Australian resources sector expands in 2018
Australia's resources sector expanded by 6.7pc by economic value in 2018, with it the second-largest contributor to Australia's economic growth of 2.3pc last year. The increase came from record LNG and iron ore exports, as well as higher coal prices.
The resources sector accounted for 7.8pc of Australia's gross domestic product (GDP) in 2018, which totalled A$1.84 trillion ($1.32 trillion), up from an average of 7.6pc in 2016. This represented the largest proportion of the Australian economy since 1975 when official data was first collated on the industry sector contribution to economic growth, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).
Australia's resource sector is dominated by its export trade, with the country's being the world's largest exporter of iron ore and hard coking coal and the second-largest exporter of thermal coal and LNG.
The resources sector expanded by 1.2pc during October-December, in a period when Australia's GDP rose by 0.2pc, according to the ABS.
The expansion of the resources sector in the latest quarter was driven by the oil and gas sector, which rose by 7.7pc during October-December. It was boosted by the start-up of the two production trains at the 8.9mn t/yr Ichthys LNG venture that extracts gas from fields in the Browse basin offshore Western Australia.
The total economic contribution of the resources sector was A$144bn in 2018 and represents a rise of 2.6 times since 2009, over which time LNG exports have more than tripled and iron ore exports have risen by a similar level.
The resources sector also posted record profitability in 2018. But capital expenditure dropped to an 11-year low last year as many of the resource projects have come on line that led to the higher production and exports.
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US met coal suppliers expect belated supply tensions
US met coal suppliers expect belated supply tensions
London, 3 May (Argus) — US coking coal prices have so far brushed off any impact of the collapse of the Francis Scott Key bridge in Baltimore on 26 March and the subsequent disruption of vessel traffic via the Port of Baltimore. Suppliers such as Arch Resources and Blackhawk that utilise the Baltimore shipping route have sought effective alternative arrangements so far and buyers have been largely comfortable despite some delays in laycans. Other suppliers such as Northern Appalachia's largest producer, Consol Energy's Bailey mine , which is a key supplier to Atlantic end-users, have faced more challenges, market participants suggest. The decline in fob Australia coal prices from last year's highs amid improved supply availability has also weighed on prices. The Argus assessed premium low-volatile coking coal fob Australia price was at $242.80/t on 3 May, largely unchanged from $254/t on 26 March after reaching a low of $224/t on 8 April. The US east coast prices have followed a similar trajectory, with low-volatile fob US east coast at $215/t today down from $220/t on 26 March after falling to a low in April. Low European demand has been one of the reasons behind the tepid response to coking coal shipment delays from the US. But with expectations of at least some recovery in the second half of 2024 and still no firm date on when the Baltimore traffic will return to normal, some US suppliers suggest coking coal prices may face some upward pressure later this year. Luxembourg-based steelmaker ArcelorMittal has kept its apparent steel demand outlook in Europe unchanged for 2024, expecting a growth of 2-4pc on the year . European steel association Eurofer downgraded its apparent steel consumption outlook for 2024 again , to 3.2pc from a previous forecast of 5.6pc, owing to worsening geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, energy prices, inflation and higher interest rates. But this would still be an improvement from a 9pc fall in steel consumption in 2023. There is also optimism among US coal suppliers that Brazil may be a source of renewed demand in the coming months with domestic steel production expected to improve. The Brazilian government is due to increase taxes for some imported steel products after facing pressure from the domestic steel industry to apply tariffs on imports, in particular on Chinese steel. Taxes will be increased to 25pc on 11 steel products — mainly flat rolled — contingent on such import levels exceeding prescribed quotas, the trade ministry's committee on foreign commerce, Gecex/Camex, said. Brazil's crude steel output reached 31.9mn t in 2023, down by 6.5pc on the year, World Steel Association data show. In the US, the fall in seaborne met coal prices also points to potential consolidation in the sector and the possibility of supplies tightening down the road. Industry participants highlight that some of the small and mid-sized mining operations that have emerged in the past two years amid a strong price environment are struggling. Bens Creek Group, which operates the Bens Creek Mining project in West Virigina with around 30,000-35,000st (27,200-31,800t) per month of coking coal output, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in April. The year-to-date average price of high-volatile A for 2024 stands at $242.62/t fob Hampton Roads and is estimated to be above production costs for some of these mines. In 2022, high-volatile A prices averaged $347.81/t fob Hampton Roads, driven by a combination of market concerns over the Russia-Ukraine conflict and supply disruptions in Australia. While Russian coking coal remains available and competitively priced in the market, in particular a key supply source for China, US sanctions will continue to put pressure on major coal importers such as India and South Korea to reduce their Russian imports. The US announced fresh sanctions against Russian coal producer Sibanthracite's group of companies earlier this week. By Siew Hua Seah Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Austrian regulator consults on gas tariff changes
Austrian regulator consults on gas tariff changes
London, 3 May (Argus) — Austrian energy regulator E-Control has revised up its planned increase in gas tariffs from the start of 2025 but adjusted its commodity charge lower. E-Control on Friday published draft amendments to its gas system charges ordinance that would codify planned changes to how it calculates tariffs. It largely retains its revised methodology from April, but has modified its planned outright tariffs and commodity charge. The regulator had in February proposed a shift to a capacity-weighted distance (CWD) model for its reference price methodology, along with a change to a 50:50 entry-exit revenue split from roughly 20:80 at present. The proposed changes would have tripled entry costs from Germany and quadrupled them from Italy from 2025, as well as other significant changes for the distribution system and storages. Austria's system operators supported the changes , but almost all other respondents to the consultation were highly critical , warning that the changes could threaten diversification, lower utilisation and increase tariffs further and harm liquidity. E-Control last month walked back on several of the proposed changes . Most significantly, it revised the entry-exit split to 25:75, limited the increase in exit tariffs to the distribution zone, introduced a 50pc discount on exit fees to storage facilities, and equalised entry tariffs at all points. The switch to a CWD model was retained, however. The most notable modification from the changes proposed in April is a roughly 7pc increase in capacity-based tariffs, as the new amendments use final prices as opposed to indicative prices previously (see table) . The difference "results from the findings over the course of the cost approval procedure during the past few months", E-Control told Argus . In contrast, the commodity charge on gas entering and exiting the Austrian grid has decreased as a result of "lower expected fuel energy costs", E-Control told Argus . It now plans to charge around €0.04/MWh on entry flows and €0.13/MWh on exit flows, compared with €0.12/MWh and €0.13/MWh, respectively, in the original proposal. There is no commodity charge in place for this year. The final change is an update of the multipliers for capacity bookings depending on their duration. The regulator now proposes multipliers of 1.25 for quarterly products, 1.5 for monthly, two for daily, and three for within-day. Interested parties may submit comments to the regulator by 16 May. Final tariffs will then be published in June, and will be applicable from 1 January 2025. By Brendan A'Hearn Austria 2025-28 estimated tariffs €/kWh/h/a Entry/Exit Capacity type* 2025 (final) 2026 (preliminary) 2027 (preliminary) Baumgarten Entry FZK 1.30 1.37 1.48 Oberkappel Entry FZK 1.30 1.37 1.48 Uberackern Entry FZK 1.30 1.37 1.48 Uberackern Entry DZK 1.17 1.23 1.33 Uberackern Exit FZK 4.25 4.59 4.98 Uberackern Exit DZK 3.82 4.13 4.48 Arnoldstein Entry FZK 1.30 1.37 1.48 Arnoldstein Entry DZK 1.17 1.23 1.33 Arnoldstein Exit FZK 5.96 6.62 7.39 Murfeld Exit FZK 3.73 4.19 4.71 Mosonmagyarovar Exit FZK 2.15 2.49 2.80 Distribution area Exit FZK 1.26 1.45 1.67 Storage Penta West Exit FZK 2.12 2.29 2.49 Storage MAB Exit FZK 1.07 1.19 1.34 *FZK = Firm, freely allocable capacity; DZK = dynamically allocable capacity — E-Control Austria 2025 final tariff vs current €/kWh/h/a Entry/Exit Capacity type* 2025 Current ±% Baumgarten Entry FZK 1.30 0.85 53 Oberkappel Entry FZK 1.30 0.97 34 Uberackern Entry FZK 1.30 0.97 34 Uberackern Entry DZK 1.17 0.88 33 Uberackern Exit FZK 4.25 3.26 30 Uberackern Exit DZK 3.82 2.93 31 Arnoldstein Entry FZK 1.30 0.97 33 Arnoldstein Entry DZK 1.17 0.68 72 Arnoldstein Exit FZK 5.96 4.35 37 Murfeld Exit FZK 3.73 1.90 97 Mosonmagyarovar Exit FZK 2.15 1.23 75 Distribution area Exit FZK 1.26 0.42 200 Storage Penta West Exit FZK 2.12 0.44 383 Storage MAB Exit FZK 1.07 0.44 144 *FZK = firm, freely allocable capacity; DZK = dynamically allocable capacity — E-Control Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US job growth nearly halved in April
US job growth nearly halved in April
Houston, 3 May (Argus) — The US added fewer jobs in April as the unemployment rate ticked up and average earnings growth fell, signs of gradually weakening labor market conditions. The US added 175,000 jobs in April, the Labor Department reported today, fewer than the 238,000 analysts anticipated. That compared with an upwardly revised 315,000 jobs in March and a downwardly revised 236,000 jobs in February. The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9pc from 3.8pc. The unemployment rate has ranged from 3.7-3.9pc since August 2023, near the five-decade low of 3.4pc. The latest employment report comes after the Federal Reserve on Wednesday held its target lending rate unchanged for a sixth time and signaled it would be slower in cutting rates from two-decade highs as the labor market has remained "strong" and inflation, even while easing, is "still too high". US stocks opened more than 1pc higher today after the jobs report and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.47pc. Futures markets showed odds of a September rate cut rose by about 10 percentage points to about 70pc after the report. Average hourly earnings grew by 3.9pc over the 12 month period, down from 4.1pc in the period ended in March. Job gains in the 12 months through March averaged 242,000. Gains, including revisions, averaged 276,000 in the prior three-month period. Job gains occurred in health care, social services and transportation and warehousing. Health care added 56,000 jobs, in line with the gains over the prior 12 months. Transportation and warehousing added 22,000, also near the 12-month average. Retail trade added 20,000. Construction added 9,000 following 40,000 in March. Government added 8,000, slowing from an average of 55,000 in the prior 12 months. Manufacturing added 9,000 jobs after posting 4,000 jobs the prior month. Mining and logging lost 3,000 jobs. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
UK decoiler Atlantic Steel enters administration
UK decoiler Atlantic Steel enters administration
London, 3 May (Argus) — Birkenhead-based decoiler Atlantic Steel filed for administration yesterday, according to a filing seen by Argus . The company has been under pressure since its previous owners took a large chunk of cash out of the business as part of a management buyout in 2022. Credit insurers began to pull cover on the business towards the end of last year, and suppliers have been calling retention of title, which protects suppliers in the event of insolvency or bankruptcy, in recent days. Sources suggest the debt of the business at the time of administration is around £18mn. The previous owners are preferential creditors after the banks, as they were due another £5mn from the business, according to Companies House filings. Market sources suggest it is likely the business will be bought out of administration, with other service centres interested in the assets — the lease on the site expires in the next few years but is extendable, and Atlantic operates the largest decoiler in the UK, capable of decoiling over 2.5m wide. It is also situated on the dock at Birkenhead, which cuts inland transportation costs. The UK HRC market has been under pressure for a number of months, in line with the struggles seen in Europe. Argus ' weekly assessment was £605/t ddp West Midlands on 2 May, down from a recent peak of £700/t at the start of February. The assessment reached an all-time high of £1,200/t on 31 March 2022, and the management buyout took place later that year. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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