairperson's closing remarks
- 17:00 - 19:00
Main networking drinks reception
Main conference day 2
- 08:00 - 08:45
Workshop - Fuelling the next frontier: Unlocking Canada’s low-carbon fuel opportunities across sea, road and sky
An interactive session exploring Canada’s low-carbon fuel opportunities in the maritime, heavy-duty and aviation sectors.
- Maritime industry – how will the CFR begin to decarbonise this sector?
- Heavy duty industry – where next?
- SAF industry – How to do this
Work to answer for each:
- Setting the framework – What policy developments, regulatory incentives and market signals are needed to build globally competitive Canadian low-carbon fuel industries?
- Finding Canada’s competitive edge – Which production pathways and emerging end-use markets offer the strongest opportunities for Canadian producers? Where can Canada build a lasting competitive advantage?
- Building for scale – What investment is needed in production, storage, bunkering, transport and export infrastructure to meet growing domestic demand and open up international markets?
- Connecting supply to demand – Which ports, rail networks, trade corridors and export hubs will be key to Canada’s low-carbon fuel supply chains?
- 08:55 - 09:00
Argus welcome and chairperson’s opening remarks
- 09:00 - 09:20
Keynote - Bringing the pathways together: Integrating RNG, CCS and carbon removals into Canada’s biofuels market scale-up
How to establish a technology-neutral policy framework can support innovation and attract investment across these pathways.
- The Gas Pathway - How could the CFR evolve to strengthen RNG credit-generation opportunities and support wider deployment? What role could RNG play alongside liquid biofuels in building a more integrated Canadian low-carbon energy market?
- The Carbon Pathway – How to integrate and utilise CCS/CCUS as a connecting branch to facilitate biofuel blending, refinery compliance, and heavy industrial decarbonisation as the Canadian Biofuels market scales-up.
- 09:20 - 09:40
Presentation - Canada’s canola market: Current status and outlook
A snapshot of the Canadian canola market and its growing role in biofuels production.
- How has the national canola outlook, demand and export quantity changed in recent years?
- How has demand changed across end-use markets? Examining the development of Canola being directed to biofuel production versus traditional food, feed and export markets.
- What does the future outlook hold as demand for canola from the biofuels industry continues to grow?
- 09:40 - 10:20
Panel Discussion - Feedstocks for growth: Can Canada secure the supply needed to scale its biofuels industry?
Explore the opportunities, constraints and trade-offs shaping Canada's feedstock landscape as biofuels production continues to expand.
- Can Canada's feedstock supply keep pace with growing demand for biofuels, SAF and renewable diesel? Examining canola alongside alternative feedstocks, including used cooking oil (UCO), agricultural residues, animal fats, forestry biomass and waste-based materials.
- How are feedstock flows changing across domestic and international markets, and what are the implications for exports, food markets, crop rotation, feedstock imports and Canadian biofuel production?
- How have farmers, feedstock producers and suppliers benefited from biofuels market growth to date, and what changes to federal and provincial policies, compliance markets and investment incentives are needed across the agricultural and feedstock value chain to unlock further expansion?
- Which feedstocks are best positioned for commercial growth over the next decade, and how do they compare in terms of availability, scalability, cost competitiveness and carbon intensity?
- 10:20 - 10:50
Networking break
- 10:50 - 11:35
Panel Discussion - Co-processing: Ready to scale or still waiting for lift-off?
A candid look at whether co-processing has delivered as a near-term scale-up pathway.
- Has it delivered on initial expectations as a short-term scale up pathway and what are the key success factors for early adopters?
- What are the key technical or operational barriers preventing investment and positive project economics? How can regulation and compliance frameworks provide sufficient support for expansion.
- Understanding the possibility of expanding feedstock options through co-processing, the potential use of lower-cost, underutilised feedstocks. How this expansion will help alleviate feedstock availability constraints facing the industry.
- 11:35 - 12:30
Panel Discussion - What do investment decisions actually look like? Perspectives from capital, industry and feedstocks
Short opening perspectives from investors, producers and feedstock suppliers, followed by discussion on what it takes to get Canadian projects financed.
- Project capital – how specific project characteristics, designs and commercial structures ensue investor confidence, and how these investable projects secure financing in comparison to invisible projects.
- What market signals; credit values, feedstock availability, offtake agreements, policy developments and trade dynamics, promote Canada’s position as an attractive investment destination, and as a result where is investment being drawn from?
- Where are investors seeing the strongest opportunities for investment? Which technologies, feedstock and business models gain this traction?
- 12:30
Chairperson's closing remarks
- 12:30 - 14:00
Networking lunch