Conab reduz estimativa para safra de soja
A Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento (Conab) reduziu sua estimativa para a produção brasileira de soja na temporada 2018-19 em quase 2pc em relação à projeção de fevereiro, em função da queda na produtividade das lavouras decorrente da pluviosidade irregular observada em algumas áreas.
A safra brasileira de soja, cuja colheita está no ápice, deverá atingir 113,46 milhões de t, abaixo das 115,34 milhões de t projetadas no mês passado pela Conab.
Caso suas últimas projeções se confirmem, a safra atual será quase 5pc menor que o recorde de 119,28 milhões de t visto no ciclo passado, completou a Conab em seu relatório mensal de acompanhamento das safras.
Ainda que a área dedicada ao cultivo da oleaginosa na temporada 2018-19 tenha crescido 2pc ante o ciclo passado para 35,8 milhões de ha, a produtividade das lavouras caiu 1,6pc ante as estimativas de janeiro para 3,17t/ha e recuou 6,7pc em relação às 3,39t/ha vistas na temporada 2017-18, disse a Conab.
A maior parte das perdas esperadas deve ocorrer no estado do Paraná, segundo maior produtor do grão, seguido por Goiás e Mato Grosso do Sul, quarto e quinto maiores produtores, respectivamente.
A produção paranaense deverá cair 16pc ante o ciclo passado para 16,15 milhões de t, abaixo das 19,17 milhões de t vista na safra 2017-18, disse a Conab.
A produção goiana deverá recuar 6,2pc para 11,1 milhões de t, enquanto a de Mato Grosso do Sul deverá encolher 13,2pc para 8,34 milhões de t.
A colheita da oleaginosa em Mato Grosso, principal estado produtor, está praticamente estável em 32,1 milhões de t. Já a produção do grão no Rio Grande do Sul, terceiro maior produtor nacional, deverá atingir um recorde de 18,7 milhões de t, alta anual de 9pc decorrente das chuvas favoráveis ao desenvolvimento das lavouras, disse a Conab.
A Conab cortou novamente este mês sua projeção para as exportações brasileiras de soja no ciclo atual para 70 milhões de t, ante 71,5 milhões de t estimadas em fevereiro. O país embarcou um recorde de 83,6 milhões de t na safra 2017-18.
Quanto ao milho, a Conab elevou suas estimativas para a produção brasileira no ciclo 2018-19 em 1,3pc ante o mês passado para 92,81 milhões de t. Caso se confirme, o volume será 15pc superior à decepcionante safra 2017-18, quando o país colheu 80,71 milhões de t do grão.
As projeções da Conab para a exportação brasileira de milho ficaram estáveis ante as estimativas de janeiro em um recorde de 31 milhões de t, acima das 24,77 milhões de t embarcadas no ciclo passado.
A produção de soja e milho representa 91pc da colheita total de grãos no Brasil na safra 2018-19, que deverá crescer 2,5pc ante o ciclo passado para 233,3 milhões de t.
Já a produção brasileira de algodão em pluma deverá saltar 28,4pc em relação a temporada 2017-18 para 2,58 milhões de t. A Conab projeta uma alta de 55pc nas exportações brasileiras da fibra, para um recorde de 1,45 milhão de t.
Related news posts
India's RCF seeks 100,000t of NPS
India's RCF seeks 100,000t of NPS
London, 29 April (Argus) — Indian fertilizer importer RCF has issued a tender to buy two 50,000t lots of 20-20-0+13S. RCF requests delivery of the first lot by 10 June and the second by 20 June. The tender is to close on 3 May, and offers must be valid until 7 May. The tender is open only to suppliers with which RCF has signed long-term agreements. RCF in February bought just over 30,000t of Saudi Arabian 20-20-0+13S from a trading firm at around $359/t cfr duty unpaid, equating to $377/t cfr duty paid/free. The Argus assessment for Indian imports of the grade has remained broadly flat since, largely because of a lack of trade. Indian importers have been buying mainly NPK grades — particularly Russian-produced 10-26-26 — while high stocks have helped to ensure little NPS activity. But the nutrient-based subsidy (NBS) for 20-20-0+13S being raised by just 11pc season on season , compared with 19pc for 10-26-26 and 20pc for 12-32-16, has also helped to nudge demand towards the latter products. By David Maher Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
India's Fact issues tender to buy 15-15-15
India's Fact issues tender to buy 15-15-15
London, 29 April (Argus) — Indian fertilizer producer and importer Fact has issued a tender to buy two 20,000-30,000t lots, plus or minus 10pc, of 15-15-15 product. The tender closes on 13 May at 14:30 Indian Standard Time (IST). The first shipment should be delivered to the port of New Mangalore before 20 June, and the second to Tuticorin during 1-15 July. If suppliers cannot meet these timelines, they can offer to the nearest available date, and these submissions will be considered in the absence of offers that match Fact's desired dates. Offers can be made for either shipment or both. By David Maher Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
STB chair Oberman to leave rail agency on 10 May
STB chair Oberman to leave rail agency on 10 May
Washington, 26 April (Argus) — US Surface Transportation Board (STB) chairman Martin Oberman (D) said today that he would retire in two weeks, though a replacement has not been named. Oberman informed President Joe Biden of his decision in a letter earlier today. Oberman said in mid-November 2023 that he would exit the agency in early 2024 . His five-year term expired on 31 December but he continued to serve into his one-year holdover term. No additional details have been announced, but vice chairman Karen Hedlund (D) is expected to lead the rail regulator until a formal appointment has been made. Chairman Oberman's "commitment to exploring all sides of an issue was pivotal in helping to find solutions for stakeholders," the Freight Rail Customer Alliance said. National Grain and Feed Association chief executive Mike Seyfert said pointed to Oberman's actions in working toward significant regulatory milestones for agricultural shippers and railroads. Under Oberman's leadership, STB has moved forward on long-standing proposal to allow reciprocal switching. The switching plan would allow a shipper served by a single railroad to request that its freight be transferred to another major railroad at a designated interchange point. STB is expected to act on reciprocal switching as early as this month, after introducing a plan tied to railroad service performance in September 2023. His term was also highlighted by several major industry events, such as the Covid-19 pandemic, the merger of Canadian Pacific and Kansas City Southern and the 2022 rail service crisis. Oberman was nominated by former US president Donald Trump in July 2018. His appointment was confirmed by the US Senate in January 2019 and he was appointed chairman by President Joe Biden in January 2021. By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Japan’s Mol starts operating LPG-fuelled VLGC
Japan’s Mol starts operating LPG-fuelled VLGC
Tokyo, 26 April (Argus) — Japanese shipping firm Mitsui OSK Line's (Mol) Singapore-based subsidiary Aramo Shipping started operating today a new LPG-fuelled LPG and ammonia carrier for domestic importer Gyxis. The 87,119m³ very large gas carrier (VLGC) Aquamarine Progress 2 was built by Japanese shipbuilder Namura Shipbuilding at Namura's Imari shipyard in south Japan's Saga prefecture. The vessel is equipped with a dual-fuel engine, which can burn LPG and conventional marine fuel. Mol expects use of LPG to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) and nitrogen oxide emissions by 20pc and sulphur oxide and particulate matter emissions by 90pc compared with a heavy oil-dedicated vessel. The VLGC is also designed to be able to carry ammonia, eyeing potential demand growth for decarbonisation. Japanese shipping firms and shipbuilders have boosted construction of LPG carriers that can also ship ammonia, as demand for the cleaner fuel is expected to increase in future. Japan plans to co-fire ammonia at coal-fired power plants to reduce CO2 emissions, while aiming to use ammonia as a hydrogen carrier. Shipbuilders Kawasaki Heavy Industries and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries each delivered a VLGC, which can carry LPG and liquefied ammonia. Mol, in partnership with shipbuilders Tsuneishi Shipbuilding and Mitsui E&S Shipbuilding, completed risk assessments to design a mid-size ammonia-fuelled ammonia and LPG carrier , targeting to finish construction by 2026. By Nanami Oki Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Business intelligence reports
Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.
Learn more