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White House mulls Jones Act waiver extension
White House mulls Jones Act waiver extension
New York, 4 August (Argus) — The White House is considering extending its waiving of the Jones Act, set to expire on 16 August, with some limitations, but has yet to make a final decision on the matter. "There are still ongoing discussions as the administration continues to monitor how the waiver is being used," a White House official told Argus on 4 August. The potential for a geographically restricted waiver was discussed as a prospective limitation to the Jones Act waiver in mid-July and is now being discussed alongside a cargo limitation, according to a Jones Act market participant. Another adjustment currently under consideration by the White House is the potential for a more limited Jones Act waiver that would require a determination of non-availability of Jones Act vessels, two people familiar with the matter told Argus . Opposition to renewing the waiver has been mounting. House Republicans urged President Donald Trump to restore the Jones Act at the start of July while news that the waiver would be extended once again surfaced in mid-July, prompting backlash among the US domestic maritime industry. "A law intended for genuine emergencies is instead being used to benefit energy market participants, while American consumers and mariners bear the cost," Jennifer Carpenter of the American Maritime Partnership, a coalition of domestic maritime interests, said. There has been a slight uptick in Jones Act tonnage requirements for mid-to-late August, driven by the uncertainty over whether the waiver will expire, a shipbroker familiar with the situation told Argus . Jones Act-compliant tonnage has largely been sidelined from the market since the waiver was issued on 17 March, to the benefit of foreign-flagged vessels. "If there are any further announcements, they will be made directly by the president or the administration," the White House official added. By Charlotte Bawol Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Trio mediate US-Iran talks, but outlook unclear
Trio mediate US-Iran talks, but outlook unclear
Washington, 4 August (Argus) — Qatar, Pakistan and Oman are mediating talks between the US and Iran, but Doha has signaled that an agreement over the strait of Hormuz is not as imminent as President Donald Trump's administration claims. Oil markets appear to be taking seriously US assurances of an imminent deal with Iran and reopening of Hormuz. WTI crude futures were down by more than 5pc in midday trading on Tuesday after treasury secretary Scott Bessent told CNBC that "there is a chance we may have a deal today or tomorrow to open the strait." That followed a 5pc decline in September Nymex WTI on Monday, after Trump said that negotiations on a deal with Iran were so advanced that Hormuz could fully reopen as early as Tuesday. The drop in oil prices was certainly welcome news for the White House. Trump in recent days has been expressing unease about elevated energy prices, accusing the nation's top oil producers on Monday of not doing enough to bring down fuel prices after they posted bumper second-quarter profits. Qatar, Pakistan and Oman have been facilitating diplomatic exchanges between the US and Iran, Qatar's foreign ministry said on Tuesday. But there is no specific timeline for a deal, and the mediators are working to create "the appropriate conditions for the resumption of direct dialogue", Qatar's foreign ministry said. "The minimum demands at the current stage are to return to the previous status of the strait, in line with international law and in coordination with all littoral and concerned nations," it said. Bessent, in turn, said that a prospective deal with Iran would involve "freedom of movement" in Hormuz. Iran has made it clear it would not accept a return to pre-war free transit terms in the strait of Hormuz. Tehran is demanding major concessions for allowing ships to transit Hormuz, through a northern route dictated by Iran's military. The US and Iran have signed two interim deals since April that purported to address the status of Hormuz, but both eventually fell apart over Tehran's insistence on controlling the transit of vessels through the strait. US naval vessels, positioned in the Gulf of Oman, are enforcing a blockade on Iranian trade. The US military has been facilitating vessel transits through a southern route through Hormuz, which skirts the Omani coast, but indiscriminate Iranian drone and missile attacks have deterred most ships from taking advantage of that route. The US administration claims that the route it has opened through Hormuz remains in high demand. "Even though things are still a little dicey there, over the past few days, we've seen quite a few ships coming out even now," Bessent said on Tuesday. "US-assisted" strait of Hormuz transits reached 30 vessels on 2-3 August, according to data provided by the US Navy's Middle East headquarters. But that figure is contradicted by vessel tracking services and could not be independently verified. Hormuz vessel traffic totaled 22 transits on Monday, split between 10 inbound transits and 12 outbound transits, data from maritime security firm Windward shows. Only four vessels took the southern US-supported traffic lane that runs along the Omani coastline, while the rest took the northern Iranian-favored route. The only new element in diplomatic discussions in recent weeks involves a potential Iran-Omani understanding over a designated safe shipping route through Hormuz. Omani-Iranian negotiations in late July focused on oversight of the routes through the strait of Hormuz, with Iran insisting on its full control over ships entering the Mideast Gulf and at least partial oversight of the exit routes through the waterway, Iran's foreign ministry said last week. Any Hormuz transit arrangements have to be acceptable to all Mideast Gulf states and ensure an uninterrupted flow of trade and freedom of navigation, the Qatari foreign ministry said. By Haik Gugarats and Charlotte Bawol Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Drone strikes spread across Mideast energy sector
Drone strikes spread across Mideast energy sector
US military action cannot loosen Iran's grip on the strait of Hormuz, and Iranian proxies are stepping up attacks, write Haik Gugarats and Charlotte Bawol New York, 31 July (Argus) — US-Iranian clashes resumed this week after a four-day pause that the White House attributed to attempts at renewed diplomacy. But elsewhere in the Middle East, the conflict continued unabated, and even spread north beyond the Red Sea. US forces carried out heavy strikes against targets in Iran's coastal and urban areas overnight on 29-30 July, following an Iranian strike against a US base in Jordan. The US targeted Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) facilities, according to US Central Command (Centcom), which oversees the country's Middle East-based forces. Centcom said the strikes were in retaliation against what it called an "attempted surprise attack" on US forces on 28 July. The IRGC, in response, claimed missile strikes on US bases in Jordan and Kuwait. Meanwhile, Iranian proxies focused their strikes on the region's energy infrastructure. Saudi Arabia came under drone attack from Yemen and Iraq on 25-27 July. US and Saudi forces on 28 July carried out strikes in eastern Iraq against what they described as facilities used by Iran-backed Iraqi militias. A drone strike damaged two LNG vessels in Egypt's Mediterranean port of Damietta on 29 July, Cairo said, without assigning responsibility for the attack. President Donald Trump on 29 July described the drone strike in Damietta as "a little more of the same". He had previewed the Centcom strikes the same day by saying "we're going to be hitting them very hard because it's our turn to hit them". Trump has gone back and forth between vowing to compel Iran to reopen the strait of Hormuz by military means and teasing out a potential diplomatic outcome. The White House has not explained how Iran retains the ability to attempt or to carry out "surprise attacks" against US bases, since Trump has routinely described the country's military capacity as "obliterated". But Iran's ability to control commercial traffic through the strait of Hormuz is unlikely to be diminished by US military operations, given the effectiveness of Tehran's asymmetrical warfare tactics, analysts say. The amount of firepower that Iran needs to disrupt commercial shipping through the strait is quite small, the Center for Naval Analyses (CNA) research programme director Joshua Tallis tells Argus. This makes it very difficult for the US to degrade Iranian capabilities to a point where they pose no threat to commercial shipping. "I do not believe, short of a massive ground invasion, that there is a military solution to the Iranians' ability to disrupt and coerce commercial traffic moving through the strait," Tallis says. "The only solution is ultimately a diplomatic negotiated solution." CNA is an independent, not-for-profit organisation funded by the US government to advise its military forces. Ends and means Using diplomatic means to reduce Iran's motivation to attack may prove easier than reducing its ability to attack. Iran has retained its ability to inflict severe damage on commercial shipping using unconventional tactics. Its asymmetric capabilities include fast attack craft, cruise missiles and drones. Vessel traffic through the strait of Hormuz has increasingly been concentrated along the northern lanes that Iran controls, suggesting that its attacks on commercial shipping using other routes have paid off. The northern lane was used by 88-100pc of Hormuz traffic over 20-24 July, according to data from Maritime security company Windward. All of the vessels that transited the strait on 24 July did so using the northern route, according to Windward. But commercial traffic through the strait is moving at a fraction of pre-war levels, with only 12 vessels transiting the waterway on 24 July, around 9pc of pre-war levels, Windward data show. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Saudi Arabia unveils maritime defence alliance
Saudi Arabia unveils maritime defence alliance
Singapore, 31 July (Argus) — Saudi Arabia on 30 July announced the formation of a maritime defence alliance with 13 other countries, to address shared maritime threats and protect navigation through the Bab el-Mandeb strait, the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. Saudi Arabia hosted a meeting on 30 July with representatives from 43 countries, out of which 14 issued a joint statement affirming their support for the Multinational Maritime Defense Alliance project, according Saudi Arabia's ministry of defence. The alliance is a defence initiative seeking to strengthen collective maritime security, protect international sea lanes, preserve freedom of navigation and global trade, and share responsibility in confronting common threats. The 14 countries include Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt, Jordan, Yemen, Bangladesh, Nigeria, Sudan, Djibouti and Somalia. Participants at the meeting discussed the growing threats targeting maritime security, including attacks on vessels, energy tankers and maritime infrastructure, as well as the risks these pose to the safety of maritime navigation, global supply chain stability, and the international economy. Participants emphasised the importance of strengthening multilateral defence co-operation to deal with these threats and maintain the security of international sea lanes. The meeting also addressed the founding arrangements for the alliance, with Saudi Arabia set to serve as its founding and leading state and host its headquarters. Military planners from countries intending to join the alliance will work to complete founding procedures including finalising the charter and its reference documents, completing the organisational structure, command and control arrangements, operational mechanisms and forming the necessary frameworks and teams. Diversions and delays The Iran-backed Yemeni Houthi militant group announced a ban on Saudi Arabian maritime navigation on 20 July. The group has claimed attacks on Saudi-linked shipping and infrastructure since then, including on Saudi state-controlled Aramco facilities in Jizan and Yanbu, with satellite images suggesting fires at Jizan. Crude tanker movements have been disrupted as a result, especially for Saudi Arabia's exports from the Red Sea. Some tankers have abandoned planned transits through the mouth of the Red Sea and have instead turned north toward the Suez Canal, potentially adding around a month to the voyage along with higher freight costs if destined for Asian or east African markets. Tanker markets have so far viewed the announcement of the alliance as a positive development, but any immediate impact on freight rates is expected to be limited. A lasting improvement in shipping conditions would more likely stem from de-escalation efforts rather than from additional military deployments, market participants said. Until there is clear evidence of reduced regional tensions and a sustained improvement in security conditions, shipowners are likely to remain cautious and avoid transits through the region. The coalition should support sentiment, but owners would place far greater weight on any indication from the Houthis themselves that they are committed to de-escalation, a shipbroker said. Additional naval protection helps, but the missiles will still be flying, they added. For now, war-risk premiums, insurance costs and transit assessments are unlikely to change materially on the back of an announcement alone, another market participant said. By Prethika Nair and Sean Lui Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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