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Venezuela talks resume in wake of more arrests

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Oil products
  • 15/07/19

Venezuela's government and opposition are resuming negotiations in Barbados today, but both sides are resisting proposed concessions that would facilitate elections next April.

The opposition has pledged to revive the battered national oil industry once President Nicolas Maduro is removed from power. But even if a deal can be reached to hold new elections, there is no agreement on Maduro's standing before the poll, and the opposition faces the risk that a successor to Maduro would win.

Information minister Jorge Rodriguez said on arriving in Barbados that Maduro is "committed to a permanent dialogue for peace" and urged the political opposition led by Juan Guaido to disavow "all unconstitutional actions" aimed at forcing a regime change.

Guaido, the National Assembly president who is recognized by over 50 mainly western states as Venezuela's interim president, said in Trujillo state yesterday that the talks in Barbados "are not a dialogue, but rather a mediation by the government of Norway."

National Assembly second vice president Stalin Gonzalez, a member of Guaido's delegation in Barbados, said the goal of the Oslo-brokered talks is to "achieve a pact in coming days to end the suffering of Venezuelans."

Guaido's delegation also includes Gerardo Blyde, the former mayor of Baruta municipality in Caracas, and former transport and communications minister Fernando Martinez Mottola who served under late president Carlos Andres Perez in 1992-93.

Maduro's delegation to Barbados includes information minister Rodriguez, foreign minister Jorge Arreaza and Miranda state governor Hector Rodriguez, who is seen as the likely candidate of the ruling United Socialist Party (PSUV) if an agreement is reached to hold new presidential elections by April 2020.

The primary obstacle to an agreement appears to be Maduro's refusal to leave the presidency voluntarily ahead of new elections in nine months, government and opposition officials say.

For its part, the opposition is rejecting a government proposal for Guaido to relinquish his self-declared interim presidency and recuse himself from running for president in next year's elections, a Guaido aide close to the talks in Barbados said.

Diosdado Cabello, the second most powerful figure in Maduro's government and head of the controversial National Constituent Assembly (ANC), maintained early today that Maduro will not accept any deal requiring his resignation ahead of elections because it would amount to "surrendering the presidency to which he was elected constitutionally."

The crisis erupted in early January after Maduro was sworn in for another six-year term based on a May 2018 election that was widely deemed abroad as fraudulent. Invoking the constitution, Guaido declared his interim presidency on 23 January, asserting that Maduro's presidency was illegitimate.

The new round of talks are resuming amid political tensions triggered by the arrests of three individuals, including two of Guaido's bodyguards, who are charged with trying to sell up to five Russian-made AK-103 assault weapons allegedly stolen from the army.

The 12 July arrests by government security forces were first disclosed by Rodriguez. Defense minister general Vladimir Padrino, whom Maduro ratified in his post on 5 July, issued a statement separately yesterday rejecting the political opposition's alleged attempt to sell the arms.

Guaido dismissed the allegations by Rodriguez and Padrino as phony. The opposition security officials, identified as Erick Sanchez and Jason Parisi, were "kidnapped" by Maduro's intelligence services who "planted weapons" to justify their illegal arrests the same way that the regime planted weapons on his chief of staff Roberto Marrero when he was arrested illegally on 21 March, Guaido said.

The US administration, which recognizes Guaido as Venezuela's interim leader, says Maduro's departure should be a pre-condition for new elections. "Guaido and his team are not negotiating in Barbados because they trust the regime – they are negotiating to end the regime," State Department special Venezuelan envoy Elliott Abrams said on 12 July.

Organization of American States (OAS) secretary general Luis Almagro, who spoke alongside Abrams to highlight a recent UN report on human rights violations by the Maduro government, questioned the need for talks and called on the US not to relax its sanctions regime.

"If the US lets up pressure, this process will conclude in the same way that the previous four or five negotiations that have taken place since 2014," Almagro said.


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17/03/25

China’s CNOOC starts Caofeidian, Wenchang crude output

China’s CNOOC starts Caofeidian, Wenchang crude output

San Francisco, 16 March (Argus) — Chinese state-controlled CNOOC has started output at the Caofeidian 6-4 oil field comprehensive adjustment project and the Wenchang 19-1 oil field phase 2 project offshore China, the company said today. Caofeidian 6-4 produces mainly light crude and is located in the western part of the Bohai Sea, at an average water depth of about 20m. Wenchang 19-1 produces mainly medium crude and is located in the western part of the Pearl River Mouth Basin, at an average water depth of around 125m. Caofeidian 6-4 is expected to achieve peak production of around 11,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in 2026 and Wenchang 19-1's output is expected to peak at 12,000 boe/d in 2027. CNOOC plans to put into production a total of 38 development wells at the two projects. It is also planning 22 production wells at Caofeidian 6-4. CNOOC is the operator of the projects and holds a 100pc interest. The associated gas of Caofeidian 6-4 will be reinjected into the reservoir with gas injection compressors, which will reduce CO2 emissions by about 13,000 t/yr. Wenchang 19-1 uses a megawatt-level high-temperature flue gas ORC power generation unit, which is expected to generate up to 24GWh of electricity and reduce CO2 emissions by about 23,000 t/yr, CNOOC said. The company has mainly started output at oil fields in 2025 but said in early March that it made a "major breakthrough" in natural gas exploration as part of a gas discovery at the Weizhou 10-5 oil and gas field at a water depth of 37m in the Beibu Gulf basin in the Bohai sea, with test results indicating production capacity of around 13.2mn ft³ of gas and about 800 b/d of crude. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Dangote refinery buys first cargo of Eq Guinea crude


13/03/25
13/03/25

Dangote refinery buys first cargo of Eq Guinea crude

London, 13 March (Argus) — Nigeria's 650,000 b/d Dangote refinery has bought its first cargo of Equatorial Guinea's medium sweet Ceiba crude, according to sources with knowledge of the matter. Dangote bought the 950,000 bl cargo loading over 12-13 April from BP earlier this week, sources told Argus . Price levels of the deal were kept under wraps. Most Ceiba exports typically go to China. Around 18,000 b/d discharged there last year, while three shipments went to Spain and one to the Netherlands, according to Vortexa data. This year, two cargoes loading in February and March are signalling Zhanjiang in China, according to tracking data. Traders note that buying a Ceiba cargo is part of Dangote's efforts to diversify its crude sources. Last month the refinery bought its first cargo of Algeria's light sweet Saharan Blend crude from trading firm Glencore, which is due to be delivered over 15-20 March. Market sources said Dangote seems to have sourced competitively priced crude from Equatorial Guinea at a time when domestic grades are facing sluggish demand from Nigeria's core European market amid ample supply of cheaper Kazakh-origin light sour CPC Blend, US WTI and Mediterranean sweet crudes. Several European refineries are due to undergo maintenance in April, which is also weighing on demand. Nigeria's state-owned NNPC is currently in negotiations with the Dangote refinery about extending a local currency crude sales arrangement , which involves crude prices being set in dollars and Dangote paying the naira equivalent at a discounted exchange rate. Any changes to the terms of the programme may pressure Dangote to increase the amount of foreign crude in its slate. Refinery sources told Argus in January that Dangote will source at least 50pc of its crude needs on the import market and is building eight storage tanks to facilitate this. By Sanjana Shivdas Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Nigeria's port authority raises import tariffs


13/03/25
13/03/25

Nigeria's port authority raises import tariffs

London, 13 March (Argus) — The Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA) has raised tariffs by 15pc on imports "across board", taking effect on 3 March, according to a document shown to Argus . The move comes as the independently-owned 650,000 b/d Dangote refinery continues to capture domestic market share through aggressive price cuts, pushing imported gasoline below market value in the country. Sources said that Dangote cut ex-rack gasoline prices to 805 naira/litre (52¢/l) today, from between 818-833N/l. The rise in NPA tariffs may add on additional cost pressures onto trading houses shipping gasoline to Nigeria, potentially affecting price competitiveness against Dangote products further. The move would increase product and crude cargo import costs, according to market participants. But one shipping source said the impact would be marginal as current costs are "slim", while one west African crude trader noted that the tariffs would amount to a few cents per barrel and represent a minor rise in freight costs. Port dues in Nigeria are currently around 20¢/bl, the trader added. One shipping source expects oil products imports to continue to flow in, because demand is still there. Nigeria's NNPC previously said the country's gasoline demand is on average around 37,800 t/d. Over half of supplies come from imports, the country's downstream regulator NMDPRA said. According to another shipping source, Dangote supplied around 526,000t of gasoline in the country, making up over half of product supplied. The refinery also supplied 113,000t of gasoil — a third of total total volumes in the country — and half of Nigeria's jet at 28,000t. By George Maher-Bonnett and Sanjana Shivdas Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US lube industry wary of tariffs uncertainty


13/03/25
13/03/25

US lube industry wary of tariffs uncertainty

London, 13 March (Argus) — The uncertainty around US tariffs could weigh on demand for finished lubricant and base oil, trade body ILMA told Argus . US President Donald Trump has decreed a 25pc tariff on steel and aluminium imports from Canada, a key import source for these materials used in auto manufacturing. The US sources about 70pc of its aluminium imports and around 23pc of its steel imports from its northern neighbour. ILMA chief executive Holly Alfano said the White House recognises that the uncertainty surrounding tariffs "creates a challenging business environment". "A slowdown in auto sales and production due to tariffs could lead to reduced demand for these products," Alfano told Argus. "Manufacturers may postpone investments or expansion plans due to unpredictable costs and market conditions," she said. "If vehicle prices rise due to increased production costs, consumer demand may decline, leading to further reductions in automotive output and associated lubricant consumption." Automotive vehicle production forecasts have fallen to 15.5mn in 2025 since the tariff announcement, down by 250,000 vehicles from the prior estimate by AutoForecast Solutions. This would put output broadly in line with 2024 , stifling growth in finished lubricant demand. US government data show car sales fell by 5pc in 2024, and finished lubricant sales dropped 6pc over the same period. Although lubricant sales are not entirely correlated with new car sales, Alfano noted the auto sector is "a significant consumer of finished lubricants". As it stands the tariffs on steel and aluminium will not now be implemented until 2 April. The White House has said this is to "allow for the flow of parts and sub assembly products into America, to allow American car manufacturers to continue building cars." The US administration is scheduled to host Canadian and Ontario officials today to discuss a possible easing in tariffs. If these talks yield no progress, and if a month is insufficient for supply chains to be reorganised, the tariffs could stunt automotive manufacturing and in turn lubricants needed for these new vehicles. Ontario premier Doug Ford has cautioned the 25pc tariffs could halt the auto manufacturing industry in as little as 10 days. While the US is self-sufficient in terms of its Group II base oils, it is a net importer of Group III, with only 4pc nameplate capacity, and both are key to automotive lubricant production. The US is an importer of Canadian Group III base oils from Petro-Canada's 4,000 b/d plant in Mississauga, Ontario. By Gabriella Twining Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

IEA says trade tensions clouding oil demand outlook


13/03/25
13/03/25

IEA says trade tensions clouding oil demand outlook

London, 13 March (Argus) — The IEA today downgraded its global oil demand growth forecast for 2025, noting a deterioration in macroeconomic conditions driven by rising trade tensions. It sees a larger supply surplus as a result, which could be greater still depending on Opec+ policy. The Paris-based agency, in its latest Oil Market Report (OMR), sees oil demand rising by 1.03mn b/d to 103.91mn b/d in 2025, down from a projected rise of 1.10mn b/d in its previous OMR. The IEA said recent oil demand data have underwhelmed, and it has cut its growth estimates for the final three months of 2024 and the first three months of this year. US President Donald Trump has imposed tariffs on various goods arriving in the US from China, Mexico and Canada, as well as on all imports of steel and aluminium. Some countries have retaliated with tariffs of their own on US imports, raising the prospect of a full-blown trade war. The IEA said US tariffs on Canada and Mexico "may impact flows and prices from the two countries that accounted for roughly 70pc of US crude oil imports last year." But it is still too early to assess the full effects of these trade policies on the wider oil market given the scope and scale of tariffs remain unclear and that negotiations are continuing, the IEA said. For now, the IEA's latest estimates see US demand growth this year slightly higher than its previous forecast. It sees US consumption increasing by 90,000 b/d to 20.40mn b/d, compared with a projected rise of 70,000 b/d in the prior OMR. The downgrades to its global oil demand forecast were mainly driven by India and South Korea. The agency also noted latest US sanctions on Russia and Iran had yet to "significantly disrupt loadings, even as some buyers have scaled back loadings." The IEA's latest balances show global supply exceeding demand by 600,000 b/d in 2025, compared with 450,000 b/d in its previous forecast. It said the surplus could rise to 1mn b/d if Opec+ members continue to raise production beyond April. Eight members of the Opec+ alliance earlier this month agreed to proceed with a plan to start unwinding 2.2mn b/d of voluntary production cuts over an 18 month period starting in April. The IEA said the actual output increase in April may only be 40,000 b/d, not the 138,000 b/d implied under the Opec+ plan, as most are already exceeding their production targets. The IEA sees global oil supply growing by 1.5mn b/d this year to 104.51mn b/d, compared with projected growth of 1.56mn b/d in its previous report. The agency does not incorporate any further supply increases from Opec+ beyond the planned April rise. The IEA said global observed stocks fell by 40.5mn bl in January, of which 26.1mn bl were products. Preliminary data for February show a rebound in global stocks, lifted by an increase in oil on water, the IEA said. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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