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Oil, gas and dry cargoes are being shipped all over the world every day. With seaborne transportation comes exposure to shipping costs. Be it via direct cost or through the prices of feedstocks or finished products, a freight factor is always there. Highly sensitive to market shifts, geopolitics and regulations, freight is a complex and volatile part of every trade.
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Hormuz tanker traffic unchanged after US‑Iran deal
Hormuz tanker traffic unchanged after US‑Iran deal
London, 15 June (Argus) — Vessel traffic through the strait of Hormuz has not changed since Sunday's announcement of a US-Iran peace deal , based on AIS tracking data. This suggests shipowners are waiting for the planned signing on 19 June and further details before attempting transits. The Indian LNG tanker Disha passed through without incident near Iran's Larak island. But the transit was likely pre-arranged and not the result of the newly announced deal. Several smaller vessels also transited, in line with recent traffic levels. There were no significant movements of crude or product tankers overnight. US president Donald Trump said on 14 June that he has authorised the "toll-free" reopening of the strait. But Iranian officials have yet to confirm that vessels can transit without restrictions. Transits continue to use shipping lanes near Iran's Larak and Qeshm islands rather than the traditional central route, reflecting ongoing safety risks in the strait. "The threat of mines in the area remains a concern immediately as well as further down the line, and mine-free routes need to be established," said Jakob Larsen, chief safety and security officer at industry association Bimco. "We still consider it very risky to commence transits at this point," Larsen added. Floating mines pose a significant risk and are likely to result in restrictions from marine insurers on which routes are covered. UK prime minister Keir Starmer said the UK will continue to work with partners to support reopening of the strait, including through a defensive, independent multilateral mission led by the UK and France, particularly to support mine clearance operations. Uncertainty over access to the waterway remains. Trump has a history of overstating progress in reopening the strait of Hormuz, through which about a fifth of global oil flowed before the Iran war. He wrongly claimed in April the strait was "completely open", prompting a buildup of crude and product tankers before many were turned back. The deal is set to be signed on 19 June, which participants said could be a trigger for any broader rebound in vessel traffic. More than 500 ships remain in the Mideast Gulf, and Bimco estimates it could take several weeks for all to leave, particularly as most will need to use restricted routes until mine clearance operations are completed. By John Ollett Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Shipowners remain cautious on US-Iran deal announcement
Shipowners remain cautious on US-Iran deal announcement
Singapore, 15 June (Argus) — Freight market participants are choosing to remain cautious about the announcement that a deal between the US and Iran to reopen the strait of Hormuz has been reached, preferring to seek clearer assurances on the safety of ships transiting through the strait first, they told Argus today. This comes after a series of false starts around similar developments in recent months. US president Donald Trump said on 14 June that an agreement with Iran was "now complete", as he ordered an end to the US naval blockade against Iran in conjunction with what he said would be the reopening of the strait of Hormuz. The critical waterway, where a quarter of the world's seaborne oil trade travelled through before the war, remained largely shut since the war started on 28 February, as Iran tightened control by restricting vessel movements and using access as leverage. Beyond the disruption to global trade flows, security risks also escalated as commercial shipping became increasingly targeted. There have been 57 recorded incidents affecting vessels operating in and around the Mideast Gulf, the strait of Hormuz and the Gulf of Oman since 28 February, according to the UK Maritime Trade Operations as of 11 June. Freight market participants so far remain doubtful that a sustained and meaningful return of ships through the strait will happen anytime soon, with most citing the fragility of earlier ceasefire announcements. The risk of repositioning a ship to the Mideast Gulf for potential cargoes still significantly outweighs any advantage from the move given that the situation can change quickly, a tanker shipowner said. Shipowners have adapted and found new trade routes in the absence of Mideast Gulf cargoes as a result of economies turning to more distant alternative oil supplies . Shipowners are also unlikely to benefit from any "first-mover advantage" by positioning their ships in the region ahead of any clear rebound in vessel demand, a freight analyst said. Shipowners can only weigh whether freight rates are sufficiently attractive to return to the Mideast Gulf if cargoes from the region appear again. Shipowners will simply remain in lower-risk regions out of the Mideast Gulf should freight rates remain unattractive, the analyst added. A sustained recovery in cargo volumes from the region could eventually raise freight rates over some time, and shipowners that have chosen to wait and observe how the market reacts may benefit from higher freight rates when they choose to re-enter the market later. The situation is likely to remain volatile given that a full and final agreement between the US and Iran has not yet been reached, a shipowner said. This is in addition to mines in the area which pose a threat to ships and will hinder vessel transits in or out of the strait, the shipowner added. A gradual return to the region is possible if security conditions stabilise and cargo flows resume, with any recovery expected to be measured instead of immediate, some market participants said. The Mideast Gulf remains the world's largest oil-producing region, and global demand will underpin the return of ships back to the region over time, a shipbroker said. Coordination between governments and maritime bodies will also be critical, another shipowner said, as the industry ultimately seeks clearer assurances on security conditions in the Mideast Gulf that would restore confidence and accelerate a broader return of vessels to the region. By Sean Lui and Jared Bateman Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Trump calls off attack on Iran: Update 2
Trump calls off attack on Iran: Update 2
Updates with Trump's latest remarks Washington, 11 June (Argus) — President Donald Trump on Thursday called off the threat of an attack on Iran he announced hours earlier, citing progress on a "great settlement" of the Iran war he said could be signed as early as this weekend. That deal could be signed in Europe "soon, maybe this weekend", Trump said, who added that it was his understanding that Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei also approved of the deal. Iran has yet to confirm its support of the agreement, which Trump said was "subject to finalization of documents" over the next few days. "The strait will officially open as soon as we sign, which could be soon — very soon — maybe over the weekend, in Europe," Trump said. Trump has previously overstated progress in talks with Iran, incorrectly stating in April that Iran had agreed to "completely open" the strait of Hormuz during a ceasefire. This afternoon, Trump said the pending deal was a "very detailed memorandum of understanding" that is "a little conceptual" that has also been "agreed to by many other countries that have great influence over" Iran. "We hope it's going to go relatively quickly," Trump said of further talks with Iran once a deal is signed. "The straits are going to open immediately upon signing, maybe it will be Saturday or Monday." Earlier this afternoon, Trump said progress in negotiations led him to call off plans he announced this morning to launch a "VERY HARD" wave of strikes and bombing tonight against Tehran. Trump had threatened to take control of Iran's Kharg Island in the Mideast Gulf, along with other oil infrastructure. Trump's now-canceled threat of a major military attack followed two days of heavy clashes between the US and Iranian armed forces. The US has pounded Iran's defensive and — according to Tehran — civilian infrastructure near the strait of Hormuz and across Iran. Iran's military responded with attacks on US bases in Jordan, Kuwait and Bahrain. Both the US and Iranian navies have attacked commercial vessels in the Gulf of Oman and the strait of Hormuz, respectively. Control of navigation through the critical Mideast Gulf waterway appears to have been the cause of the latest flare up. Trump said on Wednesday that the US military was running a clandestine operation to unblock Hormuz and that over 100mn bl and hundreds of vessels traveled the strait under the US military umbrella. Iran, which also claimed to be directing limited traffic through the strait, said on Thursday that the strait of Hormuz was "closed" following overnight US strikes on Iran. By Chris Knight and Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Trump calls off attacks against Iran: Update
Trump calls off attacks against Iran: Update
Updates with Trump's cancellation of attacks Washington, 11 June (Argus) — President Donald Trump on Thursday called off the threat of a massive military attack against Iran he announced just hours earlier, citing progress in negotiations with Iran on resolving a war that has lasted more than 100 days. Trump this morning had threatened to launch a "VERY HARD" wave of military strikes tonight against Tehran, which he said would be followed up at some point by "taking" control of Iran's Kharg Island in the Mideast Gulf, along with "other oil infrastructure points." Five hours later, Trump said the planned attack would not go forward. "Based on the fact that discussions with the Islamic Republic of Iran have been brought to the highest level of Iranian leadership and approved, I have, as President of the United States of America, cancelled the scheduled strikes and bombings against Iran this evening," Trump wrote on Truth Social at 1:28pm ET. Nymex WTI prompt month crude futures fell to $86.72/bl at 1:52pm ET, down from more than $90/bl immediately before the post. Trump's latest military threat — and rapid reversal — followed two days of heavy clashes between the US and Iranian armed forces and of attacks on shipping in the Middle East. Trump said that the US would keep enforcing a naval blockade against Iran "until this Transaction is finalized — Time and place of the signing to be announced shortly." The low intensity clashes between the US and Iranian forces that have been underway since late May escalated into an exchange of strikes on 10-11 June that are more reminiscent of the active phase of the war in March-April. The US has pounded Iran's defensive and — according to Tehran — civilian infrastructure near the strait of Hormuz and across Iran. Iran's military has responded with attacks on US bases in Jordan, Kuwait and Bahrain. Both the US and Iranian navies have attacked commercial vessels in the Gulf of Oman and the strait of Hormuz, respectively. Control of navigation through the critical Mideast Gulf waterway appears to be the cause of the latest flare up. Trump claimed on Wednesday that the US military had been running a clandestine operation to unblock Hormuz and that over 100mn bl and hundreds of vessels traveled the strait under the US military umbrella. Iran, which also claimed to be directing limited traffic through the strait, said on Thursday that the strait of Hormuz is "closed" following overnight US strikes on Iran. By Chris Knight and Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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