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Guaido replaces prominent IDB envoy Hausmann

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil
  • 26/09/19

Venezuela's parallel administration headed by opposition leader Juan Guaido has lost its most prominent figure, former planning minister and Harvard professor Ricardo Hausmann.

Hausmann, who recently hinted at repudiating some of Venezuela's debt, had been serving as Guaido's representative at the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), a Washington-based multilateral agency that is seen as a fundamental vehicle for the country's future reconstruction.

Hausmann has been replaced by little-known Alejandro Plaz.

Plaz, an electrical engineer, was named presidential commissioner for economic development as part of an exile administration appointed by Guaido on 28 August.

Hausmann served in the cabinet of former Venezuelan president Carlos Andres Perez in the early 1990s. It is not clear if he resigned as IDB envoy or was pushed out of the Guaido team. He could not be reached for comment.

In a 20 September column for Project Syndicate, Hausmann questions the blanket sanctity of contracts, asserting that "profane" agreements should be treated by courts as "exhibit A of a crime." The article was seen as provocative ahead of the end-October deadline for payment of more than $900mn in principal and interest on a bond issued by Venezuela's state-owned oil company PdV.

The opposition already paid $72mn in interest on the PdV 2020 bond in May, and is widely expected to try to refinance the $842mn principal payment with institutional investors before the October deadline.

The collateral on the bond is Citgo, PdV's US refining subsidiary and the Opec country's most valuable remaining asset.

Guaido is recognized by the US and dozens of other Western countries as Venezuela's interim president, to the detriment of President Nicolas Maduro, who is backed by Russia, China, Turkey and Cuba, among other nations. Maduro visited Moscow this week.

Guaido declared his interim presidency in January 2019, but despite escalating US financial and oil sanctions, the Maduro government has not fallen.


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16/01/25

Модернизация Ферганского НПЗ завершится в 2026 г.

Модернизация Ферганского НПЗ завершится в 2026 г.

Riga, 16 January (Argus) — Работы по модернизации Ферганского НПЗ планируется завершить к 2026 г., сообщил отраслевой источник. Мощность завода после завершения проекта, который реализует компания Saneg, владеющая предприятием с 2022 г., вырастет в два раза, до 2 млн т/год. Ожидается, что в результате модернизации стоимостью около $400 млн завод начнет производство моторного топлива пятого класса, авиакеросина Jet A-1/ТС-1 и базовых масел группы II+/III. Глубина переработки превысит 92%, а выход светлых продуктов превысит 75%. Для производства высококачественных нефтепродуктов в настоящее время строятся пять технологических установок, реконструируются существующие. За счет оптимизации 116 из 325 существующих на заводе резервуаров, установки понтонного оборудования на 41 емкости, а также строительства 36 новых резервуаров планируется резко сократить потери при хранении нефтепродуктов, по данным НПЗ. После модернизации Ферганский завод сможет производить 260 тыс. т высокооктанового бензина, 538 тыс. т дизтоплива и 450 тыс. т авиакеросина. ________________ Больше ценовой информации и аналитических материалов о рынках нефти и нефтепродуктов стран Каспийского региона и Центральной Азии — в еженедельном отчете Argus Рынок Каспия . Вы можете присылать комментарии по адресу или запросить дополнительную информацию feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Группа Argus Media . Все права защищены.

IEA nudges global refinery runs forecast higher


15/01/25
15/01/25

IEA nudges global refinery runs forecast higher

London, 15 January (Argus) — The IEA has made a marginal increase to its forecast for global refinery runs this year, driven by the "recent resilient performance" of US and European refineries. The Paris-based energy watchdog now expects global crude throughput of 83.4mn b/d in 2025, whereas its previous projection was 83.3mn b/d. At the same time, it has trimmed its estimate for 2024 runs by 20,000 b/d to 82.7mn b/d on the back of downgrades in Asian throughput. The slight upgrade to the 2025 forecast assumes that US and European refineries extend their recent resilience through the first quarter. But "even as we turn more positive on the short-term outlook, it is important to acknowledge that European refineries remain under pressure from shifting trade patterns, rising carbon costs, higher energy outlays and looming capacity closures", the IEA said today in its latest Oil Market Report (OMR). OECD throughput is forecast to fall by 370,000 b/d to 35.7mn b/d this year "as capacity closures in the United States and Europe drag on activity levels", the agency said. But it marks an upwards revision from last month's projection for the OECD of 35.6mn b/d in 2025. The IEA sees non-OECD refinery runs rising by 1mn b/d to 47.6mn b/d this year. This is a downwards adjustment of 80,000 b/d from the last OMR, but the IEA also trimmed its estimate for 2024 non-OECD throughput by the same amount — so the growth rate is unchanged. The 2025 forecasts for India, China, Pakistan, the Philippines and Singapore have all been cut compared with last month's OMR. The IEA now expects Chinese runs to rise by 240,000 b/d to 14.8mn b/d this year. Last month's forecast had Chinese throughput increasing to 14.9mn b/d. "2025 could prove to be another challenging year for Chinese independent refineries, despite increased crude import quotas, as higher import duties squeeze profitability and recent US sanctions impact access to Russian and Iranian barrels," the agency said. The IEA has raised its 2025 forecast for Nigerian throughput by 60,000 b/d to 460,000 b/d, citing the restart of state-owned NNPC's Warri and Port Harcourt refineries and the start-up of Dangote's 150,000 b/d residue fluid catalytic cracking unit. But it noted that challenges remain in terms of crude supply. By Josh Michalowski Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Tariff war is a lose-lose proposition: Canada


15/01/25
15/01/25

Tariff war is a lose-lose proposition: Canada

Calgary, 15 January (Argus) — Any retaliation by Canada to tariffs imposed by the US would be designed to apply political pressure, the country's energy minister said today in Washington, DC, but a potential tariff war between the two countries is a lose-lose proposition. "We are not interested in something that escalates," Canada's minister of energy and natural resources Jonathan Wilkinson said in a panel discussion at the Woodrow Wilson Center. But until tariffs are imposed, Canada does not know how it will need to respond. Canada will likely focus on goods that are "important to American producers," but also those for which Canada has an alternative. "The point in the response is to apply political pressure," said Wilkinson, who advocated for stronger trade ties between the two countries byway of energy and critical minerals. US president-elect Donald Trump plans to impose a 25pc tariff on all imports from both Canada and Mexico when he takes office on 20 January. So far he has not signaled any plans to exempt any goods, including oil and gas. Alberta's premier Danielle Smith and now Wilkinson are promoting the flow of more crude to ensure North America's energy security. "We can enhance the flow of Canadian crude oil from Alberta," said Wilkinson by boosting capacity on pipelines like Enbridge's 3.1mn b/d Mainline crude export system. "The US cannot be energy dominant without Canadian energy." The incoming administration would be open to such pipeline expansions, said Heather Reams, president of Washington-based non-profit Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions. "It's something that the Trump administration and Republican members in Congress would be interested in revisiting to ensure that there is a steady flow of the energy that's needed to fuel our mutual economies," Reams said on the panel. Enbridge's Mainline moves Canadian crude from Alberta to the US Midcontinent, where Wilkinson expects consumers will be faced with higher gasoline prices — adding as much as 75¢/USG at the pump — should tariffs be imposed. Americans could also see higher food prices if tariffs are put on potash, a fertilizer mined in Saskatchewan and used by US farmers, she said. Development of critical minerals like germanium, gallium and others should be pursued further to minimize the US' exposure and dependence on China, according to Wilkinson, echoing comments made by Ontario premier Doug Ford on 13 January in his own appeal to enhancing trade ties with the US. "We cannot be in a position where China can simply manipulate the market," said Wilkinson, citing that country's dumping of nickel. "We should form a true energy and minerals alliance." By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Opec sees 1.4mn b/d oil demand growth in 2026


15/01/25
15/01/25

Opec sees 1.4mn b/d oil demand growth in 2026

London, 15 January (Argus) — Opec's first global oil demand projections for 2026 see consumption growth of just over 1.4mn b/d, roughly the same as its forecast for this year. In its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) today, Opec forecast oil demand growing by 1.43mn b/d to 106.63mn b/d, underpinned by continued "solid economic activity in Asia and other non-OECD countries." Opec sees consumption growing by 1.45mn b/d this year, unchanged from its previous estimate. But it trimmed its 2024 demand growth estimate by 70,000 b/d to 1.54mn b/d, a sixth consecutive monthly downward revision. This brings Opec further in line with forecasters such as the IEA and EIA, but the gap between them remains large, particularly given 2024 has ended. Opec's oil demand growth estimate for 2024 is 600,000 b/d above that of the IEA's 940,000 b/d. And there is now an 850,000 b/d gap between Opec's 2024 total oil demand estimate of 103.75mn b/d and the IEA's 102.9mn b/d. Opec's oil demand growth estimate for 2025 is 400,000 b/d above the IEA's forecast for 1.05mn b/d. China, which has long driven global oil demand growth but whose economy is now slowing, is projected to add 270,000 b/d in 2026, compared with 310,000 b/d in 2025, around 300,000 b/d in 2024 and about 1.4mn b/d in 2023. In terms of supply, the producer group sees non-Opec+ liquids supply growth at 1.1mn b/d, the same as 2025 and again driven by gains from the US, Brazil and Canada. It said non-Opec+ liquids supply increased by 1.3mn b/d in 2024. Opec+ crude production — including Mexico — fell by 14,000 b/d to 40.65mn in December, according to an average of secondary sources that includes Argus . Opec put the call on Opec+ crude at 42.5mn b/d for this year and 42.7mn b/d for next. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Inpex wins Norwegian offshore exploration licences


15/01/25
15/01/25

Inpex wins Norwegian offshore exploration licences

Tokyo, 15 January (Argus) — Japanese upstream firm Inpex has won eight oil and gas exploration permits offshore Norway, expanding its operations in the country, Inpex said today. Inpex was awarded exploration licences PL1263, PL318D, PL1264, PL1257, and PL636D located between the northern North Sea and the southern Norwegian Sea, along with PL 1276, PL1274 and PL1194C in the northern Norwegian Sea through its local subsidiary Inpex Idemitsu Norge (IIN). The successful bid was part of the awards in the pre-defined areas (APA) 2024 licensing round . IIN secured five licenses in the 2023 APA round . The APA rounds are held every year and focus on mature areas of the Norwegian continental shelf. The aim is to facilitate the discovery and production of remaining oil and gas resources in these areas before existing infrastructure is shut down. In the latest round, 33 of the licences are in the North Sea, 19 in the Norwegian Sea and one in the Barents Sea. The latest licences will contribute to expanding its Norwegian business portfolio, Inpex said, given the potential of jointly developing the new assets with existing assets in the surrounding area. The company has continued stable production at the Snorre and Fram oil fields in the northern North Sea. The Japanese firm aims to strengthen its upstream business as part of its long-term strategy, while it invests in renewable energy such as green ammonia. By Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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