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Brazil considers reinstating ethanol import tariff

  • Spanish Market: Biofuels
  • 15/07/19

Brazil's agriculture ministry is seeking to eliminate a quota for tariff-free ethanol imports when it expires on 31 August, potentially pricing imports from the US out of the domestic market.

The ministry told Argus that its interpretation of a 2017 resolution which established an annual quote of 600mn liters (3.77mn bl) of imports exempt from a 20pc tariff would lapse on 31 August 2019, unless otherwise extended.

Once the exemption expires, the 20pc tariff would apply to all ethanol imports from outside the Mercosur trade bloc, which includes Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay, as well as Brazil.

The government's import and export council known as Camex will have the final say over the tariff exemption. Camex did not respond to a request for clarification about the date of a hearing on the matter.

The US is the largest source of imported ethanol in Brazil. The decision over whether to re-impose the tariff coincides with a Brazilian government campaign to persuade the US to open up its market to more Brazilian sugar.

For its part, the US government has been pressuring Brazil, which is one of its most important ethanol markets, to eliminate the ethanol tariff altogether.

In June, Brazil imported 85.97mn l of ethanol, the lowest level since October 2018, according to the trade ministry's Comexstat data base. Last month's imports increased 30pc from the 59.5mn l imported in June 2018. But June imports fell sharply from the 182.5mn l imported in May.

In the first half of 2019, Brazil imported 895.3mn l of ethanol, down from 1.74mn l in the same six-month period of 2018. Imports in the six-month period fell to their lowest level since 2016, when the country imported 783.3mn l of ethanol.

The US remained Brazil's largest ethanol supplier in the first half of 2019, providing 846.4mn l.

Neighboring Paraguay exported 48.77mn l to Brazil in the period, making it the second most important supplier.

Roughly half of the ethanol imported by Brazil in the first half of the year went to northeastern Maranhao state, which is a distribution hub for the northern region of the country. Sao Paulo state, the country's largest ethanol producer, imported 251.3mn l in the period.

In June alone, nearly all ethanol imports went to the northeastern region. Maranhao imported 52mn l, and Pernambuco imported 23.6mn l. Imports to Sao Paulo state fell to just 5,564 l in June as the center-south sugar cane harvest progressed, boosting domestic ethanol supplies.

While imports continue to slow, Brazil exported 169.4mn l of ethanol in June, up by 29pc from the same period of 2018, according to the trade ministry's monthly commodities export report.

In the first six months of 2019, Brazil exported 703.5mn l, up 29pc from the 545.1mn l exported a year earlier, the ministry said. Brazil continued to post a trade deficit in the biofuel in the first six months of the year.

But the outlook is for increased exports in the medium term. In late June, Mercosur struck a trade deal with the EU that lays out an increase in Brazil's tariff-free export quotas for sugar shipments to the EU of 180,000 metric tons and up to 562mn liters (3.5mn bl) of ethanol for industrial use. Another 250mn l of the biofuel will be permitted with a differentiated tariff of €0.064/liter ($0.072/l ) for non-denatured ethanol and €0.03/l for denatured ethanol not for use in food, beverage or pharmaceutical products.


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19/09/24

LNG-burning vessels well positioned ahead of 2025

LNG-burning vessels well positioned ahead of 2025

New York, 19 September (Argus) — Vessels outfitted with dual-fuel LNG-burning engines are poised to have the lowest marine fuel expense heading into 2025 when the EU will tighten its marine EU emissions trading system (ETS) regulations and add a new regulation, " FuelEU", from 1 January 2025. Considering both regulations, at current price levels, fossil LNG (also known as grey LNG) will be priced the cheapest compared with conventional marine fuels and other commonly considered alternative fuels such as biodiesel and methanol. The EU's FuelEU maritime regulation will require ship operators traveling in, out and within EU territorial waters to gradually reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity on a lifecycle basis, starting with a 2pc reduction in 2025, 6pc in 2030 and so on until getting to an 80pc drop, compared with 2020 base year levels. The FuelEU GHG intensity maximum is set at 85.69 grams of CO2-equivalent per MJ (gCO2e/MJ) from 2030 to 2034, dropping to 77.94 gCO2e/MJ in 2035. Vessel pools exceeding the FuelEU's limits will be fined €2,400/t ($2,675/t) of very low-sulphur fuel oil (VLFSO) energy equivalent. GHG emissions from grey LNG vary depending on the type of marine engine used to burn the LNG, but ranges from about 76.3-92.3 gCO2e/MJ, according to non-governmental environmental lobby group Transport & Environment. This makes a number of LNG-burning, ocean-going vessels compliant with FuelEU regulation through 2034. The EU's ETS for marine shipping commenced this year and requires that ship operators pay for 40pc of their GHG generated on voyages within, in and out of the EU. Next year, the EU ETS emissions limit will increase to 70pc. Even with the added 70pc CO2 emissions cost, US Gulf coast grey LNG was assessed at $639/t VLSFOe, compared with the second cheapest VLSFO at $689/t, B30 biodiesel at $922/t and grey methanol at $931/t VLSFOe average from 1-18 September (see chart). "In 2025, we expect [US natural gas] prices to rise as [US] LNG exports increase while domestic consumption and production remain relatively flat for much of the year," says the US Energy Information Administration. "We forecast the Henry Hub price to average around $2.20/million British thermal units (mmBtu) in 2024 and $3.10/mmBtu in 2025." Provided that prices of biodiesel and methanol remain relatively flat, the projected EIA US 2025 LNG price gains would not affect LNG's price ranking, keeping it the cheapest alternative marine fuel option for ship owners traveling between the US Gulf coast and Europe. LNG for bunkering global consumption from vessels 5,000 gross tonnes and over reached 12.9mn t in 2023, according to the International Maritime Organization (IMO), up from 11mn t in 2022 and 12.6mn t in 2021. The maritime port authority of Singapore reported 111,000t of LNG bunker sales and the port authorities of Rotterdam and Antwerp reported 319,000t in 2023 from all size vessels. Among vessels 5,000 gross tonnes and over, LNG carriers accounted for 89pc of LNG bunker demand globally, followed by container ships at 3.6pc, according to the IMO. The large gap between LNG global and LNG Singapore, Rotterdam, and Antwerp bunker demand, is likely the result of most of the demand taking place at the biggest LNG export locations where LNG carriers call, such as the US Gulf coast, Qatar, Australia, Russia and Malaysia. By Stefka Wechsler USGC bunkers and bunker alternatives $/t VLSFOe Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Pertamina supplies first SAF to Virgin Australia


19/09/24
19/09/24

Pertamina supplies first SAF to Virgin Australia

Singapore, 19 September (Argus) — Indonesian state-owned refiner Pertamina has supplied its first sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) to airline Virgin Australia, as part of the continuing Bali International Air Show. Pertamina is supplying around 160 kilolitres (kl) of SAF to Virgin Australia's Boeing 737 aircraft from the Ngurah Rai aviation fuel terminal in Bali for flights during 18-19 September. This was part of the 3,500 kl of blended SAF that Pertamina had sought for end-August delivery, intended to be used at the air show. The remaining volumes will be sold to other airlines and sales will be assessed before any further SAF purchases are made, a company source said. The SAF is a blend of 38.43pc synthetic kerosine produced from used cooking oil (UCO) and 61.57pc fossil jet fuel, said the director of central marketing and commerce at Pertamina Patra Niaga Maya Kusmaya. Pertamina also has plans to co-process SAF from UCO at its Cilacap refinery next year, before producing SAF by the hydrotreated esters and fatty acids pathway when its Cilacap "green refinery" comes on line, said a company source, although more details have yet to be disclosed. SAF distributed at Ngurah Rai is also managed using mass balancing, meaning that while jet fuel is mixed with SAF in the same tank as both have similar technical specifications, recording and bookkeeping for both products are managed separately. Pertamina obtained International Sustainability and Carbon Certification (ISCC) Corsia and ISCC EU RED-compliant certification for its SAF last month. The SAF supplied also meets ASTM international standards. By Sarah Giam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Advanced Fame marine biodiesel blends hit 9-month low


18/09/24
18/09/24

Advanced Fame marine biodiesel blends hit 9-month low

London, 18 September (Argus) — Some marine biodiesel blend prices in northwest Europe hit a year-to-date low on 17 September, owing to soft fundamentals and easing values in underlying markets. Argus assessed the prices of B30 and B100 Advanced fatty acid methyl ester (Fame) 0 dob ARA — which include a deduction of the value of Dutch renewable fuel tickets (HBE-G) — at $674.01/t and $993.87/t, respectively. At these levels, the two blends were at their lowest outright price since 29 December last year — right before values rose sharply following the halving of the Dutch HBE-G multiplier for maritime blending at the start of the year. Prices have slipped on the back lacklustre demand for marine biodiesel blends in recent months. The price of EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) allowances, for which Advanced Fame marine biodiesel blends receive a zero emission factor, have averaged $70.56/t so far this year, compared with $93.43/t in the same period last year. Consequently, the expansion of EU ETS into the shipping sector has done little to financially incentivise the uptake of marine biodiesel blends this year. On the other hand, voluntary demand for marine biodiesel blends has been steady from shipowners seeking to deliver proof of sustainability (PoS) documentation to their customers to offset the latter's scope 3 emissions. But this may have shifted geographically in recent months in favour of Singapore over ARA. Soft fundamentals in the marine biodiesel blend market has been compounded by pressure on prices in underlying crude and biodiesel markets. The front-month Ice Brent crude futures and gasoil futures contracts hit a near three-year low at 16:30 BST on 10 September. This in turn weighed on values of very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) and marine gasoil (MGO), and the former makes up 70pc of the B30 Advanced Fame dob ARA blend. VLSFO dob ARA prices have averaged $505.58/t so far in September, compared with $533.38/t on 1-18 August, having hit $483/t on 10 September, the lowest level since August 2021. Meanwhile, in the underlying biodiesel market, Advanced Fame 0 fob ARA prices were at the second-lowest level on record on 17 September, with the price marked at parity to used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome) for the first time. Several market participants have said that low prices for German greenhouse gas (GHG) quota tickets, which can be traded on the market to meet the country's emissions reduction mandate, have discouraged buyers from physically blending advanced biodiesel, as tickets are a cheaper option. The current year GHG other ticket price hit a new historic low of $85/t CO2 equivalent (CO2e) on 13 September, down by $115/t compared with the same time last year and by $378/t compared with two years ago. Provisional EU anti-dumping duties on Chinese-origin biodiesel that came into force on 16 August have also turned European buyers away from advanced product made in China, which used to be one of the main sources of advanced biodiesel in Europe. By Hussein Al-Khalisy and Simone Burgin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EPA already at work on 2026-forward RFS rules


17/09/24
17/09/24

EPA already at work on 2026-forward RFS rules

Monterey, 17 September (Argus) — The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has started work on the second set of rules for the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS), expected to span multiple years beginning in 2026, a spokesperson said today. The rule will likely establish renewable volume targets for multiple years under the RFS, although the exact timeframe has not been confirmed, EPA deputy office director Ben Hengst said today at the Argus North American Biofuels, LCFS and Carbon Summit in Monterey, California. Work on the incoming rule was originally not expected to begin until early 2025. Updated analysis, especially regarding advanced biofuels and feedstocks, will inform new rulemaking, as well as the inclusion of regulatory changes intended to improve the program's implementation, Hengst said. Unprecedented growth in US biofuels imports led overall advanced biofuel supply in 2023 to far surpass EPA projections. But biomass-based diesel volumes for the current rules were based on projected growth in North American feedstock supply — not international availability nor the nameplate capacities of US refineries, Hengst said. There were also large increases in imported feedstocks for biofuel production, namely in used cooking oil and tallow. But the potential for an upset in global trade flows remains an agency concern. Domestic policy in some countries could boost offshore consumption of feedstocks and finished fuels that have arrived to the US market in recent years, while the US policy environment itself remains vulnerable to change. The EPA is also navigating recent adverse judgments against its interpretation of the Small Refinery Exemption program and is prioritizing the development of options that would comply with court orders. There was no clarity provided on eRINs as the EPA continues to consider its options. By Jasmine Davis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US regulatory clarity vital to sustain biofuels growth


17/09/24
17/09/24

US regulatory clarity vital to sustain biofuels growth

Monterey, 17 September (Argus) — Clarity from both US state and federal regulators regarding the rules and incentives for biofuels production is essential to ensure continued growth to achieve underlying carbon-reduction targets, industry stakeholders said today. A lack of guidance for incentive programs and qualifications for 2025 and beyond is already hindering trade and investment in key US biofuels markets, panelists said today at the Argus North American Biofuels, LCFS and Carbon Summit in Monterey, California. The current biodiesel tax credit (BTC) is scheduled to give way to the Inflation Reduction Act's Clean Fuels Production Credit (CFPC) in January, while narrowed proposed targets and credit qualifications in state Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) programs has effectively left key portions of the biofuels market in a holding pattern. Alignment and certainty between regulatory bodies on what will be incentivized and credited in the future will be an essential component of business and investment decisions in the industry, necessary to reach ambitious carbon-reduction targets within the next decade. "The fact that we don't have clarity mid-September for a tax credit going into effect on 1 January, is really hard to believe," said Kurt Kovarik, vice president of federal affairs for Clean Fuels Alliance America. "No one knows the rules of the road with respect to 45Z." Panelists echoed opposition to proposed California caps on crop-based renewable feedstocks that discussed on Monday at the conference during sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) discussions. "If the goal is to remove carbon, the extent to which we can base it on science and not pick winners and losers is in everyone's interests," Kovarik said. "All you're going to end up doing is limiting the driving out of carbon." But speakers today further warned of the potential for a duplication of efforts by parties trying to satisfy both state LCFS programs and the federal Renewable Fuel Standard program. Proposed requirements may also require an unprecedented level of collaboration between segments of the US renewables supply chain. Those requirements could be more disruptive than the feedstock cap itself and potentially have the greatest limiting effect on fuel supply into California, said Don Gilstrap, Chevron's manager of fuels regulations. With that goal in mind, declining carbon intensity targets are already providing the necessary incentive for producers to pivot away from crop-based renewable feedstocks, Gilstrap said. But panelists were optimistic about rising interest in replicating LCFS-style focuses on carbon intensity — an approach they theorized would "unleash innovation" across both the finished fuels and feedstocks segments of the industry. By Jasmine Davis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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