Petróleo crudo
Argus aporta transparencia a los mercados de petróleo naturalmente complejo para permitir la eficiencia comercial
Descripción general
Los precios del petróleo crudo de Argus se han consolidado en los mercados mundiales desde 1979. Informamos sobre cada mercado de la manera en que opera, utilizando metodologías transparentes adecuadas al mercado. Nuestras evaluaciones del precio se han adoptado en una amplia gama de contratos comerciales, precios de venta oficiales, precios de transferencia interna, fórmulas fiscales y modelos económicos utilizados por los gobiernos y todos los aspectos de las industrias petroleras upstream, midstream y downstream.
Ahora que el crudo de EE. UU. tiene demanda a nivel mundial, la intersección entre los mercados de oleoductos y marítimos en la costa del Golfo de EE. UU. es fundamental para la fijación de precios del crudo global. Durante más de dos décadas, las evaluaciones de Argus WTI en Midland y Houston han sido los benchmark físicos estándar para el crudo estadounidense, así como los índices de liquidación para un mercado de derivados sólido.
Nuestra cobertura rica, profunda y de confiable de los mercados mundiales del petróleo crudo es inigualable. Para tomar decisiones empresariales informadas en los mercados actuales del petróleo, necesita Argus.
Crude Market Intelligence
Deepen your understanding of the global crude oil market and see how Argus brings clarity — from key market drivers and rigorous methodology to the actionable insights that help customers make confident decisions.
Últimas noticias sobre el petróleo crudo
Explore las ultimas noticias del mercado sobre la industria global del petróleo crudo.
IEA cuts 2026 demand forecast, sees huge 2027 surplus
IEA cuts 2026 demand forecast, sees huge 2027 surplus
London, 17 June (Argus) — The IEA has again cut its forecast for demand in 2026, saying deep cuts to consumption have spread beyond the sectors and regions that were initially the most heavily affected by the US-Iran war. Its first forecast for 2027 suggests an enormous global surplus of oil. "Deliveries of major fuels, especially gasoil, are showing signs of strain across almost all regions," the IEA said today in its latest Oil Market Report (OMR). Higher prices and "a harsher macro climate" have combined "to shift all product categories into decline", it said. It now sees demand in 2026 at 103.3mn b/d, compared with 104mn b/d in its May OMR — a 1.1mn b/d drop from 2025. It said preliminary data suggest demand in the second quarter will be 5mn b/d lower than a year earlier because of higher prices and disruptions to products availability. This will be the first global quarterly demand fall since the pandemic year of 2020, and it said weakness will continue into the third quarter. The IEA had previously assumed a recovery starting in June. The agency sees a "relatively modest" demand rebound to 105.3mn b/d in 2027, but said this is "subject to a substantial level of uncertainty" surrounding the proposed peace deal to end the war. It puts supply in 2026 at 102.4mn b/d, a 200,000 b/d upgrade from its prior OMR. But in 2027 it forecasts an 8mn b/d surge in supply, to 110.3mn b/d, as Mideast Gulf production recovers and Opec+ raises its output targets. These supply and demand forecasts suggest an enormous surplus of oil in 2027. This may provide "an opportunity to replenish depleted inventories, or to build new strategic reserves", the IEA said. Global observed oil stocks have dropped by 3.8mn b/d since the start of the US-Iran war, with preliminary data showing a 4.6mn b/d draw in May. The IEA said 252mn bl have been released as of 12 June under its co-ordinated emergency stocks move, and a further 79mn bl are scheduled to be released by the end of July. This leaves 107mn bl to be released depending on market needs, the IEA said. By Ben Winkley Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Workers to end strikes at Australia's Ichthys LNG
Workers to end strikes at Australia's Ichthys LNG
Sydney, 17 June (Argus) — Workers at the 9.3mn t/yr Ichthys LNG project based in Australia's Northern Territory have agreed on a new pay deal, ending weeks of strikes across three facilities that delayed some cargoes. More than 400 staff endorsed the enterprise bargaining agreement (EBA) on 17 June, the Offshore Alliance union said, calling the new EBA "the best in the oil and gas industry" with improved job security, pay and career progression. Unions have notified Ichthys operator, Japan's Inpex, that strikes will cease by 6pm Australian Western Standard Time (10am GMT) today. Workers voted to endorse protected industrial action in May and began minor strikes on 2 June , escalating to loading bans and eight-hour stoppages on 11 June. Australia's workplace court the Fair Work Commission on 14 June rejected an application by Inpex to halt the strikes due to economic impacts , despite finding that industrial action threatened to cause a full production stoppage at Ichthys. Unions responded by promising to extend the strikes past 23 June. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
SE Asia needs to reassess energy policy: Clarification
SE Asia needs to reassess energy policy: Clarification
The energy import bill estimate has been changed to $160bn in paragraph 4, based on a revision to the IEA report. Singapore, 16 June (Argus) — Energy shipment disruptions arising from the US-Iran war have exposed southeast Asia's structural vulnerabilities and prompted the need for a reassessment of policy strategy, Paris-based energy watchdog the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its latest report. The Middle East accounts for 60pc of southeast Asia's crude oil imports, and 45pc of the oil products refined or consumed in the region come from Middle East crude oil, the IEA said in its Southeast Asia Energy Outlook 2026 , released today. The effective halt of energy shipments through the strait of Hormuz has therefore greatly impacted the region, leading to shortages of petrochemical feedstocks — particularly naphtha — chemical products, and LPG, a key cooking fuel in the region. Surging fuel prices have also led to higher energy bills and inflation. Southeast Asia accounts for nearly 20pc of global demand growth to 2035 under current policy settings. The region's energy import bill is projected to reach a record high $160bn this year, and is set to increase further in the decades ahead, potentially rising to $400bn, or 5pc of its economy, by 2050 based on current policy settings. The Middle East conflict has been a stress test of southeast Asia's existing energy system and a catalyst to accelerate structural change, the report said. "Diversification of energy sources and supply routes is now a central priority, with deployment of different fuels and technologies, electrification and efficiency serving as important levers to reduce import exposure and strengthen resilience," said the IEA's executive director Faith Birol. Short- and long-term responses Governments have so far mainly focused on managing short-term impacts by adopting measures to curb demand, such as promoting the use of public transport and remote working. Almost all of the region's governments have also reduced taxes on energy products or deployed price controls and subsidies. Countries have also looked to diversify fuel supply sources. A preference for domestically available energy resources is emerging, the report said, although strategic options differ across countries. Some countries can develop untapped domestic oil and gas options, although the report notes that more investment is set to flow towards other options, such as renewables. Coal accounts for about half of electricity generation in southeast Asia, and could see further upside from the renewed focus on energy security. Coal- and gas-fired power plants are likely to continue playing a role in all possible policy scenarios. More southeast Asian countries are also considering nuclear power as a diversification option, but its role will depend on how fast deployment can take place and how countries deal with long construction lead times. In the longer term, countries could strengthen collective security through co-ordinated fuel stockholding and emergency response arrangements. The region could also expand cross-border connections through the Asean Power Grid to balance supply and demand, integrate renewable power and improve system flexibility. Renewable capacity stood at 120GW in 2024 and is projected to nearly triple by 2035 under current policy settings, or grow by up to fivefold if announced targets are reached. The shift towards greater renewables is already apparent. The Philippines, for example, was the second-largest destination for China's solar exports in the first quarter of 2026. Electricity is also becoming increasingly important to the region. Electricity demand in southeast Asia is set to almost double to 2,000 TWh/yr in 2050 from 1,300 TWh/yr today. But electricity supply depends on the pace at which renewables and other low-emission power sources can be scaled up, as well as infrastructure development. Transmission and distribution networks need to more than double in length by 2050 to keep up with rising demand, and to cope with higher variability in supply and demand. Grid and storage investment needs to ramp up from $13bn today to $50bn in 2050 to meet announced pledges. This includes an estimated $27bn to 2040, to realise planned cross-border interconnections under the Asean power grid. But in turn, mobilising investment will depend on regulatory reforms and strong international public support to reduce costs of capital and crowd in private finance. By Prethika Nair Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US, Iran contest Hormuz status in talks
US, Iran contest Hormuz status in talks
Washington, 15 June (Argus) — The US and Iran have yet to reconcile differences over how to reopen the strait of Hormuz despite President Donald Trump's claim that the waterway would reopen quickly or even that it was open already. "The strait is already partially opened," Trump said on Monday, speaking alongside French president Emmanuel Macron, a day before the G7 leaders' summit in France. "Essentially, ships are starting to go out now," Trump said, adding that on 19 June — when the parties plan to sign the agreement — "it will be completely opened." But even if the deal with Iran is signed on 19 June, it appears it would only be the midpoint, not the culmination of the US-Iranian talks. Neither the US nor Iran has released the text of the agreement due to be signed on 19 June. But both sides selectively disclosed the elements of the deal that reflect their negotiating positions. Many details, including the status of Hormuz, have been left to be hashed out over the following 60 days. On the US side, key demands revolve around Tehran's nuclear program and reopening Hormuz to navigation on pre-war terms. Despite Trump's comments on Monday, vessel traffic through the strait of Hormuz has not changed since Sunday, based on AIS tracking data. This suggests shipowners are waiting for the planned signing on 19 June and further details before attempting transits. "Our expectation is that the strait is going to be opened in a toll-free way for the long term," US vice president JD Vance told CNBC on Monday, adding: "That's the sort of thing that we're going to figure out in these technical negotiations." Tehran, in turn, is eyeing a future role in controlling navigation through Hormuz, full sanctions relief and accessing a "reconstruction fund" of up to $300bn to repair damage caused by the US-Israeli strikes. According to Iran's semi-official Fars news agency, which is close to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), under the agreement Iran would allow vessels to transit Hormuz without charge during a 60-day negotiation period,, which described the exemption as temporary. After that 60-day period fees linked to safety, navigation, environmental and insurance services could be introduced. Trump on Monday confirmed that Iran could count on relief on US sanctions, but added that "it's really a behavioral thing. If they do what they're supposed to do, that starts taking effect." Vance, in a televised interview with CBS on Monday, separately confirmed that Iran could eventually be able to access funds that he said would be ponied by its Mideast Gulf neighbors. The US would be "absolutely open to the Gulf countries investing in the reconstruction of Iran, but only if Iran ends their nuclear program," gives up its stockpile of enriched uranium and accepts an effective nuclear monitoring regime, he said. The Mideast Gulf Arab states have yet to comment on the prospect of having to pick up the tab for damages after the US-Israel war against Iran, during which their energy and civilian infrastructure took significant damage from Iranian missile and drone attacks. Trump is expected to meet with Mideast Gulf leaders on the sidelines of the G7 leaders' summit in France, which starts on Tuesday. The key outcome of three days of frantic negotiations between the US and Iran on 12-14 June is that their militaries stopped the hostilities underway since late May. In retrospect, the resumed warfare resulted from efforts by the US armed forces to enable ships to exit the Mideast Gulf through the part of Hormuz skirting the Omani coast, rather than taking the route prescribed by Tehran. The Trump administration has not disclosed whether the US military would continue efforts to wrest control of Hormuz. But the US will maintain its naval blockade of the Iranian trade until Hormuz is reopened, Trump has said. Vance on point Vance has again emerged as a key Trump administration spokesman arguing for the benefits of the undisclosed deal with Iran. Many Trump loyalists over the weekend began to express reservations about the putative deal but appeared to direct their criticism at Vance, rather than the US leader. "I am somewhat concerned that Iran's view of the agreement seems different than what the American negotiating team is claiming," senator Lindsey Graham (R-South Carolina) said on Sunday. Graham called on "the architect of the deal, vice president Vance and his negotiating partners" to present the agreement for review by the US Congress. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Spotlight content
Browse the latest thought leadership produced by our global team of experts.
Explore our crude oil products
Precios clave
Los precios de Argus son reconocidos por el mercado como indicadores confiables y fidedignos del valor real del mercado. Explore nuestras evaluaciones de precios más utilizadas y relevantes.
