Indonesian thermal coal prices hold steady

  • Spanish Market: Coal
  • 24/04/19

Indonesian thermal coal prices held relatively steady today, with most market participants opting for the sidelines waiting for further details of recent utility tenders to emerge.

Chinese state-controlled power utility Huaneng has issued a large tender to buy 667,000t of imported coal for delivery to its coastal power plants between June and early July.

The utility, which has started restocking for the summer season, is seeking coal in a NAR 3,000-5,500 kcal/kg range, without specifying the origins of most of the cargoes. But most of the cargoes are likely to be from Indonesia. The tender closes tomorrow at 10:00 Beijing time (02:00 GMT).

Philippine conglomerate San Miguel has also issued a tender seeking two Panamax cargoes of imported thermal coal for its power plants in the Philippines, according to market sources. The coal should have a calorific value (CV) of GAR 4,200-4,600 kcal/kg.

Bids and offers for spot GAR 4,200 kcal/kg cargoes were relatively stable compared with yesterday, with May-loading geared Supramax cargoes bid at $38/t and offered at around $38.75/t. A May-loading Supramax cargo of this coal was sold to China today at $38.50/t.

Trade was sluggish in the ICI 4 derivatives market, after a total of 65,000t of mostly May contracts traded yesterday in a $39.10-39.25/t range and 25,000t of June contracts changed hands in a $39.05-39.25/t range.

May ICI 4 derivatives contracts were bid today at $39.15/t and offered at $40/t. June contracts were bid at $39/t, although there were no corresponding June offers during Asia-Pacific business hours.

Enquiries from buyers began to emerge in the GAR 5,000 kcal/kg market in the low-$50s/t for May-loading gearless Panamax cargoes, with offers around $54.25-54.50/t. Details of firm transactions involving this type of coal have been scarce in recent weeks, with Chinese buyers favouring lower-CV Indonesian grades, while weak Indian demand for this type of coal has been pressuring prices for a number of weeks.

In the Australian thermal coal market, a producer sold a May-loading Capesize cargo of NAR 5,500 kcal/kg coal for $61/t fob Newcastle. The selling price was somewhat firmer compared with last week when the NAR 5,500 kcal/kg coal price was assessed at $59.77/t fob Newcastle.

The typical markets for the high-ash coal are quiet, as Chinese buyers are focused on lower-CV coal from Indonesia and other origins, and Indian buyers are largely staying out of the market.

Demand from South Korea is somewhat stronger. South Korean utilities Korea South-East Power and GS Donghae Electric Power issued term and spot tenders for a combined 1.49mn t of mid-CV thermal coal yesterday and today. At least some of this volume could potentially be supplied by Australian producers.

A tender from another Korean buyer for Capesize cargoes of minimum NAR 5,600 kcal/kg coal with 0.6pc sulphur to be delivered in July and the fourth quarter of this year was heard to have garnered fob basis bids ranging from $58/t by a Colombian producer, to the mid-$70s by Australian producers.

At least one of the Australian producers was understood to have offered below $71/t for NAR 5,700 kcal/kg coal with 0.5pc sulphur. In China's futures market, the May contract on the ZCE closed at 611.80 yuan/t today, up by Yn2.20/t from yesterday.


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02/05/24

Japan's trading firms see metals prices cutting profits

Japan's trading firms see metals prices cutting profits

Tokyo, 2 May (Argus) — Major Japanese trading houses are expecting lower profits from their metals businesses during the April 2024-March 2025 fiscal year, mostly because of lower prices of commoditiessuch as iron ore and coking coal. Japanese trading house Mitsui forecast profits for its metal and natural resource business falling by 14pc on the year to ¥290bn ($1.87bn) during 2024-25, primarily because of lower iron ore prices. Mitsui plans to cut iron ore output by 0.3pc on the year to 60.9mn t at its mining projects where the company owns production rights or a production stake during 2024-25. This includes the joint venture project Robe River in Australia with Australian iron ore producer Rio Tinto. Japanese trading house Sojitz also expects profits from its metal and natural resource business to decline to ¥35bn, down by 20pc on the year, mostly because of a bearish coking coal market. The company said its overall coal business can cut production costs during 2024-25, partly because it plans larger-scale output at the Gregory Crinum coking coal mine in Australia, without disclosing further details. But Sojitz said it cannot generate higher profits because of lower coking coal prices. The trading house expects the average coking coal price to fall to $230/t during 2024-25, according to the company's chief financial officer Makoto Shibuya, down by $57/t from a year earlier. The company reiterated that the price is not necessarily their selling price. Sumitomo expects profits from its natural resource business would remain flat at ¥72bn on the year, mostly as its nickel production in Madagascar recovers from the output cuts in 2023 , with an aim to produce 19,000t of nickel during 2024-25, up by 9.8pc on the year. A rebound in nickel production could offset possible losses from coal and coking coal prices falling to $266/t and $133/t respectively in the ordinary market, down by $21 and $9, according to the trading house. Sumitomo plans to increase coking coal production by 9.1pc to 1.2mn t but reduce coal output by 4.8pc to 4mn t during 2024-25. By Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US southbound barge demand falls off earlier than usual


01/05/24
01/05/24

US southbound barge demand falls off earlier than usual

Houston, 1 May (Argus) — Southbound barge rates in the US have fallen on unseasonably low demand because of increased competition in the international grain market. Rates for voyages down river have deteriorated to "unsustainable" levels, said American Commercial Barge Line. Southbound rates declined in April to an average tariff of 284pc across all rivers this April, according to the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), which is below breakeven levels for many barge carriers. Rates typically do not fall below a 300pc tariff until May or June. Southbound freight values for May are expected to hold steady or move lower, said sources this week. Southbound activity has increased recently because of the low rates, but not enough to push prices up. The US has already sold 84pc of its forecast corn exports and 89pc of forecast soybean exports with only five months left until the end of the corn and soybean marketing year, according to the USDA. US corn and soybean prices have come down since the beginning of the year in order to stay competitive with other origins. The USDA lowered its forecast for US soybean exports by 545,000t in its April report as soybeans from Brazil and Argentina were more competitively priced. US farmers are holding onto more of their harvest from last year because of low crop prices, curbing exports. Prompt CBOT corn futures averaged $435/bushel in April, down 34pc from April 2023. Weak southbound demand could last until fall when the US enters harvest season and exports ramp up southbound barge demand. Major agriculture-producing countries such as Argentina and Brazil are expected to export their grain harvest before the US. Brazil has finished planting corn on time . unlike last year. The US may face less competition from Brazil in the fall as a result. Carriers are tying up barges earlier than usual to avoid losses on southbound barge voyages. Carriers that have already parked their barges will take their time re-entering the market unless tariffs become profitable again. The carriers who remain on the river will gain more southbound market share and possibly more northbound spot interest. By Meghan Yoyotte and Eduardo Gonzalez Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

G7 coal exit goal puts focus on Germany, Japan and US


01/05/24
01/05/24

G7 coal exit goal puts focus on Germany, Japan and US

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Mitsui makes delayed exit from Paiton power project


01/05/24
01/05/24

Mitsui makes delayed exit from Paiton power project

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New US rule may let some shippers swap railroads


30/04/24
30/04/24

New US rule may let some shippers swap railroads

Washington, 30 April (Argus) — US rail regulators today issued a final rule designed to help customers switch railroads in cases of poor rail service, but it is already drawing mixed reviews. Reciprocal switching, which allows freight shippers or receivers captive to a single railroad to access to an alternate carrier, has been allowed under US Surface Transportation Board (STB) rules. But shippers had not used existing STB rules to petition for reciprocal switching in 35 years, prompting regulators to revise rules to encourage shippers to pursue switching while helping resolve service problems. "The rule adopted today has broken new ground in the effort to provide competitive options in an extraordinarily consolidated rail industry," said outgoing STB chairman Martin Oberman. The five-person board unanimously approved a rule that would allow the board to order a reciprocal switching agreement if a facility's rail service falls below specified levels. Orders would be for 3-5 years. "Given the repeated episodes of severe service deterioration in recent years, and the continuing impediments to robust and consistent rail service despite the recent improvements accomplished by Class I carriers, the board has chosen to focus on making reciprocal switching available to shippers who have suffered service problems over an extended period of time," Oberman said today. STB commissioner Robert Primus voted to approve the rule, but also said it did not go far enough. The rule adopted today is "unlikely to accomplish what the board set out to do" since it does not cover freight moving under contract, he said. "I am voting for the final rule because something is better than nothing," Primus said. But he said the rule also does nothing to address competition in the rail industry. The Association of American Railroads (AAR) is reviewing the 154-page final rule, but carriers have been historically opposed to reciprocal switching proposals. "Railroads have been clear about the risks of expanded switching and the resulting slippery slope toward unjustified market intervention," AAR said. But the trade group was pleased that STB rejected "previous proposals that amounted to open access," which is a broad term for proposals that call for railroads to allow other carriers to operate over their tracks. The American Short Line and Regional Railroad Association declined to comment but has indicated it does not expect the rule to have an appreciable impact on shortline traffic, service or operations. Today's rule has drawn mixed reactions from some shipper groups. The National Industrial Transportation League (NITL), which filed its own reciprocal switching proposal in 2011, said it was encouraged by the collection of service metrics required under the rule. But "it is disheartened by its narrow scope as it does not appear to apply to the vast majority of freight rail traffic that moves under contracts or is subject to commodity exemptions," said NITL executive director Nancy O'Liddy, noting it was a departure from the group's original petition which sought switching as a way to facilitate railroad economic competitiveness. The Chlorine Institute said, in its initial analysis, that it does not "see significant benefit for our shipper members since it excludes contract traffic which covers the vast majority of chlorine and other relevant chemical shipments." By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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