US HRC: Prices fall as uncertainty grips market

  • Spanish Market: Metals
  • 24/03/20

Domestic US hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices dropped this week as the spot market almost completely froze while assessing the evolving impacts of the coronavirus pandemic in the US.

The Argus weekly domestic US HRC index fell by $24.75/st to $580/st ex-works Midwest.

Lead times fell by a week to six weeks as no mills reported booking new orders.

Market participants said they were evaluating their books and customers were looking over orders to determine what needed to be cancelled in the aftermath of the major automakers in the US announcing some form of plant closures across their North American operations in the next two to three weeks.

Ford announced today that it was delaying its planned restart of its North American operations, which were expected to go back online on 30 March.

Original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) like Magna International and Dana announced their own closures of automotive manufacturing facilities.

On market participant said an order of 400-500st had been pulled but that much was still to be determined. Many believe that decisions this week over what orders to keep and how customers react will determine next week who will close and who will remain open.

Integrated flat-rolled steelmaker ArcelorMittal announced it was closing a blast furnace each at its Indiana Harbor West mill near Chicago and its Dofasco mill in Ontario, while Gerdau closed all of its melting operations for its special steel mills, as a result of the auto shutdowns.

Tenaris and US Steel have announced idlings or curtailing of production at their tubular steel mills, which serve the US oil and gas industry hit hard by a price war being waged between Russia and Saudi Arabia.

HRC import prices into Houston stayed flat at $630/st ddp.

Plate prices stayed flat at $668/st as the market continued to be weak.

After plunging in the prior week futures prices in the CME HRC futures market continued to decline over the last week, with May prices down by $2/st to $486/st. June futures prices fell by $14/st to $474/st, while July prices dropped by $16/st to $474/st. August prices fell by $13/st to $478/st, and September futures prices fell by $8/st to $480/st. October HRC futures prices dropped by $10/st to $490/st, while November prices settled down $5/st to $495/st.


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13/05/24

Potential strike threatens Vancouver port again

Potential strike threatens Vancouver port again

Calgary, 13 May (Argus) — A labour dispute at the Canadian port of Vancouver could result in another work stoppage, less than a year after a strike disrupted the flow of more than C$10bn ($7.3bn) worth of goods and commodities ranging from canola and potash to coking coal. Negotiations between the British Columbia Maritime Employers Association (BCMEA) and the International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU) Ship and Dock Foremen Local 514 union have stalled as the two sides try to renew an agreement that expired on 1 April 2023. A 21-day "cooling-off period" concluded on 10 May, giving the union the right to strike and the employers association the right to lock out the workers. A vote and 72-hour notice would first need to occur before either action is taken. The BCMEA filed a formal complaint to the Canada Industrial Relations Board (CIRB) the same day, which had to step in last year in another dispute. The BCMEA locked horns with ILWU Canada over a separate collective agreement in 2023 leading to a 13-day strike by the union in July. This disrupted the movement of C$10.7bn of goods in and out of Canada, according to the Greater Vancouver Board of Trade. Vancouver's port is the country's largest — about the same size as the next five combined — and describes itself as able to handle the most diversified range of cargo in North America. There are 29 terminals belonging to the Port of Vancouver. Terminals that service container ships endured the most significant congestion during last year's strike. Loadings for potash, sulphur, lumber, wood pellets and pulp, steel-making coal, canola, copper concentrates, zinc and lead concentrate, diesel and renewable diesel liquids and some agri-foods were also disrupted. The Trans Mountain-operated Westridge Marine Terminal responsible for crude oil exports on Canada's west coast was unaffected. A deal was eventually reached on 4 August. The strike spurred on proposed amendments to legislation in Canada that would limit the effect of job action on essential services. A bill introduced in Canada's Parliament in November would update the Canada Labour Code and CIRB Regulations accordingly. The bill has been progressing through the House of Commons, now having completed the second of three readings. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexican power outages enter fourth day


10/05/24
10/05/24

Mexican power outages enter fourth day

Mexico City, 10 May (Argus) — Mexican power grid operator Cenace issued its fourth consecutive day of operating alerts amid the heatwave gripping the country. Net electricity demand reached 47,321MW early today, with deployed electricity capacity slightly below at 47,233 MW, according to Cenace. Since 7 May, Cenace has declared emergency operating alerts as demand exceeded generation capacity during peak evening hours, prompting the grid operator to preemptively cut electricity supply across different states to maintain grid integrity. Power outages have lasted up to several hours in Mexico City and in major industrial states as power demand has outstripped supply by up to 1,000MW. Peak demand this week hit 49,000MW, just below last year's historic peak of 53,000MW during atypical temperatures in June. "We are very concerned about the unprecedented outages detected across 21 states, a situation that affects the normal functioning of Mexican companies," national business chamber Coparmex said. Peak electricity demand typically rises in June-July but temperatures this week have risen as high as 48°C (118° F) across some states. Mexico City reported a record high of 34.3°C on 9 May and high temperatures are forecast to continue into next week, Mexico's national weather service said. The inability of Mexico's grid to respond to increased demand is because of insufficient power generation capacity, non-profit think-tank the Mexican institute for competitiveness (Imco) said this week. "Despite the energy ministry's forecast that 22,000MW of new power capacity would enter service by 2026, only 1,483MW had entered service as of 2022" since late 2018, Imco said. President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador's administration pledged to build new generation capacity, including five gas-fired, combined-cycle plants, but recognized this week that delays had contributed to the power outages. "We have an electricity generation deficit because some of the combined-cycle plants were delayed, but we are working on it and it will soon be resolved," Lopez Obrador said on 9 May. Lopez Obrador's government has also curtailed private sector power development during his administration. Mexico needs to upgrade and expand its transmission network, industry associations say. "In order to resolve this problem, we believe that a reopening of the electricity market to the private sector is imperative," Mexico's wind energy association, Amdee, said. Mexico has 87,130MW of installed capacity, with 39.5pc from combined-cycle gas-fired power plants and 31pc in renewable power, including wind, solar, hydroelectric, geothermal and biomass, according to the latest statistics from the energy ministry. By Rebecca Conan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Tata Steel UK unions vote to strike


09/05/24
09/05/24

Tata Steel UK unions vote to strike

London, 9 May (Argus) — Workers at Tata Steel's Port Talbot plant in south Wales have voted to strike in response to the company's plan to stop iron-making and cut thousands of jobs. Over 3,000 members of Community Union have been balloted, with more than 85pc in favour of industrial action — this is despite the company threatening to withdraw its proposed support package in the event of strikes. "It should be noted this resounding mandate has been delivered in spite of the company's bullying and unacceptable threats to slash redundancy payments," Alun Davies, Community's national officer for steel, said. He urged Tata to "get back around the table" to prevent a major industrial dispute. Workers at Unite the union have already voted in favour of strike action, which is set for 30 May. Unions — and the Syndex consultancy that has represented them in talks with Tata — have called the company's agreement with the government a "bad deal". They have requested more financial support to help Tata with decarbonisation, and for a blast furnace to be maintained. The government is giving Tata £166/t towards its decarbonisation — less than many European competitors receive from their governments. The low level of state support played into Tata's decision to move to one large electric-arc furnace, which has been roundly criticised by unions. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Turkey's new EAF capacities to trigger scrap shortage


09/05/24
09/05/24

Turkey's new EAF capacities to trigger scrap shortage

London, 9 May (Argus) — More companies will invest in electric-arc furnaces (EAFs) as part of their green transition, which will likely result in more demand for scrap amid tighter scrap supply in the medium term, market participants said at an industry conference in Istanbul today. The shift toward EAF production globally is set to boost scrap consumption, and could limit the availability of scrap for export markets. The majority of Turkish steel production is EAF based, with most new capacities coming on line also scrap-based. Potential legislative changes, such as those proposed in the UK to restrict scrap exports and protect local supplies, could further tighten the market supply. Such restrictions, coupled with rising scrap consumption, could intensify competition. Major steel producers in the EU and the UK are also transitioning to EAF production, significantly increasing their domestic scrap demand, resulting in suppliers focusing less on exports. Turkey has traditionally relied on imported scrap. Turkey should explore integrated production methods and consider hydrogen-based steel production systems, the general manager of Cag Celik Ercument Unal said. Adopting direct-reduced iron (DRI) technology would reduce the need for scrap, but will increase the demand for iron ore. Turkish steel producer Tosyali Holding anticipates globally hydrogen-based methods will account for 22pc of total steel production by 2050, following scrap-based methods, which are expected to contribute 40pc. There were no major changes in the steel production methodology in the past 50 years, except for some developments in automation and minor energy savings. However, current developments in hydrogen use will be more significant, Tosyali said. Tosyali recently completed its second DRI plant at its Algeria site and is currently building a third DRI, which will use 100pc hydrogen in production. "Every investment we make today regarding the green transition will be more economical than the trade measures we will face tomorrow," Tosyali chairman Fuat Tosyali said. Turkey has great potential for solar energy to produce hydrogen, director of Huawei Smart PV Turkey Eray Hazer said. One of the major Turkish mills bought 1GW of capacity, but this is only enough to cover 10-15pc of its production, so in order to generate enough electricity to run the DRI, higher solar power installation is required. There are a number of risks which can affect the Turkish steel industry, South Korean steelmaker Posco research and development deputy manager Dr Kisoo Kim said during the conference, including reduced exports due to the implementation of the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), rising scrap demand causing supply shortages, and notably high output costs to produce green electricity. The latter could be eased by considering the nuclear power option as a bridge solution if public approval is achieved, he added. By Elif Eyuboglu Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Jakarta forum calls for exploring Ni price references


09/05/24
09/05/24

Jakarta forum calls for exploring Ni price references

Singapore, 9 May (Argus) — The global nickel market should explore different price references for nickel products to reduce price uncertainty, panellists said at the Third Nickel Producers, Processors and Buyers Conference in Jakarta, Indonesia. The London Metal Exchange (LME) nickel price, which is the global benchmark for class 1 nickel products, has been volatile for years now since LME suspended nickel trading in early March 2022, when prices surged above $100,000/t overnight. There were hopes late last year that prices would become more stable this year. But the price outlook has been uncertain since the turn of the year, with class 1 prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) slumping to a four-year low of $15,877.50/t on 6 February on expectations of weak Chinese stainless steel and electric vehicle demand, before rebounding to a six-month high of $19,387.50/t on 26 April because of a delay in Indonesian RKAB mining right approvals and a reviewed forecast suggesting a significant smaller surplus for this year. There should be a new reference to counter price volatility, some conference participants said, while others suggested decoupling class 1 and 2 nickel prices. "[Prices are volatile now because] most prices are referenced to class 1, so maybe we can explore further with more price references, like class 2 nickel pig iron (NPI) and mixed hydroxide precipitate (MHP)," Ray Gunara, president-director of Indonesian coal producer Harum Energy, said on 7 May. Harum Energy this year bought a majority stake in an Indonesian nickel processing and refining business. Most conference participants agreed that a different price reference would help maintain nickel price stability. "[NPI prices now are] difficult to predict because the class 1 [prices] are no longer linked to the product we are selling," Indonesia miner Trimegah Bangun Persada (Harita Nickel)'s president-director Roy Arman Arfandy said. Indonesia is the world's largest nickel producer. The correlation between the monthly average of the LME class 1 cash official price and Argus ' NPI ex-works China index has fallen to close to 0.41 between January and May, from 0.91 in 2023. The correlation between the LME class 1 cash official price and Argus ' class 2 nickel benchmark Indonesian Nickel Index (INI) for 10-14pc NPI fob Indonesia was 0.52 between January and May. Market participants at the conference also expressed hope for more government support. "Currently there is an imbalance between local and foreign investments, so we are hoping that the government can give more support to local players like us," one producer said. Another conference participant said that they would aim to build a precursor cathode active material plant if given more support. Argus ' class 2 nickel INI for 10-14pc NPI fob Indonesia stood at $118.70/mtu on 3 May. The INI for 37pc MHP was at $142.80/mtu fob Indonesia and 70pc matte was at $148.90/mtu fob Indonesia on the same day. By Sheih Li Wong Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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