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US coking coal exports up in March

  • Spanish Market: Coking coal, Metals
  • 10/05/19

Coking coal exports from the US totalled 4.97mn t in March, up by 10.4pc on the year, driven by increased shipments to Asia and Poland, US Census Bureau data shows.

Exports to Japan rose by 15.9pc to 699,721t, while shipments to South Korea imore than trebled to 423,765t and shipments to China more than doubled to 175,000t.

US coking coal shipments were boosted by a global increase in demand from steelmakers, with resulting higher fob prices making Asia an attractive destination for US producers, despite competition with Australian firms that enjoy lower freight rates into the region. US sales have also been supported by Australian supply problems.

Australia is the largest exporter of coking coal to Japan, but supply uncertainty over production problems and longwall moves in Australia pushed Japan to diversify its imports. Canada and Russia also emerged as sources of significant coking coal shipments to Japan in March.

The supply problems in Australia also buoyed US exports to South Korea and China in March.

Despite the Chinese tariff on US coking coal, Chinese buyers are continuing to negotiate with certain US suppliers — in particular Xcoal — for low-sulphur coking coal products that are not available domestically. Shipments to China appear to be recovering from the second half of 2018, when exports fell after China imposed an additional 25pc tax on imports of US coal. US coking coal shipments to China in the first quarter totalled 394,000t, down by 48.2pc on the year.

Supply disruptions in Australia have also meant that India is growing in significance as a destination for US coking coal. But shipments to India in March fell by 18.1pc on the year to 641,777t. But this follows from February, when Indian coking coal imports surged as a temporary dip in prices prompted more steelmakers to build up stocks.

Exports to India could pick up in future trade data releases, reflecting a recent flurry of negotiations with US suppliers as Indian mills restocked ahead of the monsoon.

Brazil has regularly been the top destination for US coking coal, with receipts totalling 7.63mn t in 2018, ahead of Japan's 5.43mn t. But in March, US shipments to Brazil of 524,915t fell behind Japan, the month's largest recipient.

The Argus fob Hampton Roads assessment for high-volatile type A (HVA) coking coal averaged $200.78/t in the first quarter, down from $208.92/t a year earlier, but still up from $184.13/t fob in the first quarter of 2017. The Argus high-volatile type B (HVB) coking coal index averaged $164.74/t fob Hampton Roads in January-March this year, up from $139.51/t a year ago and reflecting how seaborne demand for HVB in particular has strengthened in the past year.

Domestic disruptions boost Polish demand

Poland imported 202,685t of US coking coal in March, up from 93,917t in the same month last year, as domestic production disruptions led to steel plants diversifying their sources. In January, earthquakes caused a collapse at part of Polska Grupa Gornicza's (PGG) Rydlutowy mine and also hit Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa's (JSW) Knurow-Szczyglowice mine in southern Poland, opening up the market to US suppliers of high-volatile grades.

Coking coal shipments to Polish ports are also delivered on to mills in neighbouring countries, including US Steel in Slovakia and Moravia Steel in the Czech Republic. The ports of Gdansk, Gdynia and Swinoujscie received over 500,000t of coking coal in March from a wide range of destinations, including Australia, Russia, Canada, the US and Mozambique, port data shows.

But elsewhere in Europe, US coking coal shipments are less robust. German coking coal receipts notably fell by 60.1pc on the year to 87,652t in March, dragged down by lower steel production as the country's automotive production continues to decline.

Key US coking coal export destinations tonnes

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26/07/24

Blast furnace works cut S Korea's Posco 2Q steel output

Blast furnace works cut S Korea's Posco 2Q steel output

Singapore, 26 July (Argus) — South Korean steelmaker Posco reported lower crude steel output and sales in the second quarter because of refurbishments at its Pohang blast burnace, but a higher operating profit. Posco's crude steel production dropped to 8mn t over April-June, from 8.66mn t in the first quarter and 8.85mn t a year earlier, the company said in an earnings call on 25 July. Sales volume also dipped to 7.86mn t, from 8.23mn t in the previous quarter and 8.48mn t a year earlier. The firm's utilisation rates fell to 79.1pc in the second quarter, from 85.6pc in the first quarter and 87.3pc a year earlier. Posco began maintenance and modernisation of its No.4 blast furnace at Pohang in late April, which has a capacity of around 5.3mn t/yr. But production resumed at the end of June, raising its scrap consumption as reflected in its resumption of regular weekly purchases of Japanese scrap after a three-month halt. The group's combined steel revenue, including Posco and overseas steel facilities, stood at 15.4 trillion won ($11.1bn) in the second quarter. This was largely steady from the previous quarter but down from W16.5 trillion a year earlier. Combined steel operating profit stood at W497bn in the second quarter, up from W339bn in the first quarter, but less than half of W1 trillion a year earlier. Posco reported higher mill margins as the cost of raw materials dropped and sales price increased. But overseas upstream operations reported losses given an influx of cheap imports into the southeast Asian market and lower sales prices. Battery, other expansion plans Revenue from secondary battery unit Posco Future M fell by 20pc on the quarter and 23pc on the year to W915bn. Operating profit stood at W3bn, down from W38bn a quarter earlier and W52bn a year earlier. Posco, while citing a difficult battery materials industry over April-June, said during the earnings call that it is "closely monitoring demand fluctuations." The firm will pace its investment, but it will "not lose out" on any opportunity to invest in essential resources such as lithium whose prices have "hit rock bottom." Posco flagged the approaching US presidential election and shifting strategies of major automakers as factors that will continue affecting the EV supply chain. This was echoed by South Korean battery maker LG Energy Solution , which expects global EV market growth to come in at slightly over 20pc this year, down from 36pc a year earlier. Posco's first domestic lithium hydroxide plant, located at the Yulchon Industrial Complex in Gwangyang, with a capacity of 21,500 t/yr aims to start full operations in February 2025. It will be operated by Posco-Pilbara Lithium Solution, a joint venture between Posco and Australia's lithium miner Pilbara Minerals. The company also expects to finish building a second plant at the same location with similar capacity in September whose full operations will begin in September 2025. Its Argentinian lithium operations will have a total capacity of 50,000 t/yr in the near term, split between phase 1 and phase 2, which will start full operations in April 2025 and June 2026, respectively. Trading firm Posco International also reported that the final stage 4 expansion of its Myanmar offshore gas field will start in July, with about 4mn t/yr of By Tng Yong Li and Joseph Ho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU could launch 'other countries' HRC dumping probe


25/07/24
25/07/24

EU could launch 'other countries' HRC dumping probe

London, 25 July (Argus) — The European Commission soon could initiate a dumping investigation on some exporters selling into the 'other countries' quota for hot-rolled coil (HRC), according to multiple market sources. The 'other countries' quota in recent quarters has consistently filled rapidly upon resetting, and this pressure has been intensified by rising Chinese exports since August of last year. Some key 'other countries' sellers have seen the volumes they take from China balloon as a result. Vietnam bought more than 4.2mn t from China in the first six months of this year, compared with about 6mn t in the whole of 2023. China's increased exports has sparked talk that both India and Vietnam may start anti-dumping duty investigations. When announcing its 15pc cap on countries selling into the 'other countries' quota, the commission specifically alluded to the increase in Chinese exports affecting trade flows. Vietnam, Egypt, Japan and Taiwan are by far the largest sellers into the 'other countries' quota, and all of the countries initially exceeded their 141,849t cap quickly when the new quotas took force on 1 July. In April, before the cap was implemented, these four countries amounted for more than half of the 1.4mn t imported by the EU. The 'other countries' quota has essentially been reduced from 940,000 t/quarter to less than 600,000 t/quarter given the new cap. Sources suggested duties could be applied retroactively if the commission finds that material has been dumped. They also suggested it could be difficult to show dumping in some countries, such as Vietnam and Egypt, where domestic prices are often below export levels. A leading producer was gathering information on Egyptian cargoes arriving at EU ports in recent months, a trading firm said. The commission refused to comment on any potential investigation. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

China raises EV, ICE vehicles trade-in subsidies


25/07/24
25/07/24

China raises EV, ICE vehicles trade-in subsidies

Beijing, 25 July (Argus) — The Chinese government has raised subsidies to boost trade-in of old internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles with new energy vehicles (NEV). The subsidy for consumers who trade in an old NEV registered before 30 April 2018 or an ICE vehicle that meets or is below China's national 3 emission standard for a new NEV has doubled to 20,000 yuan from a previous subsidy announced in May . Electric vehicles cost anywhere between Yn50,000 to Yn1mn, with consumers mostly purchasing those in the Yn100,000-200,000 range, according to industry participants. The government is also offering a Yn15,000 subsidy for consumers who trade in an old NEV registered before 30 April 2018 or an ICE vehicle that meets or is below China's national 3 emission standard, and purchase a new ICE vehicle with the displacement below 2.0 litre. Beijing in early March announced a plan to promote the replacement of industrial equipment and consumer goods through large-scale trade-ins, with NEVs making up the main part of the scheme, as part of Beijing's efforts to meet its annual economic growth target of 5pc. China's ministry of finance announced on 3 June that it will allocate Yn6.44bn to local governments to pay the subsidies for vehicle trade-ins in 2024, including Yn107mn to Tianjin, Yn90.81mn to Shanghai, Yn74.61mn to Beijing and Yn66.49mn to Chongqing. The central government announced on 29 May that it will remove purchase restrictions for NEVs during 2024-25, with the capital city Beijing allocating 20,000 additional purchase quotas for NEVs to families without a car. China produced 1.003mn NEVs in June, up by 28pc from the previous year and by 6.7pc from May, with sales increasing by 30pc from a year earlier and by 9.8pc from the previous month to 1.049mn, partly driven by the country's supportive measures, especially the trade-in subsidies. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US-Australia’s Coronado to lift coal sales


25/07/24
25/07/24

US-Australia’s Coronado to lift coal sales

Sydney, 25 July (Argus) — US-Australian coal producer Coronado Coal will boost coal sales during July-December despite logistical challenges, as it maintains its output guidance of 16.4mn-17.2mn t for 2024. The firm sold 7.8mn t of coal during January-June, leaving it a target of 8.6mn t for July-December to meet the bottom of its 2024 guidance . It has maintained this guidance despite warning that shipments from its Australian Curragh mine will be affected by a two-week rail disruption from the end of July . Coronado operates the Curragh mine in Queensland and two mining complexes in the US' Virginia. All produce coking and thermal coal. Coronado's revenues were supported during April-June compared with January-March by a smaller discount for pulverised injection coal (PCI) against hard coking coal prices, which saw the PCI price rise while other metallurgical coal prices were under pressure. Its sales prices will remain strong in July-September, forecasts chief executive Douglas Thompson, on restocking in India and the rail disruption in Queensland, as well as the fire at Anglo American's Grosvenor mine that will disrupt Australian exports. Thompson warned that there was some downside risk of $5-10/t to Australian PCI pricing but if this was realised it will see China restart buying from Australia. In the long term he expects more competition from Russia-origin PCI, as Russian coal producers find new routes to the seaborne market and regain market share lost because of an European embargo. The premium for premium hard coal prices over PCI coal prices has shrunk to around $30/t from $145/t over the past six months. Argus last assessed the premium hard low-volatile price at $224/t fob Australia on 24 July and the PCI low-volatile price at $193.65/t. Coronado's group sales volumes were up 8.3pc to 4.1mn t in April-June compared with January-March , reflecting higher sales from its Australian and US operations. The increase in volumes combined with reduced need to remove waste materials allowed Coronado to cut is mining costs by 27.5pc from the previous quarter to an average of $91.10/t of coal sold. The firm expects costs to fall further in July-December as it demobilises more of its mining fleet at its Curragh mine. This reflects reduced waste removal and should have no impact of coal production at Curragh, Thompson said. Production at Curragh should increase in the second half of 2024, with 100,000t of coal production deferred from June to July because of heavy rainfall. By Jo Clarke Coronado Coal (mn t) Apr-Jun '24 Jan-Mar '24 Apr-Jun '23 Jan-Jun '24 Jan-Jun '23 Sales (mn t) Australia (Curragh) 2.7 2.5 2.5 5.2 4.7 US 1.4 1.2 1.5 2.6 3.0 Total 4.1 3.7 4.0 7.8 7.6 Sales data % coking coal of total sales 81.0 78.7 76.0 79.9 75.3 Australian realised met coal price (fob) ($/t) 216.2 225.2 237.7 220.5 239.7 US realised met coal price (for) ($/t) 161.7 170.9 196.0 166.0 215.5 Source: Coronado Australian coal price comparisons ($/t) Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australian coal rail line to shut for 2 weeks: Coronado


25/07/24
25/07/24

Australian coal rail line to shut for 2 weeks: Coronado

Sydney, 25 July (Argus) — The Blackwater rail line in Queensland, Australia will be closed for up to two weeks because of maintenance, which will restrict coal deliveries to the key port of Gladstone. The maintenance program will run from late July to early August, coal mining firm Coronado said on 25 July. This is limiting metallurgical supply from Queensland and pushing up the price of pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal relative to Australian premium low-volatile coal, it added. The two-week shutdown was planned before Coronado released its 16.4mn-17.2mn t saleable coal guidance for 2024 , which it still expects to reach despite a week-long outage on the Blackwater line in June-July following a collision . Shippers appear prepared for the reduction in shipping from the 102mn t/yr Gladstone port over the next couple of weeks, with just 12 ships queued outside the port on 25 July, down from 23 on 6 June and below-average queues of around 20. Coal is delivered to Gladstone through the 100mn t/yr capacity Blackwater rail line and the 30mn t/yr capacity Moura line, both of which are operated by Australian rail firm Aurizon. Gladstone's shipments fell by 9.5pc in June compared with a year earlier, partly because of rail constraints. Around two-thirds of Gladstone's coal shipments are metallurgical coal and a third are thermal. A fire at UK-South African mining firm Anglo American's Grosvenor mine already hit Australian metallurgical coal exports, which led the firm to cut its 2024 production guidance to 14mn-15.5mn t from 15mn-17mn t. The premium for premium hard coal prices over PCI coal prices has shrunk to around $30/t from $145/t over the past six months. Argus last assessed the premium hard low-vol price at $224/t fob Australia on 24 July, with the PCI low-vol price at $193.65/t. Aurizon and Gladstone Port were contacted for comment, but have yet to respond at the time of writing. By Jo Clarke Australian coal price comparisons ($/t) Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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