US weighs tariffs on auto imports: Update

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Metals, Natural gas
  • 24/05/18

Adds congressional reaction to trade investigation

The US Commerce Department today launched an investigation into whether imports of automobiles and auto parts could harm US national security, potentially setting the stage for a new set of tariffs.

The probe, which will include imports of SUVs, vans and light trucks, was initiated by commerce secretary Wilbur Ross following a conversation with US president Donald Trump.

Ross will consider whether or not the decline of US automobile and automotive parts production threatens to impair national security by weakening the US economy. The department will study the effect on research and development and related jobs for skilled workers in advanced vehicle technologies, including autonomous vehicles, fuel cells, electric motors, advanced manufacturing processes and other emerging technologies.

"There is evidence that, for decades, imports from abroad have eroded our domestic auto industry," Ross said.

US passenger vehicle imports have grown from 32pc of domestic vehicle sales to 48pc over the last 20 years, according to the Commerce Department. From 1990 to 2017, employment in motor vehicle production declined by 22pc even as US consumers purchased automobiles at record levels, the department said.

Mexico and Canada were the largest exporters of new passenger vehicles to the US in 2017, potentially heightening the effect of the probe on the ongoing renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta).

Japan, Germany and South Korea round out the top five largest vehicle exporters to the US.

The Commerce Department said it will announce a hearing date shortly and invite comments from industry and the public to assist in its investigation.

The department has 270 days from the initiation date to prepare a report providing recommendations for action based on the findings.

Commerce launched the investigation under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, which authorizes the president to enact tariffs or quotas on products that impair or threaten to impair US national security. The imports may pose a direct threat to production capabilities needed for national defense or threaten more broadly the country's economic welfare.

Trump in March imposed Section 232 tariffs on imported steel and aluminum following a year-long investigation by the Commerce Department.

The choice of two major import categories is not accidental. The department says its analysis of the causes of the US trade deficit has identified steel and automobiles as key sectors in need of protectionist measures.

But the choice of the pretext for tariffs is already causing consternation among potential targets, which include long-time US allies. "It is absurd to even think that the EU could be a threat to the US," European Council president Donald Tusk said.

Administration officials say that US auto tariffs are significantly lower than those in the EU and China. Beijing already has promised to lower its tariffs on US auto imports, as part of ongoing trade discussions.

"We will see where this investigation leads, but as far as we can see, this is something that would be against WTO rules," EU trade commissioner Cecilia Malmstrom said today.

Leading US Republican senators criticized the proposal as well. Invoking the national security argument on auto imports is an abuse of trade authority, Senate Foreign Relations Committee chairman Bob Corker (R-Tennessee) said today. "To me it feels like it has more do with domestic politics, and I hope it will be abandoned," he said.

Senate Finance Committee chairman Orrin Hatch (R-Utah), who oversees trade issues, called the proposal misguided. "Taxing cars, trucks and auto parts coming into the country would directly hit American families," he said.


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03/05/24

Indonesia’s Tangguh LNG facility offers Jun-Jul cargoes

Indonesia’s Tangguh LNG facility offers Jun-Jul cargoes

Singapore, 3 May (Argus) — Indonesia's 7.6mn t/yr BP-operated Tangguh LNG facility is offering four LNG cargoes for June-July loading, through a tender that closes on 6 May. The Tangguh LNG project in Indonesia's west Papua province is offering four cargoes on a fob basis for loading on 17, 22, 27 June, and on 2 July, or two cargoes on a des basis. But the delivery windows are unclear. The firm was last in the market in March , when it offered four cargoes on a fob basis for loading during 28-29 April, 1-2 May, 3-4 May and 17-19 May, or three cargoes on a des basis for delivery over 6-8 May, 8-10 May and 12-14 May. But it is unclear if these cargoes were sold eventually. This offer adds to a growing pool of availability for June and July cargoes, as summer restocking demand among traditional major importing region northeast Asia is poised to be lower this year. This is mainly owing to higher inventories after the winter season and more than sufficient contracted term deliveries, buyers in the region said. This is despite Japan and South Korea forecasting higher summer temperatures this year as compared to the previous year, according to the Japan Meteorological Agency and Korea Meteorological Administration on 23 April. Spot prices have remained relatively rangebound at around high-$9s to low-$10s/mn Btu since the end of March despite weak demand. Spot prices have been tracking some strength in Dutch TTF contract prices, which has reduced importers' incentive to step up spot purchases since imported spot has no obvious price advantage. The front half-month of the ANEA — the Argus assessment for spot LNG deliveries to northeast Asia — was last assessed on 3 May at $9.955/mn Btu, lower by about 11¢/mn Btu from a week earlier, but about 71¢/mn Btu higher from a month earlier. Spot demand has been mostly confined to south and southeast Asian importers. Most of southeast Asia is currently experiencing a heatwave, which is likely to continue driving spot LNG demand from firms like Thailand's state-controlled PTT. The firm has issued another tender seeking three deliveries over 1-2, 7-8 and 10-11 July that closed on 3 May. It may have awarded the tender, but further details are unclear, traders said. By Rou Urn Lee Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia's WesCEF to pursue Li plans despite hurdles


03/05/24
03/05/24

Australia's WesCEF to pursue Li plans despite hurdles

Singapore, 3 May (Argus) — Australian conglomerate Wesfarmers will still pursue the strategy for its chemicals, energy and fertilisers arm (WesCEF) to be an integrated lithium producer, despite the recent lithium market downturn. Wesfarmers earlier this year warned of unprofitable lithium sales from its Mount Holland project , owing to high production costs as it goes through a ramp-up. But WesCEF plans to weather through the downturn and plow ahead with its lithium downstream developments, given strong long-term fundamentals and despite the market's immaturity and cyclical demand, according to the group's executives on 2 May. Spodumene prices in China — which dominates global consumption of lithium raw materials — were assessed at $1,080-1,180/t on 30 April, down sharply from $5,750-5,900/t at the start of 2023. "It's also worth remembering that when we invested in Covalent and took the final investment decision , lithium hydroxide prices were lower than they are today," said WesCEF's managing director Ian Hansen. Wesfarmers and Chilean lithium firm SQM jointly own Australian firm Covalent Lithium, which looks after the Mount Holland project that includes a mine, concentrator and its 50,000 t/yr Kwinana lithium hydroxide refinery. Completing the refinery's construction and commissioning remains WesCEF's priority, with the mine and concentrator going through a ramp-up, according to WesCEF. The firm is also progressing its potential expansion project for the mine and concentrator, which it submitted an application for environmental approvals. The first lithium hydroxide output out of the Kwinana refinery is still expected in the first half of 2025, with a delay in timeline. Covalent completed its first spodumene concentrate shipment earlier in March, said WesCEF. Wesfarmers expected its share of spodumene concentrate output from Mount Holland to be 50,000t in the current July 2023-June 2024 fiscal year. The share will rise to 150,000-190,000t in the upcoming July 2024-June 2025 fiscal year. Lithium downturn The lithium downturn has led to multiple firms, including major particpants across the lithium and battery supply chain, reporting poor January-March results. Australian lithium and nickel producer IGO, affected by slumps in the lithium and nickel markets, reported its first quarterly loss in years while posting lower output . Major US lithium producer Albemarle's executives have also called the market "unsustainable" in the long run, as it posts a whopping $1.1bn year-on-year fall in sales from its energy storage division. Major Chinese lithium producer Tianqi Lithium also suffered heavy losses, while global lithium firm Arcadium Lithium earlier this year cut its planned sales numbers this year and warned that current market prices will weigh on future supply. South Korea's top battery manufacturer LG Energy Solution (LGES) reported W157bn of operating profit in January-March , but would have reported an operating loss of W32bn if it did not receive almost W189bn in US Inflation Reduction Act tax credits. By Joseph Ho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Nippon Steel delays timeline to acquire US Steel


03/05/24
03/05/24

Nippon Steel delays timeline to acquire US Steel

Tokyo, 3 May (Argus) — Japan's Nippon Steel has extended the scheduled timing of its US Steel acquisition completion until the end of the year, following a request by US authorities to submit more documentation, postponing an original plan of closing the deal by September at the latest. Nippon Steel will take more time to complete its $15bn deal to buy US Steel , as the Japanese firm received from the US Department of Justice a "second request" on submitting further documents necessary for the approval procedure. The deal was initially scheduled to close during April-September but is postponed to sometime during July-December, the Japanese firm announced on 3 May. Nippon Steel received the additional request in April, according to a company representative who spoke to Argus, without disclosing the specific date. The company anticipated the possibility of additional requirements, he added. The acquisition procedure may not finish before the US presidential election in November. Both the Democratic and the Republican party candidates repeatedly and vocally have opposed the deal , with incumbent US President Joe Biden pledging that a fellow American steel producer will be "American owned, American operated by American union steel workers". Nippon Steel is confident that its acquisition plan will eventually clear regulatory hurdles with "fair and objective judgement" from the US authorities, the representative added. By Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US regulator slams executive over Opec 'collusion'


02/05/24
02/05/24

US regulator slams executive over Opec 'collusion'

Washington, 2 May (Argus) — US antitrust regulators for the first time took action against a leading US oil executive over his alleged "collusion" with Opec, but the producers' alliance itself was not a target of investigation. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) today issued a proposed consent order barring former Pioneer Natural Resources chief executive Scott Sheffield from joining the board of ExxonMobil following its $59.5bn takeover of Pioneer. FTC accused Sheffield of organizing "anti-competitive coordinated output reductions between and among US crude oil producers" and members of Opec and the broader Opec+ alliance. "Opec and Opec+ are cartels that exist to control global crude oil production and reserves," FTC said. The specific charges against Sheffield relate to the outspoken executive's frequent public appearances where he opined on US companies' desired production levels, his meetings and frequent communications with Opec officials since 2017 and his advocacy of drastic production cuts by US companies as global demand fell sharply at the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. Opec under then secretary general Mohammed Barkindo began active outreach to independent US producers, starting in March 2017 with private dinner discussions held on the sidelines of IHS CERAWeek conferences in Houston, Texas. Barkindo hosted similar discussions at CERAWeek in 2018 and 2019, in addition to hosting some of the US companies' chief executives at Opec seminars in Vienna. FTC references Sheffield's public comments following those meetings and alleges that Sheffield kept in frequent touch with Opec officials via messaging service WhatsApp and other means to discuss production levels and prices. Barkindo at the time said that production cuts and prices were never on the agenda of his meetings with the US shale producers and that his organization wanted to better understand the US companies' technological innovation and to compare market outlooks and forecast models. Barkindo in the same time frame held similar discussions with major US hedge funds and money managers. US oil executives polled by Argus in 2017-20 also said that their discussions with Barkindo and other Opec officials revolved around market fundamentals. The US oil industry broadly felt that it was benefiting from a policy of production cuts Opec was implementing as it supported prices at a time when the US domestic production and crude exports grew uninterrupted. Former president Donald Trump took credit for engineering a breakthrough agreement in April 2020 to remove more than 10mn b/d of global crude supply by brokering an agreement between Saudi Arabia, Russia and other Opec+ producers. Even without prodding from Trump, US producers cut back production cuts in 2020 as transportation fuel demand and prices fell sharply in the first months of the pandemic. FTC singled out Sheffield for allegedly coordinating his company's production levels with Opec. Sheffield "held repeated, private conversations with high-ranking Opec representatives assuring them that Pioneer and its Permian basin rivals were working hard to keep oil output artificially low," according to the FTC order. Sheffield, who helped found Pioneer and was its longtime chairman, served as chief executive from 1997 to 2016 and from 2019 through 2023. He remains on the company's board, serving as special adviser to the chief executive since 1 January. The son of an oil executive, Sheffield attended high school in Tehran, Iran. Pioneer shrugged off what it termed a "fundamental misunderstanding" of global oil markets and said that FTC misread "the nature and intent" of Sheffield's actions. Opec declined to comment on FTC's action against Sheffield. FTC is so far the only US regulator to set sights on Opec, even if indirectly. President Joe Biden in 2021 separately tasked FTC with leading an investigation into whether there is price manipulation in gasoline markets. Biden, like many of his predecessors at a time of high gasoline prices, in 2022 accused Opec of uncompetitive behavior in oil markets and expressed support for US legislation allowing antitrust action against the organization by the US Department of Justice. But that acrimony has largely dissipated after global oil and US gasoline prices fell in 2023 from unusually high levels in the previous year. US Congress has not taken significant steps to advance the anti-Opec legislation since 2022. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Canadian rail workers vote to launch strike: Correction


02/05/24
02/05/24

Canadian rail workers vote to launch strike: Correction

Corrects movement of grain loadings from a year earlier in final paragraph. Washington, 2 May (Argus) — Workers at the two major Canadian railroads could go on strike as soon as 22 May now that members of the Teamsters Canada Rail Conference (TCRC) have authorized a strike, potentially causing widespread disruption to shipments of commodities such as crude, coal and grain. A strike could disrupt rail traffic not only in Canada but also in the US and Mexico because trains would not be able to leave, nor could shipments enter into Canada. This labor action could be far more impactful than recent strikes because it would affect Canadian National (CN) and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) at the same time. Union members at Canadian railroads have gone on strike individually in the past, which has left one of the two carriers to continue operating and handle some of their competitor's freight. But TCRC members completed a vote yesterday about whether to initiate a strike action at each carrier. The union represents about 9,300 workers employed at the two railroads. Roughly 98pc of union members that participated voted in favor of a strike beginning as early as 22 May, the union said. The union said talks are at an impasse. "After six months of negotiations with both companies, we are no closer to reaching a settlement than when we first began, TCRC president Paul Boucher said. Boucher warned that "a simultaneous work stoppage at both CN and CPKC would disrupt supply chains on a scale Canada has likely never experienced." He added that the union does not want to provoke a rail crisis and wants to avoid a work stoppage. The union has argued that the railroads' proposals would harm safety practices. It has also sought an improved work-life balance. But CN and CPKC said the union continues to reject their proposals. CPKC "is committed to negotiating in good faith and responding to our employees' desire for higher pay and improved work-life balance, while respecting the best interests of all our railroaders, their families, our customers, and the North American economy." CN said it wants a contract that addresses the work life balance and productivity, benefiting the company and employees. But even when CN "proposed a solution that would not touch duty-rest rules, the union has rejected it," the railroad said. Canadian commodity volume has fallen this year with only rail shipments of chemicals, petroleum and petroleum products, and non-metallic minerals rising, Association of American Railroads (AAR) data show. Volume data includes cars loaded in the US by Canadian carriers. Coal traffic dropped by 11pc during the 17 weeks ended on 27 April compared with a year earlier, AAR data show. Loadings of motor vehicles and parts have fallen by 5.2pc. CN and CPKC grain loadings fell by 4.3pc from a year earlier, while shipment of farm products and food fell by 9.3pc. By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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