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US rail volumes log strong growth in August: AAR
US rail volumes log strong growth in August: AAR
Houston, 9 September (Argus) — US rail carload volumes rose in August to the highest level in nearly eight years while weekly rail traffic rose by nearly 14pc from a year earlier, according to Association of American Railroads (AAR) data. AAR attributed the increases to resilient US consumer demand, higher US manufacturing activity, and rising diesel costs, which have made rail shipments more cost-effective compared with competing transport options such as trucks. Class I railroads shipped 533,545 carloads and intermodal units over the week ended 5 September, up by 14pc compared with the same week last year, AAR said Wednesday. Weekly non-intermodal traffic averaged more than 235,000 railcars in August, the most since October 2019 and the eighth straight year-over-year gain. Railcar growth was broad-based and stretched across 15 of the 20 carload categories that the AAR tracks. On a monthly basis, Class I railroads shipped nearly 300,000 intermodal containers and trailers per week in August, up by more than 4pc from a year earlier and besting the previous record set in June. Combined US carload and intermodal volume in August was the most in nearly eight years, AAR said without providing specifics. Metallic ore shipments posted the biggest percentage gains in August, rising by 19pc from a year earlier, followed by a 16pc increase for coke, a nearly 16pc gain for lumber and wood products and a 9.1pc increase for petroleum products. Chemicals shipments logged the seventh increase in eight months and are on a record annual pace, the AAR said, driven in part to lower US natural gas prices that have incentivized output at petrochemical and other industrial plants. Shipments of grain and coal, the two biggest categories that Class I railroads haul by volume, diverged. Grain shipments grew by 7.8pc in August from a year earlier and were up for the tenth straight month, driven by strong grain exports. Coal volumes in August fell by 2pc from year-earlier levels and were down for the sixth straight month, AAR said. Coal has become a drag on overall rail volumes after driving growth earlier in 2026. Several Class I railroads have attributed falling coal volumes to lower natural gas prices and weaker utility demand. Railed coal traffic has fallen by more than 50pc over the past 20 years but remains the single highest-volume category for most US railroads, AAR said. AAR also pointed to falling inventories of railcars in storage as another sign of strong shipping demand. Stored railcars as a share of total cars in service fell to 18.1pc in August from 21.7pc in January, and more than 59,000 railcars have been taken out of storage over that period, AAR said. By Chris Baltimore Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Trump's Canada trade war hits familiar snags
Trump's Canada trade war hits familiar snags
Washington, 9 September (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration has dropped punitive tariffs on imported Canadian cement, toilet paper and other products after acknowledging negative impacts on US consumers. But Trump's administration doubled down on confrontation with Ottawa, introducing an outright ban on imports of Canadian alcohol and motorcycles. Trump's conflicts with US foreign trade partners have frequently featured revisions to the lists of affected products after complaints from US consumers and industrial groups. Trump's punitive tariffs on Canada and Ottawa's countermeasures do not apply to energy, potash fertilizer or critical minerals. The US on 22 August began collecting new 50pc tariffs on about $28bn of Canadian imports, including cement, plywood and paper. Trump late on Tuesday ordered modifications to the list of affected products, eliminating the 50pc tariff on Canadian cement, rock salt and toilet paper beginning on 15 September. Trump instead ordered a 50pc tariff on a variety of other Canadian imports, including iron and steel columns and some aluminum byproducts, effective from 15 September. The prohibition on imports of Canadian alcoholic beverages and Canada-manufactured motorcycles will go into effect from 29 September. "Canada walked away from a near-final trade deal that offered better treatment than any other trading partner, and instead Canada chose to embark on senseless retaliation," US trade representative Jamieson Greer said. Canada's retaliatory tariffs on US steel and aluminum went into effect on Tuesday. Canadian prime minister Mark Carney has said that trade talks between the two countries collapsed because the US had made unreasonable demands. "They wanted us to become even more reliant on them, not less," he said on Tuesday. Carney said last week he would be ready to resume trade dialogue once the US "starts being serious". The latest trade escalation is taking place as Trump is set to convene an unusual, mid-term Republican party convention in Dallas, Texas, in a bid to shore up his party's fortunes ahead of the 3 November midterm elections. The event, which Republican party officials describe as a "Trump-a-palooza", aims to highlight Trump's economic and geopolitical accomplishments since returning to office last year. "This election comes down to one simple choice: lower costs, lower taxes, secure borders, and common sense," Republican National Committee chairman Joe Gruters said on 5 September. Less than two months before the elections, polls indicate that Democrats are likely to wrest control of at least one chamber, if not both, in part because of voters' concerns over rising inflation. The US inflation rate earlier this summer reached three-year highs, largely because Trump's war with Iran pushed up US retail fuel prices. US retail gasoline prices averaged $4.16/USG in the week ended on 7 September, up by around 40pc from late February, when the US and Isreal launched an attack on Iran. Higher tariffs have also contributed to an increase in US consumer prices. Higher inflation has undermined Trump's rationale for calling on the US Federal Reserve to slash its target interest rate. Trump last week threatened to introduce import bans on key US trade partners, including Canada and the EU, unless the Fed cuts interest rates. The US Supreme Court in February ruled that Trump's 2025 decisions to arbitrarily impose tariffs on any country had been illegal. But that ruling also pointed out that Congress explicitly gave the White House the legal power to impose an outright embargo on trade with any country. Trump since then has frequently touted that newly discovered prerogative, even though he has denounced the Supreme Court's tariff decision. The import ban on select Canadian products would mark the first exercise of that prerogative. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Brazil's August soybean oil exports rise 31pc
Brazil's August soybean oil exports rise 31pc
Sao Paulo, 4 September (Argus) — Brazil's August soybean oil exports increased by 31pc from a year earlier to nearly 206,648 metric tonnes (t), driven by stronger Indian demand. January-August exports increased by 42pc from a year earlier to around 1.57mn t. India was the leading destination, accounting for nearly 176,683t, or 85pc of total Brazilian soybean oil exports in August. Increased international demand for Brazilian soybean oil comes as buyers switch to soybean oil cargos after palm oil prices surged following higher biodiesel blending mandates in Indonesia and Malaysia. This brought Latin American soybean oil into focus among Asian vegetable oil importers. At this rate, Brazil's soybean oil shipments could reach 2mn t in 2026, according to grain processing companies' estimates, higher than the 1.7mn t projected from Brazil's association of vegetable oil industries Abiove. Beef tallow exports Brazil's August tallow exports fell by approximately 37pc year-on-year to 40,600t. January-August exports dropped by 35pc from the same period in 2025 to around 231,800t. The decline was largely driven lower volumes to the US, the main overseas destination for Brazil's beef tallow. Higher tariffs and uncertainty over trade policy have reduced buying interest and disrupted established trade flows. Market participants expect exports of beef tallow to decline further in the coming months, as most of the volumes shipped recently were negotiated before the new tariffs imposed by the administration of US president Donald Trump took effect. The limited quantities still expected to be exported to the US are likely to move under duty drawback provisions, which allow tariffs paid on imported inputs to be refunded under certain conditions. Biodiesel exports Brazil exported approximately 7,400t of biodiesel in August, down by 45pc from the same month a year earlier. Cumulative exports for January-August totaled about 73,130t, up by 6pc from the corresponding period in 2025. Monthly export volumes are driven not only by overseas demand and arbitrage opportunities, but also by the availability of biodiesel produced from low-carbon feedstocks. This is particularly important for Europe, the primary destination for Brazilian biodiesel exports, where fuel must meet sustainability criteria to qualify for greenhouse gas reduction credits and other renewable fuel incentives. By Beatriz Pacheco and Natalia Dalle Cort Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Ukraine’s 2026-27 corn output to rise on larger areas
Ukraine’s 2026-27 corn output to rise on larger areas
Paris, 4 September (Argus) — Argus forecasts Ukraine's 2026-27 corn production at 32.1mn t, up by 4pc on the year, following the Argus virtual corn crop tour. The increase is expected, despite slightly lower yield potential, because larger harvested areas offset the decline. Argus estimates Ukraine's average corn yield at 6.9 t/hectare (ha), slightly below both last year's level and the five-year average. Corn yield potential is expected to decline in most surveyed regions, compared with last year, although Poltava and [Cherkasy](https://direct.argusmedia.com/article/2870906) have recovered from the dry and unusually warm conditions seen in the previous season. Favourable weather supported crop establishment and early development, but drier conditions from July onwards reduced soil moisture across much of the country, weighing on yield prospects. Hot and dry weather accelerated crop development, with NDVI readings and field observations indicating corn crops across central and western Ukraine are on track to start harvesting earlier than last year. Argus estimates Ukraine's corn harvested area for 2026-27 at 4.65mn ha, up by 5.7pc from last year. Farmers expanded corn plantings at the expense of less profitable crops, encouraged by better economic returns and favourable planting conditions. But final yields and harvested area will depend on harvest conditions and timing. Some market participants warn that limited storage availability could force farmers to leave corn in fields longer than usual while waiting for export flows to resume, creating uncertainty around the pace of harvest and final production results. Ukraine corn production mn t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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