Democrats face climate challenge from the left

  • Spanish Market: Electricity, Emissions
  • 18/07/18

As Democrats gear up for this November's elections, some are facing a backlash from members of their own party who want more aggressive action on climate and renewable energy.

New York governor Andrew Cuomo (D) is one the leading figures in the US for efforts to promote renewable energy and reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. And yet Cuomo, and other incumbent Democrats, are facing challenges from opponents who say even more action is needed to combat climate change.

"With the incumbents, there is that challenge coming from the left," clean energy think tank Acadia Center advocacy director Bill Dornbos said. "It does have a lot of energy."

Cuomo, during his time as governor, has set New York on a track to reach 50pc renewable energy by 2030, while reducing GHG emissions to 40pc below 1990 levels by that same year. His administration has also moved to promote emerging technologies like offshore wind and energy storage, while strengthening the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative cap-and-trade program for CO2.

But that is not enough, according to Cuomo's Democratic primary challenger Cynthia Nixon, who says the state should get to 100pc renewable energy by 2050. She has criticized Cuomo for allowing aging nuclear plants to remain open, for not doing enough to reduce GHG emissions from all parts of the state's economy.

"Governor Cuomo only has a plan for the electricity sector when most of the emissions in New York come from buildings and transportation," Nixon said. "Governor Cuomo's plan also lacks targeted support for low-income communities and communities of color."

Cuomo's situation is not unique. Across the country, progressive candidates have come forward to challenge their more-moderate counterparts, largely in reaction to the conservative policies being put in place by President Donald Trump and the Republicans, who control both chambers of Congress. And that effort seems to be working.

"Leadership from the progressives and from activists is shifting the Democratic Party and their demands," environmental group Friends of the Earth Action senior political strategist Benjamin Schreiber said. Cuomo and others now "have to be responsive" to the left.

Some of those progressive candidates, like Nixon, face an uphill battle. Cuomo leads Nixon 59-23pc among Democratic voters, according to polling from Quinnipiac University released today.

In California, state senator Kevin de Leon (D) is trying to unseat veteran US senator Dianne Feinstein (D) this November. De Leon has touted his "central role" in setting up the state's 50pc by 2030 renewables mandate and cap-and-trade program extension. He has also proposed legislation to move California to 100pc zero-emission energy by 2045.

But De Leon faces a tough task in replacing Feinstein, a well-funded five-term senator who also has been a supporter of climate and clean energy legislation.

Despite slim chances for some candidates, others are forcing the party to sit up and pay attention. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez' shocking primary win over incumbent congressman Joe Crowley (D) has signaled that liberal climate politics may be set for new light. Cortez has called for a "Green New Deal" that would take the US to 100pc renewable energy by 2035. That would mark a sharp rise, given renewables supplied about 17p of US electricity generation in 2017, according to the Energy Information Administration.

Along the same vein, Colorado and Maryland last month selected Democratic candidates for governor who want their states to get all of their electricity from renewable energy sources.

The progressive rise in the Democratic Party mirrors to some degree the Tea Party movement that launched in the wake of the election of former president Barack Obama. Here, as then, more radical candidates have been able to use their opposition to a sitting president as a rallying cry to attract voters and unsettle established party platforms. Falling costs and rising employment in the renewable energy sector have also made forceful climate action more palatable to the public.

There is "real frustration with the pace of progress in the states," the Acadia Center's Dornbos said. "It has been given new urgency by what is going on at the national level."

The results in November will show how much this progressive push will actually shape the US future on climate and renewable energy. But even if unsuccessful at the polls, the wave of liberal-leaning candidates could end up tilting others to support more ambitious action.

The progressive push "is having an effect," Dornbos said. "Whether that leads to real policy action and results on the ground, is harder to say."

US electic generation by energy source

New York electricity generation March 2018 ’000 MWh

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26/04/24

Start-ups to help Total keep output stable in 2Q

Start-ups to help Total keep output stable in 2Q

London, 26 April (Argus) — TotalEnergies said it expects its oil and gas production to hold broadly steady in the second quarter as planned maintenance is partially offset by rising output from new projects in Brazil and Denmark. The company expects to average 2.4mn-2.45mn b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in April-June, compared with 2.46mn boe/d in the previous three months and 2.47mn boe/d in the second quarter of 2023. Production is being supported by the restart of gas output from the redeveloped Tyra hub in Denmark late last month and the start of the 180,000 b/d second development phase of the Mero oil field on the Libra block in Brazil's Santos Basin at the beginning of the year. TotalEnergies first-quarter output was flat compared with the previous three months but 2pc lower than a year earlier as a result of Canadian oil sands divestments. The company reported a robust set of first-quarter results today, broadly in line with analysts' expectations. Profit for the first three months of 2024 was $5.7bn, compared to $5.6bn in the same period last year. Adjusted profit — which takes into account inventory valuation effects and special items — came in at $5.1bn, down by 22pc on the year but slightly ahead of the consensus of analysts' estimates of $5bn. Adjusted operating profit from the firm's Exploration & Production business was down by 4pc year-on-year at $2.55bn, driven in part by lower natural gas prices. The Canadian oil sands asset sales weighed on the segment's production but this was partly compensated by start-ups. As well as Mero 2, the Akpo West oil project in Nigeria started production during the first quarter. TotalEnergies' Integrated LNG segment saw a 41pc year-on-year decline in its adjusted operating profit to $1.22bn in January-March. The company said this reflects lower LNG prices and sales. But while its LNG sales for the quarter fell by 3pc in year-on-year terms, its LNG production was greater by 6pc. TotalEnergies achieved an average $78.9/bl for its liquids sales in the first quarter, an improvement on $73.4/bl a year earlier. But the average price achieved for its gas sales was 43pc lower on the year at $5.11/mn Btu. In the downstream, the company's Refining & Chemicals segment's first-quarter adjusted operating profit was $962mn in January-March, down by 41pc on the year but 52pc higher than the preceding quarter. TotalEnergies attributes the quarter-on-quarter rise to higher refining margins and a rise in refinery throughput . For the second quarter, it expects refinery utilisation rates to be above 85pc, compared with 79pc in the first quarter, boosted by the restart of 219,000 b/d Donges refinery in France. Total's Integrated Power segment continued to improve, registering a quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year increased of 16pc and 65pc respectively in its adjusted operating profit to €611mn. Net power production increased 14pc year-on-year to 9.6 TWh, while the company's portfolio of installed power generation capacity grew 54pc to 19.5GW. Total's cash flow from operations, excluding working capital, was down by 15pc on a year earlier at $8.2bn in the first quarter. The company has decided to raise its dividend for 2024 by 7pc to €0.79/share and plans a $2bn programme of share buybacks for the second quarter. By Jon Mainwaring Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

MDBs, parties must deliver on finance: Cop 29 president


25/04/24
25/04/24

MDBs, parties must deliver on finance: Cop 29 president

Edinburgh, 25 April (Argus) — Cop 29 president-designate Mukhtar Babayev pointed to insufficient action from multilateral development banks (MDBs) despite encouraging discussions, and urged all countries to play their part to deliver on climate finance negotiations this year. Climate finance discussions will be an important part of climate negotiations this year, having been "one of the most challenging climate diplomacy topics over the years", Babayev said today at the 15th Petersberg climate dialogue in Berlin — a forum for multilateral discussions. The meeting is a key milestone in climate discussions, paving the way for Cop 29 negotiations. The topic will be key as countries must decide on a new global finance goal to replace the $100bn/yr by 2020 pledge to developing countries made in 2009 and missed by developed countries. Babayev said he was working with a range of actors including MDBs, which have a "special role" as "multilateral public finance contributed the single largest part of the [$100bn/yr] target". Babayev said progress from the MDBs was essential, but while he "had many encouraging engagements during the World Bank and IMF spring meetings in Washington last week , we heard a great deal of concern and worry that we did not yet see adequate and sufficient action". "That must change," he said. He also warned that there is no single initiative able to unlock and increase climate finance flows to trillions of dollars, and instead pointed to "many interconnected elements" that countries will need to consider to set this new finance goal — the so-called NCQG. He added that the NCQG working group has already identified many options. "We know that [there are] strong and well-founded views on all sides," he said. "We are listening to all parties to understand their concerns and help them refine official landing zones based on a shared vision of success so we can deliver a fair and ambitious new goal," he added. "We need everyone to play their part so that we can build up unstoppable momentum where everyone is confident that their contribution is fairly matched by the contributions of others". Germany's foreign minister Annalena Baerbock said industrialised countries need to live up to their responsibilities. "Financial contributions from developed countries and multinational development banks will remain the basis of our efforts," she said, confirming that Germany has a €6bn climate goal for 2025. But she also said that "the world has changed" since the UN climate body the UNFCCC established a list of climate finance donors in 1992. The list has just 24 countries, plus the EU, as contributors. "In 1992, the two dozen countries that provided international climate finance made up 80pc of the world's economy. Now, that share is down to 50pc, and the share of all other countries has more than doubled," she said. She urged other countries in the G20, including China, "to join our effort". She pointed out that the donor base was broader for the loss and damage fund — to tackle the unavoidable and irreversible effects of climate change. Cop 28 host the UAE, which is not part of the 1992 list of donors, was the first contributor of the new fund created in Dubai last year. Babayev said that finance will not be the only important topic discussed at Cop 29 and that work must be done to get "the loss and damage fund up and running". Finalising the Article 6 negotiations will also be a key issue. "We cannot leave everything to market mechanisms," he said. By Caroline Varin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US-led carbon initiative misses launch date


23/04/24
23/04/24

US-led carbon initiative misses launch date

Houston, 23 April (Argus) — The Energy Transition Accelerator (ETA), a global initiative to use voluntary carbon market revenue to speed the decarbonization of developing countries' power sectors, has missed its planned Earth Day launch but continues to prepare for doing business. At the Cop 28 climate conference in Dubai last year, the initiative's leaders said they hoped to formally launch the program on 22 April 2024 . That didn't happen, but the program's leaders last week announced that the US climate think tank Center for Climate and Energy Solutions will serve as the ETA's new secretariat and that former US special presidential envoy for climate John Kerry will serve as the honorary chair of an eight-member senior consultative group that will advise the ETA's design and operations. The ETA plans to spend 2024 "building" on a framework for crediting projects they released last year. ETA leaders said the initiative could ultimately generate tens of billions of dollars in finances through 2035. The ETA also said the Dominican Republic had formed a government working group to "guide its engagement" as a potential pilot country for investments and that the Philippines would formally participate as an "observer country" rather than as a direct participant immediately. The ETA is still engaging Chile and Nigeria as potential pilot countries too, the initiative told Argus . The ETA is being developed by the US State Department, the Rockefeller Foundation, and the Bezos Earth Fund and would be funded with money from the voluntary carbon market. The initiative's ultimate goal is to allow corporate and government offset buyers to help developing countries decarbonize their power sectors through large projects that accelerate the retirement of coal-fired power plants and build new renewable generation. As of now, the ETA's timeline for future changes and negotiations with countries and companies is unclear. The program's goals are ambitious, especially at a time when scrutiny of some voluntary carbon market projects from environmentalists has weighed on corporate offset demand. By Mia Westley Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Japan’s Higashidori No.1 reactor faces further delays


23/04/24
23/04/24

Japan’s Higashidori No.1 reactor faces further delays

Osaka, 23 April (Argus) — Japanese utility Tohoku Electric Power has confirmed a further delay in reinforcement works at its 1,100MW Higashidori No.1 nuclear reactor, with its completion date unknown. The postponement in restarting the Higashidori reactor in northern Aomori prefecture would encourage Tohoku to secure replacement thermal fuels — such as LNG and coal — for an extended period, although the company is planning to resume another reactor in September. Tohoku previously aimed to complete the reinforcement work at Higashidori in the April 2024-March 2025 fiscal year. But the company needs more time to clear all the procedures for the assessment of basic earthquake ground motions and tsunamis, and to prepare for the plant inspection. It is still unclear when the company will complete the safety measures. The Higashidori reactor is undergoing inspections by Japan's nuclear regulation authority (NRA), based on stricter safety rules following the 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster. The reactor will need to pass the safety checks and secure approval from local governments before restarting. Tohoku has three commercial reactors, including two at Onagawa in Miyagi prefecture and the Higashidori No.1 reactor, of which it applied to restart two. The 825MW Onagawa No.2 reactor has already cleared the NRA's safety inspections and obtained permission from local authorities to restart. The company is now planning to restart the Onagawa No.2 reactor in September . The possible return of the Onagawa No.2 reactor will help Tohoku reduce consumption of thermal fuels. The company used 2.76mn t of LNG in April-December 2023, up by 12pc from a year earlier, in the absence of all its nuclear reactors. But its coal consumption fell by 12pc to 5.68mn t during the period. By Motoko Hasegawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Colombia's electricity woes add to unrest against Petro


22/04/24
22/04/24

Colombia's electricity woes add to unrest against Petro

Bogota, 22 April (Argus) — Colombians took the streets of major cities and towns across the nation on Sunday to protest mainly against health, pension and labor changes, but potential power outages are also creating discontent. Authorities estimated that about 250,000 Colombians marched in widespread protests, sparked by changes in healthcare. Congress in April had rejected President Gustavo Petro's proposals in the sector, and the government the next day seized the two largest private-sector health insurers. Protesting healthcare workers say the government did this to implement changes through a back channel. "Regulatory noise and risk are likely to remain high amid announcements, proposals, and measures [that do not require congressional approval], aimed at changing the game's rules in strategic sectors," brokerage Credicorp Capital said. Colombians also protested being on the verge of electricity rationing like that in neighboring Ecuador as hydroelectric reservoirs remain at record-low levels. Several unions and other associations have long warned the Petro administration to take measures to offset the effects of the El Nino weather phenomenon. Electricity distributors last year called for allowing bills for energy purchased on the spot market to be deferred and for loosening price index rules, among other proposals. The national business council sent at least three letters to the president on the issue. At least nine separate letters calling for preparation to prevent blackouts were sent to the president and ministers. Several actions were only recently implemented . "There are no risk of electricity rationing in Colombia," former energy minister Irene Velez said in 2023. "We do not understand why some people are interested in generating panic." Government weather forecasts also overestimated rainfall expected for March, leading hydroelectric plants to use more water in the reservoirs than they otherwise would have, said director of the thermoelectric generation association (Andeg) Alejandro Castaneda. Reservoir levels stood at 29.5pc today, rising thanks to rains since 19 April, up from 28.75pc on 18 April. Electricity rationing is set to begin when reservoirs drop below 27pc, according to grid operator XM. By Diana Delgado Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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