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India's rabi sowing picks up
India's rabi sowing picks up
London, 16 January (Argus) — The sown acreage for India's 2025-26 rabi season is higher for most key crops, compared with long-term averages, which is set to keep domestic fertilizer demand supported in the first quarter. Sown wheat acreage was 3.34mn hectares (ha) as of 9 January, up by almost 60,000ha on the year and up strongly from the long-term average of 3.12mn ha, according to data from the Department of Agriculture and Farmer Welfare. India's winter rabi season runs from October to March. Sown rabi rice acreage was 220,000ha, up by 20,000ha on the year but down significantly from the long-term average of 430,000ha. But rice is primarily a summer kharif crop and India's kharif rice acreage rose by 70,000ha on the year to 4.42mn ha for the 2025-26 season. Lastly, the sown acreage of total pulses rose by 40,000 ha on the year to 1.36mn ha in the 2025-26 season. Rabi crops are sown from mid-November onwards after the main monsoon season ends in September. November-January is the peak for urea offtake in India, while DAP purchases typically peak a month or so earlier in the fourth quarter. By Upasruti Biswas Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Indian DAP importers, producers rely on support in rabi
Indian DAP importers, producers rely on support in rabi
London, 15 January (Argus) — The Indian government will continue to support importers and producers of DAP beyond the nutrient-based subsidy (NBS) to the end of the October-March rabi season, according to a document seen by Argus . Without such support, Indian DAP importers and producers would still stand to make substantial losses, according to Argus' calculations. The government will pay importers and producers for any advantage or disadvantage incurred because of upward or downward trends in the international market over rabi. It will continue to pay importers and producers 3,500 rupees/t to make up for other costs — including port handling, bagging, marketing, transport and dealers' margins. Importers and producers will also receive a rebate on the goods and services tax (GST) component of the maximum retail price (MRP), and provision for a 4pc return on the net MRP. The MRP for DAP is Rs27,000t. The NBS for DAP over the rabi season is Rs29,805/t. The government is providing the same support for imports of TSP as it is for imports of DAP. But the MRP for TSP is Rs26,000t. An importer buying DAP at $668/t cfr would make a loss of around $120/t at current exchange rates if selling at the MRP and receiving the base NBS. The additional subsidy of Rs3,500/t to cover other costs — bringing total subsidies to Rs33,305/t — brings the loss down to the low $80s/t. Producers' margins poor and outlook mixed Domestic producers making DAP using ammonia imported at $534.20/t cfr — the average of Argus assessments in December — and phosphoric acid at the fourth-quarter contract price of $1,290/t P2O5 would make losses in the low $140s/t if only receiving the MRP and total subsidies of Rs33,305/t. With the same MRP and subsidies, domestic DAP producers using imported phosphate rock, sulphur and ammonia would make losses in the mid-$150s/t cfr. This is assuming phosphate rock imported at $182/t cfr and sulphur and ammonia imported at $534.30/t cfr and $534.20/t cfr, respectively — the averages of assessments in December. Any further devaluation of the Indian rupee against the US dollar will weigh further on margins for both importers and producers of DAP. The possibility of softer ammonia prices will offer some support to producers' margins, but producers using phosphate rock will still see their margins pressured by firm sulphur costs. First-quarter phosphoric acid contract prices have yet to settle. By Tom Hampson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Indonesia approves urea export licences for 2026
Indonesia approves urea export licences for 2026
Amsterdam, 15 January (Argus) — The Indonesian government is understood to have signed off on export licences for 1.4mn t of urea for this year, which will be dispersed among state-owned Pupuk subsidiaries. Pupuk's subsidiaries are now able to float urea sales tenders, with granular urea supplier Kaltim expected to come to the market first. But there was no comment from Pupuk or the parties involved. The last Indonesian sales tender probably took place on 6 November , when Pusri closed an enquiry for 5,000t each of standard and low biuret prilled urea. The lack of export licence issuance had limited availability in southeast Asia, with Malaysia's Petronas largely tied up with offtake agreements, leaving spot granular urea availability in January-February to Brunei's BFI. Granular urea prices have firmed to $410-425/t fob southeast Asia this week, up from $396-415/t fob last week, as international prices jumped in the wake of an Indian tender and firmer levels in the US. Indonesia exported 1.52mn t of urea in January-November last year, and just under 1.5mn t of urea in all of 2024, latest trade data show. By Harry Minihan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Jera's option to reduce stake in US NH3 project expires
Jera's option to reduce stake in US NH3 project expires
London, 14 January (Argus) — Japanese power producer Jera has not exercised a right to reduce its ownership stake in fertilizer producer CF Industries' planned $4bn carbon capture and storage (CCS) enabled ammonia facility on the US Gulf coast, known as Blue Point. The 1.4mn t/yr plant is a joint venture between CF, Jera and Japanese trading firm Mitsui. CF holds 40pc, Jera 35pc and Mitsui 20pc in the development. Jera had an option to reduce its stake below 35pc to a minimum of 20pc, with CF having to increase its stake by the same amount that Jera reduced its holding. That option expired on 31 December 2025 and can no longer be exercised, according to a report that CF filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission in January. Jera's decision to retain its 35pc stake comes soon after it was selected to receive subsidies from the Japanese government's hydrogen and ammonia contracts for difference (CfD) scheme on 19 December. Mitsui was also selected for 15-year government subsidies under the CfD scheme's second round. Partners of the Blue Point venture will have offtake rights according to the size of their stake in the project, meaning that Jera will export around 490,000 t/yr from the Louisiana plant to Japan. Most volumes will be used for ammonia co-firing at its 1GW No.4 unit at the Hekinan coal-fired power plant in Japan, which the firm has said is on track to reach a sustained 20pc co-firing rate in 2029. Blue Point's first volumes are also expected in 2029 following a final investment decision in April . Jera retaining its 35pc stake in the project is a positive sign for the developing low-carbon ammonia industry after multiple recent setbacks. Indications that South Korea's new government could push away from ammonia co-firing had undermined some confidence in the future of ammonia co-firing in Asia, while delays to the International Maritime Organisation's net-zero framework has slowed investment decisions in the maritime sector. Funding cuts for low-carbon initiatives, particularly in the US, and slim demand signals, have seen a spate of project cancellations in recent months, with the latest cancellation announced as recently as last week. By Lizzy Lancaster Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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