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Argus Road Fuels Europe Conference

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Agenda

Simultaneous German translation will be available throughout the conference. Click below to view the translated agenda.

Während der gesamten Konferenz steht eine Simultanübersetzung ins Deutsche zur Verfügung. Klicken Sie unten, um die übersetzte Agenda einzusehen.

View German agendaDeutsche Agenda ansehen

Biomethane Focus Day | Tuesday 17 November

08:55 - 09:00

Morning registration and networking

08:55 - 09:00

Chairperson’s opening remarks

09:00 - 09:30

ARGUS PRESENTATION – European biomethane market: supply, demand and price signals

  • European biomethane production, supply and demand outlook
  • Natural gas fundamentals as the underlying cost base for biomethane
  • How feedstock, GHG value, certification and end use shape biomethane premiums
  • Where the highest-value demand is emerging across road transport, heat, industry and shipping

Speakers Include:

Lawrence Templeton

Business Development Manager - European gas, power and LNG
Argus
09:30 - 10:15

PANEL DISCUSSION – RED III and national implementation: where will biomethane demand come from?

  • How RED III is changing the regulatory basis for biomethane demand across Europe
  • Germany’s implementation and the future of biomethane under the THG quota
  • France’s CPB model and what different national approaches mean for producers and suppliers
  • Certification, guarantees of origin and the challenge of creating a more integrated European market

Speakers Include:

Alberto Castagnini

Senior Technical Manager Policy, Transport
Eurogas

Janet Hochi

Managing Director
Biogasrat+ e.V.

Davide Rubini

Head of Regulatory Affairs
Vitol
10:15 - 10:45

Morning coffee and networking

10.45 - 11.15

ARGUS PRESENTATION – Natural gas: the cost base beneath biomethane

  • European gas balance heading into winter 2026/27: storage, LNG supply and the Hormuz aftershock
  • TTF and THE forward curves and what they imply for the biomethane premiumHow gas price volatility feeds through to biomethane contract pricing and indexation
  • Where gas and carbon prices together set the floor for unsubsidised biomethane

Speakers Include:

Justin Colley

Manager - Electricity and Environmental Markets • GenFuels
Argus
11:05 - 11:25

PRESENTATION – ETS and ETS2: carbon pricing and the value of biomethane

  • How biomethane interacts with the existing EU ETS and the emerging ETS2 market
  • Carbon pricing exposure across buildings, road transport and industrial gas demand
  • Sustainability requirements, proof of sustainability and the treatment of biomethane under emissions trading
  • How carbon prices could change willingness to pay for renewable gas

Speakers Include:

Nils Holta

Net Zero Advisor, Ecohz
11:25 - 12:15

Subsidised versus unsubsidised biomethane: what makes a market bankable?

  • How far European biomethane production still depends on direct support and national support schemes
  • Whether mandates, carbon pricing and end-user premiums can support new production without production subsidies
  • What producers need from long-term offtake agreements, floor prices and counterparties to finance new capacity
  • How developers decide between road transport, heat, industry and maritime when each market values biomethane differently

Speakers Include:

Jamie Oliver

Origination Lead
Acorn

Francisco Oyaga

Lead Data Analyst
Axpo
12:15 - 12:45

PRESENTATION – Matching biomethane supply to buyer requirements

  • Patterns across deals in what producers offer and what buyers specify on feedstock, GHG value and end use, and where the two diverge
  • The commercial and contractual sticking points that recur across transactions, and how they get resolved
  • The role certification plays in whether a deal gets done
  • What deal flow reveals about the gaps in European biomethane market infrastructure

Speakers Include:

Jennifer Hulskotter

Account Manager
Agriportance

Kelsey Winkel

Associate Account Manager
Agriportance
12:45 - 13:45

Networking lunch

13:45 - 14:30

PANEL DISCUSSION – Biomethane in road transport: competing in the biofuels complex

  • The economics of biomethane under national road fuel quotas and its position against HVO, biodiesel and ethanol
  • Where bio-CNG and bio-LNG offer a competitive proposition for heavy-duty road transport
  • Fleet demand, vehicle availability and the future of gas refuelling infrastructure
  • Whether road transport can remain the premium biomethane market as demand develops elsewhere

Speakers Include:

Jakob Jegal

Head of Renewable Gases and Certification
Deutsche Energie-Agentur GmbH (dena)
14.00 - 14.45

PANEL DISCUSSION – The Next Wave of Demand: Heating, Utilities and Shipping

  • Regional utilities and Stadtwerke as an emerging buyer class for mandated heat supply 
  • Danish and UK exports into German demand and the economics of cross-border supply 
  • Bio-LNG and the maritime sector as a growing offtake channel 
  • How new demand segments will reprice existing supply 

Bio-LNG and maritime: can shipping become the next premium market?

  • How maritime regulation is creating a new source of demand for biomethane and bio-LNG
  • Turning grid-injected biomethane into a compliant marine fuel proposition
  • The economics of supplying shipping compared with road transport and other end-use markets
  • How quickly marine demand can scale and what this means for competition for available biomethane

Speakers Include:

Caspar Gooren

Commercial Director, Renewable Fuels
Titan
14.45 - 15.30

PANEL DISCUSSION – Sourcing and trading: building a European biomethane market

  • The role of producers, originators, utilities and traders in moving biomethane between markets
  • How certification, guarantees of origin and proof of sustainability affect cross-border trade
  • Contract structures, tenors and the transition from bilateral transactions towards more standardised products
  • Price discovery, index adoption and where liquidity can develop as demand broadens

Speakers Include:

Ivo Morawski

Origination Manager
Renera

Nicki Hoffmann

Policy & Communication Officer
AIB

Simon Halberstadt

EVP, Sales Development
SEFE
15.30 - 15.40

Chairperson’s closing remarks

15.40 - 17.10

Off site drinks reception OPEN TO ALL ATTENDEES

Day 1 | Wednesday 18 November

08.30 - 09.20

Morning registration and networking

09:20 - 09:30

Chairperson’s opening remarks

09:30 - 09:50

OPENING KEYNOTE PRESENTATION - European road fuels market outlook: prices, cracks and balances into 2027

  • Diesel and gasoline price and crack developments through the crisis and the normalisation path
  • Supply and demand balances as Gulf flows return and stocks rebuild
  • The structural trends underneath the volatility
    Key indicators to watch over the next twelve months

Speakers Include:

Kevin Schaefer

SVP – Germany and Central Europe
Argus Media
09.45 - 10.30

PANEL DISCUSSION – Geopolitical Disruption, Energy Security and Fuel Market Volatility

  • How the Middle East conflict repriced European road fuels and what risk premium remains 
  • The exposure that import dependency created and whether it can be reduced 
  • How suppliers, traders and large consumers managed through the peak of the disruption 
  • What a re-escalation scenario would mean for European supply 
  • Has the crisis changed how the industry hedges, stocks and contracts? 
10.30 - 11.05

Networking break

11.05 - 11.50

PANEL DISCUSSION – Diesel Supply Security: Sanctions, Sourcing and Europe's New Import Map

  • The impact of the ban on products refined from Russian crude, ten months in 
  • US Gulf coast barrels as the new marginal supply and the durability of that reliance 
  • Whether Indian and Turkish flows return at scale, and under what compliance conditions 
  • Russian export restrictions and the risk of a full diesel export ban 
  • Due diligence, documentation and the cost of proving compliant barrels 

Speakers Include:

Johannes Ametsbichler

Head of Operations Management
OMV
11.50 - 12.05

SPOTLIGHT PRESENTATION

12:05 - 12:35

PANEL DISCUSSION – The future of European refining: survivor premium or managed decline?

  • What record distillate margins mean for assets that were marked for closure 
  • The diesel-gasoline yield dilemma and how refiners are optimising between them 
  • Ownership churn: majors exiting, traders acquiring, and what it means for investment 
  • Refining as strategic infrastructure: is the political mood shifting? 
  • Where the next closures come from once margins normalise 
12:35 - 14:05

Networking lunch break

14:05 - 14:25

ARGUS PRESENTATION – Trade Flows Redrawn: Who Fuels Europe Now?

  • How diesel and gasoline import and export patterns shifted through 2026 
  • The loss of west African gasoline demand and the search for new outlets 
  • Freight, routing and the cost of longer supply chains 
  • What the flow data says about Europe's position in 2027 
14:25 - 15:10

PANEL DISCUSSION – Gasoline: From structural overhang to supply squeeze

  • How the refining pivot to distillates starved the gasoline pool ahead of summer 
  • Dangote self-sufficiency and the erosion of Europe's core export market 
  • Transatlantic arbitrage: a reopened window or a temporary reprieve? 
  • Hybrid uptake and the case for resilient European gasoline demand 
  • Positioning FCC-heavy assets for a smaller export market 
15:10 - 15:40

Afternoon coffee and networking

15.55 - 16.20

PRESENTATION AND PANEL DISCUSSION – Polish fuel market: so close, so different

  • German refineries, logistics routes and fuel security from the Polish side of the border
  • Biofuels and biocomponents: cross-market impact
  • RED III implementation
  • Alternative fuels development

Speakers Include:

Wojciech Labuda

Chief Regulatory Officer
POPiHN

Wojciech Iwulski

Climate Solutions Director
UNIMOT

Jakub Jablonski

Sales Director, Wholesale
ANWIM

Grzegorz Jozwiak

Executive Director for Biofuels and Hydrogen
ORLEN
16:30 - 17:00

PANEL DISCUSSION – Pump Politics: Price caps, tax cuts and the distribution stress test

  • What Hungary's caps and Slovenia's rationing revealed about retail and logistics resilience 
  • Fuel tourism, demand distortion and the strain on cross-border markets 
  • Unwinding emergency tax measures without a second price shock 
  • What retailers and distributors need from governments before the next disruption 

Speakers Include:

Daniel Kaddik

General Manager
Bundesverband freier Tankstellen (BFT)

Christian Kuchen

CEO
en2x
16.55 - 17.00

Chairperson’s closing remarks

Day 2 | Thursday 19 November

08.00 - 09.00

Morning networking

09.00 - 09.10

Chairperson’s opening remarks

09.10 - 09.25

OPENING KEYNOTE PRESENTATION – The View from Brussels: Road Transport Regulation After the Reset

  • The revised 2035 CO2 regulation and the state of trilogue negotiations 
  • ETS2's delayed start and what the 2028 timeline means for fuel suppliers 
  • How the crisis has reshaped political tolerance for carbon costs at the pump 
  • The regulatory signals investors should take into 2027 
09:25 - 10:10

PANEL DISCUSSION – The Policy Reset: What the 90% Target and ETS2 Delay Mean for Liquid Fuels

  • A durable post-2035 market for liquid fuels: how large, and for which fuels? 
  • The new compliance role for renewable fuels within fleet CO2 targets 
  • Preparing for ETS2: auction design, hedging and pass-through strategies 
  • National measures versus EU frameworks: managing a fragmented compliance landscape 
  • Does regulatory softening delay investment more than it enables it? 

Speakers Include:

Maria Ziesche

Head of Sales Environmentals and Global Commodities
EEX
10.10 - 10.30

ARGUS PRESENTATION – European Fuel Demand Outlook: Measuring the Pace of Transition

  • Separating crisis-driven demand destruction from structural decline 
  • Electrification's measurable impact on gasoline and diesel volumes to 2030 
  • Where diesel demand proves most resilient across sectors and regions 
  • Scenario ranges under the revised regulatory framework 
10.30 - 11.05

Networking coffee break

11.05 - 11.50

PANEL DISCUSSION – Demand in Transition: EVs, Hybrids and the Future of the European Car Parc

  • One in five new cars battery-electric: reading the acceleration through the crisis 
  • The hybrid surge and what it means for gasoline demand in the medium term 
  • Did the price shock permanently change consumer behaviour? 
  • Diesel's quiet return in niche segments and how far it extends 
  • Fleet mandates and corporate procurement as the next demand driver 
11.50 - 12.05

SPOTLIGHT PRESENTATION

12.05 - 12.50

PANEL DISCUSSION – Heavy-Duty Transport: Fuel Choices for the Freight Sector

  • How hauliers absorbed the diesel price shock and what it changed in fleet strategy 
  • The commercial case for HVO, biomethane and electric trucks today 
  • Lessons from China's electric truck rollout for European diesel demand 
  • Infrastructure gaps holding back alternative fuel adoption in freight 
  • What OEMs, energy suppliers and logistics operators need from each other 

Speakers Include:

Robin Futcher

Senior Hydrogen Technologies and Renewable Solutions Adviser
New Era Energy
12.50 - 14.20

Networking lunch break

14.20 - 14.40

ARGUS PRESENTATION – Biofuels and HVO Market Outlook: Pricing the RED III Era

  • FAME, HVO and feedstock price developments through 2026 
  • The end of double counting and the repricing of German and Dutch compliance 
  • Feedstock availability as the binding constraint on mandate delivery 
  • Price outlook as new capacity meets rising obligations in 2027 
14.40 - 15.05

PANEL DISCUSSION – The renewable share of the gasoline pool: E10, E20 and the German quota

  • Where E10 uptake stands and what has held back E20 and higher blends
  • Ethanol's position under the THG quota against HVO and biomethane
  • Feedstock, crop-cap and sustainability constraints on European ethanol supply
  • What retailers and OEMs need to see before higher blends become standard

Speakers Include:

Christine Kroke

Press and Public Relations Officer
Bundesverband der deutschen Bioethanolwirtschaft (BDBe)
15.45 - 16:10

Networking coffee break

16.10 - 16:55

INTERACTIVE ROUNDTABLE DISCUSSIONS

  • Table one - Sourcing compliant diesel: documentation, due diligence and managing sanctions risk in practice 
  • Table two - The RED III compliance clinic: quota strategies, certificate markets and feedstock procurement 
  • Table three - The forecourt of 2030: charging, renewable fuels and the future retail proposition 
16.40 - 16.50

Chairperson’s closing remarks

16.50

Close of conference

Interested in speaking?

Contact us on the details below to find out more:

Alex Tassou
+44 7944 482998
alex.tassou@argusmedia.com

Contact us